Article de Jean Aziz dans al-Monitor sur l’établissement par la Jordanie de la liste « noire » des organisations terroristes en Syrie dont elle a été chargé - et qui constitueraient donc des cibles légitimes. Comme prévu, ça ne va pas être simple :
Is Jordan capable of developing the Syrian terrorist group blacklist ? / extrait
▻http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2015/11/jordan-mission-designate-terrorist-groups-syria.html#ixzz3szBZqWyq
Abu Rumman told Al-Monitor, “This is a complicated issue that could compromise Jordan since adding more groups to the list will provoke their backers and threaten the kingdom’s stability.” The support group has already agreed to include IS and Jabhat al-Nusra on the list. Among the groups that could possibly be added are Ahrar al-Sham, al-Sham Front and Jaish al-Fatah (Army of Conquest).
“Some of these Islamist groups fall in a gray area. Some will argue that they are radical, while others will claim they are moderate,” said Abu Rumman. This, he added, is part of the challenge facing Jordan. The survey group’s designations could affect alliances among the anti-regime groups — for instance, Jaish al-Fatah’s affiliation with the already designated Jabhat al-Nusra — and weaken the opposition on the ground, especially if foreign backers stop financing some of them, Abu Rumman noted.
It is not clear how Amman will manage its mission amid the conflicting interests and goals among the regional and international players involved in the Syrian conflict. According to the newspaper Asharq al-Awsat, Jordan will soon host a meeting to determine “radical organizations in Syria.” It reported that at least seven more groups will be added to the terrorist list. Political analyst Orieb al-Rintawi told Al-Monitor that one criteria Jordan will use to designate radical groups is “their acceptance or rejection of a political process” in Syria.
Saudi Arabia, a major supporter of some groups in Syria, including Ahrar al-Sham, is planning to hold a conference in mid-December for the Syrian opposition to foster a unified position among factions. The conference is supposed to include the various representatives from the Syrian opposition and military factions.
Rintawi warned, “The Saudis must not exclude or marginalize groups that are not on close terms with Riyadh.” What the Saudis do stands to have some effect on Jordan’s task. “The conference could give recognition to groups that might end up on the Jordanian list,” he said.
There are unconfirmed reports that Amman is already being pressured by Turkey and Saudi Arabia. The Dubai-based Gulf News reported Nov. 23 that the two countries “have convinced Jordan to cross off two of their proxies [Jaish al-Islam and Ahrar al-Sham] from the list of Syria’s rebel groups banned from joining the political process.” The paper also reported, “The Russians wanted to exclude Jaish al-Islam and Ahrar al-Sham, while Saudi Arabia insisted both are moderate and legitimate opposition groups.”
Question déjà évoquée ici indirectement, à propos de l’impossibilité d’une liste « blanche », par @nidal : ►http://seenthis.net/messages/433418