Article à lire absolument : Lebanon’s Future Hangs On Hezbollah’s Syria Stance. Article vraiment très intéressant, un peu complexe, qui cherche à introduire de la subtilité là où la situation semble totalement bloquée.
Hezbollah’s interests are not completely in line with the Assad regime, and strategies that deal with the short-term and long-term prospects of Syria need to be re-tuned to the probable outcome that the Baath will be forced to make concessions at some point. This does not necessitate a complete abandonment of Assad – as previously noted, this is a fixed position imposed on Hezbollah and Lebanon. But within the confines of the relationship, Hezbollah – with its powerful Iranian patron on its side – can promote the voices within the regime that are committed to fully implementing Kofi Annan’s plan; bringing serious reforms to the country; and putting an end to the arrogant rule of force. It can also nurture ties with Syria’s internal opposition groups eager to find a peaceful, political solution, and promote reconciliation between them and the elements of the regime willing to forge a new Syria, dwarfing the Saudi-backed elements of the opposition.