Transition énergétique et déclin des émissions de CO2 : constat extrêmement pessimiste et inquiétant de Vaclav Smil, un historien spécialiste des transitions énergétiques dans l’histoire
►https://www.aboutenergy.com/en_IT/flip-tabloid/oil_44_EN/ABO_OilMagazine_44_EN.pdf p.10-14
Determined efforts to reduce excesses in affluent countries, to adopt
the most efficient energy solutions in nations rising from energy poverty, and to accelerate the diffusion of noncarbon alternatives could end the furtherrise of emissions and enable their steady subsequent decline. But it is highly unlikely that we could engineer
an immediate plunge in CO2 emissions and eliminate them by 2050 in order to replicate the trend shown in the IPCC’s 1.5 °C report. Global energy (r)evolutions take time and to break that historic pattern would require either a collapse of modern civilization or a supremely coordinated and resolutely executed transformation on the global scale, beginning instantly and proceeding rapidly and at a cost, a major share of the global economic product, that has no precedent in history
p.14 pour cette citation
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