• Life expectancy in U.S. is falling amid surges in chronic illness - Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/interactive/2023/american-life-expectancy-dropping

    After decades of progress, life expectancy — long regarded as a singular benchmark of a nation’s success — peaked in 2014 at 78.9 years, then drifted downward even before the coronavirus pandemic. Among wealthy nations, the United States in recent decades went from the middle of the pack to being an outlier. And it continues to fall further and further behind.

    A year-long Washington Post examination reveals that this erosion in life spans is deeper and broader than widely recognized, afflicting a far-reaching swath of the United States.

    #états-unis #leadership #milliers_de_milliards #santé
    #espérance_de_vie

  • CDC meeting, intended to mark covid progress, sees virus cases of its own - The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2023/04/28/covid-cases-cdc-conference

    The staff dedicated to investigating disease outbreaks for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention received a reminder this week of the pandemic’s persistence: confirmed covid cases at their own conference.

    “We’re letting you know that several people who attended the [Epidemic Intelligence Service] Conference have tested positive for COVID-19,” a CDC branch chief wrote in an email to staff on Friday and obtained by The Washington Post, adding that at least one person at the division’s recruiting event on Wednesday had tested positive.

    Current and former CDC staff also told The Post that moderators at the conference warned staff several times that some attendees had tested positive for the virus.

    A CDC official said the agency was “aware” of several confirmed cases that could be connected to the conference, but cautioned “the cases we’re aware of at this time should not be referred to as an ‘outbreak.’”

    “These cases are reflective of general spread in the community. It’s not news that public health employees can get COVID-19,” CDC’s Kristen Nordlund wrote in an email.

  • CDC loosens coronavirus guidance, signaling strategic shift - The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2022/08/11/cdc-coronavirus-recommendations

    Le #CDC américain ne recommande plus la mise en quarantaine des étudiants en cas d’exposition au #COVID-19
    https://www.zonebourse.com/actualite-bourse/Le-CDC-americain-ne-recommande-plus-la-mise-en-quarantaine-des-etudiants

    Les Centres américains de contrôle et de prévention des maladies ont déclaré jeudi qu’ils ne recommanderaient plus aux écoles ou aux garderies de mettre les élèves en quarantaine ou d’organiser des programmes de test en cas d’exposition au COVID-19.

    #états-unis

    • La plupart des nouveaux malades étaient pourtant vaccinés, ce qui inquiète beaucoup les Chinois quant à l’efficacité réelle de leur #vaccin face au variant Delta. C’est ce variant qui, pour la première fois, a été détecté à Nanjing, dans le Sud-Est de la Chine, où l’on compte déjà plus de 200 malades. Une flambée certes limitée au regard d’autres pays, mais qui intervient dans un pays sous cloche où 1,6 milliard de doses de vaccin ont déjà été administrées.

      À Nanjing, plus de neuf millions d’habitants ont été dépistés et plusieurs quartiers placés en confinement strict. "Tous les habitants de la ville, y compris les simples visiteurs, vont être dépistés", assure le directeur adjoint de la Commission de santé de Nanjing, au micro d’Europe 1. "Ceux qui habitent dans les zones les plus touchées le seront plusieurs fois afin d’être sûrs que cette campagne soit vraiment efficace."

      Des foyers à Pékin

      Cette nouvelle alerte intervient après des mois sans nouveaux cas. Même à Pékin, où il n’y avait plus de malades depuis six mois, plusieurs foyers ont été identifiés ces derniers jours, et certains quartiers ont été bouclés et désinfectés.

    • C’est un peu chiant : impossible de savoir si ce sont des contaminations, ou s’il y a des hospitalisations, des réanimations et des morts.

      Parce qu’il semble qu’il y a eu aussi des clusters de personnes vaccinées aux États-Unis, ce qui conduit aujourd’hui le CDC à re-recommander le masque pour les personnes vaccinées, parce qu’on peut donc être vacciné et nettement plus contagieux qu’on ne le pensait avec le variant Delta. Pour autant : chez les vaccinés américains (donc là pas de doutes sur l’efficacité du vaccin chinois), proportionnellement peu d’hospitalisations, encore moins de cas très graves, et je crois aucun décès. (Je dis tout ça de mémoire, hein, c’est pas une citation exacte.)

    • Ah, c’est là:
      Most people infected in Provincetown covid outbreak were vaccinated, CDC study shows
      https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2021/07/30/provincetown-covid-outbreak-vaccinated

      A sobering scientific analysis published Friday found that three-quarters of the people infected during an explosive coronavirus outbreak fueled by the delta variant were fully vaccinated. The report on the Massachusetts cases, from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, offers key evidence bolstering the hypothesis that vaccinated people can spread the more transmissible variant and may be a factor in the summer surge of infections.

    • Covid-19 : un regain de l’épidémie dans plusieurs régions en #Chine
      https://www.france24.com/fr/asie-pacifique/20210731-covid-19-un-regain-de-l-%C3%A9pid%C3%A9mie-dans-plusieurs-r%C3%A9

      Les autorités de Nankin ont ordonné à toutes les attractions touristiques et lieux culturels de ne pas ouvrir samedi, en raison de l’augmentation des transmissions nationales. Des centaines de milliers de personnes sont désormais confinées dans la province du Jiangsu, dont Nankin est la capitale, tandis que la ville a soumis ses 9,2 millions d’habitants à deux dépistages.

      La ville touristique de Zhangjiajie, dans la province du Hunan, où une poignée de personnes positives au Covid-19 ont assisté à une représentation théâtrale, a confiné ses 1,5 million d’habitants et fermé toutes les attractions touristiques vendredi, selon un communiqué officiel.

      […]

      En banlieue de Pékin, dans le district de Changping où deux malades ont été découverts, 41 000 personnes ont été placées en confinement jeudi. Il s’agit des premiers cas locaux enregistrés à Pékin, qui compte plus de 20 millions d’habitants, depuis six mois.

      #confinement

  • Scientists begin to unravel the mysteries of the coronavirus and brains - The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2021/06/07/covid-are-brains-affected

    In laboratory experiments, the coronavirus can infiltrate neurons and other brain cells when those cells are cultured. It also can invade clumps of cells designed to replicate the structure of a brain, which scientists call organoids. Those observations suggest brains are vulnerable to invasion by SARS-CoV-2.

    At least in theory. Not all brain specialists are convinced that what can happen in a petri dish occurs in sick humans.

    “Frankly, I don’t think it tells us a lot about what’s going on in the brains of people who were infected with this virus,” said James E. Goldman, a neuropathologist and a colleague of Thakur and Canoll at Columbia. [COVID-19 neuropathology at Columbia University Irving Medical Center/New York Presbyterian Hospital | Brain | Oxford Academic
    https://academic.oup.com/brain/advance-article/doi/10.1093/brain/awab148/6226391]

    As that trio and their co-authors reported in the journal Brain in April, they did not find viral proteins in brain autopsies.

    They detected no or low levels of viral RNA, depending on the technique used. Canoll suggested the viral genetic material they did find in the brain came from virus in the membrane that surrounds the brain, not from within the organ itself.

    “This, alongside other studies, is suggestive that there’s not a florid amount of virus in the brain in patients who have died,” said Thakur, lead author of that study.

    [...]

    Although there wasn’t much virus to be found, the brains of people killed by the coronavirus weren’t unscathed . The Columbia researchers, looking at thin slices of brain tissue under microscopes, found two main types of problems in patients who died of covid.

    First were infarctions, dead tissue surrounding blocked blood vessels, found in the brain’s gray matter. [...]

    The second issue, appearing in the brainstem, cerebellum and other areas, involved swarms of immune cells. Those cells often converged around dead or dying neurons. “They’re actually attacking and eating the neurons,” Canoll said.

    These immune cells, called microglia, were enlarged and had clustered in nodules, signaling inflammation, though not as severe as what pathologists see in cases of viral encephalitis. Curiously, there was no virus in the neurons being surrounded.

    Still, microglia don’t act like this unless provoked.

    “Something is triggering them to do that,” said immunologist Lena Al-Harthi, who studies at Rush University in Chicago how HIV affects the central nervous system. That trigger remains unknown, but Harthi suggested it could be an autoimmune response .

    ]...] Autoantibodies have been found in postmortem brains and the cerebrospinal fluid of covid patients , Harthi said.

    It’s unclear whether the pathologies seen in these autopsies could also occur in patients with mild cases, or long-term symptoms. Goldman declined to speculate. These patients, many of whom were admitted to intensive care, had died of severe covid-19.

    “This is a series of a small subset of patients, so there’s a selection issue,” Thakur said. But with that caveat and others — variants are spreading that weren’t in the initial wave of the pandemic, for example — she said the results are suggestive that the virus “isn’t entering and propagating and infecting the brain.

    The scientists are working on a follow-up study examining the brains of patients who had covid and recovered but later died. Those observations should help settle whether brains in very sick patients resemble brains in other cases.

    [..,]

    Compared with almost all other diseases, covid-19 has been studied with unprecedented focus. [...]

    The scientists used tools not typically applied across the brain.

    We’ve already started to look at the brains of patients that don’t have covid” but died of other severe lung diseases, Canoll said. They are seeing pathological changes reminiscent of what they detected in brains from people who died of covid.

    [...]

    Joanna Hellmuth, a cognitive neurologist at the UCSF Memory and Aging Center, said she hears the same story repeatedly from previously healthy young adults who tell her that after even a mild case of covid: “My brain doesn’t work like it used to.”

    Hellmuth said cognitive impairment is showing up in people who measure well in mood testing, suggesting their symptoms are not caused by depression or another psychiatric problem. She has seen similar patterns caused by other viruses

    #neurologie #covid-19 #auto-anticorps

  • #Covid case, death and hospitalization rates adjusted for unvaccinated people - Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/interactive/2021/covid-rates-unvaccinated-people

    The rosy national figures showing declining case numbers led the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to loosen mask recommendations last week and President Biden to advise people to take off their masks and smile.

    But adjustments for #vaccinations show the rate among susceptible, unvaccinated people is 69 percent higher than the standard figures being publicized. With that adjustment, the national death rate is roughly the same as it was two months ago and is barely inching down. The adjusted hospitalization rate is as high as it was three months ago. The case rate is still declining after the adjustment.

    #masques

  • CDC says fully vaccinated people may travel - The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2021/04/02/cdc-fully-vaccinated-may-travel

    Fully vaccinated people are at low-risk from travel, CDC says
    Updated guidance reflects studies showing how vaccines help protect against coronavirus infections.
    Federal health officials said fully vaccinated people may travel as evidence mounts of the shots’ effectiveness at helping to protect against coronavirus infections and their spread.But the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said that even though fully vaccinated individuals are at lower risk of infection, travel is still not recommended due to the rising number of cases in the United States and globally.The long-awaited guidance is still welcome news for the growing number of vaccinated adults who want greater freedom to visit family members and take vacations for the first time in a year. It is also expected to help boost the travel and airline industries that have been seeking a relaxation of the restrictions.The agency updated its guidance because of several newly released studies documenting the strong real-world effectiveness of coronavirus vaccines, and the rapid pace of vaccinations, now close to 3 million people a day. On Friday, the United States surpassed the milestone of 100 million people getting at least one shot.
    But CDC Director Rochelle Walensky cautioned in a White House briefing Friday that while fully vaccinated people can now travel at low risk to themselves, “I would advocate against general travel overall. Our guidance is silent on recommending or not recommending fully vaccinated people travel. Our guidance speaks to the safety of doing so." (...)
    For international travel, fully vaccinated people do not need to be tested before they leave the United States unless it is required by the destination, the guidance says. For their return to the United States, fully vaccinated people should get tested and have a negative result before they board an international flight back to the United States. And they should also be tested three to five days after arrival back in the United States. Nearly 40 percent of all adults have received at least one dose of a vaccine and more than 1 in 5 adults are now fully vaccinated, including more than half of seniors, according to the CDC. On Friday, the United States is expected to pass the milestone of 100 million people getting at least one dose.

    #Covid-19#migrant#migration#etatsunis#sante#vaccination#voyageaerien#retour#test

  • Coronavirus kills far more Hispanic and Black children than White youths, CDC study finds - The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/09/15/covid-deaths-hispanic-black-children

    The coronavirus is killing Hispanic, Black and American Indian children at much higher numbers than their White peers, according to federal statistics released Tuesday.
    The numbers — the most comprehensive U.S. accounting to date of pediatric infections and fatalities — show there have been 391,814 known cases and 121 deaths among people under the age of 21 from February to July.Of those killed by covid-19, the illness caused by the coronavirus, more than 75 percent have been Hispanic, Black and American Indian children, even though they represent 41 percent of the U.S. population, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The federal agency collected data from health departments throughout the country.The disproportionate deaths among youths echo pandemic disparities well-documented among adults. Previous studies have found the virus’s death toll is twice as high among people of color under age 65 as for White Americans. People of color also disproportionately make up “excess deaths” — those killed by the virus without being diagnosed or those killed indirectly by the virus’s wide effects on the health-care system. The racial disparities among children are in some ways even more stark. Of the children and teens killed, 45 percent were Hispanic, 29 Black and 4 percent American Indian. “This is the strongest evidence yet that there are deep racial disparities in children just like there are in adults,” said John Williams, chief of pediatric infectious diseases at UPMC Children’s Hospital of Pittsburgh. “What that should mean for people is steps like wearing a mask are not just about protecting your family and yourself. It is about racial equity.”

    #Covid-19#migrant#migration#etatsunis#sante#minorité#inegalite#accessante#race#surmortalite

  • Why U.S. hospitals don’t have enough ventilators - The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/03/18/ventilator-shortage-hospital-icu-coronavirus

    Other governments have rushed to stock up on ventilators. The United Kingdom has asked Rolls-Royce Holdings, which makes jet engines, and other heavy manufacturers to make ventilators. Germany ordered 10,000 ventilators with Dragerwerk AG, which Dow Jones said was the company’s largest order ever.

    In the United States, Trump told state officials on a conference call that states and local governments should procure their own equipment. “Respirators, ventilators, all of the equipment — try getting it yourselves,” Trump told the governors, according to the New York Times, which first reported the call.

    #incurie #etats-unis #santé_publique #respirateurs

  • Shutdowns prevented 60 million coronavirus infections in the U.S., study finds - The Washington Post

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/06/08/shutdowns-prevented-60-million-coronavirus-infections-us-study-finds

    Shutdown orders prevented about 60 million novel coronavirus infections in the United States and 285 million in China, according to a research study published Monday that examined how stay-at-home orders and other restrictions limited the spread of the contagion.

    A separate study from epidemiologists at Imperial College London estimated the shutdowns saved about 3.1 million lives in 11 European countries, including 500,000 in the United Kingdom, and dropped infection rates by an average of 82 percent, sufficient to drive the contagion well below epidemic levels.

    The two reports, published simultaneously Monday in the journal Nature, used completely different methods to reach similar conclusions. They suggest that the aggressive and unprecedented shutdowns, which caused massive economic disruptions and job losses, were effective at halting the exponential spread of the novel coronavirus.

    #coronavirus #confinement

  • Hydroxychloroquine drug touted by Trump linked to increased risk of death, study says - The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/05/22/hydroxychloroquine-coronavirus-study

    A study of 96,000 hospitalized coronavirus patients on six continents found that those who received an antimalarial drug promoted by President Trump as a “game changer” in the fight against the virus had a significantly higher risk of death compared with those who did not.

    People treated with hydroxychloroquine, or the closely related drug chloroquine, were also more likely to develop a type of irregular heart rhythm, or arrhythmia, that can lead to sudden cardiac death, it concluded.

    The study, published Friday in the medical journal the Lancet, is the largest analysis to date of the risks and benefits of treating covid-19 patients with antimalarial drugs. It is based on a retrospective analysis of medical records, not a controlled study in which patients are divided randomly into treatment groups — a method considered the gold standard of medicine. But the sheer size of the study was convincing to some scientists.

    “It’s one thing not to have benefit, but this shows distinct harm,” said Eric Topol, a cardiologist and director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute. “If there was ever hope for this drug, this is the death of it.”

    Hydroxychloroquine or chloroquine with or without a macrolide for treatment of COVID-19: a multinational registry analysis - The Lancet
    https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)31180-6/fulltext

    96 032 patients (mean age 53·8 years, 46·3% women) with COVID-19 were hospitalised during the study period and met the inclusion criteria. Of these, 14 888 patients were in the treatment groups (1868 received chloroquine, 3783 received chloroquine with a macrolide, 3016 received hydroxychloroquine, and 6221 received hydroxychloroquine with a macrolide) and 81 144 patients were in the control group. 10 698 (11·1%) patients died in hospital. After controlling for multiple confounding factors (age, sex, race or ethnicity, body-mass index, underlying cardiovascular disease and its risk factors, diabetes, underlying lung disease, smoking, immunosuppressed condition, and baseline disease severity), when compared with mortality in the control group (9·3%), hydroxychloroquine (18·0%; hazard ratio 1·335, 95% CI 1·223–1·457), hydroxychloroquine with a macrolide (23·8%; 1·447, 1·368–1·531), chloroquine (16·4%; 1·365, 1·218–1·531), and chloroquine with a macrolide (22·2%; 1·368, 1·273–1·469) were each independently associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality. Compared with the control group (0·3%), hydroxychloroquine (6·1%; 2·369, 1·935–2·900), hydroxychloroquine with a macrolide (8·1%; 5·106, 4·106–5·983), chloroquine (4·3%; 3·561, 2·760–4·596), and chloroquine with a macrolide (6·5%; 4·011, 3·344–4·812) were independently associated with an increased risk of de-novo ventricular arrhythmia during hospitalisation.

    #fin_de_partie

    • Medicus (@MedicusFR) sur Touiteur :

      https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1263837955107565570.html

      L’étude observationnelle du Lancet est une mine d’or.
      J’ai beaucoup de choses à dire dessus. Le thread va être un peu long.
      Mais tout d’abord : IL FAUT ARRETER TOUS LES ESSAIS AVEC L’HYDROXYCHLOROQUINE.
      Il devient clair que ce traitement tue + de gens !

      https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)31180-6/fulltext

      Je ne vais pas être le seul à le demander. Il n’est pas éthique de continuer un traitement qui augmente à ce point la mortalité et qui en plus n’a AUCUNE efficacité.
      Les autorités de santé doivent faire arrêter la majorité des essais avec ce produit.

      https://twitter.com/GaetanBurgio/status/1263820515891752960

      Tout d’abord sur la méthodologie. 96 000 patients. Les données viennent des registre de plusieurs centaines d’hôpitaux sur 6 continents. On a une étude en vie réelle.
      C’est une mine d’or pour la recherche.
      Publié dans le Lancet. Qui est un journal avec un haut facteur d’impact.

      C’est autre chose que les articles d’essai sauvage publié sur dropbox ou l’étude de Perrone retiré par les autres auteurs tellement ils avaient honte d’apparaître sur un tel torchon.

      L’étude donne beaucoup d’informations.
      Je ne pourrais pas tout expliquer. Mais je vais faire un résumé des points intéressants. D’autres comptes comme @FZores @SagittariusHH ou @Damkyan_Omega feront aussi des analyses je l’espère. Suivez les.

      Le critère principal de cette étude était de vérifier le taux de mortalité des patients prenant de l’HCQ seul ou avec l’AZTH. Et de vérifier l’impact sur les troubles du rythme cardiaque.

      L’étude va également permettre de donner plusieurs signaux d’intérêt. On ne peut pas conclure sur ces signaux mais ils devraient guider les prochains essais cliniques sur médicament.
      Essais qui ont été embolisés par la mystification hydroxychloroquine.

      On va donc parler du critère principal.
      L’hydroxychloroquine seul ou associé augmente la mortalité des patients covid19. Et pas qu’un peu.

      En données plus visuelles, on voit que l’hydroxychloroquine augmente nettement et significativement la mortalité. Et c’est encore pire en l’associant à un macrolide.
      Bravo la #FranceBasedMedicine.

      Le visuel montre également qu’une maladie cardiaque est un facteur de risque de surmortalité. Donc avoir donné un médicament ayant une toxicité cardiaque aux patients Covid19 ne vaudra pas le prix Nobel à EssaiClinix. Plutot le prix Darwin.

      Ca ne fera jamais que 2 mois que les scientifiques de ma TL alerte sur ce risque.
      La prochaine étape sera d’obtenir une étude pour connaitre la surmortalité chez les 10 000 patients ayant pris ce traitement en France.
      @ansm @ordre_medecins devront expliquer leur inaction

      L’étude montre également un augmentation significative du risque de troubles du rythme cardiaque avec ce médicament.
      Les centres de @Reseau_CRPV ont eu le même signal.
      @ansm ferme les yeux sur EssaiClinix depuis 2 mois, alors que @Reseau_CRPV tire la sonnette d’alarme.

      Il y a 2 mois, la première étude aurait du valoir un licenciement immédiat et un démantèlement de l’IHU de Marseille. Au lieu de cela, @EmmanuelMacron a été félicité EssaiClinix pour ses violations de protocole.

      https://twitter.com/MedicusFR/status/1241714810183655427

      Ne pas avoir réagi immédiatement en faisant respecter la Loi Jardé a pour conséquence une surmortalité.
      La crise Covid19 montre que la France se complait à tolérer les essais sauvages.
      La sécurité des patients n’est pas assuré par @ansm et @ordre_medecins

      Passons aux signaux d’intérêt.
      L’étude montre que les anticholestérols (les statines) et certains antihypertenseurs auraient un effet protecteur en stabilisant la fonction cardiaque.
      Ca fait 1 mois qu’on parle de ce signal avec @FZores @EricBillyFR et @Damkyan_Omega.

      Malheureusement cet axe de recherche est complètement noyé par la mystification chloroquine. Il n’y aura donc pas eu d’essais cliniques sur ces axes alors que les signaux sont d’intérêt.
      Parfait exemple que la chloroquine nous a fait perdre du temps et des ressources.

      Cette étude confirme aussi l’intérêt de développer des intelligences artificielles pour passer au crible en temps réel les données des hôpitaux afin de dégager le plus rapidement possible des signaux et axes de recherche.
      Cette étude, intéressante, arrive tard.

      Sur la base de ces résultats, il y a des questions que les cardiologues et les médecins vont devoir se poser :
      – Intérêt de remplacer les antihypertenseurs par des IEC (autre hypertenseurs) durant l’épidémie chez les patients prenant ces traitements.
      – Intérêt de mettre les patients à risque (notamment selon l’âge) sous statines en prévention primaire.
      – Intérêt d’utiliser une association statines-IEC chez les patients admis à l’hôpital
      Attention : ce sont des pistes de réflexion. Il faut des essais cliniques pour confirmer

      Enfin, compte tenu de la porte d’entrée du virus, la question d’utiliser les IEC en prévention doit aussi être analysé. Une poignée d’étude est en cours.
      https://twitter.com/MedicusFR/status/1256698468699078661

      Bilan ? La méthode scientifique est l’outil le plus performant pour nous protéger et éviter de prendre de mauvaises décisions.
      Court-circuiter la méthode est le plus sûr moyen de compter des morts.

      Epilogue (je vous l’ai dit, l’étude est dense).
      Vous vous souvenez aussi peut être de ces Pr de Médecine en France expliquant que la cigarette protégeait contre covid19. Cette annonce a créé une ruée sur les patchs Nicotine.
      L’étude montre que les fumeurs sont en surmortalité.

    • Eric Topol sur Touiteur :
      https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1263811764287725574

      Just published @TheLancet
      The largest study of hydroxychloroquine shows a significant increase in death (~35%) and >2-fold increase of serious heart arrhythmias. ~96,000 patients, ~15,000 on HCQ or CQ from 671 hospitals, 6 continents.
      https://marlin-prod.literatumonline.com/pb-assets/Lancet/pdfs/S0140673620311806.pdf

      It’s no longer that hydroxychloroquine has no sign of efficacy—it is associated with an increase in mortality.
      This is not a randomized trial but larger than all the preceding 10 studies and 3 randomized trials in aggregate.
      Chloroquine was even worse for risk than HCQ.

      The significant increase in deaths among HCQ of CQ treated patients cannot be directly attributed to the 2-5 fold increase in ventricular tachycardia (a malignant arrhythmia) but that must be playing a role.

      Extensive coverage of the results @washingtonpost
      https://washingtonpost.com/health/2020/05/22/hydroxychloroquine-coronavirus-study… by
      @arianaeunjung and @lauriemcginley2

      HCQ failed efficacy in the spectrum of mild to severe #COVID19, but now the higher mortality & VT in hospitalized patients (where arrhythmias get Dx’d and treated) raises 2 questions:
      1. Is it ethical to proceed with ongoing RCTs?
      2. How can the drug be given to outpatients?

      Just 2 footnotes
      1. This report is >6X the N of Rx’d patients cumulatively reported on cf prior studies (includes 3=RCTs)
      2. The addition of a macrolide antibiotic (1 of which was azithromycin) added substantially to risk of ventricular tachycardia: HCQ 2.3X-> H+M 5.1X risk

    • Eric Feigl-Ding sur touiteur (je ne mets que les paragraphes les plus intéressants, il y a évidemment beaucoup de redites avec les threads précédents) :
      https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1263814135818719236

      11) For those given hydroxychloroquine, there was 34% increase in risk of mortality & 137% increased risk of serious heart arrhythmias. For those receiving hydroxychloroquine +antibiotic — there was 45% increased risk of death & 411% increased risk of serious heart arrhythmias.

      12) “Those given chloroquine had a 37% increased risk of death and a 256% increased risk of serious heart arrhythmias. For those taking chloroquine and an antibiotic, there was a 37% increased risk of death and a 301% increased risk of serious heart arrhythmias.”

      13) Clarification of “increased risk” nomenclature: hazard ratio of 5.0 denotes “inc risk by 5x” (drug user risk = 5*non user risk), or can also be described as a “400% increased risk of outcome”. In 1st post, I used the 5x language, which is same as 400% inc risk of X language.

      […]

      19) BOTTOMLINE: this study demonstrating CQ & HCQ increasing risk of death is an epic body of work representing amazing collaboration of 671 hospitals. Though not trial, it’s hospital registry data that is quite strong longitudinal design.

      ⇨ Do NOT take HCQ or CQ at this time!

    • quelques calculs de coin de table :
      • un IMC augmenté de 5, c’est comme être noir par rapport à être blanc : +35% de risque
      • 20 ans de plus, c’est un peu moins qu’être fumeur actif : +22% (+27%)
      • 40 ans de plus, c’être être hispano-américain par rapport à être blanc : +48% de risque
      • le plus gros effet qualitatif (en dehors d’âge et IMC qui sont quantitatifs continus) et de loin ! : être sous IEC (inhibiteur de l’enzyme de conversion, médicament contre l’hypertension), ça rajeunit de 57 ans…, ou ça fait perdre 9,3 points d’IMC…

  • Government report predicts #coronavirus cases will surge to 200,000 a day by June 1 - The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/government-report-predicts-covid-19-cases-will-reach-200000-a-day-by-june-1/2020/05/04/02fe743e-8e27-11ea-a9c0-73b93422d691_story.html

    Mais comme ce n’est pas du tout confirmé (c’est même complètement infirmé) par le « modèle cubique » de son conseiller, économiste de son état, #Trump a choisi de passer outre,

    ... People with knowledge of that model say it shows deaths dropping precipitously in May — and essentially going to zero by May 15.

    #réalités #états-unis

  • Researchers find that more people died from opioid deaths than reported - The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/02/28/opioid-deaths

    Opioid-related overdoses could be 28 percent higher than reported because of incomplete death records, researchers found in a study published Thursday.

    More than 400,000 people in the United States have died of opioid overdoses since the turn of the century, a quarter of them in just the past six years. But University of Rochester researchers found that between 1999 and 2016, about 100,000 more people died from opioids who were not accounted for — potentially obscuring the scope of the opioid epidemic and affecting funding for government programs intended to confront it, Elaine Hill, an economist and senior author of the study, told The Washington Post.

    The discrepancies were most pronounced in several states, including Alabama, Mississippi, Pennsylvania, Louisiana and Indiana.
    We thought we would find underreporting, but we were definitely not prepared to find how spatially determined it is,” Hill said.

    • The researchers found that the records were least consistent in poorer communities. On average, the people whose records were not counted were white females in the 30 to 60 age range.
      The incorrect records could be attributed to several factors, Hill said. Limited resources in counties can delay toxicology reports, limit drug testing and even prevent the completion of autopsies.

    • Seul le résumé est accessible

      Using contributing causes of death improves prediction of opioid involvement in unclassified drug overdoses in US death records - Boslett - - Addiction - Wiley Online Library
      https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/add.14943

      Abstract
      Background and Aims

      A substantial share of fatal drug overdoses is missing information on specific drug involvement, leading to under‐reporting of opioid‐related death rates and a misrepresentation of the extent of the opioid epidemic. We aimed to compare methodological approaches to predicting opioid involvement in unclassified drug overdoses in US death records and to estimate the number of fatal opioid overdoses from 1999 to 2016 using the best‐performing method.

      Design
      This was a secondary data analysis of the universe of drug overdoses in 1999–2016 obtained from the National Center for Health Statistics Detailed Multiple Cause of Death records.

      Setting
      United States.

      Cases
      A total of 632 331 drug overdose decedents. Drug overdoses with known drug classification comprised 78.2% of the cases (n = 494 316) and unclassified drug overdoses (ICD‐10 T50.9) comprised 21.8% (n = 138 015).

      Measurements
      Known opioid involvement was defined using ICD‐10 codes T40.0–40.4 and T40.6, recorded in the set of contributing causes. Opioid involvement in unclassified drug overdoses was predicted using multiple methodological approaches: logistic regression and machine learning techniques, inclusion/exclusion of contributing causes of death and inclusion/exclusion of county‐level characteristics. Having selected the model with the highest predictive ability, we calculated corrected estimates of opioid‐related mortality.

      Findings
      Logistic regression and random forest models performed similarly. Including contributing causes substantially improved predictive accuracy, while including county characteristics did not. Using a superior prediction model, we found that 71.8% of unclassified drug overdoses in 1999–2016 involved opioids, translating into 99 160 additional opioid‐related deaths, or approximately 28% more than reported. Importantly, there was a striking geographic variation in undercounting of opioid overdoses.

      Conclusions
      In modeling opioid involvement in unclassified drug overdoses, highest predictive accuracy is achieved using a statistical model—either logistic regression or a random forest ensemble—with decedent characteristics and contributing causes of death as predictors.

  • Infants born in the U.S. Delta region had the highest infant mortality rate - The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2019/09/25/closer-look-infant-mortality-two-most-impoverished-us-regions

    “The most dangerous of wealthy nations for a child to be born into.” That’s how global health researchers characterized the United States in a January 2018 report published in Health Affairs that sounded alarm bells about the country’s high infant mortality rate.

    #etats-unis #mortalité_infantile #ocde #inégalités #santé #enfants