The story behind the coronavirus ’flatten the curve’ chart
▻https://www.fastcompany.com/90476143/the-story-behind-flatten-the-curve-the-defining-chart-of-the-coronaviru
After ‘Flatten the Curve’, we must now ‘Stop the Spread’. Here’s what that means
/after-flatten-the-curve-we-must-now-sto
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“The difficulty with these diagrams is showing uncertainty. Even though it’s a diagram of a concept and not a model from real data, it’s easy for people to interpret it as a precise prediction, as it looks like a chart and we’re used to charts being precise,” says Pearce. “Once you’ve drawn these shapes, they look authoritative, even if they’re intended to be illustrative. That’s why I keep as close to the CDC’s as I could.”
Avec la question à 10 000 morts, qui fait toute la différence : à quelles hauteurs se situent les pics des 2 options et la ligne horizontale ?
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After ‘Flatten the Curve’, we must now ‘Stop the Spread’. Here’s what that means | The Spinoff
▻https://thespinoff.co.nz/society/14-03-2020/after-flatten-the-curve-we-must-now-stop-the-spread-heres-what-that-meIf all these measures aren’t able to slow things down enough, then we’ll need to take more drastic action. That could be anything from as many people as possible working from home, and stopping all large gatherings, to a full-on lock down like China and Italy have had to resort to.
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Taiwan, Singapore, and South Korea are examples of #StopTheSpread. They’ve all used slightly different strategies which we can learn from. But they acted quickly, with no half measures. We need to be prepared to do the same at the first sign of community transmission.
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La ligne horizontale est déjà une simplification. Qui part du principe que l’hôpital ne s’éssoufle pas et ne s’adapte pas. La courbe sous laquelle il faut passer est plutôt une vague qui continue à l’horizontal. #limbo
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