« Look at Table 5. First it’s amazing to see a paper w/ >1,100 vented #Covid19 pts. But of these 1151 vented pts, *at a median follow-up time of 4.5d* only 38 went home, 282 died, while 831 were still hospitalized. 282/(38+282) = 88% mortality. But thats *quite* misleading👇(4/x)… https://t.co/90WWJE8rF6 »

John W Scott, MD MPH sur Twitter : “Look at Table 5. First it’s amazing to see a paper w/ >1,100 vented #Covid19 pts. But of these 1151 vented pts, at a median follow-up time of 4.5d only 38 went home, 282 died, while 831 were still hospitalized. 282/(38+282) = 88% mortality. But thats quite misleading👇(4/x) ▻https://t.co/za3S6qEBFj” / Twitter
▻https://twitter.com/DrJohnScott/status/1253284903602528256

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EWSJFiEXgAE-hWk?format=jpg&name=large#.jpg

A better conclusion?
– “Among the 1,151 pts who were mechanically ventilated, at a median follow up of 4.5 days, 3% had gone home, 25% had died, & 72% were still in the hospital”.
– “The eventual mortaily rate will thus range between 25% (282/1151) and 97% (1113/1151).” (5/7)

Still alarming, sure. But to put those numbers in context, let’s remember that good ole fashioned ARDS has pretty frightening mortality. For mild, mod, severe ARDS the mortality is around 25%, 35%, 45%. Its likely much higher in ARDS from #Covid19, but we don’t know yet.(6/7)