Cable : 1975JIDDA02425_b

/1975JIDDA02425_b.html

  • Cable : 1975JIDDA02425_b
    3 avril 1975 : COMMENTS ON ESTIMATES FOR MIDDLE EAST WAR
    From : Saudi Arabia Jeddah
    https://www.wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/1975JIDDA02425_b.html

    SUMMARY : IN FEAR OF AN ISRAELI MILITARY MOVE EGYPT AND SYRIA MIGHT TRY TO PERSUADE SAUDI ARABIA TO PRESSURE USG AND CUT BACK PRODUCTION. WE THINK SAG UNLIEKLY TO COOPERATE AT LEAST THIS YEAR. OIL BOYCOTT CERTAIN IF WAR COMES AND WE GIVE MASSIVE SUPPORT TO ISRAEL ; IF WE DO NOT, AND IF ARABS DO REASONABLY WELL, CHANCES OF AVOIDING IT WILL DEPEND ON CARROTS AND STICKS GIVEN AMBASSADOR AND ON HIS SKILL IN USING THEM.

    IN STAGE OF PRELIMINARY TENSION BEFORE EITHER PARTY MIGHT START A WAR, SAG MAY INFORM US THAT ISRAEL CAN BE BROUGHT TO THE PEACE TABLE ONLY IF THE U.S. IS WILLING TO CONSIDER CUTTING AID OR MILITARY RESUPPLY. IN THIS CASE, SAG COULD WAR U.S. AND THEN START TO APPLY PRESSURE VIA PRODUCTION CUTBACKS. SAG MIGHT NOT OPPOSE, EVEN THOUGH IT WOULD BE UNLIKELY TO ORIGINATE, USE OF FINANCIAL POWER OR PRICE HIKES DURING PERIODS OF HEIGHTENING TENSION. WHETHER OR NOT WE WANT TO MAKE ANY CONNECTION BETWEEN MIDDLE EAST PEACE AND PRICE OF OIL, RECENT STATEMENTS BY CROWN PRINCE FAHD AND MINISTER OF STATE SAUD TEND TO PUT FUTURE OIL PRICES IN THIS CONTEXT. END SUMMARY.

    Le câble évoque le « thème Percy », mention du sénateur Charles Percy, qui soutenait l’idée que les États-Unis, en soutenant aveuglément les actions les plus contestables d’Israël, s’isolait sur la scène internationale et dans le monde arabe.

    #kissinger_cables