M of A - Erdogan Is Toast
▻http://www.moonofalabama.org/2013/06/erdogan-is-toast.html#more
There are now four possible ways out of these troubles:
The protests run out of steam and peter out. Unlikely in my view, especially as the labor unions are now joining.
Erdogan becomes a humble man, stops the Taksim square project and apologizes. This would be counter to everything that is know about Erdogan’s personality and seems unlikely.
The military launches a coup. It is dubious that a majority of Turks would support another coup and the military might not be willing to take on the burden. Why not just sit back, simply watch the show and smile?
Some faction in Erodgan’s AKP launches a party coup against him and put him out of office.
For now my bet is on the third alternative. But it will take a while. More clashes - maybe even outright shootings, more economic damage, more political strife will happen before someone dares to take the sultan down. The process could take weeks or months. But however it ends Erdogan will, in the end, lose out. There is no going back. He is toast.