/s

The sharing economy is now a playground for #Wall_Street
▻http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/62f2737e-6210-11e5-9846-de406ccb37f2.html#axzz3mmZGEMoE

These days, four-fifths of the finance on P2P platforms comes from institutions, such as hedge funds, or arms of the established banks.

“#économie_de_partage”

L’Europe débloque un milliard pour « retenir » les réfugiés près de chez eux

Lors du sommet extraordinaire qui s’est tenu mercredi 23 septembre à Bruxelles, les dirigeants européens ont validé la décision de se répartir, en deux ans, 120 000 demandeurs d’asile arrivés en Grèce et en Italie. Ils ont débloqué un milliard d’euros pour le HCR et le Programme alimentaire mondial, et pour aider le Liban, la Jordanie et la Turquie.

▻http://www.mediapart.fr/journal/international/240915/l-europe-debloque-un-milliard-pour-retenir-les-refugies-pres-de-chez-eux?o
#externalisation #asile #réfugiés #migrations #Europe #politique_migratoire #PAM

Alors que la presse occidentale persiste à discuter d’un “possible soutien militaire russe” au président Bachar el-Assad, et nous sert des pseudos analyses telles François Heisbourg, éminent géopoliticien – “indépendant” ? on ne sait pas trop : voir l’épisode sur ses affirmations quant à l’existence d’ ADM en Irak où sa responsabilité est sérieusement engagée - hier soir sur France Inter ▻http://www.franceinter.fr/emission-un-jour-dans-le-monde, bien “aiguillé” par le serveur de soupe Nicolas Demorand.

Bref : Il semble que les Occidentaux n’ont toujours pas compris les conséquences de leur politique, et ne soient prêts à reconnaitre leur responsabilité criminelle.

Mais voilà tout de même notre MAE qui nous apprend que maintenant, le président syrien ( élu démocratiquement, et soutenu d’après les enquêtes par 70% du peuple) aurait, le droit de vivre encore !!!!!
On admire la formulation :
“La question qui se pose est la suivante : quelles sont les perspectives ? Doit-on dire au peuple syrien que M. Bachar al-Assad détiendra le pouvoir exécutif au cours des quinze prochaines années ? Si on dit cela, il n’y a pas de solution possible. Entre dire cela et exiger le départ immédiat de M. Bachar al-Assad, il y a une marge. Cela s’appelle la diplomatie.” - Audition de Laurent Fabius au sénat, 9 septembre 2015.
La diplomatie ! Comme ça,...tout d’un coup !!!
Rien à voir avec l’infléchissement de la position des USA et son approbation implicite del’initiative de l’OTSC ‘’(toujours à appelée : “l’initiative russe”)
..... Non non...!!!
L’analyse emberlificotée de Denis Sieffert, dans son édito de jeudi dernier, semble faire écho au propos officiel, et nous montre à quel point – je ne mettrai pas une seconde en doute l’indépendance du journaliste- même les plus éminents peuvent se faire embarquer, proprement dindonner, par cette propagande de guerre, de type néo-coloniale. (Et malheureusement : plus on se laisse bercer par le courant, plus on s’approche des rapides qui nous mènent au pire).
Les leçons de Lénine et Jaurès sont pourtant restées terriblement actuelles, mais la peur de l’opprobre à vouloir y faire référence, ou s’y replonger même timidement, semble la plus forte.
Pourtant en relisant : “ L’impérialisme stade suprême du capitalisme” on est saisi par la modernité, et l’actualité, du texte de Lénine, pourtant écrit dans un contexte beaucoup plus difficile qu’aujourd’hui !. (Voir Ici, c’est gratuit : ▻http://marxiste.fr/lenine/imp.pdf)

Pour aujourd’hui, Le ou les faits essentiels sont que :
l’Organisation du Traité de sécurité collective (OTSC) a décidé de lutter contre le terrorisme en Irak et en Syrie

l’Organisation du Traité de sécurité collective (OTSC)

Regroupe :
La Biélorussie, la Russie, l’Arménie, le Tadjikistan, le Kazakhstan, le Kirghizistan. À la différence de l’Otan et du Pacte de Varsovie, dans lesquels les États membres perdent leur souveraineté (au profit des États-Unis et du Royaume-Uni dans l’Otan, de l’URSS dans le Pacte de Varsovie —ce qui contrevient à la Charte des Nations unies—), les États membres de l’OTSC conservent leur pleine souveraineté, ne placent pas leurs armées sous le commandement de la principale puissance de leur alliance, et peuvent se désolidariser à tout moment de cette alliance [1]. L’Azerbaïdjan, la Géorgie et l’Ouzbékistan se sont ainsi retirés librement de cette organisation pour se tourner vers le Guam [2] et l’Otan.

Donc :

L’OTSC interviendra à partir d’octobre 2015 , à la fois en Irak et en Syrie, contre les individus classés comme « terroristes » par l’Onu, à savoir al-Qaïda, Daesh et tous les groupes qui se sont alliés à eux.

L’OTSC ne cherche pas à venir en aide à Haïder al-Abadi ou à Bachar el-Assad, mais est directement menacée par les jihadistes.

Les jihadistes ne sont pas en mesure de résister longuement à une alliance internationale si celle-ci inclut l’Irak et la Syrie.

Les États-Unis, qui ont déjà mené secrètement une vaste opération conjointe avec l’Armée arabe syrienne à Hassaké, sont prêts à un accord avec l’OTSC.
Leurs alliés britanniques et français sont prêts à renoncer à renverser la République arabe syrienne.

Perplexing failure of Europe’s centre-left - FT.com
▻http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/40c1903a-5dee-11e5-9846-de406ccb37f2.html#ixzz3mPAMd2xG

Would centre-left parties do better if they shifted back to the left? The election of Jeremy Corbyn as leader of the British Labour party may herald such a shift. But Britain is not bound to the eurozone consensus. It takes only a change in government to change policy, whereas in the eurozone it would take a treaty change — or more likely a revolution. It is far from clear that today’s centre-left parties will emerge as the agents of change. I suspect not.

#social-démocratie #gauche

Egypt gas discovery could become one of the world’s largest natural-gas finds: #ENI

Egypt aims to reach self-sufficiency with natural gas within 5 years as a result of Eni’s discovery, as well as other possible findings, according to a petroleum ministry spokesperson

▻http://english.ahram.org.eg/News/139260.aspx
#gas_naturel #énergie #Egypte
cc @albertocampiphoto

La #précarité, dit-on beaucoup, est la condition préalable pour retrouver la « #croissance » mais disparaît progressivement une fois cette dernière installée,

2013 :
En Espagne, plus d’#emplois, mais plus de précarité
▻http://www.lemonde.fr/economie/article/2013/07/01/en-espagne-plus-d-emplois-mais-plus-de-precarite_3439709_3234.html

http://s1.lemde.fr/image/2012/01/16/600x315/1630394_3_654e_a-peine-7-des-1-28-million-de-contrats_56fec4f8edf7913d3bdcb215ab5decd1.jpg

L’Espagne va mieux. C’est en tout cas le message qu’a essayé de faire passer le gouvernement de Mariano Rajoy en annonçant les chiffres du chômage pour mai : près de 100 000 sans-emploi de moins qu’un mois plus tôt. Un recul inédit depuis le début de la crise.

Mais la « récupération de l’emploi » s’accompagne d’une augmentation des contrats précaires. Un an et demi après la réforme du marché du travail et quelques mois après l’annonce d’un plan pour l’entrepreneuriat et contre le chômage des jeunes, le début de la « reprise », si reprise il y a, passe par les emplois saisonniers et les contrats à temps partiel.

A peine 7 % des 1,28 million de contrats signés en mai sont de période indéterminée, soit 95 800. Et non seulement ce type de contrats se raréfie (2 500 de moins en mai par rapport à avril), mais près de 40 % sont à temps partiel.

Deux ans plus tard,
New world of work : political cost of Spain’s recovery - FT.com
▻http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/036e760c-1b50-11e5-8201-cbdb03d71480.html#axzz3iE5s4cKh

Over the past two years, Spain has won international admiration for turning around its once-shaky economy. At the height of the crisis, Madrid pushed through unpopular austerity measures and painful economic reforms, including a sweeping overhaul of the labour market.

Wage costs fell and exports boomed, allowing the rest of the economy to recover as well.

Employers and business leaders said reform helped companies regain competitiveness lost during the boom years. Spain is now on course to grow by more than 3 per cent this year, twice as fast as Germany, and jobless numbers are falling at last.

The price of that recovery, however, is a notable rise in the number of workers who labour in precarious conditions.

The share of workers in temporary employment, which fell in the downturn partly because of their vulnerability, is still lower than before the crisis but is on the rise again.

In July, the Spanish unemployment roll dropped by 74,000, the best July since 1998. But of the 1.8 million labour contracts that were signed during the month, only 6.9 per cent of the contracts were for permanent positions. Despite the reforms, Spain’s two-tier labour market remains entrenched.

Fears grow as Ukraine rightwing militia puts Kiev in its sights - FT.com
▻http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/7925dacc-369c-11e5-bdbb-35e55cbae175.html

But fears are growing that Right Sector — the only major volunteer battalion Kiev has not yet managed to bring under regular army control — could turn its fire on the new government itself.
Dmytro Yarosh, Right Sector’s leader, called late last month for a nationwide no-confidence referendum in President Petro Poroshenko. He was addressing a rally in Kiev of up to 5,000 Right Sector activists, angry over what they say is the government’s slow progress in fighting corruption and excessive concessions to Moscow as it attempts to reach a settlement over eastern Ukraine.
“We are an organised revolutionary force that is opening the new phase of the Ukrainian revolution,” Mr Yarosh told the rally.
[…]
Russian officials and media have long demonised Right Sector as neo-Nazis who, they claim, were the real driving force behind Ukraine’s revolution. Moscow media’s obsession led some Ukrainian officials to suggest privately that Right Sector might have been penetrated by Russian intelligence as a subversive “project” aimed at undermining the government.
Now some Ukrainians who previously dismissed the threat posed by Right Sector are growing nervous.
“[Right Sector] have been mainly a problem for Ukraine’s image in the west, but now there is added concern because they have turned against the government,” said Andreas Umland, a German academic based in Kiev who studies the far right. “But they don’t yet have the political support or firepower to topple the government, and they know this.”
Popular support for the group remains low, although a poll found it had risen from 1.8 per cent last October to 5.4 per cent by July.

Why comics and cartoons are flourishing in the Middle East
▻http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/26a80334-31fa-11e5-91ac-a5e17d9b4cff.html

In one cartoon, Sisi titters as he signs a law introducing life sentences for anyone found “guilty” of receiving foreign funding while on his desk sits a huge bag of dollars from the US government, which for decades has paid for Egypt’s tanks and warplanes.

Return of Ukraine fighters alarms Russia - FT.com
▻http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/5744a2b0-31e4-11e5-8873-775ba7c2ea3d.html#axzz3gp7CLIGm

Many of his fellow nationalists who travelled to join the rebels in east Ukraine felt similarly, he said. “All the people who travel to Donetsk to help the rebels they don’t necessarily support the Russian authorities — and now these people have military experience,” he said.

While much has been made of the official Russian soldiers in east Ukraine whose presence has been repeatedly denied by Mr Putin, less attention has gone to the scores of Russian volunteer fighters, motivated by nationalism or an itch for adventure.
With the fighting in east Ukraine now largely at a standstill, many are beginning to drift home — a conundrum for Russian authorities who were happy to see them cross the border but are less thrilled to see them return.

Over the past few months, Russia has significantly increased its security on the Ukrainian border.
In late May, Rossiyskaya Gazeta, Russia’s official state newspaper, reported that Russia’s border service had stopped 60 attempts by smugglers to bring illegal weapons into Russia from east Ukraine so far this year, confiscating more than 40 firearms, 6,000 rounds of ammunition and 200 grenades in the process.

Les espoirs anti-Poutine se tournent maintenant vers les anciens combattants des milices nationalistes déçus…

Sinon, une énième confirmation du rôle central du massacre d’Odessa dans l’approfondissement du conflit. Massacre presque toujours effacé ou minimisé dans la presse occidentale. Et pour lequel on attend toujours une enquête présentant le déroulement des faits…

Of this group, Mr Melnikov is likely to be more unusual than most.

While Mr Melnikov was initially a vocal supporter of the anti-government protests on Kiev’s Maidan, by his account this changed in May 2014, after more than 40 pro-Russian activists died by arson in Ukraine’s Odessa. The conflict in his view suddenly became “a war against ethnic Russians”.

EDIT et surtout, l’absence totale de réaction de l’État ukrainien (on rappellera que le Procureur général d’Ukraine était membre du mouvement d’extrême droite Svoboda) interprétée comme une autorisation de tir à vue sur les russophones d’Ukraine.

Ukraine leader attacks Greek ‘disaster’ - FT.com
▻http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/22f31128-2996-11e5-acfb-cbd2e1c81cca.html?siteedition=intl#axzz3fqZEexrA

Ukraine’s prime minister has called Europe’s handling of the Greece crisis a “political disaster”, and said it was already leading to political repercussions for Kiev where opposition is rising to tough reforms required as part of an international bailout.
In an interview with the Financial Times on Monday, Arseniy Yatseniuk bemoaned the fact that Greece was absorbing so much of the world’s attention — and Europe’s financial resources — even as Kiev had to deal with Russian tanks on its soil and was in dire need of more financial help.

“Everyone is so focused on Greece that Ukraine is not the priority. It is not on radars,” he said during a visit to Washington.
[…]
The Greek saga had also complicated his government’s handling of its own crisis, he said, with factions in parliament introducing bills to roll back pension, energy sector and other reforms. In a rare political intervention the International Monetary Fund warned on Sunday that Ukraine’s parliament was risking “reversing economic reforms for the sake of short-term gains”.

Pas un mot sur la loi votée par le Parlement imposant un cours forcé pour le remboursement des dettes (au taux du jour de conclusion de l’emprunt). C’est pourtant l’un des éléments relevés dimanche dans l’intervention du FMI

IMF Warns Proposed Legislation in Ukraine Threatens Reforms - WSJ
▻http://www.wsj.com/articles/imf-warns-proposed-legislation-in-ukraine-threatens-reforms-1436723753

The fund also condemned a separate law passed by parliament earlier this month that would allow Ukrainians to repay foreign currency loans at a more favorable exchange rate, a move some experts have said could collapse the country’s banking system. President Petro Poroshenko has signaled he will veto the foreign-exchange bill.

Failure to agree to bailout increases probability of Grexit - FT.com
▻http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/4fcf0a72-1d0b-11e5-aa5a-398b2169cf79.html#axzz3eJDFTrcD

As I have argued before, this was the only rational decision for the Greek government to take. The programme that was proposed by the creditors would have prolonged the Greek recession by several years. Grexit, a Greek exit from the eurozone, would have more negative economic consequences in the short run. But at least there would be some upside for Greece eventually. The creditors programme was an economic version of Dante’s hell. It would have brought about the total economic destruction of Greece.

#Grèce #euro

The real challenge this week is to save the eurozone - FT.com
▻http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/89a5c52e-1671-11e5-b07f-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3dhM5y2sw

The counter-argument is that Grexit would forge a much closer union among the remaining members. This rather optimistic hypothesis will be tested at this week’s second EU summit. By Friday, we will have a clearer picture because this is when the leaders will discuss the future of the eurozone. I fear that they will fail abysmally.

#Grèce #dette #euro

Greece has nothing to lose by saying no to creditors - FT.com
▻http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/5e38f1be-1116-11e5-9bf8-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3d4fXSHNu

Dans une tribune du Financial Times, Wolfgang Münchau conseille vivement au gouvernement grec de tenir bon, de faire défaut sur la dette et de réinstaurer une monnaie nationale. L’Allemagne et la France en seront pour 160 milliards d’euros et elles l’auront bien cherché...

My conclusion is that the acceptance of the troika’s programme would constitute a dual suicide — for the Greek economy, and for the political career of the Greek prime minister.

#dévaluation #dette #euro

Poll highlights divisions among public on tackling Ukraine crisis - FT.com
▻http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/b28f38ae-0ec3-11e5-848e-00144feabdc0.html

http://im.ft-static.com/content/images/0660e1a2-4962-4f10-a7d4-b60311852eb9.img#.jpg

Barely half of voters in Nato states would support a military response to an attack on an alliance member, according to a 10-country survey that highlights divisions on how to respond to Russia and the Ukraine crisis.
The outbreak of war in Ukraine last year has brought mistrust between Russia and the west to cold-war levels, with the public in Nato countries blaming Moscow for the violence and the Russian public rallying behind Vladimir Putin, their president.

Yet the poll, based on more than 11,000 interviews in 10 countries and conducted by the Pew Research Centre, showed the limits of European public tolerance for an escalation in military support for Ukraine, or indeed for standing by the Nato commitment to mutual defence.
Fewer than half of respondents in the UK, Poland, Spain, France, Italy and Germany would back using force to help defend a Nato ally that was under military threat from Russia.
But in most countries more than two-thirds thought the US would use military force in such an event, although in Poland just 49 per cent thought Washington would intervene.

Sondage Pew Research Center déjà présenté hier, vu par le NYT ▻http://seenthis.net/messages/379352

Repris ici, pour les graphiques. Du bon (bien que les choix de couleurs soient effectués hors de toute sémantique) comme le graphique ci-dessus qui illustre bien le split.

Ou celui-ci sur la perception de la menace

http://im.ft-static.com/content/images/66651b2d-14c8-4e23-81e8-3209cea62cf4.img#.jpg

Et de l’illisible absolu

http://im.ft-static.com/content/images/71bb9b8e-43a2-4c37-8a81-b90e4a4a3cdb.img#.jpg

La BCE commet une faute... et sanctionne la presse !
▻http://www.latribune.fr/economie/union-europeenne/la-bce-commet-une-faute-et-sanctionne-la-presse-477825.html

La BCE est un « trou noir » juridique qui lave son linge sale en famille et, souvent, ne le lave pas. La décision de sanctionner la presse pour une faute commise en interne illustre parfaitement cette volonté de trouver des « boucs émissaires » à un amateurisme qui s’explique aussi par cette absence de responsabilisation. Or, compte tenu du rôle que joue la BCE dans l’économie de la zone euro, ceci devient fort gênant...

#Ukraine debt talks reach boiling point - FT.com
▻http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/0ad2796a-f8d8-11e4-8e16-00144feab7de.html

Ukraine’s $23bn debt restructuring negotiations appeared to reach boiling point late on Tuesday after the government issued a sharply worded statement that questioned the #transparency, responsiveness and #good_faith of a creditors’ committee.
With positions hardening weeks before a planned June deadline to avoid default, the finance ministry of war-torn and recession-battered Ukraine in the statement said it was “concerned about the approach taken by the creditors’ committee representing the country’s external debt holders and their lack of willingness to engage in negotiations.”

Claiming that the creditor committee refused “despite numerous requests” to reveal its membership, the finance ministry stressed that it and debtholders needed by June “to agree on a sustainable debt level and debt service objectives meeting the targets” of an International Monetary Fund programme granted earlier this year.
“The ministry is committed to transparency, responsiveness and good faith negotiations and expects the creditors’ committee to do the same,” Kiev added.
The tough words come amid increasing market expectations that the restructuring talks are likely to stretch on through the summer as Ukraine continues — in the face of creditor disapproval — to demand a #haircut, cuts to the coupon and maturity extensions to free up $15bn over the next four years.
[…]
The committee of creditors declined to comment on the finance ministry statement.
International holders of Ukrainian debt, which include US investor Franklin Templeton, say there is little point in setting final terms for a debt restructuring while the country is fighting a war and its economic situation is in a state of flux. They disagree with Kiev’s insistence that the only way for Ukrainian debt to become sustainable is through a haircut for investors.
Bondholders are promoting an alternative solution that would involve granting an extension to upcoming debt payments.

Saudi Arabia presses with big projects despite oil price fall - FT.com
▻http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/ee9547f0-f32d-11e4-b98f-00144feab7de.html?ftcamp=crm/email/201556/nbe/WorldNews/product#axzz3ZLCh29a4

He said the government had committed to almost 2,600 projects valued at $50bn last year, although it was unclear whether this was an increase on the previous year.

The creation of the council of economic and development affairs, formed by King Salman when he came to the throne in January, would foster quicker decision making and an improved environment for business and investment, said Mr Assaf.

The rise of female entrepreneurs in Lebanon
▻http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/13fb2d64-efd4-11e4-ab73-00144feab7de.html

Très long article sur les femmes et, essentiellement, les startups au Liban. (Pas encore lu.)

Saudi Arabia burns through foreign reserves - FT.com
▻http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/01948d2c-ef49-11e4-a6d2-00144feab7de.html?ftcamp=crm/email/2015430/nbe/WorldNews/product#axzz3Z3zwPLBu

The central bank’s foreign reserves have dropped by $36bn, or 5 per cent, over the past two months, as newly crowned King Salman bin Abdulaziz al-Saud dips into Riyadh’s rainy-day fund and increases domestic borrowing to fund public sector salaries and large development projects.

The latest data show Saudi’s foreign reserves dropped by $16bn to $708bn in March, driven by public sector bonuses paid by King Salman after he assumed power in January. This follows a fall of $20bn in February. Saudi Arabia has spent $47bn of foreign reserves since October.

Germany urges Ukraine to fulfil Minsk ceasefire agreement - FT.com
▻http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/51a3148a-ec12-11e4-b428-00144feab7de.html

EU diplomats readily admit the separatists violate the Minsk ceasefire far more often than Kiev. But they urge president Petro Poroshenko to stick to the accord and implement its political clauses.

The word among German diplomats is that Kiev needs to be “more co-operative”. Stefan Meister, of Berlin’s DGAP foreign policy think-tank, said: “German officials are talking to both sides, but especially to the Ukrainians because if they don’t do what’s necessary, the Russians will always have the possibility of renewing the conflict.”

In France, President François Hollande said during a visit by Mr Poroshenko last week: “The only line of conduct is the full implementation of the Minsk accord.”

In the UK, which has followed the US in taking a tougher line against Moscow, an official said Ukraine should fulfil its side of the Minsk deal and “not give Russia the space to criticise them”.
(…)
But Berlin is worried that Kiev is dragging its feet over other parts of the fragile deal, notably in trying to postpone political decentralisation until after local elections are staged in separatist-held territory.
For Ukraine this is critical because it does not want to hand over power to separatist leaders in the Donbas region, who are not recognised by the international community. EU diplomats say, however, that while local elections are indeed envisaged under Minsk, the accord does not insist that they take place before decentralisation.