Civil Resistance and the “3.5% Rule”, by Erica Chenoweth
▻http://rationalinsurgent.com/2013/11/04/my-talk-at-tedxboulder-civil-resistance-and-the-3-5-rule
for (...) two years, I collected data on all major nonviolent and violent campaigns for the overthrow of a government or territorial liberation since 1900. The data cover the entire world and include every known campaign that consists of at least a thousand observed participants, which constitutes hundreds of cases.
Then I analyzed the data, and the results blew me away. From 1900 to 2006, nonviolent campaigns worldwide were twice as likely to succeed outright as violent insurgencies. And there’s more. This trend has been increasing over time—in the last fifty years civil resistance has become increasingly frequent and effective, whereas violent insurgencies have become increasingly rare and unsuccessful. This is true even in extremely repressive, authoritarian conditions where we might expect nonviolent resistance to fail.
So why is civil resistance so much more effective than armed struggle? The answer lies in people power
►http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YJSehRlU34w
#TEDxBoulder #non-violence #data #conflits #révolutions
Le site de l’auteure :
►http://www.ericachenoweth.com