• À propos de la fameuse « guerre par procuration » que les américains mèneraient en Ukraine contre la Russie, narratif popularisé par beaucoup dont Noam Chomsky décidément tragiquement décevant : C’est un paragraphe d’André Markowicz (provenant de son fil FB) qui résume parfaitement bien la situation.

    L’argument essentiel de l’attaque de Poutine était que l’Ukraine allait adhérer à l’OTAN. Avant cette attaque, jamais, en aucune circonstance, dans aucune déclaration, aucun membre de l’OTAN n’avait envisagé l’adhésion de l’Ukraine à l’OTAN, et pour une seule et même raison : il y avait, certes, la volonté, quasiment unanime, en tout cas, très très largement majorité des Ukrainiens de se tourner vers l’Occident, et donc, d’entrer dans l’OTAN, mais cette volonté d’un peuple théoriquement souverain ne valait rien face à la volonté d’une puissance nucléaire et totalitaire, sa voisine, la Russie. C’est de toute façon, la Russie qui dirigeait l’Ukraine, avec le consensus, muet ou exprimé, de l’ensemble de la communité de l’OTAN. Et, là encore, Poutine s’est trompé dans ses calculs : s’il avait laissé l’Ukraine adhérer à l’OTAN (processus qui, de toute façon, prend des années), il aurait eu la paix et aurait continué à régner sur son empire pourri. Non, ce qu’il a craint, c’est la contagion démocratique chez lui : si l’Ukraine fait, dans les faits, partie de la sphère d’influence russe, elle ne peut pas développer une expérience démocratique, parce que le pire pour Poutine n’est pas l’OTAN, mais bien le fait que prendre en compte l’avis — la vie — de chaque personne, et de laisser les gens décider de ce qu’ils veulent dans des élections qui ne soient pas systématiquement truquées.

    #ukraine #invasion_occupation_russe

  • Cable : 1974STATE220874_b - Wikileaks Public Library Of US Diplomacy
    https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/1974STATE220874_b.html

    Date: 1974 October 7, 21:38 (Monday)

    Canonical ID: 1974STATE220874_b
    Original Classification:
    UNCLASSIFIED

    Current Classification: UNCLASSIFIED
    Handling Restrictions
    –- N/A or Blank —

    Character Count:
    22187
    Executive Order:
    –- N/A or Blank —

    Locator:
    TEXT ON MICROFILM,TEXT ONLINE
    TAGS:
    PFOR - Political Affairs—Foreign Policy and Relations | US - United States | XC - Southeast Asia

    Concepts:
    EA PRESS SUMMARY
    Enclosure:
    –- N/A or Blank —

    Type:
    TE - Telegram (cable)
    Office Origin:
    ORIGIN EA - Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs

    Office Action:
    –- N/A or Blank —

    Archive Status:
    Electronic Telegrams
    From:
    Department of State

    STERLING SEAGRAVE, ST. PETERSBURG TIMES FOREIGN EDITOR
    (AND SON OF LATE “BURMA SURGEON”),SEES WANG HUNG-WEN
    AS THIS YEAR’S CANDIDATE AS MAO SUCCESSOR. SEAGRAVE
    COMMENTS, HOWEVER, THAT “CHINESE HIERARCHY IS LIKE A
    MONGOLIAN STOVE UNDER EXTRAORDINARY HEAT AND PRESSURE.
    A SUCCESSOR TO MAO MAY BUBBLE UP ONE MINUTE AND DISAPPEAR
    THE NEXT.” IF MAO AND CHOU WERE TO VANISH SUDDENLY AND
    WANG BECOME CHAIRMAN AND HOLD ON TO THAT POWER, IT
    WOULD BE HISTORICALLY STUNNING, AS CHINA WOULD HAVE
    PASSED FROM HANDS OF 80-YEAR OLD WAR HORSES TO
    CONTROL OF YOUNG RED GUARD. SEAGRAVES DESCRIBES
    WANG’S PERSONALITY AND HIS RISE TO POWER (SEPT. 29).

  • MoA - June 04, 2019 - Tiananmen Square - Do The Media Say What Really Happened ?
    https://www.moonofalabama.org/2019/06/tiananmen-square-do-the-media-say-what-really-happened.html


    Le bloggeur Moon of Alabama (#MoA) et un commentateur de son article nous rappellent qu’il y a des informations fiables qui démentent le récit préféré en occident à propos des événements du square Tiananmen il y a trente ans.

    Since 1989 the western media write anniversary pieces on the June 4 removal of protesters from the Tiananmen Square in Beijing. The view seems always quite one sided and stereotyped with a brutal military that suppresses peaceful protests.

    That is not the full picture. Thanks to Wikileaks we have a few situation reports from the U.S. Embassy in Beijing at that time. They describe a different scene than the one western media paint to this day.

    Ten thousands of people, mostly students, occupied the square for six weeks. They protested over the political and personal consequences of Mao’s chaotic Cultural Revolution which had upset the whole country. The liberalization and changeover to a more capitalist model under Deng Xiopings had yet to show its success and was fought by the hardliners in the Communist Party.

    The more liberal side of the government negotiated with the protesters but no agreement was found. The hardliners in the party pressed for the protest removal. When the government finally tried to move the protesters out of the very prominent square they resisted.

    On June 3 the government moved troops towards the city center of Beijing. But the military convoys were held up. Some came under attack. The U.S. embassy reported that soldiers were taken as hostages:

    TENSION MOUNTED THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AS BEIJING RESIDENTS VENTED THEIR ANGER BY HARASSING MILITARY AND POLICE PERSONNEL AND ATTACKING THEIR VEHICLES. STUDENTS DISPLAYED CAPTURED WEAPONS, MILITARY EQUIPMENT AND VEHICLES, INCLUDING IN FRONT OF THE ZHONGNANHAI LEADERSHIP COMPOUND. AN EFFORT TO FREE STILL CAPTIVE MILITARY PERSONNEL OR TO CLEAR THE SOUTHERN ENTRANCE TO ZHONGNANHAI MAY HAVE BEEN THE CAUSE OF A LIMITED TEAR GAS ATTACK IN THAT AREA AROUND 1500 HOURS LOCAL.

    There are some gruesome pictures of the government side casualties of these events.

    Another cable from June 3 notes:

    THE TROOPS HAVE OBVIOUSLY NOT YET BEEN GIVEN ORDERS PERMITTING THEM TO USE FORCE. THEIR LARGE NUMBERS, THE FACT THAT THEY ARE HELMETED, AND THE AUTOMATIC WEAPONS THEY ARE CARRYING SUGGEST THAT THE FORCE OPTION IS REAL.

    In the early morning of June 4 the military finally reached the city center and tried to push the crowd out of Tiananmen Square:

    STUDENTS SET DEBRIS THROWN ATOP AT LEAST ONE ARMORED PERSONNEL CARRIER AND LIT THE DEBRIS, ACCORDING TO EMBOFF NEAR THE SCENE. ABC REPORTED THAT ONE OTHER ARMORED PERSONNEL CARRIER IS AFLAME. AT LEAST ONE BUS WAS ALSO BURNING, ACCORDING TO ABC NEWS REPORTERS ON THE SQUARE AT 0120. THE EYEWITNESSES REPORTED THAT TROOPS AND RIOT POLICE WERE ON THE SOUTHERN END OF THE SQUARE AND TROOPS WERE MOVING TO THE SQUARE FROM THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CITY.

    The soldiers responded as all soldiers do when they see that their comrades get barbecued:

    THERE HAS REPORTEDLY BEEN INDISCRIMINATE GUNFIRE BY THE TROOPS ON THE SQUARE. WE CAN HEAR GUNFIRE FROM THE EMBASSY AND JIANGUOMENWAI DIPLOMATIC COMPOUND. EYEWITNESSES REPORT TEAR GAS ON THE SQUARE, FLARES BEING FIRED ABOVE IT, AND TRACERS BEING FIRED OVER IT.

    Most of the violence was not in the square, which was already quite empty at that time, but in the streets around it. The soldiers tried to push the crowd away without using their weapons:

    THE SITUATION IN THE CENTER OF THE CITY IS VERY CONFUSED. POLOFFS AT THE BEIJING HOTEL REPORTED THAT TROOPS ARE PUSHING A LARGE CROWD OF DEMONSTRATORS EAST ON CHANGANJIE. ALTHOUGH THESE TROOPS APPEAR NOT TO BE FIRING ON THE CROWD, POLOFFS REPORT FIRING BEHIND THE TROOPS COMING FROM THE SQUARE.

    With the Square finally cleared the student protest movement ebbed away.

    Western secret services smuggled some 800 of the leaders of their failed ’color revolution’ out of the country, reported the Financial Times in 2014:

    Many went first to France, but most travelled on to the US for scholarships at Ivy League universities.

    The extraction missions, aided by MI6, the UK’s Secret Intelligence Service, and the CIA, according to many accounts, had scrambler devices, infrared signallers, night-vision goggles and weapons.

    It is unclear how many people died during the incident. The numbers vary between dozens to several hundred. It also not known how many of them were soldiers, and how many were violent protesters or innocent bystanders.

    The New York Times uses the 30th anniversary of the June 4 incidents to again promote a scene that is interpreted as successful civil resistance.

    He has become a global symbol of freedom and defiance, immortalized in photos, television shows, posters and T-shirts.

    But three decades after the Chinese Army crushed demonstrations centered on Tiananmen Square, “Tank Man” — the person who boldly confronted a convoy of tanks barreling down a Beijing avenue — is as much a mystery as ever.

    But was the man really some hero? It is not known what the the man really wanted or if he was even part of the protests:

    According to the man who took the photo, AP photographer Jeff Widener, the photo dates from June 5 the day after the Tiananmen Square incident. The tanks were headed away from, and not towards, the Square. They were blocked not by a student but by a man with a shopping bag crossing the street who had chosen to play chicken with the departing tanks. The lead tank had gone out its way to avoid causing him injury.

    The longer video of the tank hold up (turn off the ghastly music) shows that the man talked with the tank commander who makes no attempt to force him away. The scene ends after two minutes when some civilian passersby finally tell the man to move along. The NYT also writes:

    But more recently, the government has worked to eliminate the memory of Tank Man, censoring images of him online and punishing those who have evoked him.
    ...
    As a result of the government’s campaign, many people in China, especially younger Chinese, do not recognize his image.

    To which Carl Zha, who currently travels in China and speaks the language, responds:

    Carl Zha @CarlZha - 15:23 utc - 4 Jun 2019

    For the record, Everyone in China know about what happened on June 4th, 1989. Chinese gov remind them every year by cranking up censorship to 11 around anniversary. Idk Western reporters who claim people in China don’t know are just esp stupid/clueless or deliberately misleading

    In fact that applies to China reporting in general. I just don’t know whether Western China reporters are that stupid/clueless or deliberately misleading. I used to think people can’t be that stupid but I am constantly surprised...

    and

    Carl Zha @CarlZha - 15:42 utc - 4 Jun 2019

    This Image was shared in one of the Wechat group I was in today. Yes, everyone understood the reference

    Carl recommends the two part movie The Gate To Heavenly Peace (vid) as the best documentary of the Tiananmen Square protests. It explores the political and social background of the incident and includes many original voices and scenes.

    Posted by b on June 4, 2019 at 03:00

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/tiananmen-square-world-marks-30-years-since-massacre-as-china-censors-all-mention/ar-AACl8Sy?li=BBnbcA1
    https://search.wikileaks.org/?query=Tiananmen&exact_phrase=&any_of=&exclude_words=&document_dat
    https://twitter.com/Obscureobjet/status/1135970437886881792
    https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/89BEIJING15390_a.html
    https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/89BEIJING15411_a.html
    https://www.ft.com/content/4f970144-e658-11e3-9a20-00144feabdc0
    https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/03/world/asia/tiananmen-tank-man.html
    http://www.fccj.or.jp/number-1-shimbun/item/984-the-truth-about-tankman/984-the-truth-about-tankman.html
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qq8zFLIftGk


    https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/03/world/asia/tiananmen-tank-man.html
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Gtt2JxmQtg&feature=youtu.be

    –---

    Here’s Minqi Li — a student of the “right” (liberal) at the time ["How did I arrive at my current intellectual position? I belong to the “1989 generation.” But unlike the rest of the 1989 generation, I made the unusual intellectual and political trajectory from the Right to the Left, and from being a neoliberal “democrat” to a revolutionary Marxist"] — about 1989.

    It is in the preface of his book “The Rise of China”, which I don’t recommend as a theoretical book. It doesn’t affect his testimony though:
    The 1980s was a decade of political and intellectual excitement in China. Despite some half-hearted official restrictions, large sections of the Chinese intelligentsia were politically active and were able to push for successive waves of the so-called “emancipation of ideas” (jiefang sixiang). The intellectual critique of the already existing Chinese socialism at first took place largely within a Marxist discourse. Dissident intellectuals called for more democracy without questioning the legitimacy of the Chinese Revolution or the economic institutions of socialism.
    [...]
    After 1985, however, economic reform moved increasingly in the direction of the free market. Corruption increased and many among the bureaucratic elites became the earliest big capitalists. Meanwhile, among the intellectuals, there was a sharp turn to the right. The earlier, Maoist phase of Chinese socialism was increasingly seen as a period of political oppression and economic failure. Chinese socialism was supposed to have “failed,” as it lost the economic growth race to places such as Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Hong Kong. Many regarded Mao Zedong himself as an ignorant, backward Chinese peasant who turned into a cruel, power-hungry despot who had been responsible for the killing of tens of millions. (This perception of Mao is by no means a new one, we knew it back in the 1980s.) The politically active intellectuals no longer borrowed discourse from Marxism. Instead, western classical liberalism and neoliberal economics, as represented by Friedrich Hayek and Milton Friedman, had become the new, fashionable ideology.
    [...]
    As the student demonstrations grew, workers in Beijing began to pour onto the streets in support of the students, who were, of course, delighted. However, being an economics student, I could not help experiencing a deep sense of irony. On the one hand, these workers were the people that we considered to be passive, obedient, ignorant, lazy, and stupid. Yet now they were coming out to support us. On the other hand, just weeks before, we were enthusiastically advocating “reform” programs that would shut down all state factories and leave the workers unemployed. I asked myself: do these workers really know who they are supporting?
    Unfortunately, the workers did not really know. In the 1980s, in terms of material living standards, the Chinese working class remained relatively well-off. There were nevertheless growing resentments on the part of the workers as the program of economic reform took a capitalist turn. Managers were given increasing power to impose capitalist-style labor disciplines (such as Taylorist “scientific management”) on the workers. The reintroduction of “material incentives” had paved the way for growing income inequality and managerial corruption.
    [...]
    By mid-May 1989, the student movement became rapidly radicalized, and liberal intellectuals and student leaders lost control of events. During the “hunger strike” at Tiananmen Square, millions of workers came out to support the students. This developed into a near-revolutionary situation and a political showdown between the government and the student movement was all but inevitable. The liberal intellectuals and student leaders were confronted with a strategic decision. They could organize a general retreat, calling off the demonstrations, though this strategy would certainly be demoralizing. The student leaders would probably be expelled from the universities and some liberal intellectuals might lose their jobs. But more negative, bloody consequences would be avoided.
    Alternatively, the liberal intellectuals and the student leaders could strike for victory. They could build upon the existing political momentum, mobilize popular support, and take steps to seize political power. If they adopted this tactic, it was difficult to say if they would succeed but there was certainly a good chance. The Communist Party’s leadership was divided. Many army commanders’ and provincial governments’ loyalty to the central government was in question. The student movement had the support of the great majority of urban residents throughout the country. To pursue this option, however, the liberal intellectuals and students had to be willing and able to mobilize the full support of the urban working class. This was a route that the Chinese liberal intellectuals simply would not consider.
    So what they did was … nothing. The government did not wait long to act. While the students themselves peacefully left Tiananmen Square, thousands of workers died in Beijing’s streets defending them.

    Posted by: vk | Jun 4, 2019 3:21:31 PM

    #Chine #démocratie #histoire #4689

  • Comment #Big_Pharma pénalise-t-il le traitement de l’épidémie des opiacés ? - Actualité Houssenia Writing
    https://actualite.housseniawriting.com/sante/2017/08/09/comment-big-pharma-penalise-t-il-le-traitement-de-lepidemie-des-opiaces/23013

    Traduction d’un article de The Conversation par Robin Feldman, professeure de propriété intellectuelle à l’université de Californie.

    Les grandes entreprises pharmacologiques (Big Pharma) utilisent de nombreuses tactiques pour retarder l’arrivée des #génériques et on peut prendre l’exemple des traitements contre l’épidémie des #opiacés.

    • En 2015, 80 % de la croissance des bénéfices des 20 plus grandes entreprises technologiques provenaient de l’augmentation des prix. Et les médicaments aux États-Unis sont largement plus chers que dans d’autres pays. Par exemple, le Syprine, un médicament contre l’insuffisante hépatique, coute moins de 400 dollars pour un an de traitement dans de nombreux pays. Aux États-Unis, ce médicament coute 300 000 dollars. Sovaldi, le médicament contre l’hépatite C de Gilead, coute environ 1 000 dollars à l’étranger. Aux États-Unis, il coute 84 000 dollars.

      Il faudra un motif d’inculpation pour trainer les gens qui décident cela devant la justice. Un truc du genre crime contre l’humanité.

    • Un des aspects intéressants des câbles diplomatiques américains, publiés par Wikileaks, c’était justement qu’une des activités principales des ambassades ricaines dans monde consiste à défendre les intérêts des grands groupes pharmaceutiques américaines.

      Par exemple (quasiment au hasard), ce câble de 2005 à ce sujet au Brésil :
      https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/05BRASILIA1567_a.html

      1. (C) Summary. Ambassador Hugueney of Brazil’s Foreign Ministry (Itamaraty) told Ambassador June 6 that U.S. pharmaceutical companies should improve their offers on pricing and/or voluntary licenses for AIDS treatment drugs so as to avoid compulsory licensing by the Ministry of Health (MoH). Hugueney believed movement in the Chamber of Deputies of legislation that would deny patentability to AIDS drugs was likely intended to provide greater leverage to the Ministry of Health in its negotiations with the pharmaceutical companies. The bill’s broad political backing, he observed, makes a presidential veto unlikely should the legislation pass. On the WTO Doha Round of trade negotiations, Hugueney said Brazil will submit a “substantially improved” revised services offer the week of June 6. Hugueney expects to take up the post of Brazil’s Ambassador to the WTO by late August or early September. Hugueney confirmed Brazil’s plan to attend the June 21 to 22 US-EU International Conference on Iraq. End Summary.

      2. (SBU) On June 6, Ambassador met with Clodoaldo Hugueney, Itamaraty’s Under Secretary for Economic and Technological Affairs, to discuss a number of trade issues, principally, pending legislation that would render drugs to prevent and treat AIDS un-patentable, and the continuing threat of compulsory licensing facing the U.S. pharmaceutical companies Gilead Sciences, Abbott Laboratories, and Merck, Sharp & Dohme for their AIDS treatment drugs (ref A). Hugueney was accompanied by his assistant, Miguel Franco, and Otavio Brandelli, Chief of the Ministry’s IPR Division. Ecouns, Commoff, and Econoff accompanied Ambassador.

      AIDS Drugs - Compulsory License Threat and Patent Legislation

      3. (C) Hugueney, who had just returned from Doha negotiations in Geneva, said Itamaraty is following MoH negotiations with the pharmaceutical companies closely and described them as boiling down to issues of pricing or voluntary license/royalty payments. He noted the intense pressure the GoB is under from civil society, particularly NGOs, to issue compulsory licenses. Hugueney agreed the best outcome would be to avoid compulsory licenses, but opined that to do so would require improved offers on price or voluntary licensing from the companies. (Upon relaying this message to the companies, the Merck representative here told us his company was in the process of preparing a more detailed offer, although he did not say that it would be more forthcoming on prices. As for Gilead and Abbott, they have taken Hugueney’s suggestion “under advisement.”) Hugueney further advised the companies to maintain a dialog with the MoH to forestall precipitous, politically motivated action by that Ministry, and encouraged them to explain/present their proposals to a wide array of GoB interlocutors.

  • De Beyrouth, #Martin_Chulov du Guardian affirme qu’ en #Syrie l’#Iran est en train d’installer des chiites (de toute nationalité) dans des zones préalablement habitées par des sunnites.
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/jan/13/irans-syria-project-pushing-population-shifts-to-increase-influence

    Et sa source est un groupe genre #al-qaida :

    Labib al-Nahas, the chief of foreign relations for #Ahrar_al-Sham, who led negotiations in Istanbul, said Tehran was seeking to create areas it could control. “Iran was very ready to make a full swap between the north and south. They wanted a geographical continuation into Lebanon. Full sectarian segregation is at the heart of the Iranian project in Syria. They are looking for geographical zones that they can fully dominate and influence. This will have repercussions on the entire region.

    • The propaganda of Martin Chulov: FAKE NEWS Propaganda in the Guardian newspaper
      http://angryarab.blogspot.fr/2017/01/the-propaganda-of-martin-chulov-fake.html

      And here I used to recommend the Guardian newspaper as an alternative to US media after Sep. 11. Now the Guardian has become indistinguishable from the New York Times and Washington Post in its propaganda coverage of Syria. This story is — simply put — made up. As you all know, Syrian rebels regularly, if not daily, produce fake news and spread them throughout social media and they are often carried in Gulf regime media, which in turn inspire Western media to reproduce them citing the authority of Qatari regime or Saudi regime media. This story is made up by Ahrar Ash-Sham. And you will see in dispatches by Western correspondents in Beirut, like Chulov, a reference such as this: “said one senior Lebanese leader”. Lebanon is deeply divided between two camps: one camp is led by HIzbullah and the other is led by the Saudi embassy in Beirut. To which camp do you think this Lebanese “leader” belongs to? And they cite “a Lebanese leader” as if any of the Lebanese leaders are independent and neutral about the war in Syria. This is like citing “a US leader” in a story about Israel.

    • J’ai un ami Sunnite originaire de Idlib qui tient le mème discours. Il parle d’un afflux massif de chiites provenant d’autres régions, d’autres pays et que les régions sunnites seraient sous le coup d’une « colonisation de peuplement. »
      En dehors de la véracité de la chose j’ai quand mème l’impression que la question religieuse prend une place de plus en plus importante dans un pays qui semblait en dehors de ce genre de tensions. L’installation des chiites est une question que je voulais vous poser.
      Pour terminer, ses « sources » sont de Idlib et non pas du Gardian, ce qui rend pas les choses plus vraies ou plus fausses mais qui peut témoigner de l’état d’esprit qui règne là bas.

    • La question que cela pose, d’un point de vue démographique, est d’où viendrait ces masses de chiites. Dans la plupart des sources sur les appartenances religieuses en Syrie, les chiites sont généralement estimés à 1% (par exemple : https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Syrie#Groupes_.2F_Population_.2F_pourcentage). Ca vaut ce que ça vaut mais de là à parler d’invasion massive... Il s’agit principalement à ma connaissance très imparfaite de communautés urbaines (notamment au sud de Damas), de quelques petites villes frontalières de la Beqaa nord (région de Hermel au Liban) et de quelques poches dont on a parlé récemment, au nord-ouest d’Alep (zones assiégées dont les populations ont été « échangées » avec les populations évacuées d’Alep. J’aurais beaucoup de mal croire que l’Iran installe des populations d’origine iranienne ou des chiites irakiens.

    • Moi aussi j’ai des doutes, car le voeu des Usa et UE quand ils ont attaqué la Syrie c’était justement de déplacer les populations en les divisant en « chiites, sunnites, Kurdes, et autres communautés » pour faire des micro-états divisés comme en ex-Yougoslavie qui a été balkanisée de la même façon.Tout a été prévu de longue date : http://armedforcesjournal.com/peters-blood-borders-map
      Les forces armées américaines se trouvent actuellement a Erbil dans le futur Kurdistan et la France participe à créer un état kurde, ce qui déplait à Erdogan bien sur ...

    • @rumor ce sont des fakes-news en vérité, la démographie des chiites ne peux pas permettre ce qui est prétendu. C’est inverser la véritable politique contre les chiites que de les accuser de favoriser leur population minime. En vérité les sunnites, et Kurdes chasseront les Yézidis et autres communautés. HRW a dénoncé le fait de crimes commis par les Kurdes pour avoir chassés les habitants de leurs maisons, et les avoir terroriser.

    • Merci pour ce signalement qui touche à une question aussi sensible que d’actualité, même si la source (Guardian Chulov), de fait, est terriblement biaisée... @rumor : les « peuplements chiites » qui hantent les cauchemars d’une bonne partie des Syriens (cf. témoignage Unagi, auquel j’ajoute le mien, au sein des milieux alaouites !!!) seraient en provenance d’Iran, voire de plus loin (Afghanistan et Cie). Pas plus crédible pour autant, mais ça fait fantasmer encore plus sur l’invasion étrangère. Il faut vraiment que ces sociétés soient en crise pour que de tels bobards puissent prendre aussi bien...

    • Se souvenir aussi que ça fait partie du plan de de déstabilisation suggéré par l’ambassade américaine en 2006 :
      https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/06DAMASCUS5399_a.html

      — Vulnerability:

      –- THE ALLIANCE WITH TEHRAN: Bashar is walking a fine line in his increasingly strong relations with Iran, seeking necessary support while not completely alienating Syria’s moderate Sunni Arab neighbors by being perceived as aiding Persian and fundamentalist Shia interests. Bashar’s decision to not attend the Talabani / Ahmadinejad summit in Tehran following FM Moallem,s trip to Iraq can be seen as a manifestation of Bashar’s sensitivity to the Arab optic on his Iranian alliance.

      –- Possible action:

      –- PLAY ON SUNNI FEARS OF IRANIAN INFLUENCE: There are fears in Syria that the Iranians are active in both Shia proselytizing and conversion of, mostly poor, Sunnis. Though often exaggerated, such fears reflect an element of the Sunni community in Syria that is increasingly upset by and focused on the spread of Iranian influence in their country through activities ranging from mosque construction to business. Both the local Egyptian and Saudi missions here, (as well as prominent Syrian Sunni religious leaders), are giving increasing attention to the matter and we should coordinate more closely with their governments on ways to better

  • The road not travelled: Syria offered US a partnership to stop ISIS as early as Feb 2010

    Cable: 10DAMASCUS159_a
    https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/10DAMASCUS159_a.html#efmBrvCZs

    1. (S/NF) SUMMARY: In a surprise appearance, Syrian General Intelligence Director (GID) General Ali Mamlouk attended a February 18 meeting between Vice Foreign Minister Faisal al-Miqdad and a U.S. delegation led by S/CT Coordinator Daniel Benjamin. Miqdad explained Mamlouk had joined the meeting at the request of President Bashar al-Asad as a gesture following a positive meeting between U/S William Burns and the Syrian president the previous day. Stressing the meeting did not signal the commencement of security and intelligence cooperation between Syria and the United States, the Syrian side said the discussion could be a starting point for a blueprint regarding possible cooperation in the future. Calling Coordinator Benjamin’s description of terrorist groups operating in the region “valid,” Mamlouk emphasized the linkage between progress on political issues in U.S.-Syrian relations and possible security and intelligence cooperation. He identified Syrian-Iraqi border security as an area where Syria could cooperate with the U.S., but only after Iraqi legislative elections in March. Mamlouk added cooperation on Syrian-Iraqi border security could lead to security cooperation in other areas. 2. (S/NF) Mamlouk, Miqdad, and Syrian Ambassador to the U.S. Imad Mustapha were attentive during Benjamin’s presentation on al-Qaeda, foreign fighters, and other common threats, and reacted positively to his warnings that these issues presented challenges to both the U.S. and Syria. Mamlouk and Miqdad emphasized three points regarding possible security and intelligence cooperation with the U.S.: (1) Syria must be able to take the lead in any regional actions; (2) politics are an integral part of combating terrorism, and a “political umbrella” of improved U.S.-Syrian bilateral relations should facilitate cooperation against terrorism; and (3) in order to convince the Syrian people that cooperation with the U.S. was benefiting them, progress must be made on issues related to economic sanctions against Syria including spare parts for airplanes and a plane for President Asad. “In summary, President Asad wants cooperation, we should take the lead on that cooperation, and don’t put us on your lists,” Miqdad declared. END SUMMARY.

  • Notes rapides pour un billet sur le câble de l’ambassade US en Syrie de décembre 2006, proposant des « actions possibles » pour la déstabilisation du régime de Bachar Assad :
    https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/06DAMASCUS5399_a.html

    Au Liban, ce que dévoilent les câbles de Wikileaks
    http://blog.mondediplo.net/2013-06-24-Au-Liban-ce-que-devoilent-les-cables-de-Wikileaks

    Ainsi M. Samir Geagea, dirigeant de l’extrême droite chrétienne, suggère-t-il (25 juillet 2006, 06BEIRUT2471) : « La clé pour démanteler le Hezbollah comme force militaire est d’en faire “un problème intérieur”, c’est-à-dire de faire comprendre au peuple libanais que le Hezbollah est la menace qui a causé tant de destruction au pays. La pression politique résultante, accompagnée de la dégradation continue de ses capacités infligée par l’armée israélienne, est le seul chemin vers le désarmement. » Pour M. Geir Perdersen, envoyé personnel du secrétaire général des Nations unies au Liban (5 août 2006, 06BEIRUT2539), « Israël a besoin de trouver rapidement un moyen pour permettre à des “facteurs politiques” de gérer la menace du Hezbollah (…) Un tel facteur serait l’opinion publique libanaise ».

    WikiLeaks : Saad Hariri a demandé en 2006 le départ d’Al-Assad
    http://www.lemonde.fr/proche-orient/article/2011/04/15/wikileaks-saad-hariri-a-demande-en-2006-le-depart-d-al-assad_1508069_3218.ht

    Selon un câble diplomatique de l’ambassade américaine au Liban daté du 24 août 2006, soit dix jours après la fin de la guerre dévastatrice entre le mouvement chiite libanais Hezbollah et Israël, M. Hariri a exhorté la communauté internationale à isoler le président Assad. M. Hariri a également mis en garde les responsables américains contre des troubles au Liban si la communauté internationale ne parvenait pas à isoler M. Assad avec des sanctions.

    A la question de savoir qui pourrait combler le vide en cas de chute du régime de M. Assad, M. Hariri a proposé une alliance entre les Frères musulmans, interdits en Syrie, et d’anciens responsables syriens en exil comme l’ancien vice-président Abdel Halim Khaddam et un ex-chef d’état-major, Hikmat Chehabi, toujours selon les documents.

    The Redirection (mars 2007) : rencontre de Hersh avec Nasrallah datée de décembre 2006
    http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2007/03/05/the-redirection

    Nasrallah accused the Bush Administration of working with Israel to deliberately instigate fitna, an Arabic word that is used to mean “insurrection and fragmentation within Islam.” “In my opinion, there is a huge campaign through the media throughout the world to put each side up against the other,” he said. “I believe that all this is being run by American and Israeli intelligence.” (He did not provide any specific evidence for this.) He said that the U.S. war in Iraq had increased sectarian tensions, but argued that Hezbollah had tried to prevent them from spreading into Lebanon. (Sunni-Shiite confrontations increased, along with violence, in the weeks after we talked.)

    Nasrallah said he believed that President Bush’s goal was “the drawing of a new map for the region. They want the partition of Iraq. Iraq is not on the edge of a civil war—there is a civil war. There is ethnic and sectarian cleansing. The daily killing and displacement which is taking place in Iraq aims at achieving three Iraqi parts, which will be sectarian and ethnically pure as a prelude to the partition of Iraq. Within one or two years at the most, there will be total Sunni areas, total Shiite areas, and total Kurdish areas. Even in Baghdad, there is a fear that it might be divided into two areas, one Sunni and one Shiite.”

    He went on, “I can say that President Bush is lying when he says he does not want Iraq to be partitioned. All the facts occurring now on the ground make you swear he is dragging Iraq to partition. And a day will come when he will say, ‘I cannot do anything, since the Iraqis want the partition of their country and I honor the wishes of the people of Iraq.’ ”

    Nasrallah said he believed that America also wanted to bring about the partition of Lebanon and of Syria. In Syria, he said, the result would be to push the country “into chaos and internal battles like in Iraq.” In Lebanon, “There will be a Sunni state, an Alawi state, a Christian state, and a Druze state.”

  • #wikileaks: WHO ARE THE HOUTHIS, PART TWO: HOW ARE THEY FIGHTING?, 2009 December
    https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/09SANAA2186_a.html#efmAB-ACz

    WEAPONS SUPPLY
    –-------------

    12. (S/NF) Contrary to ROYG [Republic of Yemen Government] claims that Iran is arming the Houthis, most local political analysts report that the Houthis obtain their weapons from the Yemeni black market and even from the ROYG military itself. According to a British diplomat, there are numerous credible reports that ROYG military commanders were selling weapons to the Houthis in the run-up to the Sixth War. An ICG report on the Sa’ada conflict from May 2009 quoted NSB director Ali Mohammed al-Ansi saying, “Iranians are not arming the Houthis. The weapons they use are Yemeni. Most actually come from fighters who fought against the socialists during the 1994 war and then sold them.” Mohammed Azzan, presidential advisor for Sa’ada affairs, told PolOff on August 16 that the Houthis easily obtain weapons inside Yemen, either from battlefield captures or by buying them from corrupt military commanders and soldiers. Azzan said that the military “covers up its failure” by saying the weapons come from Iran. According to Jamal Abdullah al-Shami of the Democracy School, there is little external oversight of the military’s large and increasing budget, so it is easy for members of the military to illegally sell weapons.

    13. (S/NF) ROYG officials assert that the Houthis’ possession and use of Katyusha rockets is evidence of support from Iran and Hizballah, arguing that these rockets are not available in Yemeni arms markets nor ROYG stockpiles. (Comment: Given Yemen’s robust arms markets, especially in Sa’ada, it is possible that Katyushas are available on the black market even if they are not in ROYG stockpiles. According to sensitive reporting, there is at least one instance of Somali extremists purchasing Katyusha rockets in Yemen in 2007. End Comment.) However, according to sensitive reporting, it may have been the ROYG military who aided the Houthis in obtaining a shipment of 200 Katyusha rockets in late November 2009.

    #cablegate (via Angry Arab)

  • Cable : UNDERGROUND PARTY SCENE IN JEDDAH : SAUDI YOUTH FROLIC UNDER « PRINCELY PROTECTION »

    https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/09JEDDAH443_a.html#efmAZVAZfAdBAe8Ae-AiQBZBBaV

    Rien que nous ne sachions déjà mais utile rappel à l’heure ou - non pas derrière des portes closes, mais en public devant les mosquées, le vendredi, on fouette les blogueurs, on coupe les femmes en deux, on coupe aussi quelques pieds et quelques mains au passage.

    En 2000 j’ai assuré une semaine d’enseignement à l’Université du Golfe à Bahrein. Mon hôtel était plein à craquer de saoudiens qui pour certains étaient avec leur « love affair » qu’il faisaient voyager avec le passeport de leur femme (vu comment elles sont habillées il n’y a pas trop de problème à la frontière), pour les autres au dernier étage dans le restaurant kitch en train de choisir leur prostituée.

    Donc , comme disait @monolecte #voilà_voilà.

    signalé par @wikileaks sur Twitter et @fil

    1. (C) Summary: Behind the facade of Wahabi conservatism in the streets, the underground nightlife for Jeddah’s elite youth is thriving and throbbing. The full range of worldly temptations and vices are available — alcohol, drugs, sex — but strictly behind closed doors. This freedom to indulge carnal pursuits is possible merely because the religious police keep their distance when parties include the presence or patronage of a Saudi royal and his circle of loyal attendants, such as a Halloween event attended by ConGenOffs on October 29. Over the past few years, the increased conservatism of Saudi Arabia’s external society has pushed the nightlife and party scene in Jeddah even further underground. End summary.

    #arabie_saoudite

  • Cable: 09USUNNEWYORK468_a: GAZA BOARD OF INQUIRY AND NEXT STEPS, 2009 May 7
    https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/09USUNNEWYORK468_a.html

    Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon transmitted to the Security Council on May 5 his letter and summary of the Board of Inquiry’s conclusions and recommendations into nine incidents involving the UN in Gaza between December 2008 and January 2009.

    […]

    The summary of the report concludes that seven of the nine incidents covered by the report were caused by military actions of the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) and that the IDF breached the inviolability and immunity of UN premises, that such inviolability and immunity cannot be overridden by demands of military expediency, and that the IDF did not take sufficient precautions to fulfill its responsibilities to protect UN property and personnel and civilians taking shelter therein. The Board found the Israeli government responsible for the deaths, injuries, and physical damage that occurred in those seven cases and estimated the cost to repair damages at something over USD 11 million.

  • Cable 09TELAVIV1694_a : IDF TO INVESTIGATE COMPLAINTS OF CRIMINAL CONDUCT BY ITS FORCES DURING OPERATION CAST LEAD, 2009 July 30

    https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/09TELAVIV1694_a.html

    The allegations of criminal conduct by various organizations such as Human Rights Watch and the International Red Cross have been persistent since the conclusion of “Cast Lead” in January 2009. Individual Palestinians also testified to IDF abuses such as looting, beatings, vandalism of property and the use of the local population as human shields. But by far the strongest reverbration in Israel was that created by the Israeli organization “Breaking the Silence”, which collected testimony from 26 unnamed IDF soldiers. All of the soldiers had been involved in Operation Cast Lead in the Gaza Strip, and testified to instances where Gazans were used as human shields, incendiary phosphorous shells were fired over civilian population areas, and other examples of excessive firepower that caused unnecessary fatalities and destruction of property.

    et pour ce qui est des méthodes de la propagande militaire israélienne :

    Brigadier General Avi Benayahu, the IDF military spokesman, is a seasoned player when it comes to handling the media. “Breaking the Silence” constituted a very different challenge, however, as the testimony was by Israelis who had served in the operation being criticized. Their allegations were not easy to dismiss, and Benayahu was careful not to refute them outright or imply that they were untrue or misleading. Instead, he pointed the finger at the methodology of the organization that had gathered their anonymous testimony, denouncing “Breaking the Silence” for making general allegations and failing to investigate the details. As part of his campaign to discredit “Breaking the Silence”, the IDF Spokesman claimed that it had been masquerading as a non-profit organization when in reality it was a registered (for profit) company, even quoting its putative registration number in a live interview with Israel Army Radio. ("Breaking the Silence" has not to our knowledge responded to the allegation. According to the media, the GOI has expressed its dissatisfaction with some European governments who have reportedly channeled funds to “Breaking the Silence.”) Finally, Benayahu lambasted the organization for failing to submit its report to the IDF with a sufficient delay ahead of publication — it gave 24 hours — so that the military could investigate the testimonies. In other words, the IDF was outraged that “Breaking the Silence” went public rather than give the IDF “first refusal” on a military investigation that is public only in terms of its findings.

    #wikileaks #cablegate

  • Cable : 09USUNNEWYORK468_a
    https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/09USUNNEWYORK468_a.html#efmBAMBPo

    Sur les enquêtes de l’ONU qui ont suivi l’agression israélienne criminelle contre Gaza en 2009,

    The Board concluded that no military action was carried
    out from within/within UN premises in any of the incidents
    ,
    but it also noted that it was not within its capacity to
    reach conclusions on possible military activity near UN
    premises or possible military use of nearby buildings. The
    Board stated that no warnings were given to the UN before
    attacks on targets close to UN sites
    , and that it believes
    this could and should have been done. It found no
    deficiencies in UN efforts to communicate and coordinate with
    the IDF, and ascribes any IDF lack of awareness about UN
    locations or movement of UN employees to failures of
    communication within the IDF itself. The Board also reported
    that the IDF had confirmed to UNRWA at a meeting (no date
    given) that the IDF had not found munitions in UNRWA schools,
    that it recognized that UNRWA had procedures in place to
    protect its schools from abuse, and that it undertook to
    ensure that IDF troops were informed of this
    .