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  • Dégel du pergélisol dans les Alpes menace Kandersteg : 15-20 millions de m³ de roche instables - Noticias Ambientales
    https://noticiasambientales.com/science-fr/degel-du-pergelisol-dans-les-alpes-menace-kandersteg-15-20-mill

    Le village suisse de Kandersteg est confronté à un risque potentiellement catastrophique en raison de l’instabilité d’une formation rocheuse connue sous le nom de Spitze Stei. Situé dans le canton de Berne, Kandersteg pourrait subir un effondrement massif de roches à la suite de l’avancée du dégel du pergélisol dans les Alpes.
    Le Dégel du Pergélisol et ses Conséquences

    Le changement climatique provoque une augmentation des températures qui accélère la fonte du pergélisol, lequel a maintenu stabilisés pendant des siècles les sédiments dans les montagnes suisses. Selon le professeur Markus Stoffel de l’Université de Genève, cette fusion expose des matériaux lâches qui augmentent les glissements de terrain.

    Des études officielles estiment que la section instable du Spitze Stei contient entre 15 et 20 millions de mètres cubes de roche. Si ces roches se détachent, elles pourraient causer une catastrophe dans la vallée qui abrite Kandersteg, où résident environ 1 300 personnes.

    Le scénario actuel ravive les souvenirs du désastre à Blatten, dans la vallée de Lötschental, où un flux de roches et de glace a causé une dévastation significative. Afin de prévenir un événement similaire, les experts utilisent une technologie de surveillance avancée, comme des radars de haute précision et des drones, pour surveiller tout changement structurel dans la montagne.

    En contraste avec le pessimisme, des experts de Greenpeace, comme Nathan Solothurnmann, alertent sur la fréquence croissante de ces phénomènes en raison du réchauffement climatique. La communauté internationale doit se préparer aux coûts financiers élevés liés à la gestion de tels désastres potentiels.

    Actuellement, les modèles géologiques suggèrent plusieurs résultats pour le Spitze Stei. Bien qu’un effondrement complet et dramatique soit l’une des hypothèses, les spécialistes croient qu’un glissement progressif en blocs plus petits est plus probable, ce qui pourrait atténuer l’impact direct.

  • Trump shifts aircraft carrier and US focus away from Asia | AP News
    https://apnews.com/article/aircraft-carriers-trump-china-pacific-iran-war-87cfb838de8c13464fa3cab1840ad

    “The administration says that the Pacific is supposed to be the most important behind the Western Hemisphere,” said Greg Poling, director of the Southeast Asia Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Instead, the U.S. is “doing the exact opposite” of its previously expressed goal of pulling out of the Middle East.

    American allies in the Pacific are unsettled over the unpredictability of the Republican administration, Poling said, while Beijing “is quite happy with U.S. distraction, with the frustration of U.S. allies and partners.”

  • New census allows Australians to disclose sexual orientation, gender identity | AP News
    https://apnews.com/article/australia-census-sexual-orientation-gender-gay-lesbian-a442c949e0570a0b0c2a3

    MELBOURNE, Australia (AP) — Australians for the first time can reveal their sexual orientation and whether they identify as a different gender than the one recorded at birth — contentious debut questions in the latest census that occurs every five years.

    The 66-question census, held on Tuesday, Aug. 11, is the first under a center-left Labor Party government since 2011. The current Labor government backflipped to allow the questions after having dropped them temporarily two years ago as “divisive.” Both questions are open to members of households 16 years of age and older.

    The answer options for sexual orientation are straight, gay or lesbian, bisexual, don’t know, prefer not to answer or a term of the respondent’s choice that can be written in a designated blank space.

    The options for the gender that the respondent currently identifies with that differs from that registered at birth are man, woman, nonbinary, prefer not to answer or another term that the respondent can provide.

    The gender and sexual orientation questions are optional, along with a question on religion that has been included since the first census in 1911.

    Labor had promised such questions about sexuality and gender would be included in the next census while campaigning ahead of the 2022 elections that brought the party to power after nine years out of government.

    The Australian government determines the topics for each census. The Australian Bureau of Statistics decides the wording of questions.

    In 2024, the government decided against deviating from the 2021 census questions in the interests of maintaining social cohesion.

    “We do not want to open up divisive debates in the community now,” Deputy Prime Minister Richard Marles said in August 2024.

    The government soon relented after almost a week of backlash from LGBTQ+ advocates and criticism from some Labor lawmakers.

    Two days after Marles spoke, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, a heterosexual who has marched in the annual Sydney Gay and Lesbian Mardi Gras twice since he took office in 2022, confirmed in a radio interview that a question about sexual orientation would be included in the next census.

    ABS Chief Statistician David Gruen said his bureau discovered a “substantial level of interest in asking questions on gender and sexual orientation” during public consultations ahead of the census.

    “For a proportion of the population … collecting this information is very important. But for other people, it’s information that they simply don’t want to share,” Gruen told Australian Broadcasting Corp, referencing the decision to make the questions optional.

    Liz Allen, an Australian National University demographer, said Australia lagged behind some like-minded countries in dealing with gender and sexual orientation in the census. Britain asked similar questions of its population in 2021, New Zealand in 2023 and Canada three months ago.

    “We’ve been talking about these questions for some time, but the previous government, it didn’t look like they were going to budge on the evidence and enable it to be in the census. So the ABS (Australian Bureau of Statistics) really didn’t put it to them,” Allen said.

    Allen said the questions need to go further into the issues of sexuality and gender by asking respondents if they were intersex — a term for people born with biological sex characteristics such as chromosomes, hormones, or genitals that do not fit typical definitions of male or female.

    The last U.S. census in 2020 allowed only two responses to its gender question: male or female. That census, which is held once a decade, did not specifically ask about sexual orientation. But same-sex relationships were for the first time allowed to be listed in the household relationship field.

    In Australia, people were asked to submit their census answer forms as soon as they received their instructions in the mail if they knew where they would be on census night.

    The ABS expects 85% of responses will be made online, up from almost 80% in 2021, when almost half the population was in pandemic lockdown. The ABS also provides paper census forms on request.

    Field staff help homeless people and people living in remote areas participate. Failing to comply with a direction to complete the census can result in a fine of up to 364 Australian dollars ($257) a day.

    The ABS said more than 5 million forms had been submitted by Tuesday morning. Almost 11 million forms are expected to be completed.

  • Hamidreza Azizi sur X :
    https://x.com/HamidRezaAz/status/2077870482330698185

    Les États-Unis se préparent-ils à une invasion terrestre de l’#Iran ?

    Le schéma croissant des frappes américaines contre le sud de l’Iran ces derniers jours – en particulier au cours des dernières heures – pourrait indiquer une stratégie graduelle visant à préparer le terrain pour un éventuel déploiement de forces terrestres. Une telle opération, si elle devait se concrétiser, pourrait viser à s’emparer du contrôle de la bande côtière sud de l’Iran afin d’éliminer le contrôle iranien sur le détroit d’Ormuz.

    Les rapports indiquent que les récentes frappes américaines ont visé plusieurs ponts et liaisons ferroviaires dans le sud de l’Iran. Dans le même temps, des attaques contre des aéroports ont été signalées. Ces actions pourraient avoir été destinées à perturber la logistique et la mobilité des forces militaires iraniennes dans le sud. Des rapports supplémentaires suggèrent également des frappes contre des pétroliers à Bandar Abbas.

    Parallèlement, des attaques dans le Sistan-et-Baloutchistan, dans le sud-est de l’Iran, ont visé la 88e Division blindée de l’armée iranienne, ainsi que des frappes similaires contre des positions de la 92e Division blindée dans le Khouzistan, à l’ouest-sud.

    Certains analystes interprètent ces opérations comme une tentative de dégrader les capacités militaires de l’Iran le long de ses principaux axes sud, dans le but de réduire les risques associés à tout futur déploiement terrestre.

    Dans le même temps, dans ce qui semble être un schéma récurrent, les frappes américaines ont continué à cibler des installations militaires iraniennes, des missiles, des drones et des radars, ainsi que des installations de la marine de la Garde révolutionnaire islamique (IRGC) le long de la côte sud de l’Iran sur le golfe Persique.

    Prises ensemble, ces évolutions suggèrent de plus en plus un mouvement américain graduel mais persistant vers une possible opération terrestre dans le sud de l’Iran. En d’autres termes, la campagne pourrait aller au-delà d’une simple dégradation de la capacité de l’Iran à menacer la navigation dans le détroit d’Ormuz. Elle pourrait plutôt indiquer que Washington considère le contrôle de la bande côtière sud de l’Iran comme la seule solution définitive au défi du détroit d’Ormuz.

    Si une telle approche existe, elle irait bien au-delà des idées antérieures centrées sur la saisie de l’île de Kharg pour couper les exportations pétrolières de l’Iran ou l’occupation d’îles dominant le détroit pour sécuriser le trafic maritime. Cependant, compte tenu de la longueur de la côte sud de l’Iran – environ 1 800 kilomètres – et de la considérable profondeur stratégique du pays, établir un contrôle complet nécessiterait probablement des centaines de milliers de troupes 1. De plus, même la capture de ces zones ne se traduirait pas nécessairement par la capacité à maintenir un contrôle à long terme.

    Quoi qu’il en soit, les indicateurs actuels suggèrent que nous pourrions approcher de l’escalade la plus significative dans la confrontation États-Unis-Iran depuis février, motivée par l’échec de Washington à atteindre ses objectifs stratégiques. D’un autre côté, comme noté précédemment, les actions de l’Iran jusqu’à présent n’ont pas non plus réussi à présenter un obstacle significatif à cette trajectoire graduelle. Une alternative pour Téhéran pourrait être de se tourner vers la cible d’infrastructures économiques régionales – un mouvement qui élargirait considérablement la portée du conflit et mènerait à une catastrophe à l’échelle régionale.

    1

    [..,] une autre option consisterait en des opérations amphibies limitées contre les îles + la fourniture d’une couverture aérienne aux groupes insurgés ethniques pénétrant dans le pays depuis le sud-ouest et le sud-est.

    • Hamidreza Azizi sur X :
      https://x.com/HamidRezaAz/status/2078266326955569312

      […]

      Du côté américain, les rapports indiquent que plusieurs avions de ravitaillement en vol ont été redéployés d’Europe vers la zone d’opérations du CENTCOM. Beaucoup de ces actifs avaient quitté la région après le cessez-le-feu, rendant leur retour notable au milieu des tensions renouvelées.

      Parallèlement, la portée géographique des frappes américaines semble s’élargir davantage. En plus des zones précédentes dans le sud, les attaques signalées ont atteint Lar dans la province de Fars et Yazd dans l’Iran central – des zones abritant certaines des bases de missiles de l’Iran.

      L’Iran, quant à lui, semble élargir son propre ensemble de cibles. Les Gardiens de la révolution islamique (IRGC) ont revendiqué avoir frappé des installations de drones américains et un centre d’IA à Bahreïn, prétendument utilisé pour soutenir les opérations de ciblage américaines, tout en avertissant qu’ils cibleraient de plus en plus les actifs économiques, technologiques et industriels liés aux intérêts américains dans toute la région.

      Cela marque un changement potentiellement important. Plutôt que de se concentrer principalement sur des cibles militaires, Téhéran signale que les infrastructures associées aux intérêts économiques et technologiques américains pourraient désormais être considérées comme des cibles légitimes si les attaques contre l’Iran se poursuivent.

      Les développements maritimes deviennent également plus préoccupants. Des sources iraniennes ont rapporté qu’un navire battant pavillon thaïlandais a été ciblé après avoir tenté de traverser le détroit d’Ormuz sans coordination avec l’Iran, tout en affirmant plus tard que deux pétroliers ont heurté des mines dans le détroit et pris feu.

      Qu’on puisse ou non vérifier indépendamment toutes ces allégations, elles soulignent les risques croissants pour la navigation commerciale. Même des mines précédemment déployées pourraient avoir un impact significatif sur le trafic maritime.

      Le développement signalé le plus significatif est
      peut-être la frappe iranienne sur la base aérienne Prince-Sultan en Arabie saoudite après que des avions de ravitaillement américains ont prétendument opéré depuis cette base. Cela représente la première attaque iranienne signalée contre une installation américaine en Arabie saoudite depuis le cessez-le-feu d’avril.

      Il est également notable que, la veille, l’Iran a annoncé une attaque sur la base d’al-Tanf en Syrie. Certains analystes iraniens ont interprété cette frappe comme un avertissement au gouvernement syrien de ne pas intervenir au Liban contre le Hezbollah.

      Cela suggère que Téhéran pourrait mettre de côté une partie de la retenue qui a façonné ses réponses antérieures. Au cours des dernières semaines, les attaques iraniennes se sont concentrées principalement sur Bahreïn, le Koweït et la Jordanie, avec des frappes bien plus limitées contre les Émirats arabes unis, le Qatar et Oman. Ce calcul pourrait maintenant changer, Téhéran semblant croire que ces attaques n’ont ni modifié les calculs américains ni changé l’équilibre militaire sur le terrain.

      Les rapports indiquant que d’autres ponts et infrastructures de transport dans le sud de l’Iran continuent d’être ciblés ont également attiré l’attention. Comme mentionné hier, de nombreux analystes iraniens interprètent ces frappes comme faisant partie d’un effort graduel pour dégrader la mobilité et la logistique dans le sud de l’Iran, jetant potentiellement les bases d’options militaires futures impliquant des troupes au sol.

      Du point de vue iranien, cela ne signifie pas nécessairement qu’une opération terrestre américaine est imminente. Cependant, les attaques répétées sur les infrastructures de transport s’inscrivent dans un schéma plus large de préparation du champ de bataille qui ne peut être ignoré. En conséquence, la question pourrait de plus en plus être celle du « quand » plutôt que du « si ».

      Parallèlement, l’Iran poursuit des opérations sur d’autres fronts. L’armée iranienne a annoncé des opérations supplémentaires contre des groupes insurgés kurdes dans le Kurdistan irakien, revendiquant la mort de plusieurs commandants et la destruction de plusieurs installations.

      Il y a également des rapports non vérifiés selon lesquels les Houthis préparent des mesures qui pourraient affecter la navigation à travers le détroit de Bab el-Mandeb. Bien que ces allégations restent incertaines, elles contribuent aux perceptions en Iran selon lesquelles le conflit pourrait de plus en plus s’étendre au-delà de la région immédiate du golfe Persique.

      Globalement, Téhéran semble conclure que son niveau précédent d’« engagement modéré » n’a pas généré une dissuasion suffisante. En conséquence, il est de plus en plus prêt à élargir à la fois la portée géographique de ses opérations et les catégories de cibles qu’il est prêt à frapper.

      Que cela reflète l’effondrement des attentes entourant un cadre négocié ou simplement un effort pour restaurer la dissuasion reste incertain. Ce qui devient cependant de plus en plus évident, c’est que les deux parties augmentent progressivement les enjeux, accroissant le risque que le conflit entre dans une phase plus large et significativement plus dangereuse.

    • Trump a du prévoir que les pays du Golfe importeront de l’eau en bouteille d’une entreprise appartenant à un copain.

      Iran war live : 10,000 without water after US hit ; fire at Kuwait water site | US-Israel war on Iran News | Al Jazeera
      https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/7/18/iran-war-live-us-and-iran-exchange-attacks-for-7th-consecutive-night

      Iran’s national water company says some 10,000 people across 20 villages are without water after overnight US attacks.

      Iran’s army says it has hit US assets in Bahrain, Jordan and Kuwait following the latest round of US strikes.

      Kuwait says Iranian attacks have targeted two power and water plants.

    • U.S. and Iran Edge Closer to All-Out War After U.S. Service Members Killed: Live Updates - The New York Times
      https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/19/world/iran-war-strikes-trump-hormuz

      In a sign that the fighting could intensify, American officials who spoke on the condition of anonymity on Sunday said that the United States was sending more warplanes to the Middle East, a move that was in the works even before the soldiers’ deaths.

      The United States was sending more warplanes to the Middle East, according to American officials who spoke on the condition of anonymity on Sunday, another sign the Trump administration may soon further escalate its strikes against Iran.

      Air Force F-16 fighter jets from Germany and stealthy F-35 jets from Britain were being sent to the Middle East, according to the officials, who were not authorized to publicly discuss operational matters. Additional aerial refueling aircraft were also on the way.

    • Hamidreza Azizi sur X : https://x.com/HamidRezaAz/status/2079520908213936187

      À propos d’un article, qui relève l’efficacité de la stratégie militaire iranienne consistant en une “débasification” (les frappes iraniennes sur les bases US dans la région).

      Azizi :

      Cependant les capacités militaires de l’Iran lui-même – en particulier dans le sud – subissent également une sévère pression.

      Aujourd’hui, par exemple, le ministre iranien des Communications a déclaré que les frappes avaient temporairement perturbé les communications entre le centre et certaines îles iraniennes dans le golfe Persique avant qu’elles ne soient rétablies. C’est une situation hautement dangereuse. La concentration des attaques américaines sur les capacités ISR iraniennes le long de la côte sud, combinée aux forces navales que les États-Unis conservent encore dans la zone d’opérations du CENTCOM, pourrait créer de sérieuses vulnérabilités à long terme.

      Ce risque pourrait être aggravé par la volonté croissante des alliés américains dans le CCG de coopérer plus étroitement avec Washington, motivée par la perception accrue de la menace créée par les attaques iraniennes. À terme, ces dynamiques pourraient générer de grands défis pour la capacité du gouvernement iranien à maintenir un contrôle efficace sur le sud.

      Comme je l’ai mentionné précédemment, il existe déjà des préoccupations à Téhéran selon lesquelles les États-Unis pourraient se préparer à une opération terrestre visant à prendre le contrôle de la côte sud de l’Iran. Cela ne signifie pas qu’une telle opération est imminente. Même les évaluations les plus alarmantes suggèrent que, si elle devait avoir lieu, elle aurait lieu le plus plus probablement à l’automne ou pendant l’hiver, après les élections de mi-mandat américaines et lorsque les conditions météorologiques seraient plus favorables. Néanmoins, c’est un facteur qui doit être pris au sérieux.

      Comme je l’ai également soutenu à plusieurs reprises, l’asymétrie centrale réside dans le fait que le territoire iranien est directement ciblé, tandis que l’Iran frappe des bases américaines dans la région. Cela crée des seuils de douleurs politique et sociétale très différents.

      Bien sûr, même une opération réussie visant à dégrader les capacités iraniennes dans le sud n’aurait pas nécessairement un impact décisif sur la capacité en missiles de l’Iran. Cette capacité est largement dispersée à travers le pays et devient de plus en plus précise. L’Iran conserverait donc une capacité significative à infliger des dommages aux forces américaines, en particulier si elles devaient entrer sur le territoire iranien.

      Mon point plus large est que même une stratégie de « débasification » réussie ne produirait pas nécessairement des dividendes stratégiques immédiats pour l’Iran. C’est pourquoi je continue à parler de l’absence d’une grande stratégie claire pour la victoire et, tout aussi important, pour gérer la phase post-victoire.

      Tout bien considéré, la seule option véritablement efficace pour les deux parties semble être un retour à la diplomatie et la poursuite d’un règlement négocié.

    • Hamidreza Azizi :
      https://x.com/HamidRezaAz/status/2080277298628988977

      Signs of a Major Escalation in the U.S.-#Iran War

      – Multiple developments over the past several hours suggest that the U.S. war on #Iran may be approaching a significant escalation.

      – Last night’s U.S. strike on the Shalamcheh border crossing between Iran and Iraq has been interpreted as a possible preparatory move for the deployment of special operations or ground forces. Alternatively, the strike may have been intended to facilitate the advance of armed insurgent groups.

      – In the same context, the drone strike on the Al-Abdali border crossing between Iraq and Kuwait was likely carried out by Iran or its Iraqi allies in an effort to disrupt the U.S. logistical corridor linking the two countries.

      – Meanwhile, reports indicate that shelters have been opened at multiple locations across Israel. Similar measures preceded earlier escalations, including the 12-Day War and the 40-Day War, suggesting that Israeli authorities are preparing for possible Iranian missile attacks.

      – France and the United Kingdom have also reportedly evacuated their embassies in Iran as of today.

      – Trump, for his part, has declared that he holds Iran responsible for Houthi attacks on shipping in the Red Sea and the Bab al-Mandab Strait. This statement could provide a pretext for intensifying U.S. strikes against Iran in response to future Houthi operations.

      – The warning should be viewed alongside Trump’s earlier statement on Wednesday that any future Iranian attack on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz would be met with a U.S. strike on an Iranian bridge or power plant. He has also indicated that a U.S. attack on Iran’s underground nuclear facilities at “Pickaxe Mountain” is inevitable.

      – At the same time, the United States appears to be reducing its military presence at bases closer to Iran, including in Qatar. Open-source reporting also points to a large-scale transfer of military equipment from the United States and Europe to Israel, along with increased activity by reconnaissance, command-and-control, and electronic warfare aircraft across the region. The United States has also deployed B-1 strategic bombers to the theater.

      – Iran has warned that any attack on its infrastructure or nuclear facilities will be met with comparable strikes against regional targets. Several Iranian analysts also argue that, should the United States substantially intensify its campaign, Iran would likely strike strategic targets inside Israel regardless of whether Israel is directly involved in the operation.

      Overall, these developments suggest that the conflict may be entering a more dangerous phase, potentially comparable to the peak of the 40-Day War.

    • Trump Is Losing Patience Over an Iran War With No Clear End in Sight - WSJ
      https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/trump-is-losing-patience-over-an-iran-war-with-no-clear-end-in-sight-c411d3cd

      Trump has […] told people that he thinks he can break the Iranians’ will through an aggressive bombing campaign, according to a person familiar with his views.

      “I believe he thinks he gave peace a chance,” said Rep. Michael McCaul (R., Texas), a senior member of the House Foreign Affairs Committee. “He’s going back to Plan A, which is the military operation.”

    • Danny (Dennis) Citrinowicz ,داني سيترينوفيتش sur X :
      https://x.com/citrinowicz/status/2081450732851495145

      Those who believe the United States can simply maintain maritime pressure indefinitely underestimate Tehran’s position. From Iran’s perspective, if it cannot export its own oil, then no one else should be able to do so freely through the Gulf. Meanwhile, renewed tensions between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis further strengthen Iran’s strategic position by increasing pressure on global shipping and energy markets.

      President Trump is therefore confronting one of the most consequential strategic decisions of his presidency. Every available option carries significant costs. But if the United States is not prepared to commit the military resources necessary to secure the Strait of Hormuz or to eliminate Iran’s remaining enriched uranium capability, then a negotiated settlement may ultimately be the more realistic path forward.

    • Esfandyar Batmanghelidj :
      https://x.com/yarbatman/status/2082397962949312880

      Iran’s latest ballistic missile attacks and the continued rejection of compromise solutions on the Strait of Hormuz might seem like indications that “hardline” thinking is dominating Iran’s national security strategy.

      But my conversations with counterparts in Tehran suggest that something else is at play. Iranian decisionmaking is increasingly shaped by an intense pessimism about what diplomacy with the U.S. can achieve. Most senior figures, whether pragmatists or hardliners, simply do not believe a deal is possible. This pessimism has gotten worse since the MOU was signed.

      […]

    • Iran Gambles on Escalation With Surprise Attack on U.S. Forces - WSJ
      https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-gambles-on-escalation-with-surprise-attack-on-u-s-forces-72cfd422

      Iran’s surprise missile attack on U.S. forces in Jordan shows Tehran’s military leaders would rather risk ramping up the war than play defense or accept a peace deal that would expose them to greater domestic political pressures.

      Iran fired ballistic missiles on U.S. troops early Wednesday local time, demonstrating a willingness by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, which exerts more power than ever in Tehran, to escalate during a relative lull in the conflict and attempt to seize the initiative after weeks in which Iran has mostly reacted to U.S. and Israeli attacks.

      “They see themselves as having the upper hand,” said Hamidreza Azizi, a visiting fellow specializing in Iran at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs. “It was a signal of a sort of calibrated escalation.”

  • Titre complètement trompeur, d’ailleurs différent de celui auquel on accède et qui est le suivant : « US, Gulf allies threaten Iran with sanctions in UN proposal if it doesn’t release Hormuz chokehold »

    UN considers threatening Iran with sanctions over strait closure | AP News
    https://apnews.com/article/un-us-iran-gulf-resolution-strait-hormuz-fb9532308885dd260bf8f44353d51b0a

    While Rubio said he looks forward to the resolution being voted on in the coming days, he told journalists later in the day that he remained uncertain if “slight adjustments” the U.S. made to the text would be enough to avoid a veto from Tehran’s allies on the council. These adjustments included removing language authorizing the use of force and focusing instead on the threat of sanctions.

  • Shanaka Anslem Perera / X – There are two clocks running in the Hormuz crisis. One belongs to the insurance industry. The other belongs to biology. They cannot be reconciled.
    https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2034134599446761666

    There are two clocks running in the Hormuz crisis. One belongs to the insurance industry. The other belongs to biology. They cannot be reconciled. And that irreconcilability is the single most important fact in the global food system right now.

    The insurance clock: P&I clubs cancelled Gulf war-risk cover on March 5. Premiums surged from 0.25 percent to 5 percent of hull value. For commercial shipping to resume at scale, insurers require a sustained period of incident-free stability before reinstating cover. Industry precedent from the Red Sea Houthi crisis shows what that timeline looks like. Houthi attacks began in November 2023. It is now March 2026. Twenty-six months later, Red Sea war-risk premiums remain elevated. Lloyd’s and the International Group of P&I Clubs do not respond to military press releases. They respond to actuarial loss ratios measured over quarters, not days.

    Even in the most optimistic scenario, if a full ceasefire were announced tomorrow morning and every Iranian provincial command stood down simultaneously, maritime insurers would require a minimum of 30 to 60 days of zero incidents before beginning to normalise premiums. Underwriters would then need to reassess hull values, renegotiate reinsurance treaties, and reprocess hundreds of individual vessel policies. The fastest realistic timeline for commercial shipping to resume normal Hormuz transit after a verified ceasefire is 60 to 90 days. More realistically, based on the Red Sea precedent, partial normalisation takes six months or longer.

    The planting clock: Corn Belt nitrogen application must occur by mid-April. India’s Kharif preparation runs through May. Bangladesh’s Boro season is underway now. Australia’s winter crop urea window opens in June. These are not political deadlines that can be extended by negotiation. They are biochemical windows defined by soil temperature, moisture content, and crop physiology. Nitrogen applied outside these windows either volatilises into the atmosphere or fails to metabolise in time to support yield formation.

    The two clocks do not overlap.

    The insurance clock says: even under perfect conditions, commercial shipping cannot resume normal fertiliser transit through Hormuz before late May at the earliest. The planting clock says: nitrogen must reach American soil by mid-April, Indian soil by May, and Bangladeshi soil now. The insurance recovery timeline structurally exceeds the biological deadline by weeks to months.

    This means that even a ceasefire tomorrow does not save the 2026 spring planting season. The military victory has been achieved. The enrichment programme is destroyed. The anti-ship missile sites are penetrated. But the insurance architecture that governs whether a commercial vessel can legally carry urea through the strait operates on a timeline that no military operation can compress.

    NOLA urea at $683 per ton reflects this. The market is not pricing a shortage that might happen. It is pricing a shortage that is already locked in by the structural mismatch between two clocks that no ceasefire, no escort convoy, and no deep-penetrator strike can synchronise.

    A bomb can destroy a bunker in seconds. An insurer takes months to forget it happened. And a corn plant needs nitrogen in four weeks regardless of what either of them decides.

    The planting clock does not wait for the insurance clock. The insurance clock does not accelerate for the planting clock. And somewhere between the two, the yield losses that will feed into food prices, import bills, and hunger statistics for the rest of 2026 are being determined right now by a mismatch that has no solution inside the current architecture.

  • Israeli military drops charges against soldiers charged with abusing Palestinian prisoner
    By JULIA FRANKEL | March 12, 2026 | AP News
    https://apnews.com/article/israel-gaza-war-palestinians-prison-abuse-b11e5f0639b7fe51c5ea101f4b320f56

    JERUSALEM (AP) — The Israeli military says it is dropping charges against five soldiers who were accused of sexually abusing a Palestinian detainee in a purported assault partially caught on camera.

    It’s a bombshell development in a case that has divided Israel ever since the country moved to arrest the soldiers at the Sde Teiman military prison, which was set up to hold Palestinians rounded up in Gaza during Israel’s war against the Hamas militant group, in 2024.

    The alleged assault occurred on July 5, 2024, according to the indictment against the accused soldiers.

    A video of the alleged assault, which was aired by Israeli news, shows soldiers taking a detainee into an area they cordoned off with shields in an apparent attempt to hide their actions. The indictment said the soldiers assaulted the Palestinian prisoner and sodomized him with a knife, causing multiple injuries. (...)

    #Impunité

    • Israel Drops Charges Against Soldiers Who Raped Palestinian Prisoner
      Mar 13, 2026 | - IMEMC News
      https://imemc.org/article/israel-drops-charges-against-soldiers-who-raped-palestinian-prisoner

      As the world is busy with the regional war Israel has ignited against Iran, the Israeli military court dropped charges against five soldiers for raping a Palestinian detainee at the Sde Teiman prison in July 2024.

      The soldiers were originally indicted for ‘severe abuse’ after stabbing the detainee with a sharp object near his rectum, causing a ruptured bowel, lung damage, and broken ribs.

      CCTV footage leaked by Israel’s Channel 12 showed the soldiers forming a human barrier around the victim as he was pinned against a wall and later lying on the floor.

      Despite polygraph tests indicating the suspects were lying about inserting an object into the detainee’s anus, the charges were dropped. Prime Minister Netanyahu praised the decision, stating, ‘The State of Israel must hunt down its enemies, not its own heroic fighters.’

      According to Quds News, the military top lawyer announced Thursday that he had ordered the indictment against Israeli reservists dropped in the case.

  • Callers to Washington state hotline press 2 for Spanish and get accented AI English instead
    https://apnews.com/article/washington-dol-spanish-accent-ai-3a1b8438a5674c07242a8d48c057d5a3

    For months, callers to the Washington state Department of Licensing who have requested automated service in Spanish have instead heard an AI voice speaking English in a strong Spanish accent. The agency has since apologized and says it’s trying to fix the problem.

    https://assets.apnews.com/c3/e3/78051df30e0cb706e48389b67d74/usspanish-accentphone-recordingrecording-short-apa441460.mp3

  • Réponse à mes détracteurs, par Francesca Albanese
    (Le Monde diplomatique, mars 2026)
    https://www.monde-diplomatique.fr/2026/03/ALBANESE/69365

    (...) Nommée par le Conseil des droits de l’homme de l’Organisation des Nations unies (ONU), je suis rapporteuse spéciale depuis le 1er mai 2022, et jusqu’en 2028. Huitième titulaire de ce mandat — et première femme à ce poste —, j’ai assumé cet engagement bénévole après une carrière consacrée à la défense des droits humains, principalement auprès des Nations unies — notamment au Haut-Commissariat aux droits de l’homme et à l’Office de secours et de travaux des Nations unies pour les réfugiés de Palestine dans le Proche-Orient (Unrwa) à Jérusalem —, et à la recherche universitaire sur la Palestine.

    L’attention portée à Israël ne relève ni d’un choix personnel ni d’un parti pris : elle découle de la résolution 1993/2A du Conseil des droits de l’homme, adoptée le 19 février 1993 en réponse à près de trente ans d’occupation de Gaza, de la Cisjordanie et de Jérusalem-Est. M’accuser de « manquer de neutralité » revient à déformer sciemment ce mandat. Aucun des quatorze autres rapporteurs des Nations unies investis d’un mandat-pays ne fait l’objet de telles attaques ; nul n’accuse les titulaires chargés de l’Afghanistan, de la Russie ou de l’Iran d’« obsession » dans l’exercice de leur mission. Mais, dès lors qu’Israël est concerné, l’accomplissement ordinaire d’un mandat devient aux yeux de certains, au sein même des gouvernements, une faute à justifier plutôt qu’un devoir à remplir. (...)

  • Canada prepares aid package for Cuba | AP News
    https://apnews.com/article/canada-cuba-aid-embargo-03a9345c6dc02433448d8d0825f8d1d9

    Canada would join Mexico in providing aid.

    Two Mexican Navy ships laden with humanitarian aid docked in Cuba earlier this month, two weeks after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to impose tariffs on countries that sell oil to the island, deepening an already severe economic and energy crisis in the Caribbean nation. The ships brought about 800 tons of goods, and another 1,500 tons of powdered milk and beans.

  • Max Blumenthal sur X : “Not enough people are talking about the fact that Israel likely tested a nuclear weapon last month in Dimona and that most of humanity is within range of its Jericho III nuclear missiles https://t.co/uMaYluhkm8” / X
    https://x.com/MaxBlumenthal/status/2025433797282484322

    Not enough people are talking about the fact that Israel likely tested a nuclear weapon last month in Dimona and that most of humanity is within range of its Jericho III nuclear missiles

    • Israel is building at a suspected nuclear weapons site, satellite photos show | AP News (03/09/2025)
      https://apnews.com/article/israel-dimona-nuclear-weapons-construction-reactor-3f5cbd0aaf25e2c087b881f63

      DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Construction work has intensified on a major new structure at a facility key to Israel’s long-suspected atomic weapons program, according to satellite images analyzed by experts. They say it could be a new reactor or a facility to assemble nuclear arms — but secrecy shrouding the program makes it difficult to know for sure.

      The work at the Shimon Peres Negev Nuclear Research Center near the city of Dimona will renew questions about Israel’s widely believed status as the Mideast’s only nuclear-armed state.

      It could also draw international criticism, especially since it comes after Israel and the United States bombed nuclear sites across Iran in June over their fears that the Islamic Republic could use its enrichment facilities to pursue an atomic weapon. Among the sites attacked was Iran’s heavy water reactor at Arak.


      This file image, made from footage aired on Jan. 7, 2005, by Israeli television station Channel 10, shows what the channel claims is Israel’s nuclear facility near Dimona, the first detailed video of the site ever shown to the public.
      Channel 10 via AP, File

      Seven experts who examined the images all said they believed the construction was related to Israel’s long-suspected nuclear weapons program, given its proximity to the reactor at Dimona, where no civilian power plant exists. However, they split on what the new construction could be.

      Three said the location and size of the area under construction and the fact that it appeared to have multiple floors meant the most likely explanation for the work was the construction of a new heavy water reactor. Such reactors can produce plutonium and another material key to nuclear weapons.

      The other four acknowledged it could be a heavy water reactor but also suggested the work could be related to a new facility for assembling nuclear weapons. They declined to be definitive given the construction was still in an early stage.


      Satellite imagery by Planet Labs PBC
      Graphic by: Phil Holm

      “It’s probably a reactor — that judgement is circumstantial but that’s the nature of these things,” said Jeffrey Lewis, an expert at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies, who based his assessment on the images and Dimona’s history. “It’s very hard to imagine it is anything else.”

      Israel does not confirm or deny having atomic weapons, and its government did not respond to requests for comment. The White House, which is Israel’s staunchest ally, also did not respond to requests for comment.

    • Film offers glimpse of Dimona reactor | The Jerusalem Post
      (02/01/2008)

      film évidemment totalement introuvable…

      https://www.jpost.com/israel/film-offers-glimpse-of-dimona-reactor/article-87498
      https://images.jpost.com/image/upload/f_auto,fl_lossy/q_auto/c_fill,g_faces:center,h_720,w_1280/3060

      Israel’s secretive nuclear facility is trying to recruit new workers with a rare glimpse of the interior of the reactor complex that shows “it’s very pretty inside,” a spokeswoman for the Israel Atomic Commission said Wednesday. The film was shown at a job fair at Ben Gurion University, not far from where the reactor is located in the southern desert town of Dimona. Nili Lifshitz, a spokeswoman for Israel’s Atomic Commission, said this wasn’t the first time film from the plant was publicly displayed, and no sensitive material was shown. “We showed footage to show the place is very pretty inside and that regular people work there,” Lifshitz told The Associated Press. “This year a lot of people are retiring at once and the demand for engineers and physics experts is very high,” she said, “and so we decided to show the film to compete with the other companies.” Pictures extracted from the film of the facility published in Yediot Ahronot Wednesday show the nuclear compound lit up at night, a production line for equipment used in nuclear medicine and a radiation detector. Israel is widely believed to be the only country in the Middle East to have nuclear weapons, though it maintains a policy of “ambiguity,” insisting it will not be the first to introduce nuclear weapons into the region, without confirming or denying their existence. Much of the evidence that it has nuclear weapons is based on details and pictures leaked in 1986 by Israeli nuclear technician Mordechai Vanunu, who worked at the Dimona reactor. The details divulged by Vanunu and published in the Sunday Times of London led experts to conclude that Israel has the world’s sixth-largest stockpile of nuclear weapons, including hundreds of warheads. Vanunu was later kidnapped by Mossad agents and brought back to Israel to stand trial. Israel’s doctrine of “ambiguity” is meant to deter potential enemies from attacking. Officially, the nuclear facility in Dimona and a smaller reactor in Soreq, nearer the center of the country, are for research.

    • ’Israel and the Bomb’ : Documents : Dimona Revealed
      https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/israel/documents/reveal/index.html

      […]
      In early December 1960 the CIA distributed its findings to other government agencies, including the White House, State Department and congress. Dimona was revealed.
      On December 7, 1960, an action on the matter was taken. The State Department summoned Israeli Ambassador and asked Israel for explanation. For the first time Dimona was placed on the table.

      The late discovery of Dimona was clearly a major blunder of the American intelligence community. In comparative terms, that failure was more severe than the 1998 failure of the CIA to identify the Indian test because of both the length of time involved and because it involved the misreading of many pieces of available information.

      From an Israeli perspective, however, this failure was crucial for the survival of the nuclear project. Had the U.S. discovered Dimona soon after launching, and exerted political pressure on both France and Israel, the Dimona project might have never been completed.

      In retrospect, the late 1950s might have been the only time that the United States could have successfully pressured Israel to give up its nuclear weapons project in exchange American security guarantee, but the opportunity was not explored.

    • The story of how France helped Israel to build the Dimona nuclear power plant (and then imposed an arms embargo on Tel Aviv)
      https://theaviationgeekclub.com/the-story-of-how-france-helped-israel-to-build-the-dimona-nucle

      […]
      The Dimona nuclear power plant
      Shimon Peres later signed a contract with Saint-Gobain in October 1957 for the plant to be located at Dimona in southern Israel. The CEA, under the direction of Pierre Guillaumat, was part of the project. Located in the heart of the Negev desert, it was intended that the plant would not attract curiosity, it being officially designated a textile factory. However, designed on the same model as the Marcoule nuclear power plant in France, Dimona was built to be able to produce plutonium.

      The work was carried out under the auspices of companies specially chosen by the CEA whose names could not give any hint of the reality of their profession. The construction was entrusted to the Societé Alsacienne de Construction Mécanique (SACM), which later became the Financing and Business Study Company (SEFE). The reactor was entrusted to the Société Industrielle d’Etude et de Construction Chimique, a nominee of Saint-Gobain.

      More than 300 French people were working on site in the Negev desert. Many of them moved to Israel with their families, which provided a Gallic hint to the city of Beer-Sheva, 13km to the east of the site. French could be heard spoken in the city’s streets, while local restaurants adapted menus from Paris and provided traditional French cooking.

      French arms and French arms embargo
      Such details aroused the suspicions of the CIA, which directed U-2 spy planes to fly over the area to discover just what was going on. Years later, in 1986, Mordechaï Vanunu, an engineer from Dimona, caused irreparable damage to the project, providing the Sunday Times in London with pictures revealing the installations at the site. Subsequently captured by Israeli agents, Vanunu was sentenced to 18 years in prison. He was released on probation in 2004, with a ban on him meeting journalists.

      As work on the Dimona site was being carried out, General de Gaulle reassured Israel about France’s commitment to the project. The strategic relationship between the countries was accompanied by the delivery of French arms: first Ouragan fighters, Mystères, then Mirage IIIs and above all MD-620 missiles, a strategic weapon specifically manufactured by Dassault for Israel.

      Matters then began to turn sour. Just after the Six-Day War, President de Gaulle decreed an arms embargo, an opportunity for France to restore Arab diplomacy. The Mirage V ordered by Israel was not delivered, instead being donated to the French Air Force. Valéry Giscard d’Estaing maintained terrible relations with Israel in the 1970s.

    • Negev Nuclear Research Center - Israel - YouTube
      (20/11/2013)
      avec certaines des photos diffusées par Mordechai Vanunu
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MbsNGkMgC0Y

      According to the IAEC’s website, the main purpose of the research conducted at the Negev Nuclear Research Center (NNRC) is to “broaden basic knowledge in nuclear sciences and adjacent fields and to provide the foundation for the practical and economic utilization of nuclear energy.” According to other reports and the revelations of Israeli nuclear whistleblower Mordechai #Vanunu, the NNRC consists of ten different “machons” or institutes.

  • Bayer strikes $7.25 billion deal to settle Roundup cancer lawsuits | AP News
    https://apnews.com/article/bayer-monsanto-roundup-lawsuits-settlement-154ad7c6bdff3a91b06c4e327321160b
    https://dims.apnews.com/dims4/default/cb187b0/2147483647/strip/true/crop/2692x1794+0+131/resize/980x653!/quality/90/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.apnews.com%2F5b%2F8f%2Fac8cd3be9d0e017d803743

    Le « modèle Monsanto » est devenu « européen », mais ça ne change pas grand chose à « l’art du deal » : rendre les gens malades en le sachant pertinemment, mais se dédouaner des conséquences en versant des sommes dérisoires en regard du coût (individuel et social) des maladies découlant d’un usage du pesticide.

    By DAVID A. LIEB
    Updated 12:01 AM UTC+1, February 18, 2026

    JEFFERSON CITY, Mo. (AP) — Agrochemical maker Bayer and attorneys for cancer patients announced a proposed $7.25 billion settlement Tuesday to resolve thousands of U.S. lawsuits alleging the company failed to warn people that its popular weedkiller Roundup could cause cancer.

    The proposed settlement comes as the U.S. Supreme Court is preparing to hear arguments in April on Bayer’s assertion that the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s approval of Roundup without a cancer warning should invalidate claims filed in state courts. That case would not be affected by the proposed settlement.

    But the settlement would eliminate some of the risk from an eventual Supreme Court ruling. Patients would be assured of receiving settlement money even if the Supreme Court rules in Bayer’s favor. And Bayer would be protected from potentially larger costs if the high court rules against it.

    Germany-based Bayer, which acquired Roundup maker Monsanto in 2018, disputes the assertion that Roundup’s key ingredient, glyphosate, can cause non-Hodgkin lymphoma. But the company has warned that mounting legal costs are threatening its ability to continue selling the product in U.S. agricultural markets.

    “Litigation uncertainly has plagued the company for years, and this settlement gives the company a road to closure,” Bayer CEO Bill Anderson said Tuesday.

    The proposed settlement was filed in St. Louis Circuit Court in Missouri, home to Bayer’s North America crop science division and the state where many of the lawsuits have been brought. The settlement still needs the court’s approval.

    Settlement payouts to the sick would vary

    About 200,000 Roundup-related claims have been made against Bayer. That includes more than 125,000 plaintiffs who sued since 2015, according to the settlement documents. Few cases have gone to jurors, with 13 verdicts for Bayer and 11 for plaintiffs, including a $2.1 billion award by a Georgia jury last year. Others already have been resolved through separate settlements, including two recent ones that would take care of about 77,000 claims, the court documents said.

    The newly proposed nationwide settlement is designed to address most of the remaining lawsuits, as well as any additional cases brought in the coming years by people who were exposed to Roundup before Tuesday. If too many plaintiffs opt out of the proposed settlement, Bayer said it reserves the right to cancel it. But Bayer did not specify how many opt-outs would have to occur.

    The deal calls for Bayer to make annual payments into a special fund for up to 21 years, totaling as much as $7.25 billion. The amount of money paid out to individuals would vary depending on how they used Roundup, how old they were when diagnosed and the severity of their non-Hodgkin lymphoma.

    An agricultural, industrial or turf worker exposed at length to Roundup would receive an average of $165,000 if they were diagnosed with an aggressive form of the illness while younger than age 60, according to the proposed settlement. Meanwhile, a residential Roundup user diagnosed between the ages of 60-77 with a less aggressive form of the illness would receive an average of $20,000. And those diagnosed at age 78 or older would get an average of $10,000.

    “No settlement can erase a diagnosis, but this agreement is designed to ensure that both today’s and tomorrow’s patients have access to meaningful compensation,” said attorney Christopher Seeger, who would represent current claimants under the settlement.

    Whether that compensation seems meaningful to patients remains to be seen. Attorney Matt Clement, who represents about 280 Roundup plaintiffs, said he was surprised by the proposed settlement and expects a lot of his clients will opt out.

    The proposed payouts “are exceedingly too small,” Clement said.
    Bayer gets Trump’s backing in court

    Because of lawsuits, Bayer already has stopped using glyphosate in Roundup sold in the U.S. residential lawn and garden market. But glyphosate remains in agricultural products. It is designed to be used with genetically modified seeds that can resist the weedkiller’s deadly effect, thus allowing farmers to produce more while conserving the soil by tilling it less.

    Though some studies associate glyphosate with cancer, the EPA has said it is not likely to be carcinogenic to humans when used as directed. The federally approved label for Roundup includes no warning of cancer.

    Bayer contends that federal pesticide laws preempt states from adopting additional labeling for products and thus prohibit failure-to-warn lawsuits brought under state laws. Bayer is making that argument to the Supreme Court in an appeal of a Missouri case that awarded $1.25 million to a man who developed non-Hodgkin lymphoma after spraying Roundup on a community garden in St. Louis.

    President Donald Trump’s administration has weighed in on Bayer’s behalf, reversing the position of former President Joe Biden’s administration and putting it at odds with some supporters of the Make America Healthy Again agenda who oppose giving the company the legal immunity it seeks.

    The company simultaneously has been lobbying state legislatures to shield pesticide manufacturers from state failure-to-warn lawsuits when their products follow federal labeling requirements. North Dakota became the first state to enact such a law last April. Georgia became the second state to do so in May.
    DAVID A. LIEB
    DAVID A. LIEB
    Lieb covers issues and trends in state governments across the U.S. He’s reported about government and

    #RoundUp #Santé_publique #Glyphosate #Cynisme_industriel

  • A chatbot entirely powered by humans, not artificial intelligence? This Chilean community shows why | AP News
    https://apnews.com/article/ai-human-chatbot-chile-quiliai-data-centers-water-a798d7d1ae3b2fd7646ec5dbfc

    About 50 residents of a community outside Chile’s capital spent Saturday trying their best to power an entirely human-operated chatbot that could answer questions and make silly pictures on command, in a message to highlight the environmental toll of artificial intelligence data centers in the region.

  • Le Premier ministre canadien se rend en #Chine, inaugurant une « nouvelle ère ».
    https://www.vietnam.vn/fr/thu-tuong-canada-tham-trung-quoc-mo-ra-ky-nguyen-moi

    Lors de la séance d’ouverture d’une réunion bilatérale, le Premier ministre canadien a souligné : « De l’énergie à l’agriculture, en passant par les échanges entre nos peuples, le #multilatéralisme et les questions de sécurité, nous sommes convaincus que l’esprit et le contenu de ces discussions et de ces accords seront très bénéfiques pour chacun de nos citoyens. »

    #canada

  • Delcy Rodríguez et la vice-présidence (exécutive) du Venezuela
    (petite recherche sur le thème)

    • Delcy Rodríguez a prêté serment comme présidente, le 5 janvier 2026, devant l’Assemblée nationale et son président, son frère Jorge.

    • la constitution de la république bolivienne du Venezuela https://www.oas.org/dil/esp/constitucion_venezuela.pdf prévoit deux cas de figure pour l’empêchement du président : total (art. 233, falta absoluta) ou temporaire art. 234, falta temporal). Dans le premier cas, si l’empêchement a lieu dans les 4 premières années du mandat (de 6 ans) du président, ce qui est le cas, la vice-présidente exerce la fonction de président en attendant une nouvelle élection dans les 30 jours. Dans le cas temporaire, la vice-présidente exerce la présidence pour une période de 90 jours, renouvelable une fois.

    • la Cour suprême vénézuélienne (Tribunal supremo de Justicia siégeant en cours constitutionnelle sala Constitucional) par un arrêt du 3 janvier, n’a pas admis l’empêchement absolu et a ordonné que la vice-présidente assume et exerce la charge de président de la RBV, munie de la totalité de ses attributions, devoirs et facultés, sans préciser de durée
    http://historico.tsj.gob.ve/decisiones/scon/enero/352131-0001-3126-2026-26-0001.HTML
    on n’est donc pas, non plus, dans la situation de falta temporal

    • le père, Jorge Antonio Rodríguez, militant politique, fut fondateur de la Ligue socialiste, parti marxiste-léniniste, avec, entre autres, un certain Nicolás Maduro, parti qui fut dissous en 2007 pour participer à la création du PSUV, de Hugo Chávez. Il mourut torturé par la police vénézuélienne en 1976 (Delcy avait 7 ans) dans le cadre de l’enquête sur l’enlèvement par un groupe guérillero d’un homme d’affaires états-unien, William Niehous, enlevé en février 1976, détenu 40 mois et libéré, par hasard, le 30 juin 1979.
    https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jorge_Antonio_Rodríguez
    https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liga_Socialista_(Venezuela)
    https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Niehous

    • Delcy Rodríguez a fait des études de droit à l’UCV à Caracas avec une spécialisation en droit du travail à Paris-X Nanterre
    https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delcy_Rodríguez
    et
    https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delcy_Rodríguez

    • un site indépendant uruguayen, reprenant un article de l’AP de Miami, sort une vieille (2017) histoire la concernant : alors qu’elle était ministre des Relations extérieures, elle aurait ordonné à la compagnie Citgo (filiale états-unienne de PDVSA) de versé 500 000 dollars pour l’investiture de Donald J. Trump (premier mandat). L’année d’après, Citgo a été l’enjeu de procès aux États-Unis qui ont abouti à la faire passer sous le contrôle de l’opposition vénézuélienne, alors sous la bannière du président par intérim Juan Guaidó. L’article mentionne que ses relations avec Chávez n’ont pas toujours été apaisées (en 2006, elle s’est fait éjectée de l’avion présidentiel et a dû revenir par ses propres moyens de Moscou…) Toujours d’après l’article, elle serait la chouchoute des boligarques

    Cómo Delcy Rodríguez cortejó a Donald Trump y llegó al poder en Venezuela

    https://bitacora.com.uy/como-delcy-rodriguez-cortejo-a-donald-trump-y-llego-al-poder-en-venezue
    (l’article est visiblement repris tel quel à travers une traduction automatique car Nicolás Maduro est systématiquement appelé Madurado (mûri) au lieu de Maduro (mûr)…)
    sur #Citgo, quelques entrées ici-même, à l’époque…

    • enfin, pour la petite histoire, le site s’appelle bitácora, nom qui désigne l’habitacle (du compas) sur un navire (et qui vient d’ailleurs du mot français)
    Habitacle (marine) — Wikipédia
    https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Habitacle_(marine)


    Habitacle avec des sphères de compensation de chaque côté et clinomètre sous la boussole
    https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bitácora
    Le Wiktionnaire en donne une version internet comme journal de bord, voire blog
    https://fr.wiktionary.org/wiki/bitácora
    (j’apprends aussi les mots chanchullo / chanchullero, magouille / magouilleur …)

    • l’article original d’AP
      Delcy Rodriguez made a gamble early in her career on courting the Trump administration | AP News
      https://apnews.com/article/delcy-rodriguez-maduro-trump-venezuela-e71f2289bc801446e05550d8f900a8d1

      et son auteur

      Joshua Goodman is a Miami-based investigative reporter who spent two decades reporting from South America. From 2013 to 2019, he led AP’s bureau in Venezuela, where he interviewed then-president Nicolás Maduro and spoke frequently with Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela’s new interim president.

    • Elle aurait (conditionnel) des relations suivies avec l’émirat du Qatar. Affirmations en provenace d’un torchon de Miami...

      https://guacamayave.com/en/delcy-rodriguez-visits-qatar-on-her-return-from-china-visit/Investigación periodística estadounidense, publicada en octubre, daba a conocer que desde abril de 2025 que la ahora presidenta interina de Venezuela estaba en negociaciones con el Gobierno de Donald Trump y que siempre estuvo contemplado que ella encabezara el país.

      https://guacamayave.com/en/delcy-rodriguez-visits-qatar-on-her-return-from-china-visit
      Guacamaya, April 29, 2025. Venezuela’s Executive Vice President and Minister of Hydrocarbons, Delcy Rodríguez, arrived in Qatar on Monday as part of her latest international tour, where she met with the head of state, Emir Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani.

      Rodríguez was returning from her visit to China, where she stopped in Beijing and Shanghai. Among her key meetings were discussions with Han Zheng and representatives from the China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC).

      Qatar has signed trade and investment agreements with Venezuela. However, the most significant aspect has been Doha’s role as a facilitator of dialogue between the U.S. and Venezuelan governments.

    • Venezuela entra en un limbo tras decisión del TSJ sobre Delcy Rodríguez
      https://cronica.uno/venezuela-entra-en-un-limbo-constitucional-tras-decision-del-tsj-sobre-inte

      El TSJ fue explícito en un punto clave: la medida no decide si la falta de Maduro es temporal o absoluta. Esa calificación queda diferida para procedimientos posteriores y para los órganos competentes, en particular la Asamblea Nacional. Mientras tanto, se activa el régimen de falta temporal, que permite un plazo de hasta 90 días, prorrogables por otros 90 con aprobación parlamentaria, sin convocar elecciones inmediatas.

      en même temps, le gouvernement a décrété l’état d’exception, activant un décret de N. Maduro antidaté

      Estado de conmoción y poderes excepcionales
      En paralelo a la sentencia del TSJ, el Gobierno activó un Decreto de Estado de Conmoción Exterior en todo el territorio nacional, tras invocar el artículo 338 de la Constitución, uno de los mecanismos de excepción más severos del ordenamiento venezolano.

      El decreto, según fuentes oficiales, fue firmado con antelación por Maduro y activado de inmediato tras la operación militar estadounidense. Durante una reunión del Consejo de Defensa de la Nación, presidido por Delcy Rodríguez, se anunció su ejecución y remisión al TSJ para el control de constitucionalidad exigido por el artículo 339.
      […]
      En la práctica, el Estado de conmoción exterior refuerza la estrategia oficialista de continuidad institucional, otorga facultades ampliadas al Ejecutivo encargado y posterga cualquier escenario electoral inmediato, en abierta tensión con la presión internacional liderada por EE. UU.

      Impacto político e internacional
      La resolución del TSJ contrasta con las expectativas de sectores opositores que reclamaban la activación del artículo 233 y la convocatoria inmediata a elecciones. Para estos actores, la interpretación judicial “prioriza la continuidad del gobierno chavista” y posterga una transición democrática efectiva.

      Desde Washington, el presidente Donald Trump ha insistido en que EE. UU. asumirá un control temporal del país hasta lograr una “transición pacífica y sensata”. Ha mencionado la posibilidad de negociar con figuras del oficialismo, incluida Rodríguez, pero también ha advertido sobre nuevas acciones si no hay cooperación.
      […]
      Por ahora, Venezuela queda atrapada entre una sucesión interna diseñada para ganar tiempo y una presión externa que exige cambios rápidos, con el calendario electoral en suspenso y el pulso político lejos de resolverse.

  • Gideon Saar: Israel foreign minister visits Somaliland after recognising its sovereignty
    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwyrexdgzn9o

    Israel’s foreign minister has arrived in the breakaway state of Somaliland, marking the first official visit since Israel controversially recognised Somaliland as an independent country.

    Gideon Saar landed in capital city Hargeisa on Tuesday and met with Somaliland President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi, government sources there told the BBC.

    Last month Israel became the first country in the world to recognise Somaliland, which declared independence from Somalia more than 30 years ago.

    • Le chef de la diplomatie israélienne au Somaliland, une « incursion » pour la Somalie
      La décision par Israël de reconnaître Somaliland a indigné de nombreux pays d’Afrique et du monde musulman.
      Publié le 6 janvier
      https://www.ledevoir.com/monde/afrique/946116/chef-diplomatie-israelienne-somaliland-incursion-somalie

      Le chef de la diplomatie israélienne, Gideon Saar, s’est rendu mardi au Somaliland, république autoproclamée récemment reconnue par Israël, une visite officielle condamnée par la Somalie comme une « incursion non autorisée » sur son territoire.(...)
      Mardi, une délégation menée par le ministre israélien des Affaires étrangères Gideon Saar s’est rendue à Hargeisa, capitale du Somaliland.
      Selon un communiqué de la diplomatie israélienne, son chef a tenu des réunions avec le président du Somaliland, Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi, surnommé « Irro », ainsi que de hauts responsables gouvernementaux et militaires.
      « Contrairement à “la Palestine”, le Somaliland n’est pas un État virtuel. C’est un État fonctionnel […]. Le Somaliland est — et a été — une démocratie stable depuis près de 35 ans […]. Il est pro-occidental et ami d’Israël », a affirmé M. Saar.
      « Reconnaître la République du Somaliland […] est la chose moralement juste à faire », a-t-il poursuivi dans un discours transmis à l’AFP.
      Le président du Somaliland a pour sa part salué une « décision courageuse », et souligné qu’il s’agissait de la première visite de ce type d’un ministre des Affaires étrangères en 34 ans.
      M. Saar a annoncé une aide d’Israël au Somaliland dans les secteurs de l’eau, de la médecine et de l’éducation, mais aussi une coopération dans la défense, avec à terme le développement d’un « partenariat stratégique » entre les deux pays.

      #IsraelSomaliland

  • Former Bolivian President Luis Arce arrested in corruption investigation | AP News
    https://apnews.com/article/bolivia-luis-arce-arrested-corruption-65566acd1d5cacbd9d650c40394da631

    Aucun rapport entre ces deux infos...

    Bolivian law enforcement officials on Wednesday arrested former President Luis Arce as part of a corruption investigation, opening an uncertain chapter in the country’s politics a month after the inauguration of conservative President Rodrigo Paz ended 20 years of socialist rule.

    A senior official in Paz’s government, Marco Antonio Oviedo, told reporters that Arce had been arrested on charges of breach of duty and financial misconduct related to the alleged embezzlement of public funds during his stint as economy minister in the government of charismatic former leader Evo Morales (2006-2019).

    Bolivia’s new right-wing government said Tuesday that it restored diplomatic relations with Israel, the latest sign of the dramatic geopolitical realignment underway in the South American country that was once among the most vocal critics of Israeli policies toward Palestinians.

    https://apnews.com/article/bolivia-israel-rodrigo-paz-gideon-saar-evo-morales-gaza-8482c0d13b2d3b571378

    Bolivian Foreign Minister Fernando Aramayo met his Israeli counterpart Gideon Saar in Washington and signed a declaration agreeing to revive bilateral ties, which Bolivia’s previous left-wing government severed two years ago over Israel’s devastating campaign against Hamas in Gaza.