End of Suez Snarl Marks Beginning of New Stress on Global Trade – gCaptain

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  • Carriers Warned Against Price Gouging Shippers with Suez Chaos – gCaptain
    https://gcaptain.com/carriers-warned-against-price-gouging-shippers-with-suez-chaos


    FILE PHOTO: Containers are seen at the Yangshan Deep-Water Port in Shanghai, China October 19, 2020.
    REUTERS/Aly Song/File Photo

    Ocean carriers have been warned not to take advantage of the capacity crunch resulting from the Suez blockage to “price-gouge” their customers.

    Following reports that shipping lines are predicting increases in spot rates and new surcharges due to the disruption, James Hookham, secretary general of the Global Shippers’ Forum (GSF), warned shippers “to be wary of this signalling of future prices and of demands for new surcharges”.

    He said: “This incident was not our [shippers’] fault and reasons why customers should be expected to pay extra, on top of record shipping rates, for goods delivered late and for reasons ultimately of the industry’s own making, should be challenged.

    The shipping industry is reminded that Suez is a canal in Egypt, not an excuse to price-gouge your customers.” he added.

    Meanwhile, carriers are busy recalculating the ETAs for their North Europe-bound vessels affected by the six-day canal blockage in an effort to mitigate port congestion.

    The backlog of some 350 vessels waiting to transit the waterway is expected to be cleared by this weekend, however, the arrival of delayed containerships into North Europe could coincide with vessels re-routed via the Cape of Good Hope.

    THE Alliance partners diverted four eastbound and two westbound sailings via Africa during the Suez Canal closure, 2M partners Maersk and MSC re-routed six eastbound and seven westbound and the Ocean Alliance re-directed four eastbound and four westbound ships.

    Moreover, The Loadstar understands this morning that alliance partners are also considering reducing the service speed of vessels “past the point of no return” in the voyage via the Cape to “allow some breathing space” for the arrival of cargo on delayed ships now en route through the canal.

    North Europe’s container hubs have been struggling to cope with the unrelenting flow of imports from Asia for almost a year. Hapag-Lloyd said yesterday the congestion in most European ports was “leading to persistent and extreme delays”.

    At Antwerp, the carrier advised, it was implementing a “seven-day cargo opening rule” – which effectively means it would not accept any export containers more than seven days prior to the vessel’s confirmed ETA at the PSA terminals.

    Data from the supply chain visibility company, project44, estimates the retail value of goods caught up in the Suez Canal blockage at over $83bn.

    The industry is bracing for the next phase of the crisis – a race to the ports around the world,” it said. “Just because your cargo is moving again doesn’t mean you can breathe easy. Understanding and monitoring port congestion over the next few weeks will inform us how large the shockwaves from this incident are going to be.

    And the impact on the supply chain will be felt more severely when carriers are obliged to blank sailings from Asia next month, a knock-on effect of ships being delayed at the canal.

    According to one forwarder source, there are already big gaps opening in carrier export options ex-China from mid-April, with carriers admitting that there is no tonnage available to plug the gaps.

    Indeed, a customer advisory from Maersk today warned shippers of a loss of capacity of “20%-30% over multiple weeks”.

    • … quelques conséquences des 6 jours de blocage du canal, dans un transport maritime déjà au bord de la surchauffe, le blocage déclenche une véritable réaction en chaînes :

      • déroutement par le Cap d’une partie des navires en attente -> délais
      • de l’ordre de 350 navires en attente de franchissement du canal
      • saturation des ports de destination (Europe) -> délais extrêmes et persistants
      • du fait des différents retards, manque de navires pour embarquer le fret au départ de la Chine

      au passage, une estimation de la valeur totale des marchandises impliquées dans le blocage : 83 Mds $

    • End of Suez Snarl Marks Beginning of New Stress on Global Trade – gCaptain
      https://gcaptain.com/end-of-suez-snarl-marks-beginning-of-new-stress-on-global-trade


      FILE PHOTO: Containers are seen aboard the CSCL Mercury at the Port of Felixstowe, in Felixstowe, Britain, November 17, 2020.
      REUTERS/Peter Cziborra/File Photo

      Now removed from the Suez Canal’s main channel, the Ever Given leaves in its wake several weeks or months of disruptions across a world economy where the pandemic revealed both the sturdy backbone of global trade and an Achilles’ heel.

      It’s not a cork-out-of-a-bottle moment,” said Peter Aylott, director of policy at the U.K. Chamber of Shipping. “We could still be days away from the canal being completely free.

      The canal reopening kicks off a new wave of stress on supply chains — the intertwined network of ships, ports, trucks, trains, and warehouses that shuttle products from a factory on one side of the planet to a retail shelf or production line on the other. A surge in e-commerce means even greater consumer demand for speed, putting added strain on transportation and boosting freight rates to record highs.

      Even a temporary clog in a major artery like the Suez is problematic because the world’s nearly 6,000 container ships run on schedules, with a finite number of steel boxes to go around. They can’t be repositioned to where demand pops up or quickly shifted away from regions where economic activity is slow. Capacity can be tweaked by adjusting the speed of vessels but also with a blunter tool: canceling sailings that aren’t possible anymore or aren’t economically viable. The Suez incident may unleash plenty of those.

      That leaves the owners of cargo — and all the logistics industries handling imports and exports — at the mercy of the container carriers.

      Are Shipping Containers Toppling Dominoes?
      The metaphorical dominoes have already been toppled,” said Lars Jensen of SeaIntelligence Consulting. “We will continue to see the unfolding of congestion issues in Europe as the cargo arrives, blank sailings resulting from the severe delay of many vessels, as well as a deterioration of the equipment situation.

      In the near term, ports from Europe to Asia are bracing to be inundated with goods held up near Egypt for almost a week.

      The Port of Rotterdam, Europe’s largest seaport, late last week counted 59 container ships ensnared in the Suez congestion that were headed its way, though it wasn’t possible to estimate when they’d arrive. In Spain, ports in Algeciras, Barcelona and Valencia were reviewing revisions to arrival schedules and preparing contingency plans for more working hours to handle the unpredictable flow of ships.

      The disruption spreads well beyond container shipping: scores of oil, gasoline, natural gas and other tankers and vessels were halted by the blockage, stunting normal supply and delivery routines across the energy and chemical sectors. Before the Ever Given ran aground, about 2 million barrels of crude and petroleum products transited the canal every 24 hours.

      Strained Ports
      In the near term, the traffic jam may hamper efforts by European gas buyers to restock inventories eroded by winter demand. That may present U.S. gas exporters with an opportunity to grab market share, said Andy Weissman, chief executive of EBW Analytics.

      Freight rates for bulk ships used to haul grains and metal may also remain elevated. The Baltic Dry index recently hit an 18-month high amid strong Chinese corn and soybean buying, and growing metal demand.

      Meanwhile, a Chinese logistics executive warned that the impact on global trade could linger as backlogs in Europe worsen.

      One Ship Vs One 747
      Ports are already struggling to handle normal shipping volumes because of the pandemic, and now they’ll need to cope with many delayed vessels all arriving at once or in quick succession, said Max Wei, general manager of international business at Speedaf Logistics Ltd.

      Under the best-case scenario, it will take a month of more to work through the congestion, he said.

      With ocean freight maxed out, importers are looking for other modes even if they are more expensive.

      Vivian Lau, a Hong Kong-based logistics executive, said the surge in demand for air freight is set to continue even after the Suez logjam clears. Online shopping and the scarcity of available containers are among reasons why sellers and buyers will continue to scramble.

      Over the weekend I was up trying to find a few 747s,” said Lau, vice chair and group chief executive officer of Pacific Air Holdings. “I was able to find one, I wasn’t able to find a few.

      In a sign of that demand, Abu Dhabi’s Etihad Airways will temporarily convert a fifth Boeing Co. 777-300ER jetliner to cargo duty.

      While the squeeze on air freight was already happening without the Suez blockage, Lau sees another legacy from the past week’s events: more debate on reshaping supply lines.

      You can’t just sit in one part of the world assuming that things are going to be running like clockwork and you don’t need to keep any inventory because they will arrive ‘just in time’,” she said. “The Suez Canal blockage is just another reminder.

      Is Rail An Alternative To Ships?
      Sigrid Nikutta, a DB Cargo management board member, said rail offers another option when barriers arise.

      During Covid, we have seen that trains can go through borders where roads were closed and we see this at the moment, when the seaway is closed trains can go on,” she said Monday in an interview with Bloomberg Television.

      The Suez-related turmoil may ripple beyond Europe and Asia.

      Charlotte, North Carolina-based Premier Inc. helps more than 4,000 hospitals manage purchasing and supplies. Last year, huge increases in demand caused shortages for items like gloves, gowns and masks. While crisis-level shortages have abated, it left U.S. hospitals and suppliers with less inventory on hand and more sensitive to fresh hiccups in the supply chain.

      For many, many, many products, there is no safety stock in the channel,” said David Hargraves, Premier’s senior vice president of supply chain.

      The Suez backlogs are just the latest in a series of cascading events that will delay a key input to plastic medical gear: resins. The company has warned member hospitals to prepare for “a higher number of shorter duration or sporadic shortages,” Hargraves said.

    • Convoys Resume as Suez Canal Races to Clear Huge Backlog of Ships – gCaptain
      https://gcaptain.com/suez-canal-racing-to-clear-huge-backlog-of-ships


      Members of security forces ride on a patrol boat as a ship is seen after sailing through Suez Canal as traffic resumes after a container ship that blocked the waterway was refloated, in Ismailia, Egypt, March 30, 2021.
      REUTERS/Hanaa Habib

      ISMAILIA, Egypt, March 30 (Reuters) – The Suez Canal expects 140 ships to pass on Tuesday after the freeing of a container ship stranded for nearly a week allowed it to reopen, but experts warned that disruptions to globalshipping and at ports could take months to resolve.

      The blockage threw global supply chains into disarray, threatening costly delays for firms already wrestling with COVID-19 restrictions, and nearly doubled rates for oil product tankers.

      Shipping convoys through the canal resumed on Monday evening after tugs pulled the 400-meter-long (430-yard) Ever Given containership free from the spot where it became wedged amid high winds on March 23.

      We want to reaffirm in a clear message to the world that everything is back to the way it was,” Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi told reporters on Tuesday from a platform on the canal, as container ships passed behind him.

      The Ever Given’s grounding across a southern section of the canal forced a halt to all traffic, leading to a build-up of 422 ships at either end of the canal and along its course.

      Suez Canal Authority chairman Osama Rabie said 95 ships would pass by 1900 local time (1700 GMT) on Tuesday and a further 45 by midnight, reasserting that he hoped the build-up would be cleared in three to four days.

      We’ll work day and night and God willing we’ll get it done in the shortest time possible,” Rabie said.

      Knock-on effects to global shipping and at ports could take much longer to disentangle.

      Though the build-up around the Suez Canal might be cleared in four to five days, it could take several months to deal with backlogs at ports, Jan Hoffmann, an UNCTAD expert on logistics, told a briefing.

      Shipping group Maersk has also said disruptions to international shipping could last for months.

      About 15% of global shipping traffic moves through the canal. The estimated value of the cargo that had been held up by its closure was $89 billion, Hoffmann said.

      FATE
      Sisi said the Ever Given’s grounding had drawn attention to the importance of the waterway, which is the shortest shipping route between Europe and Asia.

      We didn’t hope for something like this, but fate was doing its work. It showed and reaffirmed the reality and importance” of the canal, Sisi said as he greeted staff on a visit to the Suez Canal Authority in Ismailia.

      In light of all the talk about alternatives and things of that kind – no, this is a global facility for international trade.

      Rabie has said the SCA will look at giving discounts to shippers affected by the stoppage.

      We need to study it in the right way because the number of ships is large, including ships that waited for one day, ships that waited for two days, and ships that waited for three days or four days — not all of them will take the same percentages,” he told a news conference late on Monday.

      He also said the canal was reinforcing its technical capabilities by bringing in more tug boats and dredging machinery.

      Rabie has suggested that the weather and human error could have played a role in grounding the Ever Given.

      On Tuesday, investigators boarded the ship, which is in a lake that separates two sections of the canal, according to a canal source and a shipping agent who did not give further details.

      The incident is expected to give rise to flurry of insurance claims, though the Japanese owner of the Ever Given said it had not received any claims or lawsuits over the blockage.