The Economist - Statistically significant - 05.02.22
The Economist’s election modelling should cheer Emmanuel Macron
France’s president has a 79% chance of keeping his job
[...]
The pandemic has engendered a huge expansion of state spending at a time when some of his labour-market reforms might have caused more tensions. He has also used the pandemic as an excuse to shelve pension reforms that might have hurt him.
▻https://www.economist.com/leaders/2022/02/05/the-economists-election-modelling-should-cheer-emmanuel-macron