Surovikin’s Difficult Choice - Big Serge Thoughts
▻https://bigserge.substack.com/p/surovkins-difficult-choice
As I see it, the withdrawal from west bank Kherson must be driven by one of the four following possibilities:
The Ukrainian Army has defeated the Russian Army on the west bank and driven it back across the river.
Russia is setting a trap in Kherson.
A secret peace agreement (or at least ceasefire) has been negotiated which includes giving Kherson back to Ukraine.
Russia has made a politically embarrassing but militarily prudent operational choice.
Let us simply run through these four and examine them in sequence.
