Another 3 million refugees ? Really ?

Another 3 million refugees? Really?

Another illustration of how the numbers of the refugee/migration crisis may be inflated, misrepresented or manipulated was brought to my attention by Professor David Ingleby (see my article on Frontex for another example). Many media are reporting with definitive headlines that the EU is expecting ‘another 3 million refugees and migrants in 2016′ (emphasis added). A few examples below:

In fact, the EC forecast they refer to is not for 2016, but for 2015-2017 (‘the forecast period’, in EC lingo) and the 3 million figure includes also those who have already entered the EU this year. The extract from European Economic Forecast explains:

How is it possible that newspapers as different as The Independent, The Guardian and the Daily Mail got such a political sensitive figure wrong? The answer is easier that one can imagine: most, rather than checking the primary source, relied on a piece by the Associated Press . And while the EU paper is certainly not the clearest in its presentation of the forecast of refugee and migrant arrivals, not all newspapers have got it wrong:

The point here is not the reliability of the EU forecast, which may well be wrong and even underestimating arrivals, but the reliability of media in reporting data especially in a climate of moral panic and insecurity.

►https://nandosigona.wordpress.com/2015/11/08/another-3-million-refugees-really

#invasion #afflux #préjugés #statistiques #asile #migrations #chiffres #réfugiés #presse #alarmisme #journalisme #médias
cc @reka

Et voilà encore des #chiffres sur le nombre de réfugiés sorties de nulle part...
Another 3 million refugees ? Really ?

Another illustration of how the numbers of the refugee/migration crisis may be inflated was brought to my attention by Professor David Ingleby. Many media (a few examples below) are reporting that the EU is expecting ‘another 3 million refugees and migrants in 2016:

►https://nandosigona.wordpress.com/2015/11/08/another-3-million-refugees-really
#statistiques #réfugiés #asile #migrations