Compter les morts : Y a-t-il eu 470 000 + en #Syrie depuis le début de la guerre ?
Quantifying carnage | The Economist
▻http://www.economist.com/news/middle-east-and-africa/21693279-how-many-people-has-syrias-civil-war-killed-quantifying-carnage
Je viens de lire ça dans The Economist, et j’ai pensé qu’il faut mettre cet article (et les incertitudes dont il parle) en lien avec ce que @fil à signalé un peu plus tôt aujourd’hui
►http://seenthis.net/messages/464507
THE fog of war frustrates statisticians: knowing for sure how many Syrians have died can seem as difficult as brokering a lasting peace. The last precise death toll published by the UN was 191,369 in August 2014, followed by an estimate of more than 250,000 in August 2015. But it then stopped updating the figure because of dwindling sources of good information. On February 11th the Syrian Centre for Policy Research (SCPR), a non-profit group, claimed that the true figure is now almost double that estimate at about 470,000.
This number may seem large, but even the UN emphasised that its figures were conservative. It erred on the side of rigour rather than completeness, and only counted people whose names it knew and whose deaths were confirmed by more than one source.