Fragile Syria cease-fire under strain

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  • Le régime syrien annonce une offensive soutenue par la Russie pour prendre tout Alep , où dans le sud une contre-offensive du régime et de ses alliés tente déjà de récupérer le terrain perdu ces derniers jours face à l’offensive récente d’une coalition comprenant al-Nousra, des groupes salafistes et d’autres affiliés à l’ASL.
    Syrian PM says Russia to back new Aleppo attack ; opposition says truce near collapse
    Reuters / 10.04.16
    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-idUSKCN0X70GE

    Syrian Prime Minister Wael al-Halaki told a delegation of visiting Russian lawmakers of preparations to “liberate” Aleppo, Syria’s biggest city and commercial hub before the conflict that erupted in 2011. Aleppo is divided into areas controlled separately by the government and opposition.
    “We, together with our Russian partners, are preparing for an operation to liberate Aleppo and to block all illegal armed groups which have not joined or have broken the ceasefire deal,” he was quoted as saying by TASS news agency.
    Dmitry Sablin, a member of Russia’s upper house of parliament and a member of the delegation, told RIA news agency “Russian aviation will help the Syrian army’s ground offensive operation”.

    L’opposition de Ryadh déclare que la cessation des hostilités est sur le point de s’effondrer :

    A member of the main opposition council said the last 10 days had “witnessed a serious deterioration, to the point where the ceasefire is about to collapse”. Bassma Kodmani of the High Negotiations Committee also told Journal du Dimanche that a U.S.-Russian ceasefire monitoring mission was “powerless”.
    The army says groups that had agreed to the cessation of hostilities had taken part in Nusra Front attacks on government-held positions south of Aleppo. Free Syrian Army groups meanwhile blame the fighting on government violations.
    “The air strikes are now roughly back to what they were,” said Mohamed Rasheed, head of the media office with the Jaysh al-Nasr rebel group. A Syrian military source said: “The battles are raging because ... armed groups that were part of the (truce) joined Nusra in the attack.”

    Tandis qu’on annonce l’arrivée de renforts nombreux pour le régime du côté d’Alep, tout semble en place pour une confrontation majeure du côté de Lattaquieh (frontière turque) et à Alep. Les Russes, les Iraniens et le régime semblent vouloir infliger une leçon à tous les groupes qui se sont alliés à al-Nousra, non seulement en récupérant le terrain perdu récemment, mais en réalisant des faits nouveaux sur le terrain.
    Qu’en pensent les Américains ? Jusqu’où va leur entente avec les Russes ?

    • Selon al-Monitor, à la suite de la déclaration fracassante du premier ministre syrien Wael al-Halaki sur la vaste contre-offensive prévue à Alep et qui serait soutenue par les Russes, des officiels russes auraient dit aux Américains : ne l’écoutez pas, il est irrationnel :
      http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2016/04/us-russia-ceasefire-syria-kerry-lavrov-nusra-aleppo-geneva.html#

      Russian officials have told the Americans that they are committed to sustaining the cessation of hostilities. Indeed, after Syrian Prime Minister Wael al-Halqi was cited telling a visiting delegation of Russian lawmakers April 9 that a Russian-backed Syrian army operation was soon to get underway to liberate Aleppo, the Russians told the Americans don’t listen to him, he’s “irrational,” a Syrian opposition contact in touch with US officials working on Syria told Al-Monitor.
      Notably, after the US expressed concern about how a major operation against Jabhat al-Nusra near Aleppo could affect the cease-fire ahead of new talks, Russia did not provide air support to Iranian special forces involved in intense clashes against Jabhat al-Nusra in Al-Eis, near Aleppo, on April 11-12, an Iranian and a British journalist near Aleppo said.