city:damascus

  • Breaking : East Ghouta militants massacre more than civilians in Damascus, 20+ killed

    Juste parce qu’on ne vas pas en parler beaucoup ailleurs...

    BEIRUT, LEBANON (7:00 P.M.) – Minutes ago, the militants in the East Ghouta region fired several missiles and artillery shells into Damascus city, killing and wounding scores of civilians.

    According to an Al-Masdar field correspondent in Damascus, the militants fired a missile into the Kashkoul District, hitting a crowded market in the city.

    The correspondent added that the death toll is rapidly rising, with more than 20 civilians already reported dead as a result of this attack.

    In addition to the attack on Kashkoul, the militants also wounded one woman and five children in the Mezzeh District of Damascus after they launched several indiscriminate artillery shells into the area.

    #syrie

  • Russia says U.S. plans to strike Damascus, pledges military response
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-russia-usa/russian-military-says-will-respond-if-u-s-strikes-syria-ria-idUSKCN1GP0TY

    La #Russie met en garde Washington : elle ripostera en cas de frappes sur Damas — RT en français
    https://francais.rt.com/international/48667-syrie-russie-previent-washington-quelle-ripostera-frappes-damas

    Moscou met en garde contre un projet d’attaque sous #faux_drapeau

    Car le ministère de la Défense russe s’inquiète du scénario qui serait en train de se dessiner dans la Ghouta orientale, où Damas mène une opération contre les groupes djihadistes. Valery Guérassimov a en effet affirmé disposer d’informations selon lesquelles les djihadistes prépareraient une attaque chimique pour ensuite en attribuer la responsabilité au gouvernement syrien.

    Le chef d’état-major a estimé : « Après la provocation, les #Etats-Unis envisagent d’accuser les forces du gouvernement syrien d’avoir utilisé des armes chimiques. » Selon Valery Guérassimov, cela permettrait de « présenter à la communauté internationale la prétendue "preuve" de l’apparent meurtre de masse de civils aux mains du gouvernement syrien et avec le soutien, [de] la direction russe ».

    Valery Guérassimov a estimé qu’une telle opération des rebelles pourrait amener Washington à mener des frappes sur la capitale syrienne, contrôlée par le gouvernement.

    #Syrie

  • En désaccord avec le traitement médiatique du conflit syrien, Nöel Mamère quitte Le Média — RT en français
    https://francais.rt.com/international/48352-desaccord-traitement-conflit-syrien-depart-mamere-media

    Une première raison avancée qui est suivie par une seconde, d’une autre nature : « Je n’accepte pas qu’on établisse un parallèle dans le conflit syrien meurtrier, entre les responsabilités du "boucher de Damas" et celles de ses opposants. » Une attaque à peine voilée contre l’analyse du chroniqueur spécialiste du Moyen-Orient du Média, Claude El Khal, au sujet de la situation dans la région syrienne de la Ghouta orientale, thème principal du journal télévisé de 20h diffusé le 23 février.

    Etonnant cette soudaine hyper-sensibilité d’un homme qui a vécu, comme tout le monde, environ un demi-siècle avec le pouvoir Assad en Syrie sans que cela ne le bouleverse outre mesure... Je vois sur sa fiche Wikipedia qu’il est en politique depuis 1988 après avoir été journaliste. Il devait être au courant tout de même ! Par ailleurs, sa participation au « Média » doit-elle être remise en cause à cause d’un désaccord sur une chronique (pourtant fort prudente à mon avis) à propos d’une question qui n’est tout de même pas centrale par rapport à son engagement, enfin j’imagine. Etrange tout de même cette brusque passion de #syrie aujourd’hui...

    • J’ai assisté à cette chronique, exceptionnellement, chronique qui reprenait essentiellement les faits relatés par Robert Fisk.

      J’ai trouvé cette chronique vraiment équilibrée.

      Noël Mamère est bizarre, sur ce sujet. Je n’ai pas entendu son argumentation, mais bon sang, il lui faut quoi ? On n’a plus le droit de dire que Al Qaida, ce sont des gros méchants ? Finalement, Assad, c’est pire que Al Qaida ? Il est capable, lui, de faire un classement dans l’horreur ? 6 ans que ça dure, et que l’Occident entretient le conflit (en dépit des pertes humaines odieuses)... encore maintenant, par exemple en incitant les Kurdes Syriens à ne pas s’entendre avec Assad... Mais c’est toujours Assad le « méchââânt », et l’armée de Assad, y sont rien que des nazis méchants transformés en démons décérébrés pour conquérir le monde !...

      Ils sont désespérants. Noël Mamère aussi. Il va finir oublié, comme Cochet et quelques autres qui confondent équilibre et... sentimentalisme.

      Il était où Noël Mamère au moment de la destruction de Mossoul il y a quelques mois ? Pourquoi est-ce que l’OSDH n’a pas décompté les morts à Mossoul ? Parce que cépapareil ?

    • Il se trouve que je l’ai regardée aussi (grâce à SeenThis, signalé je crois me souvenir par @Palestine). Très équilibré, de fait, trop même à mon goût dans le genre si je dis du mal des Israéliens il faut tout de même que j’en dise un peu des Palestiniens. Mais, de fait, pas le gloubi-boulga qu’on martelle depuis des jours. Quiconque à jamais les pieds dans la région rigole quand on compare la densité d’Alep à celle de la Ghouta à cet endroit, après des années de guerre. M’enfin...

    • Très équilibré, de fait, trop même à mon goût dans le genre si je dis du mal des Israéliens il faut tout de même que j’en dise un peu des Palestiniens.

      J’y ai pensé à ce « renvoi dos à dos gage d’équilibre », mais ce n’est évidemment pas tout à fait pareil dans ce contexte. Les « pauvres-rebelles-syriens » sont tout de même bien mieux équipés et soutenus que les « palestiniens-pas-tout-a-fait-innocents ».
      L’équilibre du commentaire à mon sens était plutôt du type : « la guerre, c’est vraiment moche, et les deux partis participent à égalité dans cette guerre ».

    • Justement, ce matin, j’avais envie de poster un message sur le thème : « J’ai comme l’impression qu’une campagne va bientôt démarrer pour faire virer Claude El Khal de Le Média. » Parce que je voyais monter les messages indignés du fan club de la rébellitude syrienne après sa chronique, je sentais le truc monter.

      Ça n’aura donc pas traîné.

    • Article de Patrick Cockburn, avec témoignages des deux côtés

      Trapped in eastern Ghouta: How both sides are preventing civilians escaping the horror in Syria siege | The Independent
      http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/eastern-ghouta-syria-civilians-deaths-trapped-damascus-siege-assad-re

      What does emerge is that the armed opposition groups in Eastern Ghouta as well as the government have been stopping people leaving. This is confirmed by a UN-backed report called Reach, which says: “Women of all ages, and children, reportedly continued to be forbidden by local armed groups from leaving the area for security reasons.” This has been the pattern in all the many sieges in Syria conducted by all sides who do not want their own enclaves depopulated and wish to retain as much of the civilian population as possible as human shields.
      […]
      But there is another reason why people fleeing Eastern Ghouta might be in danger in government held-Damascus. Seven years of civil war has ensured that Syrians on different sides, many of whom will have lost relatives in the violence, regard each other with undiluted hatred. In Damascus, the shellfire and bombing are largely by the government into rebel areas, but there is also outgoing fire from Eastern Ghouta, mostly from mortars, into government-controlled districts.

    • @biggrizzly Non, tu n’as pas besoin d’avoir un CV impeccable pour l’ouvrir. Comme tu le sais, tu as besoin d’être impeccable si tu décides d’aborder la Syrie d’une manière à peine hétérodoxe. Autrement tout te sera pardonné.

      C’est le principe du character assassination. On lui reproche des choses qui n’ont rien à voir avec la Ghouta, alors qu’il est clair que c’est à cause de ce qu’il a dit sur la Ghouta qu’on veut le faire virer.

      Si on prend le CV de François Burgat et Romain Caillet, ils ont quand même pondu un texte utilisant leur vernis universitaire à l’époque, prétendant démontrer que Nusra n’existait pas, et que les attentats revendiqués par Nusra, en réalité, avaient été commis par le régime lui-même, sous faux-drapeau, pour accuser les rebelles.
      http://ifpo.hypotheses.org/3540
      Wladimir Glasman, Hénin et Filiu ont également largement joué de la corde paranoïaque sur la Syrie.

      Je veux dire : je ne crois pas avoir vu personne reprocher à Burgat et Caillet leurs « positions pour le moins… étranges » à propos de la Syrie à chaque fois qu’ils l’ouvrent. Bon, Colonel Salafi a eu droit à un traitement spécifique pour sa fiche S, mais personne ne lui avait alors reproché les positions complotistes de cet ancien article. Et aujourd’hui, Conspiracy Watch participe au character assassination d’El Khal directement dans le flux Tweeter de Caillet, comme quoi il y a du complotisme qu’on a le droit, même pour un sujet aussi sensible que le jihadisme en Syrie.

    • Claude El Khal
      ‏3 hours ago

      Quand autant de gens malhonnêtes s’emploient à vous lyncher, c’est que vous avez raison. Ils utilisent les méthodes les plus abjectes pour vous faire taire. Mais ce néo-maccarthysme ne passera pas. Et je ne me tairai pas. Merci à celles et ceux qui me soutiennent ! #NoPasaran

    • Lundi matin hurle avec la meute !

      Quand on en est à colporter les propos de Raphaël... Enthoven sur Twitter et à s’en faire le messager c’est qu’on est en plein « naufrage » dixit Sarah Kilani et Thomas Moreau sur Lundi matin . @colporteur
      Pour ma part il me semble qu’il y autant de fanatiques en ISraël qu’en ISIS ; et ceci ne relève pas de la théorie du complot :)

    • Comment Mathilde s’est pris les pieds dans le tapis...

      FranceQ a donc confié la tâche de l’estocade anti LeMedia à une jeune chroniqueuse des Matins, Mathilde Serrell.

      A priori, les vieux routiers de l’info FranceQ ont préféré s’abstenir, ... pour le moment.
      Cette jeune journaliste est donc revenue, ce matin, sur la « démission » de Noël Mamère, laquelle fut annoncée sur cette chaîne de radio publique.
      Et voilà que notre Mathilde s’est pris les pieds dans le tapis.
      Elle aussi, à son insu, est victime des techniques de persuasion clandestine utilisées par les « mass media indépendants ».
      En effet, pour défendre Noël Mamère et ses arguments, elle reprend la vision dichotomique du conflit syrien : le méchant dictateur qui bombarde les gentils « rebelles » encerclés dans la Ghouta. Et elle sous entend que Claude Elkhal se situerait plutôt du côté du fils Assad (dur, dur, pour quelqu’un qui combattit les armées du père Assad au sein de l’armée libanaise...).

      https://www.franceculture.fr/emissions/le-billet-culturel/le-billet-culturel-du-mercredi-28-fevrier-2018

      Claude Elkahl a bien pris soin de rappeler que les « rebelles » en question étaient des groupes affiliés au Djihad et à Al Quaïda. Et, (ne te vexe pas Mathilde), je fais davantage confiance à Claude Elkhal qu’à toi pour définir plus avant la véritable nature de ces « rebelles ».
      Donc, Claude ne veut point diffuser d’images se rapportant à ce conflit sans pouvoir vérifier l’origine de ces images vidéo. Il redoute de se faire manipuler tout autant par les media du complexe dictatorial russo-syrien que par ceux des groupes djihadistes
      Il ne prend pas parti pour un clan ou un autre, il en revient simplement aux fondamentaux de son métier de journaliste...

    • La nouvelle Inquisition et les moukhabarat parisianistes
      https://seenthis.net/messages/673469

      ISISRAEL et les articles sur la Daech conspiracy

      Avant tout, je me dois de préciser que le jeu de mots et les articles en question ne sont en rien liés. Le jeu de mots déniché par les inquisiteurs pour me faire passer pour un antisémite a été publié sur les réseaux sociaux pendant la guerre contre Gaza en 2014. Les massacres de civils commis par l’armée israélienne dans cette prison à ciel ouvert qu’est la bande de Gaza n’ont rien à envier, à mes yeux, aux méthodes barbares de Daech (ISIS). Les crimes commis par Tsahal contre la population civile palestinienne ont été documentés et dénoncés par tous les organismes internationaux, les organisations de défense des droits de l’homme, la presse de gauche israélienne et de nombreux citoyens et artistes israéliens, comme la regrettée Ronit Elkabetz.

      On peut trouver le jeu de mot excessif, on peut en débattre, mais l’utiliser pour m’accuser de telle ou telle chose n’est rien d’autre que de la diffamation. Ils auraient pu dénicher d’autres jeu de mots de la même facture qui dénonçaient les exactions du régime syrien, comme Bachar d’assaut ou Blood Baath, ou même Bilad el Shame. Mais non, ils ont précisément choisi ISISRAEL pour leur entreprise de character assassination.

      Par ailleurs, on peut se demander en quoi ce jeu de mots qui les choque tant est plus grave que le négationnisme de Benjamin Netanyahu qui a osé déclarer en octobre 2015 qu’Adolf Hitler ne voulait pas exterminer les Juifs. Curieusement, les hurleurs d’aujourd’hui n’ont pas poussé des hauts cris comme ils auraient dû le faire face aux propos scandaleux du Premier ministre israélien. Moi, par contre, je l’ai dénoncé avec force dans une note intitulée When Netanyahu absolves Hitler.

      Quant aux articles sur la Daech conspiracy, ils ont été écrits après que l’organisation terroriste s’est implantée au Liban, au su et au vu de toute la communauté internationale, sans que celle-ci ne bouge le petit doigt pour l’en empêcher. Si Daech, comme le prétendent encore certains, n’a existé que pour combattre le régime syrien, pourquoi s’est-il implanté au Liban ? Je me suis donc penché sur le sujet et cherché à comprendre.

      Le Liban est entouré par la Syrie et Israël, qui ont chacun de leur côté cherché à le dominer et à détruire tout ce qui leur résistait. Ils l’ont parfois fait de concert, comme le 13 octobre 1990, quand l’aviation syrienne, chapotée par l’aviation israélienne, a bombardé ce qu’on appelait alors le « réduit chrétien » et mis fin au rêve d’indépendance des Libanais.

      Israël n’est pas un ami du Liban – c’est le moins qu’on puisse dire. Depuis que je suis né, il y a déjà 50 ans, l’état hébreu bombarde régulièrement la population civile libanaise. Pendant les cinq décennies qui nous séparent de ma naissance, l’armée israélienne a envahi le pays des cèdres à plusieurs reprises, l’a occupé pendant plus de vingt ans, y a créé une milice qui n’avait rien à envier à celle qui a sévi en France durant l’occupation allemande (souvenez-vous de la prison de Khiam), y a commis de nombreux massacres (peut-on oublier Cana ?), a pillé ses ressources naturelles (notamment l’eau du Litani), et violé un nombre incalculable de fois sa souveraineté, ses eaux territoriales et son espace aérien.

      Les terroristes de Daech, venus de Syrie, sont entrés au Liban dans un silence international assourdissant. Et Israël, d’habitude si soucieux des organisations paramilitaires qui s’implantent au Liban, et qui n’hésite jamais à les dénoncer et à les attaquer, n’a ni moufté ni bronché. De quoi se poser des questions. Des questions légitimes que je me suis évidemment posé, tout comme bon nombre de Libanais.

      J’ai donc fait des recherches et posé la problématique dans un premier article : What’s Daech doing in Lebanon ? Dans cet article, j’ai cité, entre autres, une source attribuée à Edward Snowden (en précisant qu’elle n’était pas vérifiée), et une correspondance attribuée à David Ben Gourion et Moshe Sharett qui préconisait la division du Moyen-Orient en mini-états confessionnels, que Daech a mis en œuvre en créant un mini-état sunnite à cheval entre l’Irak et la Syrie. Dans un second article, qui faisait suite au premier, j’ai écarté ces deux éléments – la source attribuée à Snowden s’étant révélé être une fake news, et je n’avais pas pu vérifier la véracité de la correspondance entre Ben Gourion et Sharett.

      Ne pouvant, en toute honnêteté, rien affirmer, j’ai posé des questions légitimes et claires. Mais ma réflexion sur les origines de la création de Daech ne s’est pas limitée à ces questions auxquelles je n’ai pas encore trouvé de réponses, et à Israël. J’ai exploré d’autres possibilités et écrit plusieurs articles sur le sujet (Daech est sans doute le sujet que j’ai le plus traité sur mon blog), dont l’un s’interroge sur le parallèle géopolitique troublant entre la montée du nazisme en Europe et du daechisme au Moyen-Orient : History repeating ?

      Mais pour Éric Naulleau ou Raphaël Enthoven (pour ne citer qu’eux, le second étant plus fin que le premier qui a implicitement demandé mon renvoi du Média), la lecture ne peut être que franco-française, voire parisiano-parisienne. Leur monde, c’est Paris et ses plateaux télé. Pour eux, je ne suis peut-être qu’un Arabe sans grande importance, sans Histoire et sans passé. Qui n’a pas le droit à sa singularité, voire son individualité, et surement pas à sa liberté de penser, de s’interroger et de s’exprimer en dehors de leurs clous à eux.

      Je leur rappelle, ainsi qu’à tous les autres, que j’ai combattu l’occupation de mon pays par une armée étrangère, les milices totalitaires qui y régnaient en maître et le régime policier qui y sévissait, que j’ai risqué ma vie pour avoir le droit d’être libre et de m’exprimer comme bon me semble. Avant de m’interpeller du haut de leur célébrité et me jeter à la gueule toutes sortes d’anathèmes, qu’ils me montrent donc leur CV, qu’ils me fassent part de leurs combats et des risques qu’ils ont pris pour défendre leurs idées, qu’ils me démontrent ce qui leur donne le droit de me juger !

      Bref. Tout ce que j’ai écrit n’a rien à voir avec le complotisme (quel mot imbécile pour faire taire celles et ceux qui osent questionner les versions officielles des gouvernements, comme si ces derniers ne mentent jamais) et l’antisémitisme. Prétendre que je suis antisémite est aussi ridicule que d’affirmer que je mesure 1m90, que je suis blond aux yeux bleus et que je chausse du 54. Et surtout, de par mon passé, de par mes amitiés et mes amours, cette accusation m’est insupportable. Tout futur accusateur devra en répondre devant la justice française.

      Quant au complotisme, on m’accuse d’être un partisan de la théorie du complot liée aux attentats du 11 septembre (the 9/11 conspiracy explained in less than 5 minutes). Ils ont balayé d’un revers de main méprisant l’explication que j’ai donnée sur Twitter, qui disait que c’était de l’humour et du second degré. Mais si ces inquisiteurs à la petite semaine avaient fait correctement leur sale boulot, ils auraient trouvé d’autres notes de blog qui se moquent des théories du complots : The Gay conspiracy, The iPhone X anti-Lebanese conspiracy, Red Moon : the communists are taking over the heavens, sans oublier Le complot dont personne ne parle, celui de mes voisins du dessus qui ne font du bruit que lorsque je me mets à écrire !
      Claude El Khal

      @colporteur

    • Soutien et Total Respect à Claude El Khal ! Son intervention pour refuser la dictature si facile de l’opinion dominante m’a convaincue. Parce que je suis contre ceux @ colporteur « qui ont jeté aux chiens l’honneur d’un homme ».

      J’ai dit au cours d’un débat téléphonique sur France culture diffusé ce matin : « Il n’y a rien de plus similaire à une image de guerre qu’une autre image de guerre ». Voici un exemple en deux images, l’une a été prise en #Syrie et l’autre en #Irak (les deux nous viennent de l’AFP)


      Conclusion hallucinante de la présentatrice qui invitait Claude El khal ou plutôt le prenait en tenaille : "Faisons confiance aux journalistes...". Puis, juste après, le slogan de la station "FranceCulture, l’esprit d’ouverture"...
      sauf aux critiques du journalisme !

      #Syrie #meute_médiatique #character_assassination #attaques_en_diffamation #lynchage_médiatique_parisianiste
      #nouvelle_inquisition #police_de_la_pensée_dominante
      #bouffon_c'est_celui_qui_dit_qui_y_est !

    • « Le Média » est sur la bonne voie. Le journal du vendredi 2 mars était excellent, et en progrès sensible. Les interviews- chloroforme de Noël Mamère ne manqueront pas à la qualité de son contenu, et son départ, ainsi que les volte-face d’autres représentants de la mouvance ex-PS ne soulignent, une fois de plus, que l’instabilité de leurs opinions.

      Bon Vent ! aussi à

      – Aurélie Filippetti
      – Gérard Mordillat (dommage !)
      – Patrick Pelloux
      – François Morel et Judith Chemla
      – Cécile Amar de L’Obs
      – Edouard Perrin de Cash investigation
      – Giovanni Mirabassi et Médéric Collignon.

      Les rats quittent le navire ?
      La ligne de flottaison n’en sera que plus haute !  ;)

  • U.N. Links North Korea to Syria’s Chemical Weapon Program - The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/27/world/asia/north-korea-syria-chemical-weapons-sanctions.html

    North Korea has been shipping supplies to the Syrian government that could be used in the production of chemical weapons, United Nations experts contend.

    The evidence of a North Korean connection comes as the United States and other countries have accused the Syrian government of using chemical weapons on civilians, including recent attacks on civilians in the Damascus suburb of eastern Ghouta using what appears to have been chlorine gas.

    The supplies from North Korea include acid-resistant tiles, valves and thermometers, according to a report by United Nations investigators. North Korean missile technicians have also been spotted working at known chemical weapons and missile facilities inside Syria, according to the report, which was written by a panel of experts who looked at North Korea’s compliance with United Nations sanctions.

    The report highlights the potential danger posed by any such trade between Syria and North Korea, which could allow Syria to maintain its chemical weapons while also providing North Korea with cash for its nuclear and missile programs.

    The possible chemical weapons components were part of at least 40 previously unreported shipments by North Korea to Syria between 2012 and 2017 of prohibited ballistic missile parts and materials that could be used for both military and civilian purposes, according to the report, which has not been publicly released but which was reviewed by The New York Times.
    […]
    Though experts who viewed the report said the evidence it cited did not prove definitively that there was current, continuing collaboration between North Korea and Syria on chemical weapons, they said it did provide the most detailed account to date of efforts to circumvent sanctions intended to curtail the military advancement of both countries.
    […]
    The report, which is more than 200 pages long, includes copies of contracts between North Korean and Syrian companies as well as bills of lading indicating the types of materials shipped. Much information was provided by unidentified United Nations member states.

    #WMD, le retour. Ça manquait…

  • Putin’s Syrian dilemma: Back Israel or Iran?

    All of the Russian president’s achievements in Syria could come crashing down unless he answers this one fundamental question

    Anshel Pfeffer Feb 19, 2018

    Russian President Vladimir Putin thought he could succeed where the U.S.’s then-President Barack Obama failed. Pacify Syria, rescue the regime of his client, President Bashar Assad, and balance the conflicting interests of Iran and Israel in the war-torn country. All this he did with a relatively small investment: the deployment of a couple of dozen aircraft and 2,000 men. As foreign campaigns go, it was power projection on the cheap. The United States on a similar mission would have used a force 10 times the size – aircraft carrier groups and hundreds of fighter jets, aerial tankers and electronic warfare planes. Not to mention boots on the ground.
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    But Russia could pull it off thanks to the cannon fodder supplied by Iran. Tens of thousands of Shi’ite mercenaries, mainly refugees from Afghanistan, propped up Assad’s failing battalions. Hezbollah fighters came from Lebanon to carry out the more difficult operations. Russia made do with small teams of special-force troops and, where more muscle was needed, its own mercenaries.
    It was a relatively small investment with few casualties and not, as some predicted two years ago, a rerun of the Soviet Union’s disastrous occupation of Afghanistan in the 1980s.

    President Vladimir Putin addressing Russian troops at Hemeimeem air base during a surprise visit to Damascus, December 12, 2017.Mikhail Klimentyev/AP
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    >> Iran and the Assad regime are drawing a line in Syria’s skies | Analysis <<

    With perfect timing, and taking advantage of the vacuum left by Obama’s decision not to get involved in Syria, Putin had put Russia back on the geopolitical map. He made a surprise visit to Damascus in December to declare: Mission accomplished. He should have learned from former U.S. President George W. Bush never to say that – because now everything is starting to fall apart for the Russians.

    A serviceman holds a portrait of Russian air force pilot Roman Fillipov, who was killed after his aircraft was shot down over rebel-held territory in Syria, February 8, 2018.\ HANDOUT/ REUTERS
    There was last month’s Sochi conference, where attempts to agree a political process for Syria’s future under Assad, with the usual farce of elections, failed even before the delegates arrived. Turkey has launched a large-scale incursion into northwestern Syria, in an attempt to prevent Kurdish YPG (People’s Protection Units) forces from establishing a military presence on its border. Meanwhile, the Turks are clashing with the Iranians as well, and as of Monday with regime forces too.
    Much more worrying for Russia is that in the east of the country, another Kurdish force – the Syrian Democratic Forces, which also includes Arab, Turkmen, Assyrian and Armenian forces – is widening its control of areas once held by the Islamic State. The SDF is now the only player in Syria with U.S. military support: During a clash 10 days ago between the SDF and regime forces working together with Russian mercenaries, the United States launched a devastating airstrike. The Kremlin still won’t acknowledge any casualties, but unofficial reports from Russia claim that as many as 200 Russian mercenaries died.
    And then last week there was the first direct confrontation between Israel and Iran.
    The Turkish front is less concerning for Putin, since it doesn’t directly threaten Russia’s main interests. The clashes in the northeast are a much larger problem as they are sending coffins back home to Russia – the last thing Putin needs before the presidential election in mid-March.
    For now at least, the Israeli-Iranian front may not directly put Russian personnel in the line of fire. But it is a much greater threat to the Assad regime itself. Damascus is close to the Israeli border and Assad, with Iranian encouragement, is trying to assert himself by firing anti-aircraft missiles at Israel Air Force planes.
    >> Delve deeper into the week’s news: Sign up to Chemi Shalev’s weekly roundup
    For the past two and a half years, the deal between Jerusalem and Moscow was simple: Israel allowed Russia to resupply Assad’s army and help the regime – through aerial bombardments of rebel-held areas, indiscriminately killing thousands of civilians – to retake large swaths of territory. Russia, meanwhile, turned a blind eye as Israel continued its periodic attacks on convoys and depots of Iranian-supplied weapons destined for Hezbollah. Russia collaborated with Iran in reviving the regime, while not intervening when Israel struck at Iran’s proxies.
    When Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu demanded that Russia prevent Iran’s forces from building permanent bases on Syrian soil, Putin tried to strike a compromise. Iran continued entrenching its Shi’ite militias, but at the same time didn’t come too close to the Israeli border or begin building large bases.

    Israeli soldiers in the northern Golan Heights after an Iranian drone penetrated Israeli airspace and was shot done, February 10, 2018.Gil Eliahu
    That balance can no longer hold. The decision by Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) to send a drone into Israeli airspace in the early hours of Saturday February 10, followed by Israel’s retaliation against the Iranian command unit that launched the drone and the ensuing air battle between Israeli fighter jets and Syrian air defense batteries, was proof that Russia can no longer contain the interests of all the different sides within Syria.
    Putin has utilized “hybrid warfare” – a combination of military power, deniable proxies and cyberattacks – to destabilize neighboring countries like Georgia and Ukraine, which tried to get too close to the West. Relatively small investments for major gain.
    But just like Russian interference with the U.S. presidential election, where the Kremlin wanted only to undermine America’s democratic process but never actually believed it could help get Donald Trump elected, he may have gone too deep. What was supposed to be an exercise in troublemaking is, despite Trump’s reluctance, now a full-blown confrontation with the U.S. intelligence services.
    Managing a multitrack Middle East policy and engaging simultaneously with all of the regional players takes time, resources and, especially, experience. Until recently, the United States had the combination of seasoned diplomats, military and intelligence officers – with extensive contacts and time spent in the region – to maintain such a complex operation.
    Under President Trump, many of these professionals have left the administration, and there is no clear sense of direction from the White House for those remaining. But the lack of any real U.S. presence or policy doesn’t mean someone else can just come along and take over its traditional role.
    It’s not just that the Kremlin doesn’t have anything resembling this kind of network. Putin’s centralized way of doing business means that every decision goes through him in Moscow. This isn’t helping Russia keep a handle on evolving events on the ground, but it is an advantage for Netanyahu – who is currently the regional player with the best personal relationship with Putin.
    There are currently two schools of thought within the Israeli intelligence community. The skeptics believe Putin will not give up on his Shi’ite boots on the ground and will ultimately limit Israel’s freedom to operate in the skies above Syria – pushing Israel to make a difficult choice between sitting on the sidelines while Iran and Hezbollah build up their outposts or confronting Russia as well. The optimists believe Putin knows Israel has the power to jeopardize its achievements and threaten the Assad regime, and will therefore rein in the Iranians.
    Netanyahu’s team has been working closely with the Russian president for years, and the two leaders speak regularly on the phone and meet every few months. When they’re on their own, with just fellow Likud lawmaker Zeev Elkin to interpret, does Netanyahu openly threaten to destabilize the Assad regime? Probably not. The implied threat is enough.
    Putin will have to make the call on Israel or Iran soon – or risk losing all he has invested in Syria.

  • Syria Does Not Fear War With Israel: The Rules Of Engagement Have Changed – Elijah J. Magnier | ايليا ج مغناير
    https://elijahjm.wordpress.com/2018/02/11/syria-does-not-fear-war-with-israel-the-rules-of-engagement-have

    It is not in the interests of Russia to see war break out in Syria where its forces are present on the ground and in the Mediterranean. Russia considers it has the right to intervene because its official presence on Syrian territory is at the request of and in agreement with the Damascus government. In its role as a superpower, it is in its interest to stop the tension on the Syrian border and show it has the power to impose peace on would-be belligerents.

    It is also in Moscow’s interests to push Syria to react to Israel’s violations, even at the cost of downing an Israeli jet- especially when Russia accuses Washington of supplying the Faylaq al-Sham militants (al-Qaeda’s allies in northern Syria city of Idlib and its surroundings) with the anti-aircraft missiles which downed the Russian jet over Idlib and to the murder of its pilot who refused to surrender to the militants and jihadists.

    All of this took place one day after the liberation of the entire area from the “Islamic State” (ISIS) group in rural Aleppo, Homs and Idlib, with over 1200 square kilometres returned to government control. This freed over fifteen thousand officers and soldiers from the Syrian army and special units which were engaged there to move to another front, the one against Israel if necessary, with al-Qaeda as the only remaining threat to the Syrian state.

    This shows that the government of Damascus – which lived in a state of war for more than six years – is ready to fight its battle with Israel and begin now. The Lebanese Second War in 2006 proved that air force power does not give superiority and does not finish off the opponent, Hezbollah, whose militants continued firing missiles and rockets consistently throughout the 33 days of war. The thousands of missiles delivered to Syria from Russia and Iran in the last years represent a major threat to Israel in the event of war, invalidating its air superiority.

  • Selon Elijah J. Magnier, l’escalade entre Israël et la Syrie est terminée pour aujourd’hui. Selon lui, Israël opte pour la dé-escalade et a demandé une médiation russe pour calmer la situation.
    https://twitter.com/ejmalrai/status/962311125193850880

    This is the end of it guys: #Israel decided to stand down and de-escalate. #Russia received & Israeli request to mediate to stop the escalation. Israel has lost the first battle against #Damascus when Syria was ready, after eliminating ISIS in central Syria

    Moon of Alambama (qui se base beaucoup sur les rapports d’Elijah Magnier) écrivait en gros la même, notant en particulier l’absence de déclaration américaine : Is War With Israel Imminent (Updated) ?
    http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/02/syria-is-war-with-israel-imminent.html

    The parties are now deescalating. In the last round Israel claimed to have hit several Syrian air-defense positions and “Hizbullah depots” while Syria claimed to have shot down more incoming missiles. Israel signaled that it is not interested in further escalation and Russia called for both sides to calm down. There has been no statement from Washington.

    If this outcome persists we can state that there are now new “rules of engagement” and new “red lines”. Further Israeli attacks on Syria will be responded to by effective means. The Russian officers who are co-located with the Syrian air defense will not intervene to Israel’s advantage. That fact is in itself a message from Moscow to Israel to stop its open and its clandestine provocations.

  • Syrians Given Temporary Refuge in Germany Fear Being Set up to Fail

    Most Syrians coming to Germany receive temporary protection instead of full refugee status, complicating efforts to integrate them. Miriam Berger reports on how one family from Damascus copes with the unknown while getting on with life in rural Bavaria.


    https://www.newsdeeply.com/refugees/articles/2018/02/06/syrians-given-temporary-refuge-in-germany-fear-being-set-up-to-fail

    #statut #statut_juridique #réfugiés #asile #migrations #intégration #réfugiés_syriens #Allemagne #protection_subsidiaire #protection_temporaire
    cc @isskein

  • Thousands of ISIS Fighters Flee in Syria, Many to Fight Another Day - The New York Times

    https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/04/world/middleeast/isis-syria-al-qaeda.html

    WASHINGTON — Thousands of Islamic State foreign fighters and family members have escaped the American-led military campaign in eastern Syria, according to new classified American and other Western military and intelligence assessments, a flow that threatens to tarnish American declarations that the militant group has been largely defeated.

    As many of the fighters flee unfettered to the south and west through Syrian Army lines, some have gone into hiding near Damascus, the Syrian capital, and in the country’s northwest, awaiting orders sent by insurgent leaders on encrypted communications channels.

    #daech #syrie

  • Syria Comment » Archives » US Policy Toward the Levant, Kurds and Turkey – By Joshua Landis
    http://www.joshualandis.com/blog/us-policy-toward-the-levant-kurds-and-turkey-by-joshua-landis

    By keeping Damascus weak and divided, the US hopes to deny Iran and Russia the fruits of their victory. Washington believes this pro-Kurdish policy will increase US leverage in the region and help roll back Iran. The Acting Assistant Secretary of the Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs, David Satterfield, explained to the Senate on January 11, 2018 that US policy is designed to convince the Russians to see that a new constitution for Syria is written and that fair elections, overseen by the UN, are carried out that Assad will lose. By denying the Damascus access to North Syria, the US says it is convinced it will achieve these stated ends. I am unaware of any analysts who believe this. It is completely unrealistic. Russia, even if it wished to, cannot force Assad to make such concessions. Most analysts brush off such State Department formulations as talking points designed to obscure more cynical objectives.

    #Syrie #Etats-Unis #Iran #Russie

  • Israeli army warns: Danger of violence escalating into war is growing -

    With eye on recent events, military intel warn of potential war ■ Abbas may have backed himself into a corner ■ Gaza threat looms over Israelis

    Amos Harel 13.01.2018
    read more: https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/.premium-1.834343

    The odds of a neighboring country, or one of the terrorist organizations operating inside of it, launching a war against Israel this year are almost nonexistent, according to the Israeli army’s intelligence assessment for 2018.
    Sounding remarkably similar to the 2017 assessment provided to the defense minister, the military noted there is not much left of the Arab armies, and Israel’s neighbors are mostly preoccupied with themselves, while internal problems are distracting Hezbollah and Hamas.
    Is there any difference from 2017? Well, the danger of deterioration – perhaps even to the point of war – has grown significantly, Israel Defense Forces Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Gadi Eisenkot stated. The intelligence branch and the chief of staff, who is beginning his fourth and final year at the helm of the army, are concerned about two possible scenarios. 
    The first would be the result of a reaction by one of Israel’s enemies to an Israeli show of force. The second would stem from a flare-up on the Palestinian front. When the terrorism genie gets out of the Palestinian bottle, it takes many months or even years to put it back.
    The first scenario, which the army terms “the campaign between the wars,” might happen when Israel tries to prevent rivals from obtaining advance weaponry they might want to use during a future war, according to Eisenkot.

    Israel Defense Forces Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Gadi Eisenkot, center, being briefed by Col. Gilad Amit, commander of the Samaria Brigade, following the murder of Rabbi Raziel Shevach, January 18, 2018.IDF Spokesperson’s Unit
    Most of these operations occur under the radar, far from Israel’s borders. Usually, such operations draw little media attention and Israel invariably dodges the question of responsibility. The previous Israel Air Force commander, Gen. Amir Eshel, told Haaretz last August there were nearly 100 such attacks under his five-year command, mostly on Syrian and Hezbollah arms convoys on the northern front.

    However, the more Israel carries out such attacks, and the more it does so on increasingly sophisticated systems (according to foreign media reports), the higher the chances of a confrontation with other countries and organizations, increasing the danger of a significant retaliation.
    A similar thing is happening on the Gaza border. Work on the defense barrier against cross-border attack tunnels is advancing, while Israel is simultaneously developing and implementing more sophisticated methods to locate these tunnels.
    At least three tunnels were seemingly located and destroyed near the Gaza border in recent months. However, this success could exact a price if Hamas or Islamic Jihad decide to try and use the remaining attack tunnels before they are completely destroyed or redundant.

    Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman, accompanied by Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot during a visit to a military exercise in the Golan Heights in 2017.Ministry of Defense
    It is usually accepted practice to call out intelligence officials over mistaken forecasts. But we received a small example of all these trends on various fronts over the past two weeks. The cabinet convened for a long meeting about the northern front last Sunday. Arab media reported early Tuesday morning about an Israeli attack on Syrian army weapons depots near Damascus. A base in the same area, which Iran had reportedly built for one of the Shi’ite militia groups, was bombed from the air in early December. In most of the recent attacks, the Syrians fired at the reportedly Israeli aircraft. The Syrians also claimed recently that the attacks have become more sophisticated, made in multiple waves and even included surface-to-surface missiles.
    A few days beforehand, there was a report about an Israeli aerial attack – apparently on a cross-border attack tunnel – next to the Gaza border. Meanwhile, in the West Bank, the demonstrations to protest U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent recognition of Jerusalem as the Israeli capital were dying down, out of a seeming lack of public interest. Then, on Tuesday evening, Rabbi Raziel Shevach, from the illegal outpost of Havat Gilad, was killed in a drive-by shooting attack near Nablus. The army responded by surrounding villages and erecting roadblocks around Nablus, for the first time in two years. The IDF moves were acts of collective punishment the chief of staff would normally rather avoid, but they were approved on a limited basis due to the murder of an Israeli.
    Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu hinted that the Shin Bet security service is close to solving the murder, but at the time of writing it was still unclear who did it. Hamas and Islamic Jihad released statements praising the deed, while, in a rare move, Fatah’s Al-Aqsa Martyrs’ Brigades – which has been virtually inactive for a decade – took responsibility for the attack.
    Its statement, which was posted on several Facebook pages, attributed the attack to the “Raed Karmi cell,” marking the anniversary of the Al-Aqsa Martyrs’ Brigades leader’s death. Israel assassinated Karmi – the military leader in Tul Karm responsible for the killing of many Israeli civilians and soldiers during the second intifada – on January 14, 2002.

    U.S. President Donald Trump shakes hands with Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas at a more amicable time, May 3, 2017Carlos Barria, Reuters
    Woe to Abbas
    The Palestinian Authority, whose leadership has avoided condemning the murder of an Israeli citizen, is making an effort nonetheless to capture terrorists in designated areas in Nablus under its jurisdiction. The Israeli moves in the area added to the humiliation of the PA, which looks like it has navigated itself into a dead end. 
    President Mahmoud Abbas is in trouble. The Trump declaration on Jerusalem provided him with a temporary escape. Last November the Palestinians received worrisome information that the Trump administration’s brewing peace plan was leaning in Israel’s favor. Trump’s so-called deal of the century would likely include leaving settlements in the West Bank in place, and declaring Abu Dis the Palestinian Jerusalem, capital of a prospective state.
    These planks are unacceptable to Abbas. However, the Trump declaration allowed the PA leader to accuse the Americans of giving up any pretense to being an honest broker. He found refuge in the embrace of attendees at the Islamic Conference in Turkey, and in halting all discussion of renewing negotiations.
    Abbas soon discovered that rejecting a reopening of talks with Israel didn’t stop the drumbeat of bad news coming his way. UNRWA was facing a severe financial crisis well before the Trump administration threatened to freeze the U.S. share of funding for the UN agency in charge of Palestinian refugee assistance. The crisis, incidentally, also worries Jordan, which hosts at least 3 million Palestinian refugees and descendants. The flow of funds from the donor nations to the territories is dissipating, at a time that the reconciliation process between the PA and Hamas has ground to a halt, with Abbas saying he doesn’t see any benefit that can come of it.
    Meanwhile, Fatah members from activists in the field to the aging leadership are despairing of the chance of realizing the two-state solution. Israel protests the statements of senior Fatah officials about the right to wage armed struggle. It recently arrested a retired Palestinian general on the charge that he had organized protests in East Jerusalem. Fatah plans a council meeting next week, in which participants are expected to adopt a militant line.
    Abbas, who turns 83 in March, is increasingly feeling his years. His health has deteriorated and so has his patience and fitness to work, although it seems his love for travel has not faded. Claims of widespread corruption, some of which allegedly involve his family, are increasing. Other forces in the West Bank are aware of his weakened physical and political condition. Hamas is vigorously encouraging attacks against Israel, probably in expectation of humiliating the PA. Last week the Shin Bet asserted that for the first time, an Iranian agent was operating a Palestinian terror cell in Hebron.
    Meanwhile, a multiparty effort is being made to halt the violence and prevent a sliding into a military confrontation. Under the shadow of rockets by Salafi groups in Gaza, Israel and the PA announced the transfer of additional funds from the PA to pay for increasing the electricity supply from Israel to the Strip. There has not been a single rocket fired this week, but the situation remains fragile. The army increased security around communities close to the border and has stepped up exercises that simulate terrorists using tunnels to infiltrate under the border to kidnap and kill Israelis. The chief of staff watched the elite Shaldag unit going into action in such a scenario this week.

    Palestinian Islamic Jihad militants take part in the funeral of their comrade in the central Gaza Strip October 31, 2017. SUHAIB SALEM/REUTERS
    The army has to stay alert because Islamic Jihad has yet to avenge the killing of its people together with Hamas operatives in a tunnel explosion on the border last October. In November, Jihad militants fired over 20 mortar shells in a four-minute span at an army outpost near Sderot (no one was injured).
    Shells were fired a month after that, probably by Islamic Jihad, at Kibbutz Kfar Aza during a memorial ceremony for Oron Shaul, who was killed in the 2014 Operation Protective Edge and whose body is being held in Gaza. Army officials expect more attempts.
    The large number of gliders the Palestinians have launched near the border recently likely attests to intelligence gathering ahead of attacks. Israeli officials are also kept awake by recent reports from Syria of a mysterious glider attack against a Russian air force base in the country’s north. Organizations in Gaza are in arm’s reach of this technology.

    An opposition fighter fires a gun from a village near al-Tamanah during ongoing battles with government forces in Syria’s Idlib province on January 11, 2018.OMAR HAJ KADOUR/AFP
    Syria war still isn’t over 
    The civil war in Syria, which enters its eighth year in March, has not completely died out. The Assad regime, which has restored its rule over most of the country’s population, is still clashing with rebels in the Idlib enclave in northern Syria and is preparing for an eventual attack to chase the rebels out of the border area with Israel, along the Golan. The two attacks on the Russian base in Khmeimim (artillery shelling, which damaged a number of planes and helicopters, preceded the glider attack) indicate that some of the groups are determined to keep fighting Assad and his allies.
    The war in Syria started with a protest by residents of Daraa, a town in the south, against a backdrop of economic difficulties for farmers whose incomes were suffering from desertification. The regime’s brutal methods of oppression led to the spread of protest, and things quickly descended into civil war, in which several countries have meddled until today. The war often has consequences on nature. There has been a rise in the number of rabies cases in Israel in recent months, mainly in the north. One of the possible explanations involves the migration of rabies-infested jackals from Jordan and Syria. During the war Syria has suffered a total collapse of civilian authority, and certainly of veterinary services. When there are no regular vaccinations, neighboring countries suffer as well.
    The Middle Eastern country suffering the second bloodiest civil war, Yemen, gets only a tenth as much attention as Syria. The war in Yemen has raged for three years. Some 3 million residents out of a total of 28 million have fled the country as refugees. Over half of those remaining suffer from food insecurity. The UN recently estimated that about a million residents have contracted cholera from contaminated water or food.
    Such outbreaks can erupt easily, even closer to home. The European Union is expected to hold an emergency session in Brussels about the worsening humanitarian crisis in Gaza. The Israeli defense establishment has confirmed the frequent reports by humanitarian organizations of the continued collapse of civilian infrastructure, mainly water and sanitation, in Gaza. Wastewater from Gaza, flowing straight into the sea, is reaching the beaches of Ashkelon and Ashdod. I recently asked a senior Israeli official if he doesn’t fear an outbreak of an epidemic like cholera in Gaza.
    “Every morning, I am surprised anew that it still hasn’t happened,” he replied.

    Amos Harel

  • Migreurop | City Plaza Hôtel : un exemple emblématique de la solidarité à Athènes
    https://asile.ch/2017/12/28/migreurop-city-plaza-hotel-exemple-emblematique-de-solidarite-a-athenes

    Dès la fermeture du « corridor migratoire » (printemps 2016), la capitale grecque a vu ses rues se peupler de plus de 25’000 de personnes sans abri. Les squats, ouverts par des collectifs militants locaux s’opposent à la « politique d’encampement » appliquée par le gouvernement grec. Ces modes d’accueil alternatifs font écho à d’autres mobilisations organisées par des […]

    • « City Plaza Hotel will become your home in Athens » / Entre lieu de vie et espace politique, les enjeux d’appropriation d’un squat athénien

      « Que vous soyez à Athènes pour affaires ou pour votre loisir, vous serez comme chez vous au City Plaza. »1 Cet extrait du site internet de l’hôtel City Plaza d’Athènes, non actualisé depuis sa fermeture en 2010, est une présentation à l’attention des touristes qui s’apprêtent à y séjourner quelques jours. Rénové grâce à des fonds de l’État octroyés à l’occasion des Jeux Olympiques de 2004 puis fermé après sa faillite sans indemnisation de ses employés, cet hôtel trois étoiles fait figure de symbole de la crise grecque. Huit ans plus tard, c’est un « chez-soi » (home) dénué de toute valeur marchande que le Refugee Accommodation and Solidarity Space City Plaza, propose à ses nouveaux habitants. Le 22 avril 2016, une centaine de militants grecs et un groupe de réfugiés2 squattent le bâtiment pour fournir sur sept étages un logement à environ 350 réfugiés. Leur objectif est de montrer par un exemple concret et de grande envergure qu’une politique d’accueil solidaire au centre d’Athènes est possible. Ils placent en effet au cœur de leurs actions la critique « en pratique » (expression d’un local) de la politique migratoire de l’Union Européenne et du gouvernement grec, des conditions de vie dans les camps et des hotspots3. Pour cela, ils proposent en miroir un modèle incarné par l’appropriation d’un lieu commun et autogéré.

      http://www.revue-urbanites.fr/city-plaza-athenes-squat

    • Greece’s Tower of Babel: An unusual place

      City Plaza functions collectively with refugees and activists cooking, cleaning, and making decisions together.

      From the outside, City Plaza Hotel might not look like much, just another shabby building in the Greek capital of Athens, neglected during the years of the economic crisis. Step inside its doors to find a unique space for hundreds of people from all over the world: refugees.

      Their plan was never to stay in Greece. They had hopes of reaching northern Europe. But, once the “Balkan Route” closed in March 2016, those who had made the dangerous trip in rubber dinghies from Turkey had nowhere else to go.

      That’s when activists in Athens intervened and occupied spaces such as City Plaza, a hotel that had been abandoned years earlier, to prevent the weary travellers from sleeping in overcrowded camps or, even worse, in the streets of Athens, as many who could not find shelter were forced to do.

      Since it was occupied, City Plaza has become home to some 400 refugees and migrants from Syria, Afghanistan, Iraq, Nigeria, Pakistan, Iran and elsewhere. Unlike most refugee accommodations in Europe, City Plaza affords its guests a level of dignity they wouldn’t find elsewhere.

      People have private rooms and their own bathrooms. It’s an unusual space - where most asylum centres are hierarchical and segregated based on nationality, City Plaza functions collectively, with refugees and activists cooking, cleaning, living and making decisions together.

      In such a diverse space, things can easily get lost in translation. But people find a way to communicate, and when they can’t there are people such as Rabea, himself a refugee from Damascus, to make sure that Greek and international activists can communicate with the refugees and migrants living in City Plaza.


      http://www.migreurop.org/article2852.html

    • City Plaza, la #fin...
      Message reçu le 12.07.2019 de Vicky Skoumbi via la mailing-list de Migreurop:

      Après 39 mois de fonctionnement l’occupation City Plaza, un hôtel athénien transformé en lieu de vie et d’hébergement pour réfugiés a fermé. City Plaza avait accueilli 2.500 réfugiés dans un espace exemplaire, géré collectivement par les solidaires et par les réfugiés eux-mêmes. L’évacuation a été programmée par le collectif Solidarity 2 refugees qui a été à l’origine de l’occupation. La décision de ne plus continuer l’occupation fut prise en mai 2018 et depuis juin de la même année City Plaza n’acceptait plus de nouveaux arrivants. D’après le communiqué mise en ligne sur FB, la décision fut prise pour trois raisons :

      A) le refus de normaliser/légaliser une occupation qui s’est voulue un acte militant tandis que deux ordres successives d’évacuation du procureur restaient en attente.

      B) Un manque grandissant des moyens et de forces vives ; il fallait que chaque nuit un service de sécurité de huit personnes soit de garde afin d’assurer la sécurité des réfugiés qui pouvaient à n’importe quel moment devenir la cible d’une attaque de l’Aube Dorée ou d’autres groupuscules d’extrême droite, la possibilité d’une intrusion de la propriétaire accompagnée de ses sbires étant toujours en ligne de mire.

      C) Les élections et la formation d’un gouvernent de droite qui a déjà annoncé son intention d’y envoyer les CRS pour évacuer de force l’hôtel et en finir avec la soi-disant « anomie » de l’occupation ; ont précipité l’évacuation : il fallait protéger les migrants sans-papiers d’une arrestation qui pourrait être suivi d’un internement et d’une expulsion

      Tous les résidents de City Plaza ont été relogés dans des bonnes conditions, soit à d’autres occupations, soit à des appartements.

      Le collectif remercie tous ceux et celles ont soutenu d’une façon ou d’une autre et leur donne rendez-vous pour des nouveaux combats en commun

      Voir leur communiqué en anglais
      https://www.facebook.com/sol2refugeesen/posts/2117692658523066?__tn__=K-R

      39 months City Plaza: the end of an era, the beginning of a new one. (here is the text in Greek https://urlzs.com/dtFsv)

      Yesterday, on 10th July 2019, the keys of squatted City Plaza were handed back to the former employees of the hotel, to whom the mobile equipment in the building belongs. All refugees living at City Plaza have been moved to safe housing within the city.

      On 22 April 2016, the Economic and Political Refugee Solidarity Initiative squatted the empty City Plaza building with a two-fold goal: to create, on the one hand, a space of safety and dignity in which to house refugees in the centre of the city and, on the other, to create a centre of struggle against racism, borders, and social exclusion. For the freedom of movement and for the right to stay.

      The decision to squat was taken at a critical political juncture. On 18th March 2016, one month before the squat opened, the EU-Turkey deal to restrict the movement of refugees to Europe was signed. It was the deal that marked the end of the “summer of migration” - the period which began in July 2015 when, under pressure from approximately one million people, the European borders “opened”. This was the deal that turned the islands of the Aegean into a sort of prison for migrants, and which turned mainland Greece into a trap for over 60,000 people. The SYRIZA-ANEL government, following its capitulation to the neoliberal management of the economic crisis, took on the the implementation of a policy of control, deterrence and discouragement of migration. With Frontex and NATO patrolling the Aegean, with detention centres such as Moria on the islands, with awful camps as the only policy for housing refugees on the mainland, by punishing solidarity and the struggle of refugees. During that time, the housing issue was very pressing. The refugees who had arrived in Athens were either homeless or were being housed in the awful camps of Elliniko, Malakasa, or the port of Piraeus, while hundreds of people slept in tents or cardboard boxes in city streets and squares.

      It was while these were happening that a discussion began within the Economic and Political Refugee Solidarity Initiative, which led to the decision to squat City Plaza, a hotel on Acharnon street which remained shut for seven years. The decision had certain features of voluntarism, and was not justified by the forces in our disposal, nor by the state of the anti-authoritarian movement at the time. Yet it was a move which addressed the political situation and the great struggle of the refugees who had, over the previous months, opened the borders of Fortress Europe and thus won their right to freedom of movement. It also matched the massive and spontaneous social solidarity movement which developed along the length of the migration route.

      City Plaza as an example of dignified housing, space for social solidarity and cooperation between locals and migrants.

      From its inception, City Plaza was organized around two key goals:
      – to create a space for safe and dignified housing for migrants in the centre of the city, a space of solidarity and cooperation between locals and migrants.
      – to function as a centre of struggle in which political and social demands by migrants and locals will interweave and complement each other.

      CP proved in practice that the state policy of “hospitality” towards refugees is a mixture of harshness, incompetence, and political expediency. Where the solidarity movement, without any funding from formal institutions, without any “experts” or employees, managed to create one of the best housing spaces in the centre of the city, the state continued to abide by the trapping of refugees in makeshift camps and tents in the mainland, and by imposing a regime of refuting the rights of refugees and detaining them in hot spots on the islands, at the threat of deportation.
      This contrast was the key element which led to mass support for CP at the beginning of its operation, by individual activists, organizations/collectives of the left, as well as by people who joined the movement for the first time there. Of course, because of the ownership status of the hotel, there were several attacks “from the left” which, fully aligned with the narrative of the owner and the petty bourgeois rhetoric on the “supreme human right to property”, attempt to belittle the effort, by spreading conspiracy theories (ranging from claims that we’re being funded by Soros, SYRIZA, the German State, to claims that we traffic drugs, firearms, children, and sex workers), slandering the collective and the activists who are part of it.

      City Plaza proved in practice that refugees and locals can live together when, instead of isolation, punishment, and hatred, there is solidarity, struggle, and community. At the opposite pole from the camps, located outside the cities and in awful conditions, CP managed, in a difficult neighbourhood, until recently patrolled by neonazis, to brighten the formerly dark corner between Acharnon and Katrivanou, by giving it the character of security truly valued by those from below: the security of dignified housing, community, solidarity, and vitality of the people selflessly fighting for better lives.

      At the same time, dozens of people showed their solidarity around the world. Through their daily presence, their participation in shifts, positive attitude and a large-scale international campaign for the financial support of the project. Dozens of crates of food and other essentials were sent to Plaza, thousands of people and groups made donations to support the project, which relied solely on donations for its survival.

      City Plaza also served as a centre for struggle. Aiming to internationally denounce the anti-refugee policies of the SYRIZA-ANEL government and the EU, we brought to the fore topics such as criminal responsibility for shipwrecks and loss of human life, the delay or obstruction of sea rescue, the practice of illegal pushbacks in Evros and the Aegean, the conditions of imprisonment in hotspots. City Plaza hosted dozens of open discussions on the border regime, racism, the struggle for rights, often featuring contributions by well-known intellectuals from around the world, such as Judith Butler, Angela Davis, David Harvey, Alain Badiou, Sandro Mezzandra, among others. Yet the goal was not just to highlight issues relating to migrant struggles, but also to link them to the struggles of locals. In the rallies for International Worker’s Day, the Polytechnic Uprising, antifascist and feminist protests, the City Plaza block was present throughout the three years.

      The City Plaza community: Practices, Rights, Cooperation.

      The answer to the question of what City Plaza is is known to the thousands of people who passed through its doors: CP is a project for the realisation of a conception of everyday life which aims to empower those “from below”, in the constitution of a space of freedom, which practically realises an aspect of the society we envision.

      Its mode of operation expressed a politics of everyday life which is in opposition to the dominant model of managing migration, especially to its “NGOisation”. At the core of this voluntary contribution of time, effort, and emotion was not the “provision of services” to “the vulnerable” but the attempt to combat insecurity and fear, to empower and encourage confidence and trust in the collective. Help to refugees was re-politicised - and became solidarity and common struggle. Self-organisation, shared responsibility and decision making were central, as was a constant reflection on the inequalities permeating relations within the project: localisation, class, gender, language, education, etc.

      Despite the inherent contradictions and difficulties, the collective experience of organising everyday life was the foundation for building a strong community of solidarity. At the same time, in this context, and in contrast to dominant victimising narratives, refugees and migrants became dynamic subjects with an active role on social and political life.

      Daily life at CP was based on the principle of participatory organisation and collective decision making and operations, processes particularly complex in a community of 350 people speaking different languages, and with different ethnic, class, and social backgrounds, and different plans for the future. Regular coordination meetings became the space in which equal discussion took place on issues of operation and organisation, while House meetings were - especially in the beginning - a real lesson in how we can and should discuss, operate, and co-implement, as refugees and as locals. The organisation of residents and solidarians into working groups was a component of organising the project but also an essential basis for developing personal and political relationships amongst ourselves. The working groups were: Reception, Education, Children’s Activities, Health Centre, Kitchen, Security, Economics, Cleaning, Communications, as well as a self-organized Women’s Space.

      In its 36 months of operation, City Plaza hosted over 2,500 refugees from 13 different countries. About 100 of the 126 rooms of the hotel hosted 350 refugees at any one time, while the remaining 26 either served as communal spaces (classrooms, women’s space, storage space) or to host solidarians from around the world. It was, after all, City Plaza’s political choice to not serve as a housing space “for” refugees but as a space of cohabitation and shared everyday life.

      Yet we will not provide statistics referring to countries of origin, ages or ‘vulnerable” cases. In contrast, we will provide “statistics” on the enormous amount of resources that the movement was able to mobilise in order to keep City Plaza going:

      812,250 hot meals were prepared by the kitchen team

      74,500 work hours on security shifts

      28,630 hours of shifts at reception

      5,100 hours of language teaching and creative educational activities

      * 69,050 rolls of toilet paper

      However, the most important things cannot be counted. They have to do with human relationships, mutual respect and solidarity, emotions and experiences, optimism born out of common struggle.

      The end of an era, the beginning of a new one

      Such a project demands enormous resources. It is not a political squat which can stay closed for a couple of days in August without any problems. It is a space which demands a daily commitment, responsibility, and presence. Besides, the way we see it, self-organization is not automatic. To the contrary, it requires many hours of work, often endless processes of shared decision making, and interminable difficulties. In other words, self-organization and solidarity are not theory. They are action in the here and now. Action full of contradictions and life’s problems. In a society in which authoritarianism, war, capitalism, and competition between the subjugated is considered normal, while multiple divisions and hierarchies permeate us all, because of our origins, genders, and class backgrounds, self-organisation is not a slogan. It is a struggle.

      Unfortunately, as often happens in many self-organized projects, enthusiasm, commitment, and participation dwindle over time - especially when circumstances are so demanding. The fact that the overwhelming majority of City Plaza residents are in transit made it impossible to hand the operation of the squat completely over to the refugees as most of them, sooner or later, left for Europe. At the same time, the material resources required for a project of such size - for food, hygiene products, medications, building maintenance - became harder to come by, despite the fact that comrades throughout Europe have demonstrated extraordinary commitment.

      On the basis of all of the above, shortly before City Plaza celebrated its two-year anniversary, and following calls to collectives and spaces which supported the project from its inception, there opened a difficult and contradictory discussion on how long City Plaza can carry on, or whether and how it should adapt, given that we did not wish to see the project decline. There was a dilemma on whether we would move towards the direction of “normalising/ legalising” the squat or towards completing the project, while also looking for new ways to keep the community it created alive in a different context.
      The first option was found to be politically undesirable, as it clashes with City Plaza’s character as a political alternative to NGOisation, and leads to a disconnect between the issues of safe housing and collective struggle and rights demands more generally.

      We decided that, despite it being a difficult choice, City Plaza should rightly close the way it began and operated: as a political project, by protecting the central element which turned it into a example, that is organisation from below, safe and dignified living, community of struggle, and addressed to society as a whole.

      During the House meeting of 26th May 2018, we jointly decided on this direction - not without contradictions and disagreements - and there was an extensive discussion about how to implement such a decision. Beginning in June 2018, City Plaza did not accept new residents, while there was a collective commitment that the project would not wind down until every resident had found acceptable accommodation. This commitment was not at all simple to implement. The wider circumstances of dealing with the refugee question - both from the point of view of the SYRIZA-ANEL government and from the point of view of NGOs, did not provide an opportunity to provide institutionally guaranteed housing to residents, while other spaces and squats could not house such a large number of refugees, despite positive attempts to support this.

      One year on, and while the project was winding down, the expected change in the political landscape, with the imminent re-election of New Democracy, made it imperative to once more address the pace at which the project is progressing towards its close, taking into account the fact that, over the past several months, several refugees had gradually moved to safe housing. Plaza has two pending court orders for its evacuation, while high-ranking New Democracy members made daily references to the “destruction of private property” and the “lawlessness” at City Plaza. In this respect, evacuation could be used as a deterrent, while many refugees, especially those with no fixed legal status, could face disproportionate consequences (deportation, detention, etc.). Even though, for some, an evacuation by New Democracy could be seen as a “heroic exit”, for which few political explanations would need to be given, nevertheless most City Plaza residents would be put in danger, especially in view of their already vulnerable and unstable status.

      This reconfirmed the decision to bring City Plaza to a close, on a collective basis and in our own terms. All refugees found safe housing. In the almost eighteen months between the decision to shut down and its implementation, most refugees moved on towards Northern Europe. Out of those who remained at City Plaza, some had the opportunity to rent their own place, as they had since found employment, while others still resorted to collective solutions. Through shared spaces and other housing projects which we have already put in place, along with the impossibly persistent network of all the people who actively participated in the project (refugees and solidarians), the community will continue to exist long after the building has been abandoned.

      City Plaza’s closure is linked to the wider movement’s inability to develop effective forms of organization, mobilisation, and discourse on the refugee questions, which match the demands of the time. It is true that many parts of the wider social movement decided on different degrees of involvement, being unable to support the project and/or develop similar ones, which would galvanise our efforts through a new dynamic. This position is not apportioning blame, but highlights the project as part of a wider social and political process, reflecting the ideological-political and organisational crisis within the movement, with which we will have to deal in the next phase.

      City Plaza was an invaluable political experience for all who took part, but also a political event far greater than the sum of its parts. Without exaggeration, CP was the pan-European symbol which concentrated resistance to the racist and repressive migration regime of the EU, following the closure of the borders after the EU-Turkey deal was signed. Equally, it served as a strong counter-example at a time of pessimism and demobilisation for the left, and a time of resurgence for the far right.

      City Plaza was a great struggle which, like all great struggles, cannot be counted as a clear victory or a clear defeat. It is a chapter in antiracist and migration struggles and, at the same time, an experiment in social movements, an unexpected mix of different needs, sociopolitical, gendered, and class experiences. This meeting, like every mixture, needs some time for the multiple experiences to settle and leave their trace on our individual and collective consciousness.In this milieu, new forms of resistance, struggle, and relationships of cooperation and solidarity will form - in Athens as well as in the dozens of cities at which City Plaza residents will arrive, as well as in the daily struggles against the barbarism or racism and repressive policies. Σ

      The City Plaza collective was, from the beginning, aware of its contradictory makeup. The alternative it proposed could not but me incomplete, dependent on the circumstances in which it was born and the subjective capacities of the movement and its people, with their brains, hearts, and bodies. Yet it was also restricted, like every struggle for rights and equal participation, which impinges on the power of capitalist exploitation, the imposition and reproduction of nationalist, racist, and gendered hierarchies and divisions.

      City Plaza is a link in a chain of struggles for social emancipation. A peculiar struggle, as it began from the small and the everyday, from how to cook the food and how to clean the building, and extended to resistance to the border regime and to multiple levels of discrimination. For those of us who took part in it, CP was an opportunity to redefine and to reflect on political thought and practice, relations of power, everyday life, cohabitation and its terms, self-organisation and its contradictions. We say goodbye to S(p)iti Plaza with one promise: to transfer this rich experience, to continue to enrich and broaden the ways and the places of common struggle.

      Solidarity will win!

  • Cela va peut-être arriver mais, pour l’heure, je ne vois pas de reprise dans la presse non arabophone de l’entretien donné par Hamad ben Jassim Al Thani, ancien premier ministre et ministre de l’Intérieur du Qatar sur la chaîne nationale de son pays. Il y déclare tout de même, avec une grande franchise, que son pays, Qatar, les Saoudiens, les Turcs et la CIA s’étaient mis d’accord pour faire tomber le régime syrien. Secret de polichinelle, sans doute, mais première reconnaissance officielle, à ma connaissance, par un acteur impliqué de l’existence d’un complot contre la Syrie.

    الفريسة السورية التي “تهاوشت” على صيدها السعودية وقطر ونجت بجلدها.. قراءة في المقابلة التلفزيونية للشيخ حمد بن جاسم وما اذا كانت ادت اغراضها في ارضاء السعودية والنتائج التي يمكن ان تترتب عليها | رأي اليوم
    http://www.raialyoum.com/?p=768797

    #syrie #qatar

  • NSA DOCUMENT SAYS SAUDI PRINCE DIRECTLY ORDERED COORDINATED ATTACK BY SYRIAN REBELS ON DAMASCUS
    https://theintercept.com/2017/10/24/syria-rebels-nsa-saudi-prince-assad

    A LOOSELY KNIT collection of Syrian rebel fighters set up positions on March 18, 2013, and fired several barrages of rockets at targets in the heart of Damascus, Bashar al-Assad’s capital. The attack was a brazen show of force by rebels under the banner of the Free Syrian Army, targeting the presidential palace, Damascus International Airport, and a government security compound. It sent a chilling message to the regime about its increasingly shaky hold on the country, two years after an uprising against its rule began.

    Behind the attacks, the influence of a foreign power loomed. According to a top-secret National Security Agency document provided by whistleblower Edward Snowden, the March 2013 rocket attacks were directly ordered by a member of the Saudi royal family, Prince Salman bin Sultan, to help mark the second anniversary of the Syrian revolution. Salman had provided 120 tons of explosives and other weaponry to opposition forces, giving them instructions to “light up Damascus” and “flatten” the airport, the document, produced by U.S. government surveillance on Syrian opposition factions, shows.

    The Saudis were long bent on unseating Assad. Salman was one of the key Saudi officials responsible for prosecuting the war in Syria, serving as a high-ranking intelligence official before being promoted to deputy minister of defense later in 2013.

  • #Pétrole: le roi Salmane d’#Arabie_saoudite attendu jeudi en #Russie
    http://www.boursorama.com/actualites/petrole-le-roi-salmane-d-arabie-saoudite-attendu-jeudi-en-russie-c9e16f1

    Les principaux producteurs de pétrole membres ou non de l’#Opep se sont mis d’accord fin 2016 pour réduire leur production d’environ 1,8 million de barils par jour pendant six mois. L’entente a été prolongée de neuf mois supplémentaires.

    Cet accord avait fait grimper les prix, qui tournent actuellement autour de 55 dollars le baril.

    L’économie de l’Arabie saoudite, tout comme celle de la Russie, dont la production de pétrole est quasiment au coude à coude avec Ryad, ont été durement frappées par la baisse des prix de l’or noir commencée à la mi-2014.

    Alors que l’activité économique saoudienne s’est contractée pour le deuxième trimestre consécutif, principalement en raison de la faiblesse des prix du brut, le roi Salmane chercherait à s’assurer du soutien de la Russie pour faire prolonger la réduction de production jusqu’à ce que les prix de pétrole se stabilisent, selon des experts.

    Pour financer ces déficits, Ryad a déjà réduit ses subventions publiques, eu recours à des emprunts sur les marchés international et intérieur et retiré environ 245 milliards de dollars de ses réserves.

    A partir du 1er janvier, l’Arabie saoudite doit également introduire, pour la première fois, la #TVA.

    La Russie, dont l’économie visée par des sanctions occidentales est également très dépendante des revenus pétroliers, s’est dite favorable fin septembre à la poursuite d’une action « concertée » avec l’Opep sur le pétrole.

    Le ministère saoudien de l’Information a qualifié d’"historique" le voyage du roi Salmane, 81 ans, qui sera le premier souverain saoudien à faire une visite officielle en Russie.

    Saudi king heads to Russia, with oil, investment and Syria on agenda
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-saudi-russia-diplomacy/saudi-king-heads-to-russia-with-oil-investment-and-syria-on-agenda-idUSKCN1

    Discussion of Syria is likely to focus on what the country will look like once Islamic State is defeated, Assad’s future, what peace talks between Saudi-backed opposition activists and Damascus can achieve and the creation of new de-escalation zones. The king may also seek assurances that #Iran will not have a permanent role in Syria.

    #Syrie

  • Damascus says Syrian Kurdish autonomy negotiable : report
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-kurds/damascus-says-syrian-kurdish-autonomy-negotiable-report-idUSKCN1C10TJ

    BEIRUT (Reuters) - The Syrian government is open to negotiations with Kurds over their demand for autonomy within Syria’s borders, the foreign minister has said, striking a conciliatory tone as military tensions worsen between the sides in eastern Syria.

    Walid al-Moualem said the government could discuss the Kurdish demand once Islamic State is defeated, state news agency SANA reported, citing an interview with Russia Today.

    “This topic is open to negotiation and discussion and when we are done eliminating Daesh (Islamic State), we can sit with our Kurdish sons and reach an understanding on a formula for the future,” Moualem said.

    #Kurdes #Syrie

  • Panique : Netanyahou, l’Iran et le Hezbollah
    http://www.dedefensa.org/article/panique-netanyahou-liran-et-le-hezbollah

    Panique : Netanyahou, l’Iran et le Hezbollah

    A la lumière de la confirmation avec les effets psychologiques et politiques à mesure de la victoire syrienne de Deir ez-Zour, le long commentaire ci-dessous d’Alastair Crooke sur la “panique Netanyahou” prend une singulière importance. Les Syriens d’Assad ont, avec l’aide des Iraniens et surtout du Hezbollah, et le soutien aérien massif de la Russie, emporté une victoire stratégique qui marque évidemment un tournant dans le conflit syrien, et sans doute un tournant décisif. Le concours du Hezbollah dans cette bataille, comme dans la majeure partie du conflit, constitue un élément majeur de ce conflit, et l’une des préoccupations fondamentales de Netanyahou.

    Crooke analyse dans toute son ampleur la très difficile situation du Premier ministre israélien qui (...)

    • Une attaque aérienne israélienne la nuit dernière, contre une position syrienne proche de la frontière libanaise avec des missiles air-sol tirés d’avions israéliens ayant pénétré prudemment l’espace aérien libanais (et pas syrien), signale cette extrême nervosité israélienne, mais sans convaincre de l’efficacité de la chose. Les Israéliens ne sont pas en position de force. Selon plusieurs sources, les Russes tiennent complètement l’espace aérien de la région, notamment avec l’arrivée de cinq avions d’alerte et de contrôle de l’espace aérien à très grandes capacités Beriev A-50 désormais basés en Syrie. D’autre part, DEBKAFiles signale que le Hezbollah devrait être conduit à changer complètement ses tactiques et sa stratégie suite aux victoires remportées en Syrie, ce qui rend complètement caduc le scénario utilisé par les forces armées israéliennes dans des manœuvres en cours pour ttester ses capacités de l’emporter sur le Hezbollah : « In the remaining seven days of the exercise, the IDF still has a chance to update its scenario », écrit ironiquement DEBKAFiles.

    • L’article d’Alaistair Crooke pointé par dedefensa

      The Reasons for Netanyahu’s Panic – Consortiumnews
      https://consortiumnews.com/2017/09/01/the-reasons-for-netanyahus-panic

      The increasingly “not to be” constituency of the Middle East has a simpler word for Netanyahu’s “#ethnic_nationalism.” They call it simply #Western_colonialism. Round one of Chas Freeman’s making the Middle East “be with Israel” consisted of the shock-and-awe assault on Iraq. Iraq is now allied with Iran, and the Hashad militia (PMU) are becoming a widely mobilized fighting force. The second stage was 2006. Today, Hizbullah is a regional force, and not a just Lebanese one.

      The third strike was at Syria. Today, Syria is allied with Russia, Iran, Hizbullah and Iraq. What will comprise the next round in the “to be, or not to be” war?

    • @simplicissimus : Pour aller dans ton sens, le timing israélien est intéressant, juste après le désencerclement de Deir-Ezzor, commepour dire on est là. Et il vient appuyer, si l’on peut dire, le rapport de l’ONU accusant - same player shoots again - la Syrie d’attaque chimique.

    • “Just to be clear: if 2006 marked a key point of inflection, Syria’s “standing its ground” represents a historic turning of much greater magnitude. It should be understood that Saudi Arabia’s (and Britain’s and America’s) tool of fired-up, radical Sunnism has been routed. And with it, the Gulf States, but particularly Saudi Arabia are damaged. The latter has relied on the force of Wahabbism since the first foundation of the kingdom: but Wahabbism in Lebanon, Syria and Iraq has been roundly defeated and discredited (even for most Sunni Muslims). It may well be defeated in Yemen too. This defeat will change the face of Sunni Islam.
      Already, we see the Gulf Cooperation Council, which originally was founded in 1981 by six Gulf tribal leaders for the sole purpose of preserving their hereditary tribal rule in the Peninsula, now warring with each other, in what is likely to be a protracted and bitter internal fight. The “Arab system,” the prolongation of the old Ottoman structures by the complaisant post-World War I victors, Britain and France, seems to be out of its 2013 “remission” (bolstered by the coup in Egypt), and to have resumed its long-term decline.”

    • If Israel did strike Syrian arms facility, it may have shot itself in the foot

      www.haaretz.com/israel-news/.premium-1.811226

      While Thursday’s alleged attack may have seen Israel widen its definition of what it deems a threat, it may give Iran an excuse to increase its military presence and lead Russia to declare Syrian airspace a no-fly zone

      By Zvi Bar’el | Sep. 7, 2017 | 10:20 PM

      The Syrian Scientific Studies and Research Center is the code name for part of the Syrian unconventional weapons industry. The center, better known by its French acronym CERS, is commanded by a Syrian general. It is also responsible for Syria’s chemical weapons manufacturing plants, which are reportedly located in three separate sites: Two near Damascus and the third close to the city of Masyaf, northwest Syria, only about 70 kilometers (43 miles) from the Khmeimim Russian Air Force base near Latakia.

      According to official Syrian reports, Israeli planes attacked CERS from within Lebanese territory early Thursday morning. The reports do not provide details of the damage to the facility and what it made. But an official statement said the attack was meant to raise the morale of Islamic State fighters after they suffered serious casualties in the fighting around Deir ez-Zor. According to President Bashar Assad’s regime in Syria, Israel not only founded ISIS, it also aided in its recent operations.

      It is not completely clear whether this facility, where they manufacture long-range missiles and artillery shells, also continues to assemble chemical weapons shells. But if Israel knows about such production at the plant, then there is no doubt the United States and Russia know about it too.

      We can assume Israel informed Washington before the attack and received the necessary nod of approval. As far as Russia is concerned, meanwhile, it seems Israel decided to attack from within Lebanese territory to avoid the need to coordinate its operation with the Russians – as is required from the understandings between the two air forces whenever Israel sends fighter jets into Syrian territory – and to prevent the information from leaking out.

      This was not the first alleged Israeli aerial attack in Syrian territory, of course. But the timing is quite interesting. It comes after Russia threatened to veto any UN Security Council resolution that describes Hezbollah as a terrorist organization, and a short time after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Sochi – a meeting Netanyahu returned from without any Russian commitment to bring about an Iranian pullback from Syrian lands.

      As Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has said, Russia has made a commitment that Israel’s security interests will not be harmed as a result of the establishment of de-escalation zones in Syria.

      But the Russian interpretation of the meaning of harming Israel’s security interests is not necessarily the same as Israel’s definition. Given that the presence of Hezbollah forces in Syria is seen as a threat to Israel, how much more so is the presence of pro-Iranian forces deployed near Israel’s eastern border on the Golan Heights, as well as in the area near Daraa in southern Syria?

      At the same time, Russia – which itself does not define Hezbollah as a terrorist organization – would find it difficult to force the group’s forces out of Lebanon. That’s mainly because of Iran’s position that sees Hezbollah as an essential foundation for preserving its influence in Lebanon and as an important tactical force in the Syrian war. Unlike in Lebanon, where Iran needs Hezbollah to force the hand of the Lebanese government when necessary, Iran’s influence on the Assad regime is direct and in no need of intermediaries.

      Russia, which has acted to limit Iran’s freedom of operation in Syria, recognizes that it must coordinate its actions with Iran if it wishes to fulfill its aspirations to stabilize Assad’s rule.

      The Aleppo lesson

      Russia has already learned its lessons from Aleppo, when it thought it could implement the cease-fire agreement that was reached at the end of last year without coordinating with Iran – and then realized that the Shi’ite militias and Hezbollah were preventing rebel soldiers from boarding the buses that were meant to take them out of the city, on Iran’s orders.

      The Iranian explanation was that because Tehran was not a partner to the agreement, it was not obligated by it. Russia has avoided Syrian negotiations since then, whether local or international, without Iranian participation.

      The attack on the weapons facility, especially one suspected of producing chemical weapons, is seemingly an act that should not cause an aggressive Russian response. Four years ago, Russia convinced then-President Barack Obama at the last minute not to attack Syria for its use of chemical weapons in Aleppo, and in return co-signed a tripartite agreement in which Syria agreed to destroy or send to Russia its entire chemical weapons inventory. Now, Russia may attempt to prove that the facility did not produce such weapons, but it is doubtful it will strain itself too much in doing so.

      By the way, that 2013 agreement included chlorine gas too, which the Syrian army still continues to use.

      Russia also understands that Israel’s alleged attack on the suspected chemical weapons plant, similar to the U.S. cruise missile strikes on Syria after the chemical weapons attack in Khan Sheikhun in April, is considered to be a legitimate action by the international community.

      Even Russia made it clear back in 2013 that it would not object to an attack on chemical weapons stores if the UN decided on such a step, and if it is proved Syria did use such weapons.

      The new element in the latest attack – if Israel did indeed carry out such an attack – is that Israel now defines what it sees as a threat in a much broader sense.

      The question is whether Russia will accept this definition as part of Israel’s strategic worldview – which sees Syria as a threatening enemy state. Russian agreement to expanding that definition could grant Israel approval for other attacks – such as against Syrian Air Force bases, or even against Syrian ground forces, with the argument that they are considered a threat.

      And so, if until now there was a red line between the Russian and Israeli air forces, this time the attack could lead at the very least to Russia imposing stricter “aerial discipline” on Israel. If this happens, Russia could declare that any foreign planes entering Syrian airspace would be considered a legitimate target for the Russian Air Force, except for coalition planes fighting against the Islamic State.

      Saving the United States

      From Washington’s perspective, Israel has pulled its chestnuts out of the fire. Following numerous reports on the renewed use of chlorine gas by the Syrian army, the Americans would have been forced to act. And this could have caused its relations with Russia to deteriorate even further.

      But the “service” Israel has provided to Washington just sinks it even deeper into the Syrian arena. This time, not only as an interested observer knocking on the doors of the superpowers in order to promote its own security interests, but as an active partner whose military presence adds yet another component to the array of forces (which already includes Russia, Iran, Turkey and Syria).

      But the Israeli element could threaten to spoil Russia’s plans. For example, Iran, Turkey and Russia are about to establish a security zone in the Idlib province, where most of the militia forces of the Al-Shams Front (formerly Nusra Front), which is affiliated with Al-Qaida, are concentrated. This is a region where Iran and Turkey have opposing interests, even though both are interested in a cease-fire.

      Turkey wants to use this region as a strategic base for military operations against the Syrian Kurdish regions that border Turkey. Iran sees Idlib province as a strategic outpost to serve as a base for its control of Syria. All three countries are planning a combined attack against the rebel centers, if Russia is unable to enforce a cease-fire according to the model that was built in the southern provinces.

      It would seem Israel has no real interest in the Idlib province, except for the concern about Iran’s expansion and settling in there. But the takeover of Idlib – like the military campaign in Deir ez-Zor in southeastern Syria, where ISIS continues to rack up losses – is preparing the diplomatic channels for a permanent agreement.

      Russia is striving to demonstrate control of Idlib and Deir ez-Zor by the end of next week, when the representatives of the various parties in the Syrian civil war are set to meet in the Kazakh capital of Astana. The Russians want to present such a takeover as proof of a total victory by the Syrian regime, a victory that would destroy the opposition groups’ tools for applying pressure.

      Syrian-Russian control of these two provinces would strengthen the diplomatic working assumption that Assad will continue to be Syrian president, especially since opponents of his regime in Europe, the United States and Turkey – and even Saudi Arabia – have nearly completely withdrawn their demands to remove him as a precondition to any negotiations.

      Such a result would obligate Israel to be a partner, even if only indirectly, in the process of establishing a new Syrian government; in the debate over the status of Iran and Hezbollah in Syria; and the guarantees that Russia, and not the United States, can provide in response to the possible threats resulting from such an agreement.

      Double-edged sword

      Israel may very well conclude that the greater its military involvement in Syria, whether through sporadic attacks or by tightening its military ties to rebel groups, it more it will strengthen its position when the time comes to formulate a political settlement.

      But such a view can be a double-edged sword. It will grant Iran a wonderful excuse to increase its military presence in Syria; Russia may reduce or even eliminate its aerial coordination with Israel and declare Syrian airspace a no-fly zone; and Hezbollah could turn the Golan Heights into a legitimate front against Israel as part of its balance of deterrence with it.

      There is a big difference between the ability to attack specific targets and a permanent situation of two hostile fronts, one facing Syria and the second Lebanon – especially when Israel’s most important backer, the United States, is sunk deep inside itself and does not want to intervene at all.

  • Dancing in Damascus as Syria keeps Russia 2018 World Cup dream alive with last-gasp goal (VIDEOS) — RT News
    https://www.rt.com/news/402124-damascus-celebrates-syria-iran-football

    https://youtu.be/mdZzgvt5whE

    Le même jour, les troupes syriennes rompaient le siège de Deir-Ezzor, avec les mêmes hommes s’étreignant pour ces scènes de joie...
    Syrian soldiers embrace after breaking 3-year ISIS siege of Deir ez-Zor (EXCLUSIVE VIDEO)

    #syrie

  • Syria opposition told to come to terms with Assad’s survival
    https://apnews.com/60c6c5d0814442528efefb257c02e34b

    Western and regional rebel patrons, currently more focused on advancing their own interests rather than accomplishing regime change in Damascus, are shifting their alliances and have ceased calls on Assad to step down.

    “There is no conceivable military alignment that’s going to be able to remove him,” said former U.S. Ambassador to Syria Robert Ford, now a fellow at the Middle East Institute in Washington, D.C. “Everyone, including the U.S., has recognized that Assad is staying.”

    « Assad a gagné et il restera au pouvoir »
    http://www.huffingtonpost.fr/olivier-d-auzon/assad-a-gagne-et-il-restera-au-pouvoir_a_23190657

    Pour l’ancien Ambassadeur des #Etats-Unis en #Syrie, Robert Ford, la messe est dite :"Assad a gagné la guerre et il restera au pouvoir". c’est assurément ce qu’il a indiqué dans les colonnes du journal émérati basé à Abou Dhabi the National, publié le 28 août 2017.

    Syrie : le départ de Bachar Al-Assad n’est plus la priorité des États-Unis | Syrie : l’engrenage de la guerre | ICI.Radio-Canada.ca
    http://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/1025391/conflit-syrien-depart-bachar-al-assad-priorite-etats-unis-onu-ambas

    31 mars 2017

    « Notre priorité n’est plus de nous asseoir ici et de nous focaliser sur les moyens de faire partir Al-Assad. Notre priorité est de regarder vraiment comment nous pouvons faire progresser les choses, avec qui nous devons travailler pour améliorer véritablement le sort des gens en Syrie », a-t-elle déclaré devant des journalistes.

  • What the West Got Wrong in Syria | Foreign Policy
    http://foreignpolicy.com/2017/08/22/what-the-west-got-wrong-in-syria

    The West’s approach to the Syrian uprising was from the very beginning dominated by an overdose of wishful thinking. Politicians apparently based their positions on their day-to-day domestic political reflexes, rather than on the long-term vision and result-oriented pragmatism that were needed to work toward genuinely helping to solve the conflict.

    Most Western politicians early on became fixated on the idea that the conflict could only be resolved if President Bashar al-Assad were removed from power. Many really thought that the regime would fall within a relatively short time. Various ambassadors in Damascus expected Assad to have been gone by the summer of 2012. The strength of the regime was completely underestimated, partly out of ignorance and lack of knowledge of the Syrian regime, as well as because of misplaced optimism.

    Academics, journalists, and policymakers who predicted that there was a realistic chance for the Assad regime to survive for a longer time, or called the moral legitimacy of the allegedly “peaceful” opposition into question, ran the risk of being accused of being pro-Assad — or even of being against democracy. Ideological arguments sometimes prevailed over realistic ones. Even the United Nations and its special envoys for Syria were from time to time accused of being partial to Assad after the slightest move that could potentially be interpreted as not opposing his interests.
    (...°

    The solidarity visit of Ford and his French counterpart, Eric Chevallier, to the opposition in Hama in July 2011 looked sympathetic from a Western point of view but in fact led to the end of the possibility for the United States and France or other countries to play any role as mediator in the conflict. Their visits rather created false hopes among the opposition that essential Western support was forthcoming — and in the end it was not as forthcoming as had been suggested.

    This article is an edited extract from Nikolaos van Dam’s new book, Destroying a Nation : The Civil War in Syria.

    Assez « amusant » de voir le FP publier ce genre d’article aujourd’hui... N. Van Dam (71 ans) est LE spécialiste, du moins dans sa génération, de la Syrie sur laquelle il écrit depuis la fin des années 1970. Mais il vaut toujours mieux inventer des « syriologues » pour leur faire raconter ce qu’on a envie d’entendre....

    pathétique #syrie

  • In blow to Iran, Egypt becomes surprise new player in Syria - Syria - Haaretz.com
    http://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news/syria/.premium-1.808039

    A new and surprising player has recently entered the Syrian arena and has already contributed to establishing local cease-fires: Egypt received Saudi and Russian “permission” to conduct negotiations between the rebel militias and the regime, both in Ghouta al-Sharqiya (east of Damascus) and the northern neighborhoods in the city of Homs. In both cases, it managed to get a cease-fire deal signed – in the former on July 22, in the latter in early August.
    Both areas are part of the de-escalation zones on which Russia, Turkey and Iran agreed in May, in consultation with the United States. But this is the first time Egypt has played an active role in diplomatic negotiations between the warring parties that produced positive results.
    From Israel’s standpoint, Egypt’s involvement is important. Any country engaged in blocking Iran’s influence in Syria serves Israel’s interests. But that’s especially true when said country is Egypt, which is Israel’s partner in the war on terror in Sinai and an ally (together with Saudi Arabia and Jordan) with whom it sees eye to eye about both the Iranian threat and the danger of Syria disintegrating into cantons.
    Israel is also involved in discussions about the de-escalation zone in southern Syria that runs along Syria’s borders with both Israel and Jordan. Over the weekend, an Israeli delegation headed by Mossad chief Yossi Cohen began talks on the issue with senior U.S. officials in Washington, and a meeting has been scheduled for Wednesday between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Russian President Vladimir Putin.
    During these discussions, Israel will presumably push the superpowers to encourage Egypt’s involvement in Syria, thereby ensuring another Arab partner (alongside Jordan) that will be sympathetic to its interests.

    #Egypte #Syrie