#counterinsurgency

  • Après avoir connu une chute d’audience... - La France en colère - Carte des rassemblements | Facebook
    https://www.facebook.com/cartedesrassemblements/posts/apr%C3%A8s-avoir-connu-une-chute-daudience-le-17-juin-dernier-le-groupe-la-france-en-/286316079390317

    La France en colère - Carte des rassemblements
    3 h ·
    Après avoir connu une chute d’audience le 17 juin dernier, le groupe « La France en colère - Carte des rassemblements » a été désactivé par Facebook à 21h15 ce jour.
    Le groupe est restreint depuis quelques jours et nous assurons n’avoir autorisé aucune publication justifiant cela.
    Ce groupe de 385 000 personnes est dédié aux partages des initiatives citoyennes de contestation sociale. Nous ne pouvons pas croire qu’il y ait un rapport.
    Au moment de la coupure, nous mettions en avant une enquête exclusive de Quid sur les méthodes et les failles du comptage des manifestants en France. (facebook.com/quidofficiel/videos/348966996065280)
    Nous attendons un retour de Facebook dans les plus brefs délais.

    #facebook #Gilets_jaunes

  • Si vous êtes abonné-e à REDDIT, c’est le moment ou jamais de lever l’ancre en leur disant pourquoi:

    On 29th June, @reddit banned the radical feminist subreddit r/GenderCritical, Reddit’s most active feminist community, which had nearly 65,000 subscribers and more than 27,000 daily users, as part of their campaign to rebrand themselves as being against “hate."
    #RedditHatesWomen #Reddit #censure #antiféminisme #GenderCritical #lobbytransgenriste

  • Do civilian casualties cause counterinsurgents to fail ?
    https://warisboring.com/do-civilian-casualties-cause-counterinsurgents-to-fail #war #guerre #COIN #contre_insurrection #counterinsurgency

    All four studies that argue insurgent leaders make the decision on which side to support find that civilian killings had no substantial effect on outcomes.

    However, the six studies that assume “civilian agency” in war produces mixed conclusions. Kocher and colleagues, Lyall and colleagues, and Condra and Shapiro find that civilian deaths are bad for counterinsurgents.

    However, Lyall’s 2009 study of Russian artillery strikes in Chechnya finds that civilian deaths are actually helpful. However, his 2010 study of Russian/Chechen sweeping operations during the same war finds that intentional killings are only helpful for co-ethnic counterinsurgents and detrimental for foreign troops.

    Finally, Kalyvas’ study on Germany’s recruitment efforts during the occupation of Greece finds that civilian killings had no real effect on outcomes.

    • Her findings boil down to this. During civil wars with more than two armed groups — think Syria — insurgent leaders decide who to ally with based on two factors. The alliance should increase the likelihood of winning. However, the alliance must also allow for the insurgent leader to gain a significant amount of political power once the war ends. If it becomes clear during the course of the war that this will not happen, the insurgent leader will switch sides.

      This phenomenon holds true even if it’s clear that the alliance is about to win the war. That is, unless it becomes clear that an insurgent group has become so dominant that no alliance formation could possibly challenge it. If this occurs, insurgent groups will bandwagon to the winning side.

      Insurgent leaders gauge the relative power in their coalition mainly based on battlefield performance, according to Christia. Ethnicity, religion, political goals and treatment of co-ethnic civilians, have no bearing on the decision to switch sides.

      In fact, Christia shows that insurgent leaders “pick allies whose support will result in optimizing their wartime returns, and then look to their identity repertoires for characteristics shared with their allies while not shared with their foes.” This propaganda is unimportant to insurgent leaders, but “serve as important signals to the rank and file.”

  • The Invasion of Ideas - Shelly Palmer
    https://www.shellypalmer.com/2017/06/the-invasion-of-ideas
    Cet article nous propose une analyse intelligente et pourtant erronée des attentats récents. Il les présente comme résultat du social engineering sans mentionner le fait que la violence a toujours existé dans les relations de classe et sans évoquer que statistiquement les USA connaissent un mass shooting par jour pour des raisons purement sociétales.

    Où sa positions est intéressante c’est quand on le prend comme expression de l’état d’esprit des libéraux modérés étatuniens. Il n’échappent jamais aux pièges de la technopilie et de leur propre perspective de classe nationale.

    To understand how to defeat an enemy using social media, it would help to understand self-organizing ant colonies or self-organizing robot swarms or even algorithmic art. Most self-organizing systems work by giving a few very simple instructions to completely autonomous entities and letting them act on their own.

    The strategy requires four cohorts: ideators, propagators, supporters and executors. Ideators will come up with the instructions and post them. Propagators will share, retweet or otherwise propagate the instructions. Supporters will not propagate but will tacitly support the propagators. Executors will carry out the instructions.
    ...
    The Instagram Intifada

    The names “social terrorism” and “social media warfare” are not quite right. This is a new kind of war against an enemy with very new weapons. Soldiers armed with rifles are fighting side-by-side with civilians armed with smartphones. The result is a synchronized physical and cyber war. The battle is fought, both sides launch a narrative meme, and the most emotionally compelling story wins.

    A Social Engineering Arms Race

    According to my good friend Col. John Fenzel (Ret.), “We are now in a state of enduring social conflict enabled and empowered by social media.” The recent killings were not ordered by a military commander, not carried out by troops, not perpetrated by terror cells or operatives. They were socially engineered.

    The key performance indicator in this well-executed, hyper-targeted, social media marketing campaign is dead people. It’s sickening to think of it this way, but I have to call this what it is: a highly successful social engineering hack.

    #terrorisme #counterinsurgency #internet #USA

    • Hello, Klauss. You’re following me, I see. I’m sorry I haven’t posted anything of interest yet. But here is a book you might find of interest: Charles Mills’ Black Right/White Wrongs: The Critique or Racial Liberalism. One of the things I find interesting is the book is the idea (which represents a fact, I think) that many liberals (I speak of liberal here not neo-liberalism ) believe that we are living in a world that actually instantiates ideal liberalism. I’m not sure how they manage to believe this. But some do, which I take to be an incredible feat of imagination.

      Your post above brought to my mind the following text, which I have only skimmed. (See below). The ant analogy is in force!

      Dou

      The Ant Trap

      Rebuilding the Foundations of the Social Sciences

      Brian Epstein

      Oxford Studies in the Philosophy of Science

      Develops a new theory of the social world
      Overturns longstanding assumptions that are built into the methods of the social sciences
      Makes controversial claims about the nature of the social world, arguing that—paradoxically—social theory has focused too much on the role of people in building the social world
      Draws connections among many disciplines, including philosophy, economics, political science, and the law