country:middle east

  • Iran’s Tiny Navy Is Trying to Revive the Persian Empire - Bloomberg
    Opinion by Jim Stavridis

    https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-01-10/iran-s-tiny-navy-is-trying-to-revive-the-persian-empire


    A cheap alternative to aircraft carriers.
    Photographer: Atta Kenare/AFP/Getty Images

    The West sees Tehran as a regional player. Iranians see themselves as a global power.

    On the campaign trail in 2007, Senator John McCain sang a parody to the tune of the Beach Boys’ “Barbara Ann”: “Bomb, bomb, bomb … bomb, bomb Iran.” That sentiment resonates in the Donald Trump administration, and it’s understandable. The Iranians continue to push their influence throughout the Middle East: using proxies to threaten U.S. allies; supporting Bashar al-Assad in Syria; fueling the war in Yemen through support for Houthi rebels; and seeking to destabilize Iraq and gain further influence in Lebanon.

    Now we face a new twist to Iranian expansionism that demonstrates both Tehran’s ambition and its growing ties to Russia: the Iranian navy announced it will undertake a five-month deployment to the western Atlantic. While it’s unclear how many ships will be involved, Tehran says the flotilla will include a newly built destroyer, the Sahand. Some vessels are expected dock in Venezuela, one of the few countries in the Western Hemisphere that would welcome them.

  • Saudi Arabia, Germany turn page on diplomatic dispute -
    The spat was triggered last November when Germany’s foreign minister at the time, Sigmar Gabriel, condemned ’adventurism’ in the Middle East

    Reuters
    Sep 26, 2018 5:39 PM

    https://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news/saudi-arabia-germany-turn-page-on-diplomatic-dispute-1.6511068

    Germany and Saudi Arabia have agreed to end a prolonged diplomatic row that prompted the kingdom to pull its ambassador from Berlin and punish German firms operating in the country.
    The spat was triggered last November when Germany’s foreign minister at the time, Sigmar Gabriel, condemned “adventurism” in the Middle East, in comments that were widely seen as an attack on increasingly assertive Saudi policies, notably in Yemen.
    The comments, which aggravated already tense relations caused by a moratorium on German arms exports to Saudi Arabia, led Riyadh to withdraw its ambassador and freeze out German companies, particularly in the lucrative healthcare sector.

    Gabriel’s successor Heiko Maas, egged on by German industry, had been working for months to resolve the dispute. Earlier this month, Berlin signed off on the delivery of four artillery positioning systems to Saudi Arabia, a step that officials say accelerated the rapprochement.
    Standing alongside his Saudi counterpart Adel al-Jubeir at the United Nations on Tuesday, Maas spoke of “misunderstandings” that had undermined what were otherwise “strong and strategic ties” between the countries, saying “we sincerely regret this”.
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    “We should have been clearer in our communication and engagement in order to avoid such misunderstandings between Germany and the kingdom,” he said. “We’ll do our best to make this partnership with the kingdom even stronger than before.”
    Jubeir said he welcomed Maas’ statement and invited him to the kingdom to intensify their ties. He spoke of a “a new phase of close cooperation in all areas” between Berlin and Riyadh.
    Officials told Reuters that the Saudi ambassador, Prince Khalid bin Bandar bin Sultan, son of longtime Saudi ambassador to the United States, Prince Bandar bin Sultan, was expected to return to Berlin soon.
    After weeks of delay, the new German ambassador to Saudi Arabia, Joerg Ranau, is now expected to receive his accreditation and take up his position in Riyadh.
    “The Gordian knot has been broken,” said Volker Treier, foreign trade chief at the German chambers of commerce and industry (DIHK), who is in Riyadh to celebrate the 40th anniversary of the local chamber.
    “The optimism is back. Diplomacy triumphed,” he said. “Everyone we have met here has made clear they want to work closely with us again.”
    The dispute hit trade between the countries. German exports to Saudi Arabia fell 5 percent in the first half of 2018. And companies like Siemens Healthineers, Bayer and Boehringer Ingelheim complained that they were being excluded from public healthcare tenders.
    In a strongly-worded June letter to Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, European and U.S. pharmaceutical associations warned that the restrictions could hurt Saudipatients and dampen future investment in the kingdom.
    The dispute with Germany predates one that erupted between Canada and Saudi Arabia this summer after the Canadian foreign minister, in a tweet, called for the release of human rights activists in Saudi Arabia.
    The kingdom responded by expelling the Canadian ambassador, recalling its own envoy, freezing new trade and investment, suspending flights and ordering Saudi students to leave Canada.
    Saudi Arabia’s role in the Yemen war, in which Arab forces are fighting Iran-aligned Houthis, remains controversial in Germany.
    Chancellor Angela Merkel’s new government went so far as to write into its coalition agreement earlier this year that no arms could be sent to countries involved in the conflict. It is unclear how recent arms deliveries fit with this ban.

  • Israel braces for Iran missile attack from Syria over last month’s deadly strike

    Israeli officials believe Iran is determined to retaliate for the April 9 airstrike on Syria’s T4 airbase, which killed seven Iranian military advisers and members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards

    Amos Harel May 06, 2018
    https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/.premium-israel-braces-for-iran-missile-attack-from-syria-over-t4-airstrike

    Israeli defense officials are bracing for the possibility of an Iranian revenge attack from Syria in the near future, in the form of rocket and missile launches at northern Israel.
    Officials believe Iran is determined to retaliate for the April 9 airstrike on Syria’s T4 airbase, which killed seven Iranian military advisers and members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards. Iran blames Israel for this attack.
    >> Iran’s proxy wars: The four battlegrounds Iran uses to threaten Israel and the Middle East | Analysis: Despite Iran’s threats, Israeli army pushes aggressive line against Tehran in Syria >>
    Israel has detected unusual involvement by Hezbollah in Iran’s preparations for retaliation, even though the organization has been trying to keep its activity low-profile so as not to affect its position within Lebanon. Aside from Hezbollah commanders, operatives from the Shi’ite militias that Iran funds in Syria have also been active in the preparations.
    The operational planning, however, is being done by members of the Revolutionary Guards’ Quds force.

  • Senator Ben Cardin has proposed fining Americans who support boycotts of Israel. A bill that would criminalize boycotts against Israel has been signed by 45 US senators and 237 congressman. The so-called “Israel Anti-Boycott Act” would impose fines of up to $250,000 (£192,000) on any US citizen “engaged in interstate or foreign commerce” who supports a boycott of Israeli goods and services.

    The US has long defended Israel in territorial disputes in the Middle East, even as the Israeli military has expanded into areas assigned to the Palestinians by international law.
    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/israel-boycott-crime-bill-settlements-senators-support-law-a7852101.h
    #BDS

  • Air strikes are the bomb
    Gideon Levy Sep 10, 2017 3:47 AM
    http://www.haaretz.com/opinion/.premium-1.811392

    One issue unites Israeli society: Every aggressive Israeli act is applauded – whether it’s clear what it was about or not, One issue unites Israeli society: Every aggressive Israeli act is applauded – whether it’s clear what it was about or not, whether the operation was necessary or not. Just as long as we bomb something. What could be bad about another bombing in Syria? We’ve already done it a hundred times and everything went well, so what’s wrong with another go?

    Why not shove another stick into that bleeding bull? It can’t respond, after all. So if we can bomb, why not? It keeps the air force alert, after not having a real fight for decades. When all is said and done, it’s a bit difficult to use an F-35 against a girl with scissors at the Qalandiyah checkpoint, and a bombing gives the air force a halo of heroism.

    Everybody cheers it. The commentators parrot that the bombing of weapons making their way to Hezbollah “creates deterrence.” But Hezbollah already has 150,000 missiles and rockets from all that bombing and deterrence.

    Behind all this is the yearning to strike the Arabs, strike as much as possible, strike as much as we can, strike as long as it doesn’t exact a price – by air, sea or land. Never mind where, when and why, as long as we strike.

    The Israel Defense Forces has long become the Israel Attack Forces. Israel is allowed to do anything. After all, Israel is a pacifist, peace-seeking country merely defending itself. In its arrogance, Israel also takes the liberty of violating the sovereignty of its neighbor Lebanon as much as it likes, invading its sky daily and even bombing Syria from it. Because who’s Lebanon to tell Israel where to fly?

    Nothing is easier than imagining what would happen if a Lebanese reconnaissance balloon entered Israel’s skies, not to mention a plane. Lebanon’s skies would tremble and shake; how dare it breach our sovereignty? But Israel is allowed.

    It’s also allowed to bomb weapons convoys everywhere, because Israel itself never acquires arms. It’s allowed to do so because it can. Here too it’s not hard to imagine what would happen if a country’s air force decided to bomb an arms shipment to Israel.

    Israel is allowed to equip itself with any weapon, whether they’re permitted and prohibited. It’s allowed to bomb weapons development centers because the weapons produced there are an “equilibrium breaker.” This term is a bit of comic relief used by the military and yes-men reporters, as if there were any equilibrium that these weapons were breaking. Israel even uses this absurd term when it talks about Hamas in Gaza. Just imagine.

    According to Israeli logic, only Israel is allowed to arm itself in the region, and it has the right to prevent any other group or country from doing so, whether by force or international pressure. Distant Saudi Arabia wanted AWACS spy planes, so Israel went bonkers; it has to thwart almost any arms deal. If it were up to Israel, all the Arab states would be demilitarized, and only Israel would continue to arm itself with every kind of weapon.

    On the face of it, there’s nothing to complain about. Israel is a regional power and wants to preserve its strength. The Middle East is extremely violent, the threats to Israel are substantial, at least partly, and if Israel can neutralize its enemies, it must do so. But this is shortsighted. These frequent bombings of Syria could have a price. This is how wars are stoked, from one successful bombing to another.

    Also, the idea that the side with the stronger military will prevail forever isn’t borne out by history. Israel, which bases its entire presence in the Middle East on its sword, can’t lean on it forever. Syria will remember that in its most difficult hour Israel humiliated it. Nations and statesmen don’t forget that. Now Russia is around as well.

    The bombing at the end of the week was a bombshell of an operation. Hats off to the IDF. But after the 102nd bombing, or maybe the 200th, there could be payback.

    #impunité

  • Israel Lobby and the Anti-Semitism Hoax - Tikun Olam תיקון עולם
    December 14, 2016 By Richard Silverstein
    https://www.richardsilverstein.com/2016/12/14/israel-lobby-anti-semitism-hoax

    (...) Which brings me to the current efforts by legislators in the U.S. and UK to legislate a radical revision in the definition of anti-Semitism. Recently, the U.S. Senate passed almost unanimously the Anti-Semitism Awareness Act, which employs the following definition and examples:

    – Calling for, aiding or justifying the killing or harming of Jews
    – Accusing the Jews as a people, or Israel as a state, of inventing or exaggerating the Holocaust
    – Demonizing Israel by blaming it for all interreligious or political tensions
    – Judge Israel by a double standard that one would not apply to any other democratic nation

    Few will have any argument with the first two definitions, but the second two are so vague and broad as to be meaningless. Under this problematic rubric, reporting that Israeli Jews kill Muslims because of their religion is anti-Semitic. Criticizing Israel for fomenting political discord in the Middle East also appears anti-Semitic. And criticizing Israel before criticizing every other democracy which engages in bad behavior is also anti-Semitic. In fact, such an approach makes most Jews themselves anti-Semites because most American Jews are critical, some highly critical of Israel and its policies. (...)

  • Déterré par Angry Arab, ce magnifique article du NY Times d’août 2011 : et si la belle réussite de l’opération libyenne était un modèle pour d’autres opérations ?

    U.S. Tactics in Libya May Be Model for Use of Force
    http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/29/world/africa/29diplo.html?_r=0

    for United States interests. But the arrival of victorious rebels on the shores of Tripoli last week gave President Obama’s senior advisers a chance to claim a key victory for an Obama doctrine for the Middle East that had been roundly criticized in recent months as leading from behind.

    Administration officials say that even though the NATO intervention in Libya, emphasizing airstrikes to protect civilians, cannot be applied uniformly in other hotspots like Syria, the conflict may, in some important ways, become a model for how the United States wields force in other countries where its interests are threatened.

  • Israel on verge of sending troops into Syria over increased threat of terrorist attack - Middle East - World - The Independent
    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/israel-on-verge-of-sending-troops-into-syria-over-increased-threat-of

    The Israeli Defence Force (IDF) is believed to be preparing for a possible ground operation in Syria.

    Local news channel, Channel 2, reported a large scale drill by military forces along the border on Sunday which simulated a possible incursion into Syrian territory and the evacuation of Israeli citizens from nearby border towns.

  • How a weaker Iran got the hegemon to lift sanctions | Middle East Eye
    http://www.middleeasteye.net/columns/how-weaker-iran-got-hegemon-lift-sanctions-881135107

    Gareth Porter : Les #Occidentaux n’auraient jamais levé les sanctions contre l’#Iran si ce dernier n’avait pas développé son programme #nucléaire.

    The news media have adopted the Obama administration’s view that negotiations were the result of Iran responding to international sanctions. The problem with that conventional view is not that Iran wasn’t eager to get the sanctions removed, but that it was motivated to do so long before the United States was willing to negotiate. 

    In fact, Iran had long viewed its nuclear programme not only in terms of energy and scientific advancement but also as a way of inducing the United States to negotiate an end to the extraordinary legal status in which Iran has been placed for so long. Even during the Bill Clinton administration Iranian strategists wanted to get the United States to move toward more normal relations, but Clinton was determined to be the most pro-Israeli administration in US history, and instead imposed a complete trade embargo on Iran. 

    #Clinton eventually offered a “dialogue” with Iran but made it clear that he had no intention of giving up the sanctions against Iran. The lesson that Iranian strategists, including then secretary of the Supreme National Security Council and now President Hassan Rouhani, learned from the Clinton years was that the United States would only negotiate the end of its sanctions against Iran if was convinced that the cost and risk of refusing to negotiate was too high. 

    It was during the second Clinton administration that Iranian strategists began to discuss the idea that Iran’s nuclear programme was its main hope for engaging the hegemonic power.

    [...]

    Only in 2013, during his second term, did Obama’s administration give up the aim of forcing Iran to end enrichment entirely and agree to actually negotiate with Iran on the nuclear issue. That decision came only after Iran had increased the number of centrifuges enriching uranium to more than 9,000, with another 9,000 centrifuges installed but never connected, accumulated a large stockpile of low enriched uranium, and – even more alarming to the United States - began enriching uranium to 20 percent.

    [...]

    The Iran nuclear agreement thus illustrates the elemental importance of the distribution of power but also the possibility of a weaker state achieving its vital interests in negotiations with the hegemonic power against what might appear to be very long odds by exploiting their source of leverage to the maximum with #patience, #courage and careful calculation.

    #calcul

  • Bahrain: The Islamic State threat within | Middle East Eye
    http://www.middleeasteye.net/columns/bahrain-islamic-state-threat-within-884335108

    In the IS video, the officer is identified as Mohamed Isa al-Binali. 

    On 5 September, the ministry of the interior tweeted that he had been dismissed for unauthorised absences. This was nearly three months after he had gone over to the Islamic State.

    The authorities should not have been surprised by his defection. His cousin Turki is a senior IS cleric who last year in an article widely distributed online called on true believers to acknowledge Abu Bakr Al Baghdadi, the Ieader of IS, as their caliph.

    Another member of the tribe Ali Yousif al-Binali was killed fighting in Syria in May of this year.

    The al-Binalis are a large and influential family with extensive commercial holdings and close ties to the al-Khalifas.

    This may explain why just last year a demonstration in front of the American embassy in the capital Manama featured a hectoring Turki al-Binali with black Islamist flags fluttering prominently behind him went unchallenged by the government and the police.

    The cleric has tapped into a feeling held by many in the Sunni community that they have been betrayed by the ruling family. They believe that their support for the al-Khalifas during the 2011 uprising has gone largely unrecognised and unrewarded.They think the government in making hesitant reforms has gone easy on Shia Bahrainis.

    Their frustration is evident on the streets of Manama where IS flags are frequently seen flying from cars.

    It is a measure of just how sensitive the issue is that the drivers are not stopped or otherwise challenged by the police.

    Only last year, Major General Tariq al-Hassan, the country’s chief of public security, tweeted an image of a bullet burnished with the extremist logo together with a quote from Islam’s third caliph Omar.

    The tweet was quickly taken down, but an anti-government activist who has been jailed several times and asked not to be named described the police chief as "a pragmatist [who] doesn’t support IS directly but likes to appear sympathetic because a lot [of IS supporters] are members of the police and security forces. He was trying to win allies."

    The activist said that the police chief has “turned a blind eye, let them [Sunni extremists] gather, leave the country, preach, produce and distribute literature.”

    And, indeed, in the heart of Manama, I have been told that at the al-Farouk bookstore it is still possible to purchase tracts by Turki al-Binali, who has been described as “the imam of the Islamic State.” The cleric left Bahrain in the summer of 2013.

    In July of this year, Major General al-Hassan did warn Bahrainis not to support terror groups and vowed “zero tolerance against violations which would endanger Bahrain’s security.” But this came only after a string of tweets including some from influential politicians who viewed IS victories in Iraq not as terrorism but as part of a Sunni insurgency against a repressive Shia regime.

  • BBC News - Prince Andrew to promote Britain in Bahrain visit
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-25723020

    Ce même « royal » qui n’hésitait pas dans des info diffusées par Wikileaks à s’extasier devant la classe et le train de vite des royals du Golfe

    he Duke of York is due to start an official visit to the Middle Eastern state of Bahrain to promote the UK.

    The UK government asked Prince Andrew to make the trip, which begins on Tuesday, as part of Britain’s “Great” campaign to boost business and tourism.

    Buckingham Palace said the visit would highlight links between the countries.

    Questions have previously been raised about human rights in Bahrain since pro-democracy protests were put down during the Arab Spring of 2011.

  • 7 réfugiés du camp de Yarmouk hospitalisés pour empoisonnement après avoir mangé du chat - Middle east monitor

    https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/news/middle-east/9221-palestinian-refugees-in-syria-hospitalised-after-eating-a-ca

    En Syrie, la famine tue.

    A Palestinian family of seven who live in the Yarmouk refugee camp on the outskirts of Damascus have suffered food poisoning after they were forced by hunger to eat a cat. The Syrian Revolution General Commission stated that the family members, including children, have been hospitalised within the camp.
    The spokesman for the Local Coordination Committee in Yarmouk, Musaab Abu Qatada, said that the camp is witnessing a “humanitarian tragedy”.

    #Syrie #famine

  • Demeaned at Ben-Gurion airport: ’Now you know what Jews endured’
    By Amira Hass | Jan. 6, 2014
    Haaretz
    http://www.haaretz.com/news/features/.premium-1.567157

    Only half an hour before her flight from Israel, D. was standing almost completely naked while an Eastern European-looking security inspector touched her arms, legs and hips. “She also put her fingers in the inside top rim of my underwear,” the young and – may I add, brilliant – doctoral student wrote to me.

    I met D. several years ago on one of her research trips to Israel. She is neither Palestinian nor Jewish. She was born in the Middle East, but grew up in the West and carries a Western passport.

    D. arrived at Ben-Gurion International Airport three hours ahead of her scheduled departure time. As on all previous visits, she was told to open her suitcase and two carry-ons for a thorough search.

    But then, just 45 minutes before takeoff, D. was told she would have to undergo a body search and would not be allowed to board the plane with her laptop.

    D. wrote me in an email: “I protested by saying, ‘I refuse to leave my laptop ... this has all of my archival research on it ... How can I trust that it will be returned to me?’” D. asked the young white woman with blue eyes and long, straight hair, and her supervisor, a young, brown-haired man. “A third, slightly older man (also brown-haired) in a suit came to me and said that if I continued to delay the search, I would miss my flight and would be responsible for that.

    “I protested again, saying they were the ones who delayed the search of my suitcase, taking their time, getting distracted with other passengers around them, passing on tasks of checking my cellphone charger, my ceramics, my olive oil and such things to their colleagues, doing a lot of small talk and joking in the process.

    "I told him that I arrived the full three hours before my flight and they made me wait for long periods while they were searching the suitcase, so if I missed the flight it would be their responsibility. And the three of them began to argue back and say that no, it would be my responsibility.”

    None of three identified themselves and D. did not notice if they wore name tags.

    I imagine D. with her black eyes staring at her inspectors and, after a quick consideration of the balance of power, softening her face and following them. In this instance, her sharp mind was no advantage.

    While waiting to be frisked in a different area, D. overheard a conversation between a woman who spoke with an Arabic accent and an Israeli man.

    “Why are you treating me like this?” the woman was saying. “I am an old woman. I am in a wheelchair. I was born in this country. I have citizenship here. Do you think I have a bomb?”

    The last question set the young male officer off and he responded aggressively. “You’re not listening to me! We’re doing you a favour,” he snapped. “This way you don’t have to wait in line in the airport.”

    D. was required to take off all her clothes except for her underwear. She was also required to remove the Band-Aid from a finger that had been cut a day earlier.

    After the “Eastern European-looking” woman traced her gloved fingers over D.’s body, “she was also very interested in my hair,” D. wrote, “and worked her fingers along my scalp to see if there was anything in my hair.”

    As the female officer touched her, D. wrote that the woman said, “‘Sorry for the inconvenience, ma’am.’ I told her not to call it an inconvenience. ‘Do not call it that. This is humiliation.’ She responded, ‘I’m sorry this is how you see it.’ I responded: ‘This is not how I see it. This is what you are doing. You are humiliating people.’

    "And then, in all seriousness, she responds, ‘Well, now you know what they did to us in Germany.’ At that stage my back was to her. I had to stop and turn around to face her. I just glared at her and said ‘Really? And what does that make you then?’ With a blank face she responded, ‘I don’t know, ma’am.’”

    I responded to D. in an email: “The security check, the wasting of your time, the condescension – I believe it all because I have heard similar testimonies. But such a stupid comment? If anyone but you were to tell me such a thing, I wouldn’t have believed it.”

    D. wrote back: “I was totally shocked when I heard the comment, because of how candid and revealing it was. And at this point my body was reacting against me and my tears were already beginning to show and flow, despite my strong tone. I had to turn around and face her to make sure she was not joking. When I realized she was speaking in all seriousness, I asked her what I did.”

    The body strip search took 20-25 minutes, according to D.’s estimate. There were still 25 minutes before the plane took off. The rest of the journey to the gate passed quickly, even giving the laptop away to the security people in exchange for some sort of receipt.

    Several days after landing in the city where she lives, D. went to the airport to collect her laptop. Friends who know about computers checked the laptop and said they suspected that data was downloaded from it - perhaps for future monitoring as well.

    I didn’t request a comment from the Israel Airports Authority. They would only give the standard response: “Everything is conducted according to the instructions of security officials [meaning the Shin Bet security service], according to the law, and we regret the discomfort caused the passenger.”

    But that’s not the reason I gave up on asking. Both D. and I fear the vindictiveness of the bureaucratic–security apparatus. Openly reporting what happened behind the scenes at Ben-Gurion airport could cost D. in the future. She could be “denied entry for security reasons.”

  • Jihadist Groups Gain in Turmoil Across Middle East - NYTimes.com

    http://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/04/world/middleeast/jihadist-groups-gain-in-turmoil-across-middle-east.html?nl=todaysheadlines&

    WASHINGTON — Intensifying sectarian and clan violence has presented new opportunities for jihadist groups across the Middle East and raised concerns among American intelligence and counterterrorism officials that militants aligned with Al Qaeda could establish a base in Syria capable of threatening Israel and Europe.

    #syrie #jihadisme

  • Vers un accord au sujet du contentieux maritime israëlo-libanais ?
    Lebanon : The Oil & Gas Week, November 11, 2013 | Middle East Strategic Perspectives
    http://www.mestrategicperspectives.com/2013/11/10/lebanon-the-oil-gas-week-november-11-2013

    The maritime border dispute between Lebanon and Israel was the subject of increased attention since the publication of an article in the Israeli business magazine Globes on 29/10 claiming that Israel rejected a US compromise, although the Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs refused to comment on the subject. In an interesting development, a Lebanese official source talking to Lebanese daily Assafir on 31/10 denied the claim. The “Lebanese official source” is likely to be caretaker Energy Minister Gebran Bassil, who told Assafir on 02/11 that the news about Israel rejecting the US compromise is incorrect.

    The leak comes at a time the US initiative is said to have reached an advanced stage. The quick denial by a Lebanese minister is significant and indicates Lebanon seems to be satisfied with the US initiative and would like it to proceed. The leak also coincides with a resumption of tension between Lebanon and Israel on multiple fronts.

    Toutefois, les choses ne sont pas si simples et les différences de vue entre forces politiques locales - sans parler du gouvernement syrien - existent aussi :

    Baath Party MP and member of the Energy and Water Committee at the Parliament, Assem Qanso warned that once exploration licenses are awarded “caretaker PM Najib Mikati, MP Walid Joumblat and caretaker Energy Minister Gebran Bassil and others” will amass billions of dollars. The pro-Syrian regime MP slammed the “sectarian” Petroleum Administration, established with “the sole purpose of sharing profits”. Qanso believes that the absence of a petroleum ministry facilitates the embezzlement of billions of dollars. The subtle messages that one can extract from Qanso’s declarations recently is that pro-Syrian regime factions expect to recover some of their lost political influence, and they prefer to hold up oil and gas exploration until a more favorable government is in place.

    #Liban
    #gaz
    #pétrole

  • Vers un accord au sujet du contentieux maritime israëlo-libanais ?
    Lebanon : The Oil & Gas Week, November 11, 2013 | Middle East Strategic Perspectives
    http://www.mestrategicperspectives.com/2013/11/10/lebanon-the-oil-gas-week-november-11-2013

    The maritime border dispute between Lebanon and Israel was the subject of increased attention since the publication of an article in the Israeli business magazine Globes on 29/10 claiming that Israel rejected a US compromise, although the Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs refused to comment on the subject. In an interesting development, a Lebanese official source talking to Lebanese daily Assafir on 31/10 denied the claim. The “Lebanese official source” is likely to be caretaker Energy Minister Gebran Bassil, who told Assafir on 02/11 that the news about Israel rejecting the US compromise is incorrect.

    The leak comes at a time the US initiative is said to have reached an advanced stage. The quick denial by a Lebanese minister is significant and indicates Lebanon seems to be satisfied with the US initiative and would like it to proceed. The leak also coincides with a resumption of tension between Lebanon and Israel on multiple fronts.

  • Is Fatah’s Armed Wing Making Comeback? - Al-Monitor: the Pulse of the Middle East
    http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2013/09/hebron-israeli-soldiers-killed-fatah-intifada.html

    Israeli accusations aimed at Fatah, fiery statements by some Fatah leaders, the scrutinization of the political identities of martyrs who fell in Qalandia’s two refugee camps near Ramallah and in the Jenin refugee camp, as well as the armed skirmishes between security forces and some Fatah members in the Nablus camps, all lead to the belief that Fatah’s military wing had returned to the forefront of Palestinian armed resistance in the West Bank. This is alongside a small presence by the Islamic Jihad’s Al-Quds Brigades, a member of which was assassinated by occupation forces in the Jenin camp on Sept. 17.

  • Questioning Credibility - By Shibley Telhami | Foreign Policy
    http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2013/09/06/questioning_credibility_us_syria?print=yes

    What the Middle East really thinks about chemical weapons and U.S. intervention in Syria.

    The common denominators of regional perceptions of CW use and U.S. intervention are the mistrust of American policy and the ranking of the U.S. and Israel as the two “biggest threats” facing the Middle East. (...)

    Similarly, most Arabs have opposed U.S. action in Syria in large part because they see every American move as intended to serve suspicious interests. (Indeed, Arab public attitudes toward the U.S. role in Syria have not coincided nicely with the region’s strong anti-Assad mood.) Even if the U.S. intervenes in Syria under humanitarian auspices, it will be seen as nefarious.

  • The Fragmenting FSA - By Kirk H. Sowell | The Middle East Channel
    http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2013/09/03/the_fragmenting_fsa

    On August 22, four of the five front commanders threatened to resign from the SMC [Supreme Military Council], promising to break “red lines” and work “with all forces fighting in Syria,” a clear reference to the war’s growing Salafist-Jihadist contingent. The statement was read by Colonel Fatih Hasun, who is the commander of the SMC’s Homs Front and the deputy chief-of-staff, that is to say, Idriss’s deputy and the most senior officer inside the country.

    (...)

    As things stand now, in the eastern provinces of Raqqa and Deir al-Zour the Salafists and Jihadists dominate and the FSA’s military council structure is essentially nonexistent. In Homs, Dara, and Aleppo they are close to parity, with a more modest presence in Damascus, Idlib, and northern Latakia. Were Hasun’s announcement to become reality, it would leave the SMC with only a fragment of an organization outside the southern province of Dara, where Southern Command head Bashar al-Zoubi was the only one of the five commanders not to join the statement. Reports of increased weapons shipments through Jordan are probably the best explanation for the difference.

    The impending U.S. strikes, depending on their severity, could give the rebels some breathing room. Yet only if the SMC finally develops a functional command structure can it be a credible ally to those whose aid it seeks. Once Assad falls, a new war will immediately start, and the balance of power in that war will depend on whether rebels identifying with mainstream Syrian society can organize themselves now.

  • The EU’s Misguided Decision To Lift Syrian Oil Embargo - Al-Monitor: the Pulse of the Middle East
    http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/security/2013/05/eu-decision-lift-oil-embargo-misguided-syria-war.html

    At the beginning of this month, to support the opposition, the EU decided to lift the oil embargo on Syria. Although the decision looked favorable on paper for the opposition, it quickly became clear that it was a disastrous step that would cause the situation to spin further out of control.

    Syria’s oil wells are in located in the Deir al-Zour and Hassakeh regions, close to the Iraqi border. Deir al-Zour is controlled by Sunni tribes while the PYD controls Hassakeh. The pro-al-Qaeda Jabhat al-Nusra has been increasing its domination of the Deir al-Zour region.

    We know that Jabhat al-Nusra is clashing with tribes for control of the oil wells. The latest such clash was at Masrib, causing 37 fatalities.

    The EU’s decision to buy oil from the opposition triggered battles over oil wells, contributed to the further fragmentation of the opposition, and resulted in the Free Syrian Army (FSA) being helpless in face of tribal leaders who are rapidly becoming warlords.

    #Syrie
    #énergie
    #pétrole
    #Turquie
    #Irak
    #PKK

  • The Extent and Limits Of Qatar-Hamas Ties - Al-Monitor: the Pulse of the Middle East
    http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2013/05/qatari-hamas-alliance-meaning.html

    Hamas and Doha may have a dispute at some point, but there are a lot of maneuvering margins and points that may delay or prevent the moment of separation, and allow the tactics of strategic alliance between the two parties to continue. Qatar needs the relationship with Hamas in order to strengthen its regional role, and Hamas needs Qatar’s support at the financial, political and media levels.

  • Hamas rejects Arab League peace initiative - Middle East - Al Jazeera English
    http://www.aljazeera.com/news/middleeast/2013/05/201353144052527593.html

    The Palestinian Hamas movement has rejected a revised Middle East peace initiative put forward by the Arab League, saying outsiders can not decide the fate of the Palestinians.

    In meetings this week in Washington, Arab states appeared to soften their 2002 peace plan, acknowledging that Israelis and Palestinians may have to swap land in any eventual peace deal.

    The United States and the Palestinian leadership in the occupied West Bank praised the move. But speaking to hundreds of worshippers in a mosque in the Gaza Strip on Friday, senior Hamas official Ismail Haniyeh said it was a concession that other Arabs were not authorised to make.

    “The so-called new Arab initiative is rejected by our people, by our nation and no one can accept it,” Haniyeh, prime minister of the Hamas government in the coastal enclave, said.

    “The initiative contains numerous dangers to our people in the occupied land of 1967, 1948 and to our people in exile.”

    He was referring to the partition of British-mandate Palestine in 1948 when the United Nations voted to divide the territory into a Jewish state and an Arab state, and to the 1967 war when Israel captured the West Bank, East Jerusalem and Gaza.

    ’Not for sale’

    Hamas refuses to recognise Israel’s right to exist and claims all the territory between the Mediterranean and the Jordan river as rightfully Palestinian. It never accepted the Arab plan which was first presented in 2002.

    “To those who speak of land swaps we say: Palestine is not a property, it is not for sale, not for a swap and cannot be traded,” Haniyeh said.

    Haniyeh said the rival Palestinian Authority ruling the West Bank, headed by Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, was to blame for inspiring the softer Arab position because it accepted the need for land swaps with Israel.

    Israel rejected the Arab peace plan when it was proposed 11 years ago. Israeli officials gave a cautious welcome to the new suggestions, but the government still objects to key points, including the “right of return” for Palestinian refugees and the creation of a Palestinian capital in East Jerusalem.

    US Secretary of State John Kerry is seeking to revive direct peace talks that broke down in 2010 over the issue of Jewish settlement building in East Jerusalem and the West Bank.

    On Tuesday, he hailed the Arab League announcement as “a very big step forward”.

    Israel’s top peace negotiator Tzipi Livni said in New York on Thursday that the modified Arab League initiative could bring new talks closer.

    “It is [in] the interests of Israel, the interests of the Palestinians and the interests of the international community,” Livni told reporters after talks with UN chief Ban Ki-moon.

    “It is clear that Secretary Kerry is completely involved, determined, and I believe that basically it [new talks] is something that we need to do.”

  • Egypt pulls out of talks to protest Israel’s alleged nukes | JPost | Israel News
    http://www.jpost.com/Middle-East/Egypt-pulls-out-of-talks-to-protest-Israels-alleged-nukes-311503

    CAIRO - Egypt said on Monday it was withdrawing from a second week of Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) talks in Geneva in protest at what it called the failure to implement a 1995 resolution for a Middle East free of nuclear weapons.

    That was an implicit reference to Israel which neither confirms nor denies having nuclear arms and is not a signatory to the NPT. Arab states and Iran say Israel’s presumed nuclear arsenal poses a threat to Middle East peace and security.

    Cairo said it was pulling out of the talks “to send a strong message of non-acceptance of the continued lack of seriousness in dealing with the establishment of a nuclear-free zone in the Middle East.”

    “We cannot continue waiting forever for the implementation of this resolution,” Egypt’s Foreign Ministry said in a statement carried by state news agency MENA. Cairo called on member states and international bodies “to bear responsibility for implementing legitimate international resolutions.”

    US and Israeli officials have said a nuclear arms-free zone in the Middle East could not be a reality until there was broad Arab-Israeli peace and Iran curbed its nuclear program, which Tehran says is for peaceful energy and research purposes.

    The two-week meeting in Geneva is to review progress in implementing the 1970 NPT, a treaty designed to prevent the spread of nuclear arms in the world.

    In a speech on the first day of the NPT conference on April 22, former Egyptian Ambassador to Geneva Hisham Badr said "Egypt and many Arab countries have joined the NPT with the understanding that this would lead to a Middle East completely free of nuclear weapons.

    “However, more than 30 years later, one country in the Middle East, namely Israel, remains outside the NPT,” he said.

    • L’Inde, le Pakistan, la Corée du nord font partie du Moyen-Orient ?

      Nucléaire : accord sur un Moyen-Orient dénucléarisé - http://www.lemonde.fr/proche-orient/article/2010/05/28/nucleaire-a-l-onu-accord-sur-un-proche-orient-denuclearise_1364747_3218.html

      L’Etat hébreu n’a pas encore réagi officiellement, mais un haut responsable gouvernemental s’est emporté, sous couvert d’anonymat, contre « l’hypocrisie » de l’accord. « Seul Israël est mentionné alors que le texte passe sous silence d’autres pays comme l’Inde, le Pakistan, la Corée du nord qui disposent d’armes nucléaires ou, plus grave encore [sic], l’Iran qui cherche à s’en doter », a-t-il déploré.

      Avec l’inévitable blabla de Obama :

      Peu après l’accord, le président Obama s’est réjoui de cette avancée. « Cet accord comporte des étapes équilibrées et réalistes qui feront avancer la non-prolifération, le désarmement nucléaire et l’utilisation pacifique de l’énergie nucléaire, qui sont des piliers importants du régime global de non-prolifération ». Toutefois, M. Obama s’est dit « fortement » en désaccord avec le fait que la conférence ait singularisé Israël.

  • Top U.S. Mideast commander: Iran sanctions not working

    Haaretz Daily

    http://www.haaretz.com/news/middle-east/top-u-s-mideast-commander-iran-sanctions-not-working-1.507528

    The top U.S. commander in the Middle East warned Tuesday that sanctions and diplomatic efforts to stop Iran from gaining nuclear capabilities are not working.

    Meanwhile, Iran said on Tuesday said that it would consider the International Atomic Energy Agency’s demands for renewed inspections only after its nuclear rights were recognized.

    General James Mattis, head of U.S. Central Command, told the Senate Armed Services Committee that Iran has a history of denial and deceit and is enriching uranium beyond any plausible peaceful purpose. While it may still be possible to use sanctions and other pressure to bring Tehran to its senses, he added, Iran is using the negotiations to buy time.