organization:hizbollah

  • Where the Islamic State hides – Peter Harling archive
    https://peterharling.com/2018/02/26/where-the-islamic-state-hides

    THE ISLAMIC STATE WAS LONG IN THE MAKING. It is here to stay, if not in the Iraqi city of Mosul, then in people’s minds and our own memory. Under its current name or its next avatar, it likely will linger on in our lives like a trauma—a familiar fear, quick to surface, however deeply burrowed.
    Indeed, it fills a hole we cannot plaster over: decaying power structures and social compacts throughout the Middle East, in parts of Africa and Central Asia, and in places closer to home, such as the urban fringes at the heart of Western societies. It taps into the same groundswell of inchoate anti-establishment anger that has been molded into virtually anything: from dissident democrats to insurgent republicans in recent American elections; from Occupy Wall Street to the Tea-Party movement; from a leftist takeover in Greece to its rightwing equivalent in Poland; from the British Brexit to the French Front National; and from hopeful uprisings in the Arab world to “ISIS,” their nihilistic antithesis.
    The problem we face is an old one: the banality, the oddity of evil, which can seep into our lives and become the new normal. As this collection of images will show us, the “true” Islamic State may not be a beheading video, but a more ordinary scene.
    To deny its hold on our reality, we make the Islamic State into something extraordinary, exogenous—a creature from the past, from an exotic elsewhere, with an inhuman rationality. But it doesn’t just mangle: it mingles too. Craving attention, it keeps creeping up on us, seeking ways to photobomb the course of history. And it is, without doubt, media-savvy: digitally-native, almost geeky in its use of modern communication tools, it promotes itself much less through a coherent ideology than via the equivalent of an aggregated, gigantic snuff-selfie.
    Paradoxically, this portfolio is filled with the Islamic State’s absence. The movement is, indeed, a small one: it has far fewer troops than any of its opponents; its resources are mostly limited to what it can plunder; its paltry weapons pale in the tall shadows of the guns arrayed against it; its popular support is ambivalent at best; its violence is staged to maximize effect; and its territorial empire always comprised much desert and rubble.
    This lesser militia nevertheless prompted the greatest de facto coalition of forces ever assembled in history: a US-led alliance of more than thirty countries, to which one must add Russia, Iran, the Syrian and Iraqi regimes, the Lebanese Hizbollah and others, all of which have declared the Islamic State as the epitome of evil and their paramount enemy. And still it is there, bizarrely hard to defeat.
    This publication appears to revolve around this mystery: the truly massive disruptions we pin on such a diminutive entity. Perhaps there are three clues to this riddle. The first is that the Islamic State magnifies itself through the media’s echo chamber, by turning its opponents’ grandstanding into a multiplying factor, and by leveraging their truly superior power. It deliberately provokes the kind of response that serves its purpose—another “war on terror” that plays up the importance of its foes while further dilapidating the urban and social fabric they already prey upon.
    Certainly ISIS ravaged archeological artifacts and stole many lives; but the wholesale destruction of large parts of Syria and Iraq is a service it owes to its proclaimed enemies. Only in that void can it thrive. The photographs in this collection capture, incredibly, this inhabited vacuum—a place of ample misery and so little meaning.

  • Saudi Arabia frustrated in its campaign to counter Hizbollah
    https://www.ft.com/content/343a8c46-cabf-11e7-ab18-7a9fb7d6163e

    Riyadh may [...] be forced to backpedal on its threats or push for drastic economic measures that would bring the country to its knees — similar to the regional embargo it has led since June against Qatar, banning flights and cutting trade routes in an attempt to choke its rival Gulf state into submission.

    [...]

    Such harsh tactics may become harder to impose, with western governments pushing back against Riyadh. They have no desire to see further chaos in the war-torn region, fearing radicalisation and more refugees. On Wednesday, France said it would invite Mr Hariri to Paris in an effort to ease tensions and facilitate the premier’s eventual return to Beirut.

    “[We] have been pretty clear that destabilising Lebanon any further is not in anyone’s interest,” said one western diplomat. “I think the Saudis realise that they cannot push much harder or they will shoot themselves in the foot.”

    #arabie_saoudite

  • The Angry Arab News Service/وكالة أنباء العربي الغاضب: Allies of ISIS in Lebanon: the pro-US/pro-Saudi camp
    http://angryarab.blogspot.com/2017/09/allies-of-isis-in-lebanon-pro-uspro.html

    Because the attention of Western correspondents in Beirut is focused on serving the propaganda of the Saudi-US-Israeli camp in the Middle East, and because they are allies of the March 14 in Lebanon, there is an unreported story about Lebanon and ISIS. As soon as ISIS emerged, March 14 figures supported ISIS and even publicly. This guy, is a major March 14 figure (and is now the man in charge of all media for the pro-Saudi Lebanese Forces) wrote in 2013. It says: “Is ISIS against the Syrian regime: Yes. Is ISIS against Iran? Yes. Is ISIS against Hizbollah? Yes. Therefore I am with ISIS”. This sentiment, by the way, was pretty much the sentiment of Western powers in the region.

    #modérés#Liban #Arabie_saoudite #etats-unis #MSM

  • #Irak : Paris confirme qu’un #drone piégé a blessé deux membres des forces spéciales françaises à Erbil
    http://www.lemonde.fr/proche-orient/article/2016/10/11/irak-deux-commandos-francais-gravement-blesses-a-erbil-par-un-drone-piege_50

    Le gouvernement français a confirmé, mercredi, cette attaque. L’engin, qui a aussi tué deux peshmergas kurdes, aurait été envoyé par un groupe lié à l’organisation Etat islamique, un mode d’action inédit contre les forces françaises.

    Pentagon Urgently Pushing Anti-Drone Tech to #ISIS Fight
    http://www.defenseone.com/technology/2016/10/pentagon-urgently-pushing-anti-drone-tech-isis-fight/132308

    #Pentagone #Etats-Unis #France

    • Septembre 2012, Paul Rogers: Then comes the blowback.
      https://www.opendemocracy.net/paul-rogers/suicide-bombs-without-suicides-why-drones-are-so-cool

      As paramilitary movements learn to respond, their range of options starts with the utilisation of many readily available technologies. They may be aided by support from a sympathetic regime - witness the unarmed TV-guided drones from Hizbollah, deploying Iranian technology, that have caused the Israelis such concern (see “Hizbollah’s warning flight”, 5 May 2005). Even short of that, the fusion of so many available dual-use technologies and the abilities of skilled engineers and technicians working within radical movements means that armed-drones from non-state actors will be a feature of asymmetrical, transnational war very soon (see An asymmetrical drone war", 19 August 2010).

      In addition, and even without using drones, paramilitary movements should be expected to target the drone-war centres such as the Creech and Waddington bases - if not the bases themselves, then soft targets in their vicinity.

      What military planners and policy-formers in the west realise least of all is that while the results of drone-warfare rarely make the western media in any depth, they are extensively reported on regional and satellite TV stations across the middle east and into Asia. Even more pertinent is the pervasive coverage of drone-attacks on the worldwide jihadist social media. Moreover, the graphic images of death and suffering on both these kinds of outlets are far grimmer than anything seen in the west (see “Every casualty: the human face of war”, 15 September 2011).

      For now, the drones hold sway - but it is no more than a temporary phenomenon, a transient phase. Within a very few years, and maybe even only months, the next phase will commence as paramilitary groups respond. As with other elements of the “war on terror”, the seduction of short-term advantage disguises damaging longer-term consequences.

  • David Gardner of the Financial Times is wrong—but who is counting when it comes to foes of US and Israel?
    http://angryarab.blogspot.com/2016/04/david-gardner-of-financial-times-is.html

    The diplomatic break with Iran, and rupture with Lebanon, came after the Saudi execution in January of Sheikh Nimr al-Nimr, a dissident Shia cleric. Riyadh reacted after the Saudi embassy in Tehran and consulate in Mashhad were attacked by mobs. Lebanon’s foreign minister, a Hizbollah-aligned Christian, declined to condemn the events — acting as more papist than the Pope given that the Iranian government itself did so.” In fact, the Lebanese foreign minister repeatedly condemned the attacks on Saudi embassy and consulate in Iran, but he refused to categorize Hizbullah as a terrorist organization. That was the tiff.

    #mensonges

  • Arsal in the Crosshairs: The Predicament of a Small Lebanese Border Town - International Crisis Group
    http://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/middle-east-north-africa/syria-lebanon/lebanon/b046-arsal-in-the-crosshairs-the-predicament-of-a-small-lebanese-border

    Weakened by deepening inter- and intra-communal rifts, the Lebanese state has gradually abandoned its primary role in governance and as manager of representative politics and relies increasingly on security measures to maintain stability and the political status quo. The remote border town of Arsal in the north east is emblematic of this security-centric method of tackling unrest. The approach, which escalated after the Syrian war began next door, is short-sighted and dangerous, as it fights symptoms while inadvertently reinforcing underlying factors that drive instability. If the government were to address Arsal’s plight in a more balanced manner that takes those factors into account by folding its security component into an overall political strategy, it could yet turn a vicious circle into a virtuous one, preventing the town’s downward spiral and providing a model for tackling such problems in the country overall.

    Arsal combines many of Lebanon’s woes: economic erosion and poor governance at its fringes; sectarian fault lines shaping the fate of a Sunni enclave within a majority-Shiite governorate (Baalbek-Hermel) in the Beqaa Valley; the weakening of Sunni national leadership and growing assertiveness of Hizbollah, the Lebanese Shiite movement whose militia is actively fighting in Syria; and the spillover of the Syrian conflict. The latter has turned the town into a rear base for anti-regime fighters, a trans-shipment point for explosive devices, and – for both these reasons – a threat for Hizbollah and Lebanon’s security apparatus. It has also turned the town into an initial haven for waves of refugees, adding to severe pressures on both the Lebanese state and individual localities throughout Lebanon.

  • The Angry Arab News Service/وكالة أنباء العربي الغاضب : Hunger in Madaya
    http://angryarab.blogspot.fr/2016/01/hunger-in-madaya.html

    This passage in an article by Al-Akhbar’s Elie Hanna, who was able to reach Madaya yesterday, sums up the situation (these are the words of one old man in the town): "No one can deny cases of hunger and illness in Madaya: “How don’t we get hungry when the aid is not being distributed adequately, and the siege exists, and the armed men and merchants control the existing commodities and at their prices, said an old man holding a bag containing bushes for heating”.
    “لا ينكر أحد حالات الجوع والمرض في مضايا. «كيف لا نجوع والمساعدات لا توزّع بنحو سليم والحصار موجود والمسلحون والتجار يتحكّمون بالبضائع الموجودة وبأسعارها»، يقول عجوز يحمل بيده كيساً فيه بعض الأغصان «للتدفئة».”
    So some remarks about Madaya:
    1) Yes, there was hunger in Madaya. That can’t be denied.
    2) Those who are responsible for Madaya: the Syrian regime forces and Hizbullah forces imposing the siege; and the various armed groups in the town who basically confiscate all humanitarian aid and either use it for themselves or sell it at exorbitant high prices.
    3) Mocking the hungry in Madya is discpiable: and mocking the suffering of people has become a staple of both sides in Lebanon and in Syria.
    4) Of course, international media ignored the suffering of people in Fua and Kafrya, and Nubul and Zahra, because the civilians there are not residing in the “liberated” areas of Syria.
    5) The armed groups in Madya and their supporters grotesquely exploited the suffering of the people in Madya either by showcasing little children and elderly and forcing little children to hold political signs and also by adding pictures that are not from Madaya. The propaganda of Syrian armed groups has no respect for truth; it never has.
    6) Hizbollah’s statement on the matter of Madaya was rather pathetic: it basically used the typical Israeli Zionist line “about how armed groups are hiding behind women and children”: even if that is the case, that should not deny aid to the people. On the contrary: it requires more aid. Also, the notion that aid was delivered in November is a silly response: if there is a need for more aid (even if the reason has to do with confiscation by armed rebels) there should be more aid, no matter.
    7) Not one side in the ugly Syrian war has clean hands. This is a filthy war which dirties the hands of whoever enters it.
    8) Please spare me the fake sympathy of Lebanese March 14 journalists: the March 14 coalition in Lebanon is in charge (through its Minister of Social Affairs, Rashid Dirbas) of handling the Syrian refugees in Lebanon and not one in that camp is protesting the mistreatment and injustices inflicted on Syrian refugees: from blatant racism to imposed curfews on Syrians in Lebanon.

    #madaya

    • Dans Beirut West Beirut de Ziad Doueiri (1998), il y a cette scène vers la fin : les gens font la queue pendant des heures chez le boulanger pour avoir du pain, le boulanger rationne (sagement) à un sac de pain par personne. Arrive le milicien local, qui passe devrant tout le monde avec son fusil mitrailleur, et au motif qu’il « défend ce quartier », exige 20 sacs de pain immédiatement. Une altercation s’ensuit.

      Les Libanais savent mieux que quiconque que, si tu assièges une population en l’enfermant avec sa propre milice, les miliciens ne tarderont pas à exploiter la population. Si le Hezbollah a un « problème de communication », et croit pouvoir rejeter toute la faute du siège de Mayada sur les miliciens qui sont à l’intérieur de la ville, il est mal parti.

  • Asad Abukhalil - لنفترض ان “ثوّار” النظام القطري والسعودي...
    https://www.facebook.com/asad.abukhalil/posts/692450717447

    My stance on Madaya and my critique of Hizbollah’s statement on the matter
    I don’t have time to translate from Arabic, but if you are interested you can read my statement here. My summary is this : I don’t support nor do I sympathize with one armed man in the destructive Syrian war—not one.

    [Je traduis en gros et à la volée ! Ne pas citer tel quel SVP. Comme on dit : les idées exprimées dans ces lignes n’engagent que la responsabilité de leur auteur. Merci de ne pas me prêter forcément les idées de ceux ou celles (trop rares hélas) que je traduis !]

    Faisons l’hypothèse que..

    لنفترض ان “ثوّار” النظام القطري والسعودي والتركي في سوريا يفرضون حصارات تجويع على فوعا وكفريا ونبل والزهراء وغيرها من قبل ومن بعد—وهم فعلوا ذلك, وأكثر من ذلك.
    les “révolutionnaires” de l’AS, du Qatar et de la Turquie encerclent et affament des villages [Fua, Kafraya, etc. 4 en tout]
    لنفترض ان “ثوّار” النظام القطري والسعودي والتركي يحترفون الكذب, والفبركة وهم روّجوا لصور سبق وأن نُشرت عن فلسطين والعراق والغوطة, لا بل هم خلقواً حساباً مُزوّراً على فايسبوك قبل أيام لواحد من أبواق النظام السوري لكن نسبوا له أقوال في الإبادة لم يقلْها—وآخر همّي الدفاع عن شبّيحة النظام لكن أدلّل على ان جماعة قطر والسعوديّة يستسهلون الكذب أكثر من أحمد فتفت,
    les “révolutionnaires” de l’AS, du Qatar et de la Turquie ont fabriqué de fausses informations, de fausses images, et même un faux compte Facebook pour diffuser leurs mensonges
    لنفترض ان النظام السوري وقوّاته هي المسؤولة عن فرض الحصار على مضايا وهي التي ترفض دخول مساعدات غذائيّة,
    les forces du régime syrien soient responsables du siège
    لنفترض ان أعوان الصهاينة من العرب يريدون أية فرصة للنيل من حزب الله—كمقاومة ضد العدوّ الإسرائيلي وليس كحزب سياسي—وبعض هؤلاء من الذين يتصنّعون التعاطف مع الشعب السوري هم مِن الذين واللواتي رضعوا حليب العنصريّة ضد الشعبيْن السوري والفلسطيني من بشير الجميّل وورثته, وبعض الإعلاميّين من هذا الفريق تدرّب على الإعلام في الذراع الفكري للوبي الإسرائيلي في واشنطن,
    les collabos arabes du sionisme ne perdent jamais une occasion pour s’en prendre à la réputation de la résistance contre Israël...
    لنفترض ان الذين يهرقون الدموع السخيّة على مضاياً هم من جماعة إعلام الحريري من الذين صمتوا عن القتل والتعذيب والخطف الذي تعرّض له الشعب السوري في لبنان (وكان هذا الجزء المستور من “ثورة” الأرز المشؤومة), وهؤلاء هم الذين إتهموا بائعي الكعك الفقراء في شوارع بيروت بأنهم من المخابرات السوريّة وهتفوا لقتلهم وجلدهم وتعذيبهم,
    ceux qui versent des larmes de crocodile sur les Syriens de Madaya sont les propagandistes de Hariri, ceux-là même qui n’ont rien dit quand les Syriens sont/étaient persécutés au LIban
    ولنفترض ان عصابات أنظمة الخليج تستغلّ الأطفال والأولاد بأبشع الصور من أجل تسويق حملات دعائيّة مُقزّزة في إستخدامها للأطفال كوقود للدعاية السياسيّة,
    les gangs rémunérés par les régimes du Golfe exploitent ces photos d’enfant aux seules fins de leur propagande
    ولنفترض ان إعلام النظاميْن القطري والسعودي وأتباعه في لبنان—والأتباع هؤلاء في سوريا ولبنان هم أصحاب الحملة الحاليّة—منافقون ومنافقات ولم يفتحوا أفواههم لللإعتراض على التجويع والحصار الذي يتعرّض له كل شعب اليمن—كل شعب اليمن, أسمعتم يا أصحاب الحساسيّات الكاذبة,
    que les médias saoudiens et qataris et tous ceux qui sont à leur solde dans cette campagne n’aient jamais dit un mot au sujet des souffrances des enfants et même de tous les Yéménites
    ولنفترض ان المقاتلين في مضايا, يتاجرون بالمساعدات ويولّون انفسهم على الأطفال والمسنّين من أجل إستعمالهم أدوات في حملات غوبلزيّة,
    que les combattants de Masaya trafiquent les aides et manipulent les souffrances des civils
    لكن هذا لا يلغي ان بيان حزب الله أمس عن مضايا اليوم كان مُسيئاً له ولغيره:
    il reste que le communiqué diffusé hier par le Hezbollah est mauvais pour lui et pour les autres
    ١) رجاء لا تسوقوا قصّة الإختباء وراء المدنيّين كدروع بشريّة (بالنسبة ل”الثوّار” الجهاديّين في مضايا). هذه الحجّة هي من إختراع العدوّ الإسرائيلي ولا يجوز ان تُستعمل من أعداء العدوّ الإسرائيلي بنوب. لنفترض ان عصابات أنظمة الخليج تختبئ وراء المدنيّين, هل يُبرّر هذا حرباً على المدنيّيين, او تجاهلا للمدنيّين ولمعاناتهم؟
    1) utiliser les histoires de “boucliers humains” civils utilisés par les combattants c’est reprendre les arguments des sionistes;
    2) et si les forces des pays du Golfe se protégeaient derrière leur population, cela justifierait de les attaquer ?
    ٢) لنتفرض ان عصابات انظمة الخليج سرقت مساعدات غذائيّة للمدنيّيين أو تاجرت بها—وهذا ديدنها—هل يُبرّر هذا منع المساعدات اليوم؟ على العكس, إذا كان لديكم دليل على ان عصابات أنظمة الخليج جوّعت مدنيّيين, فهذا يزيد من واجبكم لفرض دخول مساعدات إضافيّة عاجلة.
    ٣) يقول الحزب ان معاناة المدنيّيين في الفوعة وكفريا وغيرها لم تلقَ اهتماماً إعلاميّاً من قبل. شو يعني؟ ماذا يبرّر هذا؟ وشو دخلنا إذا كنتم انتم فاشلين في الإعلام بأبسط قواعده؟ هل نحمّل مدنيّي ومدنيّات مضاياً المسؤوليّة عن فشلكم الدعائي والإعلامي؟ أو هل يُسوّغ هذا لمعاناة مدنيّين يعانون تحت وطأة حكم ميليشيات الجهاد وتحت وطأة حصار خانق؟
    3) dire, comme le fait le hezbollah, que les souffrances des civils dans les villages de Foua, Kefraya et autres n’ont pas reçu le même écho ne justifie rien ! Il n’a qu’à être plus efficace médiatiquement !
    ٤) إن قتال حزب الله إلى جانب قوّات النظام السوري (التي خبرنا أساليبها في القتال في لبنان منذ الحصار على المخيّمات في ١٩٧٦) يحمّل الحزب—شاء أم أبى—أوزار وتبعات أساليب وطرق قتال النظام السوري.
    4) En combattant aux côtés des forces syriennes (dont on connaît les techniques au LIban depuis 1976) signifie pour le hezb, qu’il le veuille ou non, qu’il adopte ces tactiques.
    خلاصة القول, ليس من نظافة في هذه الحرب السوريّة المُدمّرة التي لا أناصر فيها محارباً واحداً.

    Il n’y a rien de propre dans cette guerre syrienne destructrice, et je ne soutiens pas un seul de ses combattants ( I don’t support nor do I sympathize with one armed man in the destructive Syrian war—not one.)

    #syrie #madaya

  • L’opérateur saoudien Arabsat stoppe la diffusion d’al Manar et d’al Mayadeen
    http://www.lexpressiondz.com/culture/lecran_libre/231293-l-operateur-saoudien-stoppe-la-diffusion-d-el-manar-tv.html

    Décidément rien ne va plus entre le Liban et l’Arabie saoudite. Pour cause, le groupe saoudien Arabsat a décidé de stopper la diffusion de la chaîne libanaise al-Manar, appartenant au Hizbollah. Arabsat avait déjà eu le mois dernier un litige avec la chaîne al Mayadeen, qui est également proche du Hizbollah. L’affaire est tellement sensible que l’opérateur satellitaire Arabsat, qui émettait de Jouret el-Ballout, dans le Metn près de Beyrouth au Liban, a déménagé ses centres de diffusion vers la Jordanie, pour ne pas subir la colère des autorités libanaises. La raison de ce clash est une attaque verbale d’un invité lors d’un talk-show en avril dernier, qui avait insulté la famille régnante saoudienne, spécialement le roi d’Arabie saoudite. Le présentateur du talk-show avait souligné, en direct, conformément aux règles en usage au Liban, que l’opinion de l’invité n’engageait pas la chaîne.

  • L’Etat islamique revendique le double attentat-suicide de Beyrouth
    http://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2015/11/12/double-attentat-suicide-dans-un-fief-du-hezbollah-au-sud-de-beyrouth_4808562

    dans un fief du Hezbollah dans la banlieue sud de Beyrouth

    Comme pas mal d’autres je pense, je commence à ne plus supporter du tout qu’on nous parle SYSTEMATIQUEMENT du « fief du Hezbollah » ou de son « bastion » (plus militaire encore), quelles ques soient les circonstances. Un « quartier populaire de Beyrouth », c’est vraiment impossible à écrire ? les victimes sont des chiites-enrôlés-par-le-Hezbollah ou juste de pauvres civils massacrés par des tueurs qu’on arme en toute impunité depuis des années ?

    #liban

  • Interview – H.A. Hellyer
    http://www.e-ir.info/2015/10/10/interview-h-a-hellyer

    Dr H.A. Hellyer is nonresident Fellow with the Project on U.S. Relations with the Islamic World at the Centre for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution in Washington, DC, and Associate Fellow in International Security Studies at the Royal United Services Institute in London. An analyst & political scientist on Arab affairs, Muslim-Western communities, Egyptian politics, European security policies, and political theory, Dr Hellyer was appointed as Deputy Convenor of the UK Government’s Taskforce for the 2005 London bombings. He served as the Foreign & Commonwealth Office’s (FCO) first Economic & Social Research Council Fellow attached to the ‘Islam’ & ‘Counter-Terrorism’ teams with FCO security clearance, as a non-civil servant, independent academic with security clearance. He was previously Senior Research Fellow at the University of Warwick (UK) and Research Associate at Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government. Some of his publications include “Muslims of Europe: the ‘Other’ Europeans” for Edinburgh University Press, “Engagement with the Muslim Community and Counter-Terrorism: British Lessons for the West” for Brookings Institution Press, and “The Chance for Change in the Arab World: Egypt’s Uprising” for Chatham House’s Journal of International Affairs. He is currently writing a book on the Egyptian revolutionary uprising of 2011 and its aftermath.

    Where do you see the most exciting research/debates happening in your field?

    I tend to focus on three different fields – and at the moment, I’m truly fascinated by the current developments in all three. The first relates to the politics of the Arab world, including Islamist politics; the second pertains to Muslim Western populations and their challenges to, as well as challenges from, the countries in which they reside; and the third around the interchange between Islam and modernity.

    Many of our assumptions have been challenged in the past 5 years, since the revolutionary uprisings took place in the Arab world. I can still remember a world where academics wrote about the ‘resistance axis’ in the region, and the likes of Hizbollah and Bashar al-Assad’s Damascus were a part of that, described as ‘counter-weights’ to the machinations of right-wing neoconservatism and imperialism. The frames are wholly different now, on both of those points, due to the Syrian revolutionary uprising – and that leads to an important question for the Arab anti-imperialist left, as well as the old left in the West. Is this what left-wing politics is about, where we sacrifice the Syrian revolutionary uprising on the altar of some kind of imagined ‘resistance’ – while another type of foreign interference, be it from Tehran, Moscow, or Hizbollah, is critical in propping up a regime that has overseen the killing of tens of thousands of Syrian civilians? That’s a question that ought to be asked. In so doing, I hope the answer is not for the left to decide that they ought to become akin to the right-wing, whether in the West or the Arab world, and lose their time-honoured commitments to social justice as leftists. But rather, that the left ought to become more nuanced, and really take seriously the autonomy of people as a motivating factor, even when it is politically inconvenient.

    I’ve also been interested to see the discussion unfold around Islamism. Pre 2011, there were certain basic elements that more progressive, liberal and left-wing thinkers had when it came to Islamism in general. The first was that Islamism was, generally, to be considered as ‘political Islam’ – i.e., that it was normative, mainstream, historically authentic Islam, but simply put into politics. The second was that the Muslim Brotherhood, as the mainstream of Islamism, was, across the board, rather moderate, pluralistic, and democratic.

  • Live du « The Telegraph » sur les bombardements russes en Syrie,
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/russia/11903702/Russias-Vladimir-Putin-launches-strikes-in-Syria-on-Isil-to-US-anger-li

    Are the non-Isil groups being bombed terrorists?

    The groups they are bombing a spectrum of opposition groups from an alliance called Jaish al-Fatah - Army of Conquest - to brigades of “moderate” rebels backed and even, according to one account, trained by the US.
    Jaish al-Fatah made up of hardline groups that include Jabhat al-Nusra, which is aligned to #al-Qaeda, so they are formally designated by the West and the United Nations as terrorists.

    Good ! Hit ALL jihadi groups ! Create a coordination center !
    http://turcopolier.typepad.com/sic_semper_tyrannis/2015/09/httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsworldnewseuroperussia11900853putin-requ

    “So, who else could Russian jets be targeting? Ruth Sherlock writes:

    Russia may have targeted Jaysh al-Fatah as they are the rebel group that poses the greatest threat to Latakia, the regime’s heartland and location of the Russian controlled port of Tartous.

    Some background on who this group are: Jaysh al-Fateh - the Army of Conquest - is a broad alliance of hardline Islamist groups, which includes both Jabhat al-Nusra and Ahrar al-Sham.

    In March this group captured Idlib, making it the second provincial capital to fall to the opposition since the start of the war.

    Since then they have been effective in fighting the regime in Idlib and it looks like they may be able to push on government strongholds in central Syria and Latakia.

    One interesting note - the Russians appear to have been watching this group for a long time: A year ago much of the Ahrar al-Sham leadership was wiped out by an explosion that took place where all the commanders had gathered.” Telegraph

    • Pour vérification plus tard,

      The Telegraph :

      Iran was on Thursday night moving up its ground forces in Syria in preparation for an attack to reclaim rebel-held territory under the cover of Russian air strikes, according to sources close to Damascus.

      Hizbollah, the Lebanese Shia militia which has come to the Assad regime’s rescue in battle-fronts across the country in the past two years, is being prepared to capitalise on the strikes, a Syrian figure close to the regime told The Telegraph

      Sources in Lebanon told Reuters that Iran, which is the main sponsor and tactical adviser to Hizbollah, was sending in hundreds of its own troops to reinforce them.

      Iran made no comment on the claims but Josh Earnest, the White House spokesman, said the move would be an “apt and powerful illustration” that Russia’s military actions had worsened the conflict.

      A Hizbollah-backed advance would fit the pattern of Russian air-strikes, which have predominantly targeted those rebels not aligned to the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant who currently present the gravest threat on the ground to core regime territory.

      The long-term aim would be to defeat or demoralise the non-Isil opposition, so that Isil became the regime’s only enemy. That would force the West to back President Bashar al-Assad against it.

      “They want to clean the country of non-Isil rebels, and then the US will work with them as Isil will be the only enemy," the Damascus source said.

      In the first instance, an attack in north-western Homs province, the apparent chosen battle-front, would help distract the rebel alliance from attacking Latakia, the stronghold of the Alawite minority from which much of the regime is drawn.

    • Syrie : les Russes ont frappé des rebelles formés par la CIA
      AFP
      Jeudi, 1 octobre 2015

      Les bombardements russes en Syrie de mercredi ont visé des rebelles entraînés et financés par la CIA notamment pour combattre le groupe État islamique, a affirmé l’influent sénateur américain John McCain.

      « Je peux absolument confirmer que ces frappes visaient l’Armée syrienne libre ou des groupes qui ont été armés et entraînés par la CIA », a affirmé jeudi matin M. McCain sur la chaîne de télévision CNN.
      (...)
      Poutine s’attend à une guerre de l’information

      Vladimir Poutine a dit être prêt à la « guerre de l’information » après les accusations de meurtre de civils formulées par l’opposition syrienne en exil contre l’aviation russe, qui a entamé la veille ses premières frappes en Syrie.

      « En ce qui concerne les informations de presse à propos de victimes au sein de la population civile, nous sommes prêts à cette guerre de l’information », a déclaré M. Poutine, affirmant que ces accusations ont été formulées avant même que les avions russes ne décollent dans le ciel syrien.

  • New Approach in Southern Syria - International Crisis Group
    http://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/middle-east-north-africa/syria-lebanon/syria/163-new-approach-in-southern-syria.aspx

    The Syrian war rages on, its devastating civilian toll rising with no viable political solution in sight. Diplomacy is stymied by the warring parties’ uncompromising positions, reinforced by political deadlock between their external backers. The U.S. is best placed to transform the status quo. A significant but realistic policy shift focused on dissuading, deterring or otherwise preventing the regime from conducting aerial attacks within opposition-held areas could improve the odds of a political settlement. This would be important, because today they are virtually nil. Such a policy shift could begin in southern Syria, where conditions are currently most favourable.

    While the White House has declared its desire for an end of President Bashar Assad’s rule, it has shied from concrete steps toward this goal, pursuing instead a strategy to “degrade and ultimately destroy” the Islamic State (IS), which it deems a more serious threat to its interests. Yet, a year into that strategy, the overall power of Salafi-jihadi groups in Syria (as in Iraq) has risen. This is no surprise: the Assad regime’s sectarian strategy, collective punishment tactics and reliance on Iran-backed militias, among other factors, help perpetuate ideal recruitment conditions for these groups. By attacking IS while ignoring the regime’s ongoing bombardment of civilians, the U.S. inadvertently strengthens important aspects of the Salafi-jihadi narrative depicting the West as colluding with Tehran and Damascus to subjugate Sunnis.

    • enabling opposition groups to consolidate military control and establish governance capacity in the south. This would improve their strength and credibility vis-à-vis Salafi-jihadi groups and could incentivise their development as political actors capable of governing their areas.

      Secondly, achieving a zone free of aerial attacks in the south could provide a model for a different approach by the rebels’ state backers in the north, where poor coordination and divergent priorities with Ankara, Doha and Riyadh have contributed to a situation not conducive to an escalated U.S. role. A move by Washington to halt regime aerial attacks in the south could signal it would consider doing so in the north as well, if those allies would assist in bringing about a similar shift in the northern balance of power away from Salafi-jihadi groups.

      Thirdly, a U.S. push to halt regime air attacks in the south would signal resolve to the regime’s most important backers, Iran and Hizbollah, and demonstrate that the returns on their investments in the status quo will further diminish. Iranian and Hiz­bollah officials play down the long-term costs of their involvement, believing they can outlast their opponents in a proxy war of attrition, and viewing the price of doing so as preferable to negotiating a resolution that includes an end to Assad’s rule. Their view appears based, in part, on the assumption that Washington’s narrow focus on IS and reluctance to confront the regime are pushing its policy toward accepting Assad’s political survival and thus, ultimately, a resolution of the conflict more favourable to them.

      The U.S. initiative described here could help refute that assumption and put weight behind the White House’s assertions that the nuclear deal will not pave the way for Iranian hegemony in the region. This message of resolve should be paired with a parallel one indicating U.S. willingness to take the core interests of the regime’s backers into account in any political deal to end the war.

      Pourquoi précisément au Sud, là ou JAN, jamais nommée (du moins dans l’article de synthèse), est en position de force, protégée par Israël ?

      Par ailleurs faire appel aux seuls #Etats-Unis comme parrains d’une paix juste et durable est vraiment une très étrange idée.

  • Angry Arab: Saudi and Hariri media in a state of panic
    http://angryarab.blogspot.fr/2015/08/saudi-and-hariri-media-in-state-of-panic.html

    Marching orders have been issued. All Saudi and Hariri media today are claiming that all the protesters in Beirut are “rioters” and “anarchists” who are sent by Hizbollah. Hizbollah in reality is as far from the protests as far as I am from Mars. Sectarian agitation in those media is in full force: sectarianism is the first and last refuge of Harirism.

  • « On ne peut donc exclure »… que ces gugusses soient de longue date alignés sur les lubies du 14 Mars libanais… Admire-moi ce gloubiboulga :
    http://syrie.blog.lemonde.fr/2014/12/30/le-hizbollah-syrien-prend-un-caractere-officiel

    Au cours des trois années écoulées, le comportement du Hizbollah libanais a permis de constater que son appartenance au chiisme prévalait sur son appartenance à la nation libanaise. Il a également permis de confirmer que les armes que ledit Parti de Dieu prétendait conserver pour affronter l’ennemi israélien lui servaient en réalité à imposer ses volontés dans le champ politique local, et à travailler comme mercenaire au service d’un régime despotique engagé dans une guerre confessionnelle contre sa population.

    On ne peut donc exclure que, imaginé et créé par les mêmes idéologues et destiné à servir en priorité encore une fois les intérêts de l’Iran, le Hizbollah syrien se révolte un jour contre l’Etat syrien, paralyse ses institutions et prenne le pays entier en otage au profit de ses maîtres chiites étrangers.

  • Hizbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah on the tenth night of Muharam commemorating Ashura during the central council held in Sayyed Ashuhada (pbuh) Complex in Haret Hreik on November 3, 2014 :: English | جريدة السفير
    http://assafir.com/Article/50/382713

    Neither Syria nor Iran demands anything from anyone in the world in exchange for facilitating and holding the presidential elections. Some have tried to link the Lebanese presidential file with the Iranian nuclear talks. These do not know anything about the Iranian nuclear talks. In fact, Iran refuses to connect its nuclear file with any other file – neither the presidency in Lebanon, Iraq, Bahrain, Yemen, Syria, Afghanistan, nor Azerbaijan. It focuses its discussion and dialogue on this issue from the position of power and wisdom, and it refuses to be blackmailed at the expense of its friends, allies, and the peoples in the region to facilitate its nuclear file. So this is also settled.
    It remains that you solve your problems. You have a problem with the regional axis you are allies with. You usually say that you don’t have any problem with such and such or so and so but for example you say that our brethrens in Saudi Arabia do not approve on him. Well then try to address this dilemma.

    • The Syrian civil war is not over. The withdrawal from Homs did not end it and the presidential election, regardless of the declarations of Mr Al Assad, Hizbollah or Iran, will not end the revolution. For millions, there is no way back. After seeing their families killed, seeing their children scrabbling in the dirt for food, seeing their neighbourhoods bombed to pieces, there is no accommodation with a regime. There is only rebellion.

      But the opposition must understand that there are millions inside the country who need a message, who need a vision of what Syria without Mr Al Assad would look like. If they cannot fill in the blanks for Syrians, they cannot expect Syrians to fight for the unknown.

    • Alexis Varende écrivait en février : Conférence internationale sur la Syrie : des discussions pour rien ?
      http://orientxxi.info/magazine/conference-internationale-sur-la,0515

      Si — hypothèse encore inenvisageable — l’élection se tenait, même limitée à certaines zones du pays ou à une partie des citoyens, nul doute qu’il [Bachar Al-Assad] en sortirait vainqueur.

      [Note associée] Lors de sa première élection en 2000, il a recueilli 99,7 % de voix. Pour sa réélection en 2007, il a obtenu 97,6 % des suffrages. De différents sondages financés par des structures proches de l’opposition, il ressort qu’il obtiendrait aujourd’hui 50 à 60 % des votes.

  • 16 décembre 2013 : Les réfugiés syriens, facteur de déstabilisation régionale (que j’avais qualifié de « navrant » et « gravissime »)
    http://seenthis.net/messages/208034

    12 décembre 2013 : The “Arab Spring” and Refugees in the Middle East, sur le site du think tank israélien Institute for National Security Studies :
    http://www.inss.org.il/index.aspx?id=4538&articleid=6173

    Unlike in Jordan and Turkey, governmental ineptitude – as well as opposition from Hizbollah – has thus far kept Lebanon from building permanent camps for the Syrian refugees. It is feared, particularly by Hizbollah, that refugee camps will become permanent abodes, encouraging the Syrian refugees to remain, and become a center for Syrian opposition groups that will make them a base of operations against the Assad regime and Hizbollah itself. In contrast to the situation in Jordan and Turkey, the Syrian refugees in Lebanon are spread according to their ethnic distribution throughout hundreds of communities and villages, and in improvised refugee camps, mostly in the border area. If they remain in the country, they are liable to dramatically alter the demographic ethnic balance in Lebanon.

    No end to the civil war in Syria is in sight, and it is believed that hundreds of thousands of Syrians, mostly Sunnis, will settle in Lebanon even after the crisis ends, due to the expected difficulty reconstruction process. The Syrian refugees are not eligible to vote in Lebanon and therefore do not affect the electoral balance, but the current situation in Lebanon is shaped more in the street than in parliament. A dramatic change in the demographic balance in Lebanon in favor of the Sunnis is liable to have a negative impact on the standing of the Christians, and in the long term, is also likely to undermine the status of Hizbollah. The presence of many of the refugees in the Beqaa region, a predominantly Shiite region with part effectively controlled by Hizbollah, is likely to arouse sectarian conflict and also to undermine the status of Hizbollah in the region, especially since most of the Syrian refugees support the opposition to Assad and regard Hizbollah as responsible for their plight.

    C’est ma veille lubie : les sujets « à la mode » sur les sujets sensibles ne le sont pas de manière fortuite. Le calendrier médiatique qui « suggère » les sujets à traiter est le premier problème quand on écrit un article.

  • We can get rid of Assad or fight al-Qaeda, but we can’t do both - Telegraph
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/10662823/We-can-get-rid-of-Assad-or-fight-al-Qaeda-but-we-cant-do-both.html

    For the past three years, when seeking enlightenment about the Syrian crisis, I have often talked to Alastair Crooke, a former MI6 officer. Mr Crooke, who left government service a decade ago after a long career, now runs a think tank called Conflicts Forum, which maintains contact with organisations such as Hizbollah and governments such as Iran, when official contact has been broken off.
    I have learnt to respect and trust Mr Crooke, who has the invaluable habit of being right. When the British and American governments both claimed that President Assad of Syria would fall within weeks, he told me this was wishful thinking. When Western governments hailed the Syrian rebels as a democratic movement of national liberation, he said: hang on a moment. At the heart of the rebellion, he pointed out, was a group of armed gangs funded by Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states, dedicated to the establishment of a militant Sunni caliphate across the Middle East. He uttered this warning right at the start of the Syrian conflict, and at last the penny is (ever so painfully) beginning to drop in Whitehall and Washington.

  • Cafe society is universal even in South Beirut | The National
    http://www.thenational.ae/arts-culture/cafe-society-is-universal-even-in-south-beirut#full

    The Dahiya area of Beirut is often described in the western press as a “Hizbollah stronghold” and by the Lebanese as the “suburbs”, near the city’s downtown areas yet conveniently tucked away from traditional elites. Lately it has been a site of recurring and uncontrollable violence: kidnappings and explosions.

    But the authors of a newly published book Leisurely Islam: Negotiating Geography and Morality in Shiite South Beirut, have chosen to focus on an entirely different aspect of that neighbourhood: its emerging cafe society and the relationship between leisure, religious and social morals, and the changing urban landscape.

    #Liban
    #Dahiyeh
    #Hezbollah