organization:john f. kennedy school of government

  • « ISIS Transforming Into Functioning State That Uses Terror as Tool », NYT, 22 juillet (titre initial : « Building on brutal origins, ISIS learns to govern », International NYT , 11-12 juillet)

    The Islamic State is gaining a capacity to govern. But while the group still relies on brutality, its shift may have the West rethinking a military-first strategy.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/22/world/middleeast/isis-transforming-into-functioning-state-that-uses-terror-as-tool.html?_r=0


    An Islamic State member gave a soccer ball to a boy at a public event in Syria, in a photograph released by a militant website.

    The Islamic State uses terror to force obedience and frighten enemies. It has seized territory, destroyed antiquities, slaughtered minorities, forced women into sexual slavery and turned children into killers.

    But its officials are apparently resistant to bribes, and in that way, at least, it has outdone the corrupt Syrian and Iraqi governments it routed, residents and experts say.

    “You can travel from Raqqa to Mosul, and no one will dare to stop you even if you carry $1 million,” said Bilal, who lives in Raqqa, the Islamic State’s de facto capital in Syria, and, out of fear, insisted on being identified only by his first name. “No one would dare to take even one dollar.”

    The Islamic State, also known as ISIS, ISIL and Daesh, initially functioned solely as a terrorist organization, if one more coldblooded even than Al Qaeda. Then it went on to seize land.

    But increasingly, as it holds that territory and builds a capacity to govern, the group is transforming into a functioning state that uses extreme violence — terror — as a tool.

    That distinction is proving to be more than a matter of perspective for those who live under the Islamic State, which has provided relative stability in a region troubled by war and chaos while filling a vacuum left by failing and corrupt governments that also employed violence — arrest, torture and detention.

    While no one is predicting that the Islamic State will become the steward of an accountable, functioning state anytime soon, the group is putting in place the kinds of measures associated with governing: issuing identification cards for residents, promulgating fishing guidelines to preserve stocks, requiring that cars carry tool kits for emergencies. That transition may demand that the West rethink its military-first approach to combating the group.

    “I think that there is no question that the way to look at it is as a revolutionary state-building organization,” said Stephen M. Walt, a professor of international affairs at the John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard. He is one of a small but growing group of experts who are challenging the conventional wisdom about the Islamic State: that its evil ensures its eventual destruction.

    #OEI #Proche-Orient #Syrie #Irak #Etats-Unis #state_building #djihadisme #fondamentalisme #dip

  • Prédictive software for surveillance

    On the power and perils of “preemptive government” - Strata

    http://strata.oreilly.com/2013/02/preemptive-government-predictive-data.html

    On the power and perils of “preemptive government”
    Stephen Goldsmith on the potential of urban predictive data analytics in municipal government.
    by Alex Howard

    February 28, 2013

    The last time I spoke with Stephen Goldsmith, he was the Deputy Mayor of New York City, advocating for increased use of “citizensourcing,” where government uses technology tools to tap into the distributed intelligence of residents to understand – and fix – issues around its streets, on its services and even within institutions. In the years since, as a professor at the Ash Center for Democratic Governance and Innovation
    at the John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University, the former mayor of Indianapolis has advanced the notion of “preemptive government.”

    #surveillance #police

    • You may know that Indianapolis, in the 2012 Super Bowl, had a group of college students and a couple of local providers looking at Twitter conversations in order to intervene earlier. They were geotagged by name and curated to figure out where there was a crime problem, where somebody needed parking, where they were looking for tickets and where there’s too much trash on the ground. It didn’t require them to call government. Government was watching the conversation, participating in it and solving the problem.

      I think that where we are has lots of potential and a little bit immature. The work now is to incorporate the community sentiment into the analytics and the mobile tools.

      #community_sentiment_mining

      The gentle proactive Government is watching you(r conversation) and solving the problem.

      Et tout ça, en plus, pour optimiser l’utilisation des sous du contribuable. Ça fait envie !…