person:vladimir putin

  • Notes sur l’“arrogance israélienne” et conséquences
    http://www.dedefensa.org/article/notes-sur-larrogance-israelienne-et-consequences

    Notes sur l’“arrogance israélienne” et conséquences

    26 septembre 2018 – Pour mieux appréhender les derniers développements entre la Russie et Israëlaprès la destruction de l’Il-20 dans les conditions qu’on sait, ce texte(ci-dessous) de E.J. Magnier nous paraît intéressant. Il y a d’abord la compétence, l’expérience et les sources du commentateur, que nous connaissons bien ; mais il y a aussi et surtout son point de vue, qui nous permet de mieux éclairer la situation en Syrie.

    Magnier, en effet, perçoit la position de Poutine et l’intervention russe en Syrie d’une manière qui est assez peu habituelle aux commentateurs occidentaux, et notamment aux antiSystème pro-Poutine, et notamment à ceux que nous avons nommés affectueusement “hyper-antiSystème”. Pour lui, Poutine est beaucoup moins un allié de la Syrie (...)

    • D’une façon générale, DEBKAFiles estime que la mesure la plus importante décidée par les Russes est la livraison vers la Syrie de matériels de guerre électronique, notamment les stations Krashuka-4 qui, dans l’architecture électronique que les Russes ont mis en place en Syrie, pourraient se révéler comme un élément déterminant en réduisant considérablement sinon radicalement les capacités d’action israéliennes (le Saker-US parle d’une “no-fly-zone”de facto). Le site assortit cette considération de l’annonce que Netanyahou, qui rencontre Trump aujourd’hui à New York, va sans doute lui demander que les USA offrent des concessions à Poutine pour que la Russie retire ses Krashuka-4 qui ont d’ores et déjà commencé à être déployés en Syrie…

    • Russia’s first Krasukha-4 electronic warfare unit lands in Syria. It can jam spy satellites, enemy radar - DEBKAfile
      https://www.debka.com/russias-first-krasukha-4-electronic-warfare-unit-lands-in-syria-it-can-jam-sp

      The Russian Krasukha-4 mobile electronic warfare system, which can neutralize spy satellites and ground-and airborne radars and damage enemy EW, landed in Syria on Tuesday, Sept. 25. It was unloaded at the Russian Khmeimim Air Base near Latakia, one day after Russian Defense Minister Gen. Sergei Shoigu pledged systems for jamming satellite navigation and the on-board radars and communication systems of combat aircraft attacking Syria, in punishment for Israel’s alleged role in downing the Russian IL-20 spy plane.
      The Krasukha-4 is highly advanced, although not the most sophisticated EW system in the Russian arsenal. But it fits Shoigu’s book. The system can jam communications systems, disable guided missiles and aircraft, and neutralize Low-Earth Orbit spy satellites and radars (AWACS) at ranges of 150-300km, which cover northern and central Israel. The Krasukha-4 can also damage opposing EW.
      Israel’s military has focused its response to Russia’s hostile measures on the eight S-300 aid defense batteries promised the Syrian army in the coming weeks. Little mention has been made by Israeli spokesmen of the electronic warfare duel awaiting the IDF with Russia. Israel’s military and air force know about the Krasukha-4 but have never met it in action. However, it is well known to the Americans. Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu is expected to ask Donald Trump when they meet at UN Center on Wednesday to offer Vladimir Putin some incentive for removing the EW jamming threat. There is scarcely any chance of any such a trade-off. Our sources believe that Putin will hold out for nothing less than the withdrawal of US troops from Syria, to which President Trump will not agree.

  • With Russia’s S-300 in Syria, Israel will have to think twice about the next strike
    The new missile system provided by Russia is not a total barrier to airstrikes, but Israeli jets’ freedom of action will be significantly curbed

    Amos Harel SendSend me email alerts
    Sep 25, 2018

    https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/.premium-with-russia-s-s-300-in-syria-israel-will-have-to-think-twice-about

    The two latest developments in Moscow – the Defense Ministry’s report that placed full responsibility for last week’s downing of a Russian plane over Syria on Israel, and the announcement of the transfer of advanced S-300 anti-aircraft missile systems to the Assad regime – shouldn’t surprise anyone in Israel except maybe a few foolish supporters of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. No matter how good his relations with Russian President Vladimir Putin may be, Netanyahu can’t make the problem disappear.
    Russia suffered an embarrassing blow when Assad’s anti-aircraft fire shot down the plane, and it still has widespread interests to promote in Syria. It was quite clear that the affair would lead to a Russian condemnation of Israel and to demands of Israel. The bottom line still depends on Putin, who initially sufficed with a cautiously worded statement the day after the incident. For the time being it seems the result of the Russian steps will be a significant restriction of Israel’s freedom of action over Syria.
    >> Netanyahu warned Putin: S-300 air defense system in irresponsible hands will endanger region
    Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu announced Monday that his country would supply Syria with S-300 ground-to-air missiles. Russia, he said, would also use electronic warfare systems to prevent the activation of satellite tracking systems along Syria’s coast, making it harder for Israel to conduct airstrikes. And Russia will equip Syrian anti-aircraft units with Russian tracking and guidance systems to prevent mishaps in which Syria downs Russian aircraft.

    S-300 Air Defense System infographicHaaretz

  • Russia Is Hunting For Its Crashed Nuclear-Powered Cruise Missile And The U.S. Might Be Too - The Drive
    http://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/23058/russia-is-hunting-for-its-crashed-nuclear-powered-cruise-missile-and-the-u


    (je reprends ici l’intégralité de l’article, non accessible en France)

    Russia is reportedly set to launch an operation to recover a prototype of its Burevestnik nuclear-powered and nuclear-armed cruise missile that came down in the Barents Sea in 2017. At the same time, the wreckage presents a prime opportunity for other countries, particularly the United States, to gain major insights into its design and true capabilities.

    CNBC was first to report the Russian expedition, citing unnamed U.S. government sources with knowledge of an American intelligence report on the matter, on Aug. 21, 2018. These individuals said that the Kremlin would dispatch three unspecified ships, including one specially configured to recover the missile’s nuclear reactor, but said there was no set timeline for when the operation would begin or how long it might last. 
    Russia test-fired four Burevestniks in total between November 2017 and February 2018, according to the new information. The longest test flight reportedly lasted over two minutes and saw the weapon travel a total of 22 miles, while the shortest experiment saw the missile fail within seconds, but it still managed to cover a distance of five miles. The missile reportedly uses a nuclear reactor to power its propulsion system, giving it theoretically unlimited range.

    The Russians have otherwise been very tight-lipped about the design, which read more about here. So, it’s not surprising that they would want to recover any wrecks both to prevent foreign intelligence services from getting their hands on it and to gather more information for their test program.

    The official video below offers the best views of the Burevestnik cruise missile available to date.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IuwMsJlM-pg

    Though CNBC did not say which Russian ships might be heading out on the recovery mission, it is very possible that the Yantar might be among them. Officially an “oceanographic research vessel,” this spy ship has specialized equipment that can reportedly tap or cut submarine cables and investigate and retrieve objects from depths of up to 18,000 feet.

    In 2017, the vessel reportedly sailed off the coast of Syria to recover the remnants of two fighter jets, a Su-33 and a Mig-29KR, that crashed into the Mediterranean Sea during operations from Russia’s aircraft carrier Kuznetsov. In that case, the goal was also, at least in part, to make sure other countries could not retrieve the wrecks for their own purposes.

    In June 2018, the U.K.’s Royal Navy escorted Yantar through the English Channel as it headed into the North Sea. Pictures showed a Saab SeaEye Tiger deep-sea robot on the ship’s deck. Russia acquired this piece of equipment after the Kursk submarine disaster. The Tiger can reach depths of 3,280 feet and private companies have previously used them to do work at sites with heavy radioactive contamination.


    The Russian spy ship Yantar.

    It’s not clear what state the missile wreckage, or the weapon’s reactor, might be in. We at The War Zone have previously explored in detail what might happen if these weapons came down on land or over water after reports that they were crashing first emerged earlier in 2018. It’s also worth noting that these apparent failures might have been successes depending on the actual test points and would have provided Russia important information for further development of the Burevestnik regardless.

    Of course, if the weapon is at all salvageable, the race may be on for the Russians to get it off the bottom of the Barents Sea before anyone else does. The United States has already reportedly been keeping a close eye on the tests and could have a good idea of where the missiles have landed. 

    If they spread any substantial amount of radioactive material when they came down, it might make them even easier to locate. In February 2017, well before the reported test flights, a U.S. Air Force WC-135 atmospheric reconnaissance aircraft was flying around the Barents Sea on what the service has insisted was a routine mission. This coincided with reports of increased radioactivity in the region, but that might have been linked to leaking Russian nuclear waste facilities.

    That U.S. Navy has its own deep sea intelligence gathering and salvage capabilities, notably the super-secret Seawolf-class submarine the USS Jimmy Carter. In September 2017, again before Russia reportedly began firing Burevestniks, that boat returned to its homeport at Naval Base Kitsap-Bangor in Washington State flying a Jolly Roger flag, a symbol representing the completion of a particularly successful mission.


    USN
    The secretive USS Jimmy Carter flying a Jolly Roger flag as it returns to port in September 2017.

    The U.S. government has a long history of trying to steal sensitive Russian equipment from the bottom of the ocean, as well. In the 1970s, the Central Intelligence Agency famously used the Hughes Glomar Explorer to pull a portion of the Soviet Golf II-class ballistic missile submarine K-129 up from the depths of the Pacific Ocean.

    Getting ahold of or even examining pieces of a #Burevestnik, one of six super weapons Russian President Vladimir Putin highlighted in a speech in March 2018, would be a major coup for American intelligence agencies and the U.S. government’s foreign partners. NATO as a whole is also becoming more concerned with Russia’s aggressive policies and various advanced weapons developments, amid threatening training exercises, electronic warfare attacks, and deceptive information operations.

    All told, it might be worth keeping an eye on Yantar’s movements to see if she heads out into the waters above the Arctic Circle any time soon.

    Update: 5:20pm EST
    Canadian analyst Steffan Watkins has found that Russia’s Akademik Primakov, a seismic research vessel has been recently sailing a very deliberate pattern in the Kara Sea, which is to the east of the Novaya Zemlya archipelago. To the west of Novaya Zemlya is the Barents Sea and the area was home to Soviet nuclear weapon testing.


    @steffanwatkins
    Russian seismic research vessel Akademik Primakov (MMSI:273392760) is certainly looking for something in the Kara Sea at 5kn. (Before you get too excited, it could be mapping the Arctic shelf, to aid in Russian claims to it.)

    It is possible that the initial report of where the missile went down was inaccurate and that it instead crashed into the Kara Sea. However, as Watkins notes, the Akademik Primakov is more likely mapping the region. The Russian company JSC Sevmorneftegeofizika acquired the ship in June 2017 specifically to conduct geological exploration activities in the Arctic Shelf.

  • CNBC : Russland har mistet atomdrevet missil i Barentshavet – NRK Finnmark – Lokale nyheter, TV og radio

    https://www.nrk.no/finnmark/cnbc_-russland-har-mistet-atomdrevet-missil-i-barentshavet-1.14175598

    Les russes avouent avoir « perdu » un missile à propulsion nucl"-éaire en mer de Barents. Les Norvégiens se font « du souci ».

    #nucléaire #armement #russie #norvège #se_faire_du_souci #terminologie

    Russland forbereder søk etter en atomdrevet rakett som er forsvunnet til havs, ifølge kilder med tilgang til en amerikansk etterretningsrapport.
    Vladimir Putin

    Russlands president Vladimir Putin framholdt i mars at Russland er nødt til å satse på nye og kraftigere atomvåpen som et svar på USAs rakettskjold. USA kalte det blant annet uansvarlig atomskryt og et klart brudd på internasjonale traktater om nedrustning og våpenkontroll.
    Foto : Mikhail Klimentyev / AP

    Kilde : NTB
    Publisert i dag kl. 08:00 Oppdatert for 2 timer siden
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    Daglig leder Nils Bøhmer i Bellona skriver på Twitter at han er bekymret over nyheten. Bøhmer jobbet i Statens strålevern før han begynte å arbeide for Bellonas Russlandsgruppe og jobber tett med spørsmål knyttet til blant annet atomulykker og Russland.

  • Putin urges Europe to help rebuild Syria so refugees can return | World news | The Guardian

    https://www.theguardian.com/global/2018/aug/18/putin-urges-europe-to-help-rebuild-syria-so-refugees-can-return

    Quand poutine (qui a depuis le début de la guerre quasiment intrdit la présence des réfugiés en Russie) se fait du souci pour le « fardeau » que représenterait les réfugiés pour l’Europe :)

    Russian president Vladimir Putin has called on Europe to contribute to the reconstruction of Syria to allow millions of refugees to return home.

    “We need to strengthen the humanitarian effort in the Syrian conflict,” he said on Saturday, ahead of a meeting with his German counterpart Angela Merkel at the government retreat of Meseberg Palace, north of Berlin.
    Putin holds winning cards as Syrian war nears Idlib showdown
    Read more

    “By that, I mean above all humanitarian aid to the Syrian people, and help the regions where refugees living abroad can return to.”

    There were 1 million refugees in Jordan, the same number in Lebanon, and 3 million in Turkey, Putin said.

    Germany has accepted hundreds of thousands of migrants since 2015 – the height of the migration crisis – which has weakened Angela Merkel politically and split the European Union.

    “This is potentially a huge burden for Europe,” Putin said.

    #syrie #asile #réfugiés #poutine #europe #russie

  • Growing demand for Russian arms in the Middle East: The Syria Effect?
    https://www.mesp.me/2018/06/21/growing-demand-for-russian-arms-in-the-middle-east-the-syria-effect

    A quick look on arms transfers databases reveals a growing demand for Russian arms in the Middle East. In 2012, Russia delivered weapons to four countries (Algeria, Egypt, Jordan and the UAE – in addition to Syria and Iran). Five years later, in 2017, it delivered weapons to eight countries (Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Qatar, the UAE and Turkey – in addition to Syria and Iran), and sales grew in variety, size and value. Compared to 2012, the sales, according to announced figures and estimates, at least doubled in size, both because of the expansion to new markets and increased sales to traditional partners. What could explain this increased interest in Russian weapons? Is President Vladimir Putin correct to credit the boost to the “marketing effect” of the Syrian war? Or are there other, more important, factors at play?

    The Russian military industrial complex showcased the best it has to offer in Syria, deploying a vast array of naval, air and ground weapon systems. Furthermore, the conflict has served as a major testing ground. According to various statements by Russian officials, a minimum of 60 and up to 200 of these weapons have been tested in combat for the first time in Syria. “Combat-proven” is in itself a major marketing argument. As Deputy Defense Minister Yuri Borisov said in 2017, “it cannot be overestimated (…) Customers have started queuing up for the weapons that have proven themselves in Syria.” Among those publicly confirmed first-time combat-tested weapons were both examples of the latest Russian state-of-the-art technology, as well as weapons serving in the Russian military for decades.

    “it cannot be overestimated (…) Customers have started queuing up for the weapons that have proven themselves in Syria” – Russia’s Deputy Defense Minister Yuri Borisov.

  • State Department Silent on #MH17 Anniversary Following Trump-Putin Firestorm – Foreign Policy
    https://foreignpolicy.com/2018/07/18/state-dept-mh17-ukraine-russia-netherlands-malaysian-airlines

    Every year since a Russian missile downed Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 over Ukraine on July 17, 2014, killing all 298 passengers and crew, the U.S. State Department has issued a statement to mark the anniversary.

    But on the anniversary this year—a day after U.S. President Donald Trump met in Helsinki with his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin—the State Department was conspicuously silent about it.

    Officials there prepared a draft statement that was sharply critical of Russia for its alleged role in the attack. But for reasons the State Department has not explained, it was never issued.

    Based on a cached version of the U.S. embassy’s website in Moscow, it appeared on the homepage briefly on Tuesday but then was quickly taken down. One U.S. official confirmed this account to Foreign Policy.
    Four years after the downing of MH17, the world still awaits Russia’s acknowledgement of its role,” read the draft, a copy of which was obtained byForeign Policy.

    It is time for Russia to cease its callous disinformation campaign and fully support the next investigative phase … and the criminal prosecution of those responsible for the downing of flight MH17.

  • De toute évidence, une tentative désespérée de torpiller le sommet d’Helsinki.

    Aucune preuve dans l’acte d’accusation de Mueller de 12 Russes.
    Assessment:

    It is not by chance that this indictment was published now, a few days before the first summit between Donald Trump and the Russian President Vladimir Putin and shortly before the successful soccer world championship in Russia ends. The release intends to sabotage the talks.
    The indictment describes a wide ranging operation but includes zero proof of anything it alleges.
    Mueller likely hopes that the indictment will never come in front of a court. The alleged stuff would be extremely difficult to prove. Any decent lawyer would ask how the claimed information was gained and how much of it was based on illegal snooping by the NSA. Something the U.S. would hate to reveal.
    It is unlikely that there will ever be a trial of these cases. The indicted persons are all Russians in Russia and none of them is likely to be stupid enough to follow an invitation to Las Vegas or to Disney World.

    http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/07/no-evidence-in-muellers-indictment-of-12-russians-release-now-may-sab

  • Russia can mediate a grand bargain on Syria – Indian Punchline
    By M K Bhadrakumar – July 6, 2018
    http://blogs.rediff.com/mkbhadrakumar/2018/07/06/russia-can-mediate-a-grand-bargain-on-syria

    The prevailing impression is that Russia plays a hugely influential role in the Syrian conflict. But it is equally the case that there are serious limits to what Russia can do and/or is willing to do to influence the future trajectory of the conflict.
    Russia and the US have managed through joint efforts to bring the conflict in southwestern Syria to an end. This has been possible because the Syrian government forces undertook the operations against extremist groups in Daraa province without involving the Iranian military advisors or Hezbollah (overtly, at least.) In turn, this provided Israel with a a face-saving pretext to swallow the bitter pill – namely, accept the fait accompli of the decimation of its proxy groups in the border region with Syria.
    However, Israel still swears that it will ensure the rollback of Iranian presence in all of Syria. PM Netanyahu is meeting Russian President Vladimir Putin on July 11 to discuss the subject ahead of the Helsinki summit on July 16 between President Trump and Putin.
    What are the prospects of Russia playing ball with Israel and Trump to “evict” the Iranians from Syrian soil? Frankly, “zero”. When asked for comment on the subject at a media interaction in Moscow on July 4, this is how Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov responded:

    Let us first agree on some basic things. There are many non-Syrian forces in Syria. Some of them stay there with the agreement of the legitimate Syrian government, a UN member-country, while others stay there illegally, in violation of the principles of international law.

  • New U.S.-Russia-Saudi oil alliance could also have implications for Israel and Iran

    A reported deal between Putin and the Saudi crown prince means they will have members of OPEC over a barrel when they meet in Vienna this weekend – but Jerusalem will be an interested spectator as well

    Anshel PfefferSendSend me email alerts
    Jun 20, 2018

    https://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news/.premium-u-s-russia-saudi-oil-alliance-could-affect-israel-iran-too-1.61968

    Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman didn’t look like someone whose national team was losing 5-0 to Russia last Thursday. The broad smiles as he sat beside Russian President Vladimir Putin in the VIP box at Moscow’s Luzhniki Stadium indicated the opening match of the World Cup was just an excuse for their meeting.
    According to briefings by Russian officials after the crown prince had left Moscow, he and Putin had agreed on a joint policy worth more than any sports trophy.
    The two governments – also two of the world’s major energy producers – had reportedly agreed to “institutionalize” the relationship between Russia and the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). Does this include all the OPEC members who are meeting in Vienna on Friday? Almost certainly not.
    OPEC exists in theory to ensure its members’ market share of the global energy market and to try and boost oil prices, ensuring their major source of income remains lucrative. But it depends on consensus and coordination between the members. And geopolitics can intrude – in this case, the deepening enmity between two of the major oil producers: the Saudis and Iran.
    In 2016, following a prolonged dip in oil prices (which saw the price of a barrel of crude drop to below $30), OPEC’s 14 members – along with OPEC Plus, a second group of associated nations, including Russia – agreed to cut back production. Along with the rise in global financial activity, this has gradually pushed oil prices back to over $70 a barrel.
    Now, though, some nations – led by the Saudis and Russia – are calling for an increase in production. They are losing market share to U.S. shale oil producers and argue that, since demand is currently high, putting more oil on the market will not dramatically affect prices. They calculate that any dip in prices will be offset by the increase in production.
    But not all OPEC members are capable of boosting production.
    Iran, about to come under stiff new sanctions from the Trump administration, is already losing orders worth hundreds of thousands of barrels. In Venezuela, production is already plummeting due to political turmoil and the economic meltdown under the Maduro government, which also faces U.S. sanctions. For both countries, lower oil prices will only compound their financial woes.

  • Putin suggested to develop a new Russian Atlas of the World

    RTW May 6, 2018 | MEMRI

    « Today we are facing attempts to gradually remove from the world map Russian names given by our explorers and travellers in past centuries and decades. »

    https://www.memri.org/reports/russia-week-%E2%80%93-may-6-2018

    Putin: ’We Do Not Have The Right To Condone Or Ignore The Distortion Of Historical And Geographical Truth’

    Russian President Vladimir Putin chaired the tenth anniversary meeting of the Russian Geographical Society Board of Trustees. During the meeting, Putin complained of the “distortion” of the geographical truth on the world maps, and suggested to develop a new Russian Atlas of the World.

    Putin: "… In general, toponymics – names of geographical and other places – require special attention. Today we are facing attempts to gradually remove from the world map Russian names given by our explorers and travellers in past centuries and decades. Let me emphasize that this erases the memory of Russia’s contribution to the exploration of the planet and developments in science. This s particularly striking in the Antarctic where the names given by the discoverers of the continent Lazarev and Bellinshausen have almost ceased to exist.

    "Today very few people know that Borodino is the primordial, historical name of the island of Smith, that Snow is Maly Yaroslavets, Livingstone is Smolensk and so on. Meanwhile, we will celebrate the anniversary of the discovery of the Antarctic in 2020. This is the achievement of Russian seafarers. Examples of name substitution are not limited to the remote Antarctic, some are closer, but I will not dwell on them now.

    "All this is the result, among other things, of the lack of modern domestically made maps. Only foreign ones are in the public domain, and they generally provide secondary names of geographical sites. As such, it is proposed to develop a new Russian Atlas of the World involving the Russian Geographical Society, so that all such cases will be addressed properly.

    "We do not intend to impose anything on anyone, it is not necessary, but we do not have the right to condone or ignore the distortion of historical and geographical truth and justice in this case.

    “I would ask Rosreestr (Federal Service for State Registration, Cadastre and Cartography) to develop the atlas together with the Russian Geographical Society and the Defense Ministry, which – provided all necessary procedures are followed – should provide access to its cartographic materials for the atlas developers and for travellers, tourists and motorists, including via modern computer technologies. The classification label on many maps is clearly outdated and looks simply archaic.”

    #russie #poutine #géographie #toponymie #identité_nationale

  • Sneak peek inside Putin’s new limo : Russian leader showcases his ride (VIDEO) — RT World News
    https://www.rt.com/news/428525-putin-inside-new-limo

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=COR3yFERV5o


    surtout parce qu’on reconnait fort distinctement Ramzan #Kadyrov au deuxième rang, immédiatement derrière VVP (et son interprète). Y compris sur la vignette de la vidéo.

    Russian President Vladimir Putin showed off the interior of the brand-new addition to his motorcade to Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, who is visiting Moscow.
    Following talks, Putin invited the prince, nicknamed MbZ, to check out his car from the new ‘Kortezh’ (‘Motorcade’) project. As they approached the black limo parked near the Grand Kremlin Palace, Putin told his guest the car is a little bit bigger than a Mercedes.

    It’s very comfortable,” MbZ said sitting inside with Putin.

    #Cortège

  • Hungary to criminalise migrant helpers in crackdown

    The Hungarian government has drafted new laws to criminalise those who help irregular migrants seeking asylum.

    If passed in its current form, the legislation could make printing leaflets with information for asylum-seekers and offering them food or legal advice a criminal offence.

    The constitution will also be amended to prevent other EU countries from transferring asylum seekers to Hungary.

    Nationalist Prime Minister Viktor Orban is defying EU policy on migration.


    http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-44288242
    #Hongrie #criminalisation #solidarité #délit_de_solidarité #migrations #asile #réfugiés

    • Ungheria, il reato di solidarietà

      In Ungheria, il governo di Viktor Orban ha presentato in Parlamento un “pacchetto” di misure – che comprendono anche una modifica alla Costituzione – volte a “contrastare l’immigrazione irregolare”.

      La stampa magiara ha ribattezzato le riforme col nome di “Stop Soros”, perché lo scopo dichiarato dal governo è quello di colpire le Ong impegnate in attività di solidarietà e di sostegno ai richiedenti asilo e ai rifugiati: e poiché alcune di queste Ong fanno capo a George Soros, o ricevono finanziamenti dalle sue Fondazioni, tutto viene presentato come una battaglia tra il premier ungherese e lo stesso Soros.

      In realtà, ciò che Orban intende colpire è quella parte della società civile ungherese che si impegna per fornire assistenza ai rifugiati, ma anche per garantire i diritti umani dei migranti e dei transitanti. Così, le riforme proposte dall’esecutivo Orban sono un esempio, sicuramente estremo, di una tendenza che si va diffondendo in Europa: quello di criminalizzare la solidarietà e l’impegno civile, trasformandoli in reati.

      Chi scrive non è esperto di cose ungheresi, né conosce a fondo il dibattito che si è sviluppato nel paese magiaro. Per la vicenda della riforma cosiddetta “Stop Soros” si rimanda, in lingua italiana, agli articoli usciti in questi giorni su Il Manifesto, Il Fatto Quotidiano, o su Il Post. Chi è in grado di leggere in inglese può rivolgersi al Guardian, o può vedere i comunicati dell’Hungarian Helsinki Committee, una delle Ong prese di mira dalla furia di Orban.

      Qui, più semplicemente, si propone la traduzione in italiano di una delle norme più controverse del “pacchetto”, quella che riguarda appunto il reato di solidarietà.

      Il testo che trovate qui sotto è tradotto dalla versione non ufficiale in inglese a cura dello stesso Hungarian Helsinki Committee. È quindi la “traduzione di una traduzione”, con i limiti che questo può comportare, e che si possono facilmente immaginare: ma sembra comunque utile per capire più a fondo le forme e i modi in cui viene articolato il “reato di solidarietà” nel dispositivo della riforma. I fortunati lettori che sono in grado di leggere in lingua ungherese possono trovare la versione originale qui.

      https://www.a-dif.org/2018/06/01/ungheria-il-reato-di-solidarieta

    • La Hongrie criminalise les #ONG qui aident les demandeurs d’asile

      Le parti du Premier ministre hongrois a voté ce mercredi une loi qui pourrait conduire à des peines de prison pour toute personne assistant des migrants en situation illégale ou non.

      Viktor Orbán ne se soucie décidément plus des injonctions européennes sur ses dérives autoritaires. Ce mercredi, le Premier ministre hongrois et son parti ultraconservateur, le Fidesz, qui a une large majorité au Parlement, ont voté la loi dite « Stop Soros », du nom du milliardaire américano-hongrois devenu la bête noire du régime. Cette loi initialement présentée en février a été modifiée après les élections législatives du 8 avril qui ont vu une large victoire pour le parti au gouvernement. Elle prévoit maintenant une criminalisation des personnes qui viendraient en aide aux demandeurs d’asile et aux réfugiés.

      « Un avocat pourrait se trouver condamné à une peine jusqu’à un an d’emprisonnement pour avoir apporté des informations sur la procédure de demande d’asile, par exemple, explique le porte-parole d’Amnesty International Hongrie, Aron Demeter. Le but de cette loi est clairement de viser le personnel des ONG. »

      A lire aussi:Hongrie : soupçons de fraudes électorales autour du clan Orbán

      Le texte prévoit aussi qu’en cas de suspicion d’aide aux demandeurs d’asile, l’Etat pourra interdire à la personne concernée de se rendre dans un rayon de 8 kilomètres autour de la frontière. « La loi est assez vague, dans son état actuel, pour que l’aéroport soit compris dans la définition de frontière, détaille András Lederer du Comité Helsinki hongrois pour la défense des droits de l’Homme, une des ONG visées. Des personnes seulement suspectées de violer cette loi pourraient se trouver interdites de quitter le territoire hongrois. »

      Présenté sous sa nouvelle version le 29 mai, le projet de loi a été soumis à l’étude d’un comité parlementaire, jeudi 14 juin. « C’est incroyable, il n’y a eu absolument aucun débat lancé par l’opposition sur ce texte », reprend András Lederer. Quelques minutes auront suffi pour adopter le texte.
      Acharnement législatif

      Ce dernier texte arrive après un an d’attaques répétées par le Fidesz contre les organisations internationales. Depuis juin 2017, le gouvernement force toutes les organisations qui reçoivent des financements de l’étranger à se déclarer et à inscrire la mention « Financé par une institution étrangère » sur tous leurs documents. Une inscription rendue péjorative par la rhétorique gouvernementale.

      Peu après les élections, en avril, des médias proches de Viktor Orbán ont sorti une liste de soi-disant « mercenaires » de George Soros, qui l’aideraient à mener « son plan pour faire venir des immigrés illégaux en Europe », selon les propos du Premier ministre. Dans cette liste, étaient nommés des universitaires, des journalistes d’opposition et des membres du personnel d’ONG qui aident les demandeurs d’asile et réfugiés.

      Le 12 juin, un ancien parlementaire du parti allié au Fidesz, les Chrétiens-Démocrates, a tenu une conférence de presse devant l’immeuble où se trouvent les locaux d’Amnesty International à Budapest. « Il a collé des affiches sur notre porte, disant que nous promouvons la migration », décrit Aron Demeter. Deux jours plus tard, c’est l’ONG hongroise Menedék d’entraide aux réfugiés qui a fait les frais d’une même action.
      La droite européenne impuissante

      Ces campagnes de discréditations portent leurs fruits. Le 15 mai dernier, la fondation philanthropique Open society de George Soros a annoncé que, sous les pressions du gouvernement, elle quittait ses bureaux européens de Budapest pour déménager à Berlin, en Allemagne. De leur côté, Amnesty International et le Comité Helsinki hongrois assurent qu’ils ne partiront pas du pays, quitte à attaquer cette nouvelle loi devant la Cour de justice de l’Union européenne.

      Aron Demeter comme Andra Lederer appellent la Commission européenne à lancer immédiatement une procédure d’infraction contre cette loi. « Les Etats de l’UE devraient exprimer fortement leur indignation face à cette attaque contre la société civile, l’Etat de droit et le principe de solidarité », déclare le porte-parole d’Amnesty International.

      Jusqu’à présent, les critiques contre le régime de Viktor Orbán ont été mesurées au niveau européen. Le Parti populaire européen (PPE) qui réunit plusieurs partis de centre droit et dont fait partie le Fidesz, a tout de même demandé au Premier ministre hongrois d’attendre les conclusions de la Commission Venise pour la démocratie par le droit du Conseil de l’Europe sur ce projet de loi, qui doivent être publiées vendredi. Le 2 juin, le CDA, parti néerlandais membre du PPE, a adopté une motion pour que le Fidesz soit exclu du groupe européen.

      Ignorant ces menaces, le gouvernement hongrois a voté le texte « Stop Soros » ce mercredi. « Le fait que le projet de loi suive son cours en Hongrie et la publication de l’avis de la Commission de Venise sont des procédures indépendantes, affirme le directeur Presse du groupe PPE au Parlement européen, Pedro Lopez de Pablo. Comme on l’a fait par le passé avec la Hongrie et avec la Pologne, nous allons demander aux gouvernements hongrois de faire tous les changements au projet de loi que la Commission de Venise demande. Si ce n’est pas fait, comme on l’a aussi déjà effectué pour la Pologne, on demandera l’ouverture des procédures prévues dans les traités européens pour atteinte aux principes fondamentaux de l’UE. »

      http://www.liberation.fr/planete/2018/06/20/la-hongrie-criminalise-les-ong-qui-aident-les-demandeurs-d-asile_1659369

    • ‘Hungary is the worst’: Refugees become punching bag under PM Viktor Orban

      A proposed law seeks to criminalise anyone who helps refugees, as atmosphere turns ’toxic’

      Hidden behind an overbearing, protective metal door in the centre of Budapest is the entrance to the Hungarian branch of Amnesty International.

      For Julia Ivan, the director of Amnesty here, the events of recent months have certainly given her reason to feel cautious.

      “The atmosphere towards migrants and those trying to support them has become so toxic here.”

      She pauses, her voice expressing the incredulity she feels.

      A former human rights lawyer, Ms Ivan joined the organisation to advocate for human rights defenders abroad.

      “However, as things in Hungary are changing we are now trying to raise awareness about Hungarian human rights defenders who are being attacked,” Ms Ivan tells The Independent.

      Interns, she says, are too scared to return to the NGO, after a narrative shift when it comes to humanitarian work.

      “The interns that we took on last year to work for us this summer all completed their basic training and orientation.

      “Then we had the “Stop Soros” bill in February and Viktor Orbán’s re-election in April and not one of them will still come to work here this summer.

      “They are all terrified what working for an organisation like Amnesty International will mean for them and their futures – this is in a EU country.”

      In 2018 – despite its rich multicultural history – Hungary has become the most anti-migrant country in Europe.

      Consulting firm Gallup recently devised a Migrant Acceptance Index to measure how accepting populations were on issues such as “an immigrant becoming your neighbour”.

      Hungary recorded the third-worst score in the entire world.

      Hungary’s Prime Minister, Viktor Orbán of the Fidesz party, was re-elected for a fourth term in April’s landslide election win, and relentlessly campaigned to a drumbeat of xenophobic rhetoric – laying the blame for the entirety of Hungary’s woes, from its collapsing education system to widespread political corruption, at the feet of the migranj.

      Mr Orban, who enjoys near messianic levels of popularity, has been labelled the EU’s answer to Vladimir Putin and has referred to all refugees as “Muslim invaders” and migrants trying to reach Hungary as a “poison” that his country does not need.

      Buoyed by the election outcome, Mr Orbán’s government has submitted a new piece of anti-migrant legislation, informally called the “Stop Soros” bill.

      The proposition is named after the American/Hungarian billionaire and civil society donor, George Soros, who Mr Orbán claims is trying to “settle millions from Africa and the Middle East” to disrupt Hungary’s homogeneity.

      Controversially, the bill declares that any NGOs that “sponsor, organise or support the entry or stay of third-country citizens on Hungarian territory” will be viewed as a “national security risk”.

      NGOs will have to obtain permission from Hungary’s interior minister to continue to operate and those breaking the rules to support migrants of any kind have been told they will be fined and shut down.

      Incredibly, their employees could then also face jail time.

      “The constant stoking of hatred by the current government for political gain has led to this latest shameful development, which is blatantly xenophobic and runs counter to European and international human rights standards and values,” Zeid Ra’ad al-Hussein, the United Nations high commissioner for human rights (Unhcr), has said.

      According to the Hungarian Helsinki Committee (HHC), just 1,216 asylum seekers were granted protection in Hungary in 2017.

      In the same year, 325,400 asylum seekers were granted protection in Germany, followed by 40,600 in France, 35,100 in Italy, 34,000 in Austria and 31,200 in Sweden.

      A further 2,880 applications were rejected and recognition rates for those arriving from war zones such as Syria and Iraq even remain low.

      The country also refused to resettle even one refugee from the inundated Italy and Greece as part of the EU’s mandatory quota programme.

      Orbán’s government has implemented a three-pronged strategy to attempt to eradicate the arrival of refugees in Hungary.

      The “keep them out” policy was signposted by the triumphant construction, in June 2015, of a mammoth 175km long, 4m high razor wire fence on the Hungarian-Serbian border.

      This impenetrable barrier was later extended to the Hungarian-Croatian frontier.

      A highly controversial “pushback law” was also introduced, whereby potential refugees caught in the country with no legal documentation could be removed by any means possible to Serbia.

      Medecins Sans Frontieres (MSF), which provides medical treatment to refugees on the Serbian side of the frontier, has recorded hundreds of cases of intentional injuries allegedly perpetrated by Hungarian border patrols during “pushbacks” – a claim that the Hungarian government has denied.

      They include beating injuries, dog bites and irritation from tear gas and pepper sprays.

      Between January 2016 and February 2017, MSF also recorded that just over one in five of these alleged attacks were inflicted on children.

      “This pushback law is completely arbitrary and massively contradicts EU law,” says Gabor Gyulai, director of the HHC.

      “Violence is a clear accompanying phenomenon of the pushback policy.”

      To action asylum requests from those fleeing conflict, the government has set up two transit camps outside the Hungarian border towns of Tompa and Roeszke to house applicants.

      In 2016, 60 refugees were allowed to enter the transit zones per day but the HHC believes this has plunged to a mere one person a day, on average, at each site.

      This tactic is designed to split up entire families for an infinite time period.

      Refugees fortunate to be allowed to cross into Hungary then experience the second carefully calculated prong – “detain them all”.

      Living conditions are “absolutely inhumane”, according to the HHC.

      “We know what is going on there, it is like a military camp where you are guarded everywhere, minimal privacy,” Mr Gabor says.

      “Plus you live in a shipping container and we have a continental climate. In the summer, temperatures can easily reach 40 degrees inside.

      “Many of the adults who arrive are already in poor mental health; they have been tortured or witnessed death.

      “Then they are then stuck in a space a few metres squared in size.

      Although NGOs are offering psychological assistance to the asylum-seekers, they are denied the opportunity to take it.

      “We have an NGO here, the Cordelia Foundation, which can provide specialist psycho-therapeutic assistance to these individuals but they are not allowed to do so by the government.”

      “It is totally senseless and completely inadequate for the vulnerable.”

      The third deterrent strategy deployed is the “withdrawal of integration support”, which occurs if a refugee is granted permanent residency in Hungary.

      Individuals are transferred to a reception centre near the remote Austrian border town of Vámosszabadi.

      They are given 30 days free board and food and then left to fend for themselves, provided with no language courses or labour integration – as occurs in many other European countries.

      Abdul, a young man from Afghanistan, currently resides in the run-down and very decrepit facility in Vámosszabadi.

      Granted asylum in Hungary after an arduous journey via Iran, Turkey and Serbia, Abdul received death threats from the Taliban for working as an English translator for American troops stationed in his home country.

      “I want to scream, I am going crazy,” he says.

      Abdul claims that those staying at the centre have been the victim of beatings from both security personnel and local residents, which is why he would like to use a pseudonym.

      When approached by The Independent for comment, the Hungarian government refused to address the accusations.

      “I have travelled through so many different places, I thought I would drown in the sea, but Hungary is the worst.

      “The people here, they hate us and the conditions here and on the border are not fit for animals.

      “I have seen my friends beaten, refused food, we are treated like inmates here, second class humans, not actual people with needs and hopes.”

      Like others granted refugee status in Hungary, Abdul planned to leave as soon as his reception permit expired and head for Western Europe.

      The Unhcr has now taken the unprecedented step of urging EU states to stop returning asylum seekers to Hungary over fears about their security on arrival.

      “There is no future here unless you are Hungarian,” Abdul adds. “Europe has forgotten us.”

      https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/hungary-refugees-immigration-viktor-orban-racism-border-fence-a844604

    • La Commission européenne forme un #recours contre la Hongrie devant la #CJUE

      19.07.2018 – Commission européenne - Recours en manquement -
      Migration et asile

      (...)

      MIGRATION ET ASILE : LA COMMISSION FRANCHIT DE NOUVELLES ÉTAPES DANS DES
      PROCÉDURES D'INFRACTION OUVERTES CONTRE LA HONGRIE

      La Commission européenne a décidé aujourd’hui de former un recours
      contre la Hongrie devant la Cour de justice de l’Union européenne pour
      non-conformité de sa législation en matière d’asile et de retour avec
      le droit de l’Union. La Commission a également envoyé aujourd’hui une
      lettre de mise en demeure à la Hongrie concernant une nouvelle
      législation hongroise qui érige en infractions pénales les activités
      de soutien aux demandes d’asile et de séjour et restreint davantage
      encore le droit de demander l’asile. Au sujet de la saisine de la Cour
      pour non-respect de la législation de l’Union en matière d’asile et de
      retour : la Commission a lancé pour la première fois une procédure
      d’infraction contre la Hongrie au sujet de sa législation en matière
      d’asile en décembre 2015. À la suite d’une série d’échanges au
      niveau tant administratif que politique et de l’envoi d’une lettre de
      mise en demeure complémentaire, la Commission a adressé un avis
      motivé à la Hongrie en décembre 2017. Après avoir analysé la
      réponse fournie par les autorités hongroises, la Commission considère
      que la plupart des préoccupations soulevées n’ont toujours pas été
      abordées et a donc à présent décidé de former un recours contre la
      Hongrie devant la Cour de justice de l’Union européenne, la dernière
      étape de la procédure d’infraction. Au sujet de la lettre de mise en
      demeure concernant la nouvelle législation hongroise qui érige en
      infractions pénales les activités de soutien aux demandes d’asile :
      cette nouvelle législation – baptisée « Stop Soros » par les
      autorités hongroises – érige en infraction pénale toute assistance
      offerte par des organisations nationales, internationales et non
      gouvernementales ou par toute personne à des personnes qui souhaitent
      introduire une demande d’asile ou de permis de séjour en Hongrie. Cette
      législation comprend également des mesures qui restreignent les
      libertés individuelles, en empêchant toute personne faisant l’objet
      d’une procédure pénale au titre de cette législation d’approcher les
      zones de transit aux frontières hongroises où les demandeurs d’asile
      sont retenus. Les sanctions vont d’une détention temporaire à une
      peine d’emprisonnement pouvant aller jusqu’à un an et à l’expulsion du
      pays. En outre, la nouvelle législation et une modification
      constitutionnelle ont instauré de nouveaux motifs pour déclarer une
      demande d’asile irrecevable, en limitant le droit d’asile aux seules
      personnes qui arrivent en Hongrie directement depuis un lieu où leur
      vie ou leur liberté sont menacées. La Commission est donc parvenue à
      la conclusion que la Hongrie manque aux obligations qui lui incombent en
      vertu des traités de l’Union, de la législation de l’Union et de la
      charte des droits fondamentaux de l’Union européenne. Les autorités
      hongroises disposent de deux mois pour répondre aux préoccupations
      exprimées par la Commission. La Commission est prête à soutenir les
      autorités hongroises et à les aider à remédier à ce problème. Pour
      de plus amples informations, voir la version intégrale du communiqué
      de presse.

      Lettres de mise en demeure

      MIGRATION LÉGALE : LA COMMISSION INVITE INSTAMMENT LA HONGRIE À METTRE
      EN ŒUVRE CORRECTEMENT LA DIRECTIVE SUR LES RÉSIDENTS DE LONGUE DURÉE

      La Commission a décidé ce jour d’envoyer une lettre de mise en demeure
      à la Hongrie au motif qu’elle exclut les ressortissants de pays tiers
      ayant le statut de résident de longue durée de l’exercice de la
      profession de vétérinaire et ne met donc pas correctement en œuvre la
      directive sur les résidents de longue durée (directive 2003/109/CE du
      Conseil). La directive exige que les ressortissants de pays tiers qui
      résident légalement dans un État membre de l’UE depuis au moins cinq
      ans bénéficient d’un traitement égal à celui des ressortissants
      nationaux dans certains domaines, y compris l’accès aux activités
      salariées et indépendantes. La législation hongroise n’autorise pas
      les ressortissants de pays tiers ayant la qualité de vétérinaire
      professionnel, y compris ceux ayant obtenu leur diplôme en Hongrie, à
      exercer leur profession dans le pays. La Hongrie dispose à présent de
      deux mois pour répondre aux arguments avancés par la Commission.

      MIGRATION LÉGALE : LA COMMISSION DEMANDE À 17 ÉTATS MEMBRES DE METTRE
      EN ŒUVRE LA DIRECTIVE SUR LES ÉTUDIANTS ET LES CHERCHEURS DE PAYS
      TIERS

      La Commission a décidé aujourd’hui d’envoyer des lettres de mise en
      demeure à 17 États membres (AUTRICHE, BELGIQUE, CROATIE, CHYPRE,
      RÉPUBLIQUETCHÈQUE, FINLANDE, FRANCE, GRÈCE, HONGRIE, LETTONIE,
      LITUANIE, LUXEMBOURG, POLOGNE, ROUMANIE, SLOVÉNIE, ESPAGNEET SUÈDE)
      pour défaut de communication de la législation nationale destinée à
      transposer intégralement la directive relative aux conditions
      d’entrée, de séjour et de mobilité sur le territoire de l’Union des
      ressortissants de pays tiers à des fins de recherche, d’études, de
      formation, de volontariat et de programmes d’échange d’élèves ou de
      projets éducatifs et de travail au pair (directive 2016/801). Les
      États membres avaient jusqu’au 23 mai 2018 pour mettre leur
      législation nationale en conformité avec cette directive et en
      informer la Commission. Ils ont à présent deux mois pour transposer
      intégralement la directive en droit national. À défaut, la Commission
      pourrait envisager de leur adresser des avis motivés.

      Source : Commission européenne - Communiqué de presse

      http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-18-4522_fr.htm

  • Putin’s War on Women – Foreign Policy
    http://foreignpolicy.com/2018/04/09/putins-war-on-women


    Women protest a bill decriminalizing domestic violence in Moscow’s Sokolniki Park in February 2017.
    Sergei FadeichevTASS via Getty Images

    нет домашнему насилию
    заплати и колоти ?

    Non à la violence domestique
    –Cogner et payer ?_

    When Russia decriminalized domestic violence in February 2017, civil servants tasked with protecting women in the country’s far east were dismayed by the new vulnerability of their wards. Yet few officials opposed the measure. President Vladimir Putin signed off on the bill after the lower house of the Russian parliament, the Duma, overwhelmingly approved it by a vote of 380 to 3. The new law recategorized the crime of violence against family members: Abuse that does not result in broken bones, and does not occur more than once a year, is no longer punishable by long prison sentences. The worst sanctions that abusers now face are fines of up to $530, 10- to 15-day stints in jail, or community service work. That’s if the courts side with the victim. They rarely do.

  • Netanyahu Needs Conflict to Survive – Foreign Policy
    http://foreignpolicy.com/2018/05/16/netanyahu-needs-conflict-to-survive

    The more Israel’s prime minister escalates tensions, the more his popularity grows.
    […]
    Netanyahu has mastered the use of crises to shore up his support. Periodic escalation reminds nearly half of Israeli voters that they are relieved to keep the right in power. Just one-quarter of Israelis even believe peace is possible, and at present fewer than half of Israeli Jews support the two-state solution. The question in their minds is who knows how to manage a security problem, not who can bring peace. One Israeli voter recently told me she appreciates Netanyahu for knowing when to end military escalations. In other words, not only do many centrists and right-wingers not blame him for wars; they laud him for restraint.
    […]
    Trump’s withdrawal from the Iran deal was the jewel in Netanyahu’s crown. Whether the deal survives or whether it hinders or helps Iran’s presumed quest for military nuclear capabilities wasn’t truly the point. Netanyahu spoke, and a few days later the most powerful man in the world listened. That’s power. That’s power.

    It’s also vindication. For eight years, Netanyahu antagonized President Barack Obama. Israelis know the United States is Israel’s best friend; Netanyahu’s defiant attitude was a risky course not only for U.S.-Israeli relations but for Netanyahu’s homefront, too. After the 2015 elections, just one-quarter of Israelis thought U.S.-Israeli relations were good; three quarters rated relations bad or neutral; and Israeli Jews were split on whether Obama or Netanyahu was to blame. Trump’s electoral victory set the relationship between the leaders back on solid ground; colossal policy victories such as pushing Washington to abandon the Iran deal and moving the U.S. Embassy to Jerusalem conveyed to voters that Netanyahu was right all along. He had the grand plan before anyone believed in it.

    There was another side of the foreign-policy scheme. In his fourth term, Netanyahu has made a big show of cultivating other friends beyond the United States or Europe — including India and Azerbaijan — to build economic ties and enhance the country’s regional security interests. The most important, if cryptic, relationship is with Vladimir Putin’s Russia. It’s no accident that Netanyahu met Putin last week between the two strikes against Iranian targets in Syria or numerous times over the last two years as Israel has stepped up attacks of the same nature.

  • Putin’s gambit could backfire

    For the first time since the beginning of the Russian intervention in Syria, Putin may find himself in direct confrontation with Israel

    Moshe Arens May 01, 2018

    Opinion - Israel News | Haaretz.com
    https://www.haaretz.com/opinion/.premium-putin-s-gambit-could-backfire-1.6045735

    Vladimir Putin has shown himself to be quite astute in establishing a Russian presence in Syria. After waiting for the Americans to make it clear that they did not intend to get involved in the fighting there, he moved into the vacuum quickly and massively. He has established Russian naval and air bases and has provided military support to Syrian President Bashar Assad. Having saved Assad from defeat, Putin became Assad’s patron.
    Now Assad is indebted to Putin and relies on him for further military support, which includes Russian aircraft and missiles. The use of Russian mercenaries for fighting on the ground allows Putin to claim that no Russian ground forces are involved in the fighting and that the Russian military presence on the ground is limited to the Russian naval and air bases. The use of mercenaries is a ruse that was already used to cover the Russian involvement in Ukraine. Although quite transparent, it seems to be working. It has become part of the inventory of methods used to spread Russian influence beyond Russia’s borders. The world seems to be getting used to it.
    Whether to his satisfaction or not, Putin has become an ally of the Iranians, who are also supporting Assad through Hezbollah as well as with Iranian forces on the ground. They have all well situated themselves in Syria.
    On more than one occasion, Israel has made clear to Putin that it opposes the supplying of weapons to Hezbollah via Syria and that it is determined to keep Iranian forces from approaching Israel’s borders. Various arrangements have been made between Russia and Israel that are supposed to ensure the avoidance of conflict between Israeli aircraft operating over Syria and Russian aircraft. This seems to have worked so far.
    Now Putin is now considering supplying S-300 surface-to-air missiles to Assad, which would provide the Syrian president with the ability to engage Israeli aircraft attacking targets in Syria. This could bring about a dramatic change in the situation in Syria, and is liable to increase the prospect of a direct conflict between Russia and Israel. From Putin’s standpoint, this is a gamble whose outcome is hard to predict.

    • Je n’ai pas accès à l’article entier, qui est derrière #paywall, mais pour ce que j’en lis ici :

      – il me semble très problématique de titrer, comme cela se fait assez systématiquement désormais sur ce thème, avec les termes « backfire » ou « backslash » pour les actions russes ou iraniennes. Comme si les politiques occidentales dans la région n’avait pas déjà provoqué quantité de « backfire » et de « backslash » tous plus catastrophiques les uns que les autres : il serait même possible de raconter l’histoire de la région comme un interminable enchaînement de « backslash » dont on tenterait de corriger ou de réorienter les effets (en général, on remonte au moins à l’Afghanistan, MBS l’a encore fait dans une interview récente ; il y a à peine quelques jours, c’est Macron qui a évoqué ce retour de bâton de « nos » politiques dans une conférence sur le financement du terrorisme).

      – le passage sur les mercenaires russes, qui constitueraient un secret « transparent », auquel « le Monde semble s’habituer », pourquoi pas, mais alors rappeler que les Américains ont déployé largement plus d’employés de compagnies privées en Irak (par exemple) que de soldats de l’armée américaine ; qu’Israël avait déjà bien « innové » (ou non) en la matière en faisant effectuer ses basses œuvres au Liban par des milices de supplétifs d’extrême-droite qu’elle finançait et armait ; et que dans le conflit syrien, savoir « qui soutient, arme et finance qui » est le genre de question où il faudrait être un peu prudent si on tient à surjouer l’indignation morale… :-)

      – dénoncer le « pari » de Poutine, qui risquerait de se retrouver entraîné dans une guerre contre Israël, ça a son pendant immédiat (et choquant) : à force de vouloir organiser une confrontation directe des États-Unis avec l’Iran, c’est Israël qui risque à son tour de se retrouver entraîné dans une guerre directe avec… la Russie et ses alliés. Voici bien « un pari dont les conséquences sont difficiles à prédire… ». Cet aspect est même un des axes de la logique du Hezbollah et de l’Iran : en cas de guerre chaude avec Israël, si les villes israéliennes sont touchées, ils font le pari que la population quittera le pays. C’est certes un pari risqué que de penser cela, mais c’est un pari que les israéliens ont aussi à l’esprit :
      https://fr.timesofisrael.com/ces-israeliens-qui-veulent-une-autre-nationalite

      Selon un sondage Shiluv/iPanel mené sur 500 Israéliens pour le compte de la Deuxième chaîne, 17 % des Israéliens détiennent déjà un passeport étranger et 56 % souhaiteraient en posséder un.

      – tabler sur les « risques » inconsidérés, qui risquent de se retourner contre eux, que prendraient la Russie, l’Iran et, en général, nos « ennemis », ça me semble être typiquement le genre de wishful thinking qui mène les politiques occidentales à la catastrophe depuis des années. La seule conséquence pratique à ce genre de considérations, c’est qu’elles permettent de démarrer des guerres sans fins, dont le bilan humain est épouvantable, tout en prétendant être dans son bon droit, puisque tout cela ne serait que la conséquence des risques inconsidérés et des provocations de l’autre camp.

  • A New York Times Reporter Is Making a Stunning Admission That She Became an ’Unwitting Agent of Russian Intelligence’ | Alternet
    https://www.alternet.org/news-amp-politics/new-york-times-reporter-making-stunning-admission-she-became-unwitting-age

    New York Times reporter Amy Chozick’s just-released memoir, Chasing Hillary, offers a detailed and direct admission that major media outlets played into Russian President Vladimir Putin’s hands by devoting obsessive coverage to hacked Democratic emails during the 2016 presidential campaign. It’s a striking acknowledgment, given how defensive the Times and its campaign journalists have generally been about their work. But rather than writing off Chozick’s mea culpa as proof of personal weakness or a one-off error, journalists should take it as a warning. The 2016 election may have been the first time that journalists found themselves the tools of a foreign government aimed at undermining American democracy. It won’t be the last.

    "If you get email correspondence of newsworthiness from any source, you have an obligation to publish it, assuming it’s true, which in this case it was. You have an obligation to publish it,” Baquet said on NPR. “And if a powerful figure writes emails that are newsworthy, you’ve just got to publish them.”

    Baquet presents a false choice between hiding vital information from the public and behaving exactly as media outlets did during the 2016 election — one that seems to appeal to other Times political reporters. This formulation ignores a third option — that the failure wasn’t that news outlets had published emails stolen by a hostile source, but that the scope of their coverage greatly exceeded the actual news value of the emails. The hacked email coverage is one of a series of cases in which poor editorial judgment led to an overwhelming focus on Clinton email-related purported scandals instead of pressing policy issues.

    #Fake_news #Manipulation #Elections_USA

  • Then They Came for the Globalists
    https://www.counterpunch.org/2018/03/23/then-they-came-for-the-globalists

    See, the problem for the capitalist ruling classes is that global neoliberalism (i.e., globalism) is a really tough sell to regular folks. They can’t just come out and explain to people that national sovereignty is essentially dead, and that political power now resides among a network of global corporations (which couldn’t care less about their “nationality”) exploiting a globalized labor market (which is why their “good jobs” are not coming back) and a globalized financial market (which is why almost everything is being privatized and their families are being debt-enslaved). Nor can they admit that the “War on Terror” and the European refugee crisis it has caused, and the chaos and slaughter in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Yemen, Syria, et cetera, is the predictable result of global capitalism aggressively restructuring the Greater Middle East, which it started doing more or less immediately after the collapse of the Soviet Union (i.e., as soon as the final impediment to its pursuit of global hegemony was removed). This kind of thing doesn’t go over very well, not with most regular working class people.

    So what the global capitalist ruling classes have to do is … well, they have to lie. They have to disseminate a different #narrative, a narrative that has nothing to do with the hegemony of global capitalism, the dissolution of national sovereignty, and the privatization of virtually everything. Because people aren’t total morons, this narrative needs to bear some resemblance to the actual conflict taking place. So, all right, a little rebranding is in order. Global neoliberalism becomes “Western democracy,” neo-nationalism becomes “Nazism,” and Vladimir Putin becomes Adolf Hitler.

  • Alain Corvez : l’affaire Skripal aurait été « préparée à l’avance » par les Britanniques
    https://www.crashdebug.fr/international/14634-alain-corvez-l-affaire-skripal-aurait-ete-preparee-a-l-avance-par-l

    Alain Corvez, conseiller en stratégie internationale, est revenu pour RT France sur les derniers rebondissements de l’affaire Skripal. Selon lui, l’empoisonnement de l’ancien agent double russe aurait été préparé en amont pour isoler la Russie.

    Invité sur le plateau de RT France le 17 mars, le conseiller en stratégie international Alain Corvez s’est exprimé sur l’empoisonnement de l’ancien agent double russe Sergueï Skripal. Rappelant au préalable qu’il était indispensable de replacer cette affaire dans un cadre géopolitique, il a affirmé que celle-ci avait été « préparée à l’avance » par les autorités britanniques.

    Pour justifier son accusation, il s’est référé à la déclaration du docteur Robin Black, chef du laboratoire de détection à Porton Down, une installation de recherche militaire, qui avait déclaré en 2016 (...)

    • La police britannique a trouvé le passeport de Poutine sur les lieux d’un empoisonnement à Salisbury Le Postillon - 16 Mars 2018
      Source : Le Postillon http://www.the-postillon.com/2018/03/salisbury-putin.html

      Salisbury (dpo) - Last doubts over Russia’s guilt in poisoning former spy Sergei Skripal have been eliminated. As the British government announced today, the passport of Russian president Vladimir Putin was found at the scene in Salisbury.
      According to Prime Minister Theresa May, the passport was only now found in another search of the scene, as it had been hidden under a fallen leaf.
      “Russia has 24 hours to extradite Vladimir Putin for questioning in London”, according to a statement issued by the British government. “Refusal will be taken as admission of guilt.”

      Giftanschlag von Salisbury: Britische Polizei findet Putins Ausweis am Tatort
      Salisbury (dpo) - Nun dürften auch die letzten Zweifel an der Täterschaft Russlands bei der Vergiftung des russischen Ex-Spions Sergei Skripal ausgeräumt sein. Wie die britische Regierung heute mitteilte, wurde der Ausweis des russischen Präsidenten Wladimir Putin am Tatort in Salisbury entdeckt.
      Laut der britischen Premierministerin Theresa May wurde der Ausweis erst jetzt bei einer erneuten Untersuchung des Tatorts gefunden, weil er unter einem Laubblatt lag.
      „Russland hat jetzt 24 Stunden Zeit, Wladimir Putin auszuliefern, damit er in London befragt werden kann“, heißt es in einer Stellungnahme der britischen Regierung. „Andernfalls werten wir das als Schuldeingeständnis.“

  • Lo que se sabe de las 6 armas « invencibles » presentadas por el presidente de Rusia, Vladimir Putin, « en respuesta a Estados Unidos » - BBC Mundo
    http://www.bbc.com/mundo/noticias-internacional-43163663

    Muchos parecen sacados de la Guerra de las Galaxias o de otra película futurista o de ciencia ficción.

    Pero los prototipos del nuevo armamento ruso presentados este jueves en Moscú «existen y funcionan bien», según el presidente Vladimir Putin.

    Y es que, durante su mensaje anual ante ambas Cámaras de la Asamblea Federal (Parlamento), el mandatario no solo abordó la situación del país y los principales retos en política nacional y exterior, sino que mostró también un grupo de armas de guerra que calificó de «invencibles».

    ¿Una nueva carrera armamentística? Putin asegura que Rusia tiene un «misil invencible que podría alcanzar cualquier objetivo»
    ¿Cuán real es la amenaza del «torpedo del juicio final», el arma nuclear de Rusia que hizo saltar las alarmas en Estados Unidos?

    El armamento incluye desde misiles intercontinentales hasta cohetes hipersónicos y armas con rayos láser. Según Putin, fueron creados en «respuesta a la salida unilateral del tratado de defensa antimisiles por parte de Estados Unidos».

    «Antes de que tuviéramos los nuevos sistemas de armamento, nadie nos escuchaba. ¡Escúchennos ahora!», afirmó.

    Solo presentó seis de ellos, pero dijo que la lista era mayor.
    […]
    1. Sarmat: sistema pesado de misiles intercontinentales
    Es el también llamado Satán 2 y Putin aseguró que las pruebas de este nuevo sistema de misiles «han entrado en una fase activa».
    De acuerdo con el corresponsal de asuntos globales de la BBC, Richard Galpin, el Sarmat es presentado como un reemplazo de los misiles Voyevoda de la era soviética, aunque sus capacidades son mucho mayores.
    […]
    2. Misil de crucero de propulsión nuclear de «alcance ilimitado» (sin nombre definido aún)
    Según Putin, se trata de un nuevo tipo de arma estratégica que no utiliza rutas de vuelo balísticas en su camino hacia el objetivo, lo que significa que los sistemas de defensa antimisiles son inútiles y simplemente inservibles contra ellos.

    Explicó que se trata de un misil de crucero, similar al aerotransportado Kh-101 o el Tomahawk estadounidense, pero que posee una planta de energía nuclear «superpoderosa» de pequeño tamaño dentro.
    De acuerdo con el mandatario, tiene un alcance de vuelo decenas de veces mayor que los anteriores y, en su opinión, «ilimitado».
    […]
    3. Sistema basado en el océano con vehículos subacuáticos no tripulados de propulsión nuclear (sin nombre definido aún)
    Este sistema, un tipo de armamento para ser utilizado en el mar, fue otro de los presentados por Putin.
    «Puedo decir que los vehículos subacuáticos no tripulados se han desarrollado en Rusia, que pueden operar a grandes profundidades (diría profundidades muy grandes) y en el rango intercontinental a una velocidad que es varias veces mayor que la de los submarinos, los últimos torpedos o cualquier tipo de buques de superficie, incluidos los más rápidos», afirmó.
    […]
    4. Kinzhal: sistema de misiles hipersónicos de lanzamiento aéreo ("Daga")
    Kinzhal fue la denominación que usó Putin para la nueva «arma hipersónica» rusa.
    […]
    5. Avangard: sistema de misiles estratégico con unidad hipersónica planeadora
    Según Putin, se trata de «un tipo completamente nuevo de arma» cuyas pruebas también se han completado «con éxito».

    La versión del mandatario indica que lo que distingue a este sistema de otras armas existentes es la capacidad de volar en la atmósfera a distancias intercontinentales a una velocidad hipersónica de más de Mach 20 (unos 24.696 kilómetros por hora).
    […]
    6. Sistema de armas láser (sin nombre definido aún)
    Putin aseveró que su país había dado un paso notable también en la creación de «armas láser».
    «Esto ya no es una teoría o un plan, ni siquiera el comienzo de su producción. Se ha suministrado un sistema láser de combate a las tropas desde el año pasado», aseguró.

    soit :
    • le RS28 Sarmate https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/RS-28_Sarmat
    • un missile de croisière à propulsion nucléaire et donc de portée illimitée
    • un système de drones sous-marins à propulsion nucléaire, ultrarapides et indétectables
    • le Kinjal (ou kindjal ou khanjali, dague caucasienne) système de missiles hypersoniques
    • Avant-Garde, système de missile stratégique avec un planeur hypersonique (Mach 20)
    • un système d’armes laser, déjà en fonction

  • Putin’s Syrian dilemma: Back Israel or Iran?

    All of the Russian president’s achievements in Syria could come crashing down unless he answers this one fundamental question

    Anshel Pfeffer Feb 19, 2018

    Russian President Vladimir Putin thought he could succeed where the U.S.’s then-President Barack Obama failed. Pacify Syria, rescue the regime of his client, President Bashar Assad, and balance the conflicting interests of Iran and Israel in the war-torn country. All this he did with a relatively small investment: the deployment of a couple of dozen aircraft and 2,000 men. As foreign campaigns go, it was power projection on the cheap. The United States on a similar mission would have used a force 10 times the size – aircraft carrier groups and hundreds of fighter jets, aerial tankers and electronic warfare planes. Not to mention boots on the ground.
    To really understand Israel and the Middle East - subscribe to Haaretz
    But Russia could pull it off thanks to the cannon fodder supplied by Iran. Tens of thousands of Shi’ite mercenaries, mainly refugees from Afghanistan, propped up Assad’s failing battalions. Hezbollah fighters came from Lebanon to carry out the more difficult operations. Russia made do with small teams of special-force troops and, where more muscle was needed, its own mercenaries.
    It was a relatively small investment with few casualties and not, as some predicted two years ago, a rerun of the Soviet Union’s disastrous occupation of Afghanistan in the 1980s.

    President Vladimir Putin addressing Russian troops at Hemeimeem air base during a surprise visit to Damascus, December 12, 2017.Mikhail Klimentyev/AP
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    >> Iran and the Assad regime are drawing a line in Syria’s skies | Analysis <<

    With perfect timing, and taking advantage of the vacuum left by Obama’s decision not to get involved in Syria, Putin had put Russia back on the geopolitical map. He made a surprise visit to Damascus in December to declare: Mission accomplished. He should have learned from former U.S. President George W. Bush never to say that – because now everything is starting to fall apart for the Russians.

    A serviceman holds a portrait of Russian air force pilot Roman Fillipov, who was killed after his aircraft was shot down over rebel-held territory in Syria, February 8, 2018.\ HANDOUT/ REUTERS
    There was last month’s Sochi conference, where attempts to agree a political process for Syria’s future under Assad, with the usual farce of elections, failed even before the delegates arrived. Turkey has launched a large-scale incursion into northwestern Syria, in an attempt to prevent Kurdish YPG (People’s Protection Units) forces from establishing a military presence on its border. Meanwhile, the Turks are clashing with the Iranians as well, and as of Monday with regime forces too.
    Much more worrying for Russia is that in the east of the country, another Kurdish force – the Syrian Democratic Forces, which also includes Arab, Turkmen, Assyrian and Armenian forces – is widening its control of areas once held by the Islamic State. The SDF is now the only player in Syria with U.S. military support: During a clash 10 days ago between the SDF and regime forces working together with Russian mercenaries, the United States launched a devastating airstrike. The Kremlin still won’t acknowledge any casualties, but unofficial reports from Russia claim that as many as 200 Russian mercenaries died.
    And then last week there was the first direct confrontation between Israel and Iran.
    The Turkish front is less concerning for Putin, since it doesn’t directly threaten Russia’s main interests. The clashes in the northeast are a much larger problem as they are sending coffins back home to Russia – the last thing Putin needs before the presidential election in mid-March.
    For now at least, the Israeli-Iranian front may not directly put Russian personnel in the line of fire. But it is a much greater threat to the Assad regime itself. Damascus is close to the Israeli border and Assad, with Iranian encouragement, is trying to assert himself by firing anti-aircraft missiles at Israel Air Force planes.
    >> Delve deeper into the week’s news: Sign up to Chemi Shalev’s weekly roundup
    For the past two and a half years, the deal between Jerusalem and Moscow was simple: Israel allowed Russia to resupply Assad’s army and help the regime – through aerial bombardments of rebel-held areas, indiscriminately killing thousands of civilians – to retake large swaths of territory. Russia, meanwhile, turned a blind eye as Israel continued its periodic attacks on convoys and depots of Iranian-supplied weapons destined for Hezbollah. Russia collaborated with Iran in reviving the regime, while not intervening when Israel struck at Iran’s proxies.
    When Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu demanded that Russia prevent Iran’s forces from building permanent bases on Syrian soil, Putin tried to strike a compromise. Iran continued entrenching its Shi’ite militias, but at the same time didn’t come too close to the Israeli border or begin building large bases.

    Israeli soldiers in the northern Golan Heights after an Iranian drone penetrated Israeli airspace and was shot done, February 10, 2018.Gil Eliahu
    That balance can no longer hold. The decision by Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) to send a drone into Israeli airspace in the early hours of Saturday February 10, followed by Israel’s retaliation against the Iranian command unit that launched the drone and the ensuing air battle between Israeli fighter jets and Syrian air defense batteries, was proof that Russia can no longer contain the interests of all the different sides within Syria.
    Putin has utilized “hybrid warfare” – a combination of military power, deniable proxies and cyberattacks – to destabilize neighboring countries like Georgia and Ukraine, which tried to get too close to the West. Relatively small investments for major gain.
    But just like Russian interference with the U.S. presidential election, where the Kremlin wanted only to undermine America’s democratic process but never actually believed it could help get Donald Trump elected, he may have gone too deep. What was supposed to be an exercise in troublemaking is, despite Trump’s reluctance, now a full-blown confrontation with the U.S. intelligence services.
    Managing a multitrack Middle East policy and engaging simultaneously with all of the regional players takes time, resources and, especially, experience. Until recently, the United States had the combination of seasoned diplomats, military and intelligence officers – with extensive contacts and time spent in the region – to maintain such a complex operation.
    Under President Trump, many of these professionals have left the administration, and there is no clear sense of direction from the White House for those remaining. But the lack of any real U.S. presence or policy doesn’t mean someone else can just come along and take over its traditional role.
    It’s not just that the Kremlin doesn’t have anything resembling this kind of network. Putin’s centralized way of doing business means that every decision goes through him in Moscow. This isn’t helping Russia keep a handle on evolving events on the ground, but it is an advantage for Netanyahu – who is currently the regional player with the best personal relationship with Putin.
    There are currently two schools of thought within the Israeli intelligence community. The skeptics believe Putin will not give up on his Shi’ite boots on the ground and will ultimately limit Israel’s freedom to operate in the skies above Syria – pushing Israel to make a difficult choice between sitting on the sidelines while Iran and Hezbollah build up their outposts or confronting Russia as well. The optimists believe Putin knows Israel has the power to jeopardize its achievements and threaten the Assad regime, and will therefore rein in the Iranians.
    Netanyahu’s team has been working closely with the Russian president for years, and the two leaders speak regularly on the phone and meet every few months. When they’re on their own, with just fellow Likud lawmaker Zeev Elkin to interpret, does Netanyahu openly threaten to destabilize the Assad regime? Probably not. The implied threat is enough.
    Putin will have to make the call on Israel or Iran soon – or risk losing all he has invested in Syria.

  • Putin Isn’t a Genius. He’s Leonid Brezhnev. – Foreign Policy
    http://foreignpolicy.com/2018/02/12/putin-isnt-a-genius-hes-leonid-brezhnev

    There are two absolutely very well-known historical experiments in the world — East Germany and West Germany and North Korea and South Korea. Now these are cases that everyone can see!” So spoke Russian President Vladimir Putin in an address to the Duma in 2012. As a former KGB operative in communist East Germany, Putin knew of what he spoke. Communism was a “historic futility,” he later explained. “Communism and the power of the Soviets did not make Russia a prosperous country.” Its main legacy, he added, was “dooming our country to lagging steadily behind economically advanced countries. It was a blind alley, far away from the mainstream of world civilizations.

    Yet Russia today is lagging steadily behind economically advanced countries — and Russia’s president is doing nothing about it. Putin recently overtook Leonid Brezhnev as Russia’s longest-serving leader since Joseph Stalin. His economic record, coupling stability with stagnation, looks increasingly like Brezhnev’s too.
    […]
    True, Russian economists, politicians, and business leaders are putting forth grand plans to revitalize the country’s economy. There are two main schools of thought. Former Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin, who has worked with Putin since their days in St. Petersburg in the 1990s, has an array of proposals to liberalize Russia’s economy and to invest in Russia’s population.
    […]
    Where Kudrin and his allies believe that Russia can attract investment only by making its economy more appealing to the private sector, an alternative camp thinks that Russia’s government should invest more itself. Russian politician Boris Titov, for example, has urged the government to sharply reduce interest rates, making it cheaper for firms to borrow. He also wants the government to subsidize loans to corporations and to invest directly in industry. Titov’s calls for state-backed investment are supported by many industrialists, who would stand to gain from government-funded infusions of credit.

  • Is Israel headed towards an initiated war in Lebanon ?
    https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-5078233,00.html

    The series of public messages conveyed by Israel in the past few days, particularly to the Lebanese government, and Monday’s meeting between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow, leave no room for doubt: Israel is moving quickly towards a “war by choice” or, in other words, an initiated war in Lebanon.

    Comme si les #agressions_criminelles précédentes n’avaient pas toutes été des « guerres par choix. »

    #Israel #Liban