The Fantasy of a New Middle East | Foreign Affairs
▻https://www.foreignaffairs.com/middle-east/fantasy-new-middle-east
Paragraphe final d’un long (mais pas vraiment percutant à mes yeux) article de Marc Lynch, un des meilleurs spécialistes du monde arabe aux USA.
Israel may view itself as the region’s new hegemon, but in fact it has made itself both less necessary and less useful. After the attack on Qatar, leaders of the Gulf states are unlikely to continue pointing all their air defense systems toward Iran and Yemen. Perhaps they could accept Israel’s obliteration of Gaza, but now Israel has made itself a threat to their own security. That Israel has avoided paying any serious price thus far for its military expansionism in the region and for the devastation of Gaza has fed the sense in Israel that it never will. But that is as misguided as the Israeli belief in 1973 that no Arab state would ever dare attack it again after its sweeping victory six years earlier or its notion, before October 7, 2023, that Hamas would remain forever contained in Gaza.