Mideast analysts, mea culpa time
A year and a half into the emergence of a new Middle East in the context of the Arab uprisings, it behooves commentators who have been tracking these events to step back and assess our own evaluations. There’s no point in dwelling on what we think we’ve gotten right. What’s more important is where we can see we have gone wrong, and why. Taking note of these missteps provides valuable lessons for reading ongoing events with greater accuracy.
I’m going to look at several of my own most notable mistakes or rushes to judgment over the past 18 months, and what can be learned from them.
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