Latin America gets its own 538.com, and it beats the polls in Chile

pas grand chose à voir, sinon Oakland :) ►http://www.liberation.fr/economie/2012/11/04/oakland-fait-de-la-subsistance_858013

au rayon les geeks et Obama, une enquête : “When the nerds go marching in”
▻http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2012/11/when-the-nerds-go-marching-in/265325
et une autre de Mother Jones “Under the Hood of Team Obama’s Tech Operation” ▻http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2012/11/inside-obama-campaign-tech-operation

►http://seenthis.net/messages/99267

Nate Silver, data guru returns to sport
▻http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/285f77a0-f518-11e2-94e9-00144feabdc0.html

Latin America gets its own 538.com, and it beats the polls in Chile
▻http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2013/12/09/latin-america-gets-its-own-538-com-and-it-beats-the-polls-in-chile

With different methodologies, Linzer’s, Silver’s and Wang’s forecasts were more accurate than those of any given pollster. They proved that aggregating polls could be more useful than using a single poll to predict the results of an election.
This prompted us, at TresQuintos, to develop a model of our own. We tested it on the 2013 presidential election in Chile, which took place Nov. 17. While we followed the methods of the poll aggregators named above, our model is mainly informed by statistics and political science literature (e.g. Andrew Gelman and Simon Jackman). Our forecast, too, was more accurate than the prediction of any given pollster.